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Gosford (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gosford (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 5 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 5 NovGosford (NSW)Change

Race 6 — The Ary, Toukley Plate (C1) 2030m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Gosford for race number six on the card, where a competitive field of stayers line up for The Ary, Toukley Plate Class 1 over the 2030m trip. The track is rated good four under fine skies, setting up a proper test over a middle distance. Looking at how punters have treated the win market early, Freddie Bassett holds down the mantle as the shortest elect, closely followed by Scoish Maloish, Liyah's Girl, and Mission Strike rounding out the leading quartet in the betting order.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices reveals some interesting yarns. Freddie Bassett jumps from barrier three for Annabel and Rob Archibald with Tom Sherry in the saddle, coming off a fifth at Newcastle over the 1900m where he only got picked off late after showing good early dash, which points to him enjoying this drop back in class. Meanwhile, Liyah's Girl for Matthew Smith brings early speed from barrier one and wasn't disgraced when fifth over 2000m at Canberra. Another key player in the market is Scoish Maloish, trained by Marc and Mitchell Conners, who chased hard when a close fourth over 1800m at Hawkesbury and previously placed at this very track, suggesting this rise in distance could suit.

Further down the line, speed maps show Freddie Bassett and Scoish Maloish sharing the onpace duties, which should give them every chance to dictate terms on this tight circuit. While some runners like Mission Strike and Don't Party have a bit of work to do against the market trends, the race sets up nicely for those settled near the speed. Punters looking for value might want to weigh up how the map plays out over the 2030m journey.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,CL1-SW,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Freddie Bassett (2)

1.95

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Mission Strike

Midfield

  • 8Roman City

Offpace

  • 4Queen Tavane
  • 1Don's Party
  • 3Liyah's Girl

Onpace

  • 2Freddie Bassett
  • 11Scoish Maloish

Leader

  • 5Rita's Pearl
  • Don's Party · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Andrew Calder current POT is 14% below Career Avg.

  • Freddie Bassett · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Liyah's Girl · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Queen Tavane · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Don's PartyJ: Andrew Calder·T: P & M Cave859kg1 2 6 4 68: 1-1-2$9.00$2.15

Career

8: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    4: 0-0-2

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kembla Grange1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L
  2. 4Newcastle1850m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD34.48L
  3. 6Wyong1625m30 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.7L
  4. 2Hawkesbury1500m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.4L
  5. 1Wyong1300m23 July 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT7-2.7
  6. 1Warwick Farm1202m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-1.6
  7. 2Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)0.2L
  8. 3Kembla Grange1600m28 Jan 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Andrew Calder current POT is 14% below Career Avg.

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Battled home into last in the small field at Kembla Grange. Stamina on trial here but capable of making an impact with even luck.

ILB

Started $6.50 and weakened to finish 6th last run at Kembla Grange. Capable of a strong comeback. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Tough competitor.

RP

Finished last of six over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; this is his level; shown he can win fairly recently and warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

At 11/2 folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Kembla Grange. Looking for an improved run. Will go close here.

2Freddie BassettJ: Tom Sherry·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald359kg6 8 6 5 510: 1-2-0$1.95$1.07

Career

10: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Newcastle1900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.46L
  2. 5Newcastle1500m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD45.69L
  3. 6Tamworth1200m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  4. 8Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)10L
  5. 6Randwick Kensington1800m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.1L
  6. 1Warwick Farm1600m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD4-1.21
  7. 5Wyong1350m28 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT50.7L
  8. 4Randwick1050m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Only picked off late after showing pace at Newcastle. Back in easier class and worth a look.

ILB

Jumped at $15.00 and tailed off to finish 5th last run at Newcastle. Is capable of a resurgence. Strong claims and hard to beat.

RP

Posted respectable effort when beaten 1½l in a handicap upped to 1m1½f at Newcastle three weeks ago; this is his grade; knows how to win so has a competitive shout.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and faded to finish 5th last start at Newcastle. Expecting improvement. Winning hope.

3Liyah's GirlJ: Chad Schofield·T: Matthew Smith157kg1 2 2 9 513: 1-4-0$4.20$1.34

Career

13: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    5: 0-4-0

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1880m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 5Canberra2000m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.84L
  2. 9Warwick Farm1207m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.5L
  3. 2Canberra2000m18 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD30.25L
  4. 2Canberra2000m4 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT61.3L
  5. 1Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.2
  6. 9Newcastle1880m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · GOOD43.7L
  7. 4Newcastle1850m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.1L
  8. 8Kembla Grange1600m16 July 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.4L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went close at Canberra 18 Sep. Not disgraced at Canberra. A few runs under her belt this campaign, not out of this.

ILB

Started at $4.60 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Canberra and can save some energy from the draw. Stepping up to a higher level. Solid chance.

RP

Has been fairly consistent lately; not beaten too far (just under 2l, Canberra) 13 days ago; Chad Schofield a noteworthy booking; should not be far away if finding her best form.

RSIS

Odds of 7/2 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Canberra and gets the perfect stall. Testing ability against stronger contenders. Chance and can measure up.

4Queen TavaneJ: William A Stanley·T: Ms K Outtrim657kg3 7 8 10 918: 1-2-1$71.00$5.50

Career

18: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    12: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Hawkesbury1800m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD48.32L
  2. 10Hawkesbury1500m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT714.61L
  3. 8Wyong1625m30 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.3L
  4. 7Kembla Grange2400m25 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
  5. 3Goulburn2130m17 July 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT60.9L
  6. 9Wyong1600m4 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT76.6L
  7. 7Gosford1600m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 64 · HEAVY815.5L
  8. 6Rosehill1030m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)4.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Hawkesbury. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.

ILB

At $101.00 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Hawkesbury. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Finished last of nine in a handicap last Tuesday (Hawkesbury) upped to 1m1f; could be in the mix as shown some signs of promise.

RSIS

Odds of 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Hawkesbury.

5Rita's PearlJ: Jenny Duggan·T: D Wagstaff257kg10 6 4 3 722: 1-3-1$51.00$4.80

Career

22: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2125m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2140m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    15: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Dubbo2200m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.64L
  2. 3Bowraville2200m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.33L
  3. 4Kempsey1900m5 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.9L
  4. 6Taree2000m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65.6L
  5. 10Port Macquarie1512m22 Aug 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY87.6L
  6. 8Hawkesbury1800m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT611.8L
  7. 6Canberra1900m7 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD317.5L
  8. 10Canberra1750m24 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD38.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 39 days

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Last win was 16 Oct 2025. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Dubbo. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and lacklustre showing when 7th last start at Dubbo but gets a favourable draw. Will be positive in the run early. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.

RP

Beaten 7l into seventh in a handicap at Dubbo five weeks ago; achieved just the one win; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Dubbo but has a positive stall. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Matched against a stronger field.

6EldironScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Pedestrian efforts in both runs to date. Significantly up in distance here. Hard to recommend.

ILB

Ordinary performance when 6th last run at Muswellbrook but drawn beautifully. Facing a rise in trip. Competing in a more challenging class.

RSIS

Sub-standard effort when 6th last start at Muswellbrook but drawn beautifully. Stepping up in distance. Challenged by a tougher grade.

7Mission StrikeJ: Dylan Gibbons·T: Adam Duggan756.5kg9 9 5 10 511: 0-1-1$7.00$1.80

Career

11: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Happy Valley

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Sha Tin

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    6: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD49.27L
  2. 10Happy Valley2200m3 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4.5L
  3. 5Happy Valley1800m2 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.3L
  4. 9Sha Tin1800m19 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL4 RTG 60-40 HCP · GOOD5.3L
  5. 9Sha Tin1600m21 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT4.5L
  6. 2Conghua1600m12 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD0.1L
  7. 8Conghua1200m29 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial · GOOD5L
  8. 9Happy Valley1800m4 June 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons 65% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 65%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Muswellbrook for new trainer. Ex HK galloper who will need to lift.

ILB

Jumped at $17.00 and came in 5th last run at Muswellbrook but going up in trip. Likely to get back in the field. Matched against a stronger field. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Held on his debut over 7½f at Muswellbrook (wearing blinkers) at 16-1 last month; came up short in overseas starts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and came in 5th last run at Muswellbrook but going over more ground. Might be ridden for luck. Racing against tougher rivals.

8Roman CityJ: Reece Jones·T: Matthew Smith556.5kg6 4 6 9 115: 0-0-0$101.00$8.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Canberra2000m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD49.18L
  2. 9Kembla Grange1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.7L
  3. 6Goulburn1400m11 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD417.4L
  4. 4Gosford1200m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L
  5. 6Gosford800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)9.8L
  6. 7Wyong1100m17 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN HCP · HEAVY89.7L
  7. 8Kembla Grange1300m26 July 2025 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD415.5L
  8. 1Warwick Farm1208m26 May 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.9

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Canberra. Underwhelming record and needs a major turnaround.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and faded away to finish 11th last start at Canberra and facing a stronger grade. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Needs a lot of luck.

RP

Finished last of 11 last month at Canberra when behind two of these upped to this trip; best he's managed so far is sixth from five career starts; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as shown nothing recently.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 11th last start at Canberra and stepping up to a higher level. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.

9Still RisingScratched7––––

Career

9: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kembla Grange1600m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD46.9L
  2. 7Newcastle1500m6 Oct 2026 · 4Y+MDN-SW · GOOD413.28L
  3. 5Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.8L
  4. 7Hawkesbury1600m2 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT712.9L
  5. 5Port Macquarie1512m14 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT78L
  6. 8Taree1412m12 May 2026 · MDN · HEAVY86.2L
  7. 1Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
  8. 14Newcastle1850m24 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Mollie Fitzgerald 37% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Kembla Grange second-up. Significantly up in distance. Only for exotics.

ILB

Was well beaten when 6th last run at Kembla Grange and up against stronger opponents.

RP

Beaten 7l in sixth last month at Kembla Grange in a handicap; recent form nothing to write home about and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 6th last start at Kembla Grange and up in grade.

10IsotropicScratched4––––

Career

15: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 4Canberra2000m23 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.76L
  2. 4Moruya1650m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT74.2L
  3. 7Wagga1400m28 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43.28L
  4. 3Queanbeyan1460m8 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT51.5L
  5. 6Kembla Grange1300m8 Aug 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD42.8L
  6. 4Kembla Grange1300m25 July 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
  7. 9Moruya930m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L
  8. 7Balaklava1600m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.3L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Wayne Hudd striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Last at turn, ran on late at Canberra. First time around Gosford. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Showed some merit late when 4th last run at Canberra but competing in a higher grade.

RP

Respectable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 2l upped to this trip (Canberra, had Liyah's Girl and Roman City behind) last month; knocking at the door recently; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 15.

RSIS

Made up ground when 4th last time at Canberra but rising in grade.

11Scoish MaloishJ: Keagan Latham·T: Marc & Mitchell Conners455kg2 3 9 4 47: 0-1-1$5.00$1.45

Career

7: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Hawkesbury1800m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.74L
  2. 4Goulburn1400m24 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.15L
  3. 9Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L
  4. 3Canterbury1550m17 June 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.2L
  5. 2Gosford1600m11 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT50.7L
  6. 5Kembla Grange1200m16 May 2026 · CG&E MDN · SOFT51.3L
  7. 8Newcastle1250m2 May 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD415.5L
  8. 3Warwick Farm798m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hawkesbury when second-up. Placed only other run at Gosford. Sharper now, not out of it.

ILB

Was $21.00 and finished 4th last time at Hawkesbury and matched against tougher rivals. Watch betting.

RP

Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; recent form has a decent look to it; finished fourth beaten three-quarters of a length upped to 1m1f four weeks ago at Hawkesbury in a maiden; others appeal more with stamina to prove at this new trip.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and finished 4th last run at Hawkesbury and racing in stronger company.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races