Shortest win price
Freddie Bassett (2)
1.95
Welcome to Gosford for race number six on the card, where a competitive field of stayers line up for The Ary, Toukley Plate Class 1 over the 2030m trip. The track is rated good four under fine skies, setting up a proper test over a middle distance. Looking at how punters have treated the win market early, Freddie Bassett holds down the mantle as the shortest elect, closely followed by Scoish Maloish, Liyah's Girl, and Mission Strike rounding out the leading quartet in the betting order.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices reveals some interesting yarns. Freddie Bassett jumps from barrier three for Annabel and Rob Archibald with Tom Sherry in the saddle, coming off a fifth at Newcastle over the 1900m where he only got picked off late after showing good early dash, which points to him enjoying this drop back in class. Meanwhile, Liyah's Girl for Matthew Smith brings early speed from barrier one and wasn't disgraced when fifth over 2000m at Canberra. Another key player in the market is Scoish Maloish, trained by Marc and Mitchell Conners, who chased hard when a close fourth over 1800m at Hawkesbury and previously placed at this very track, suggesting this rise in distance could suit.
Further down the line, speed maps show Freddie Bassett and Scoish Maloish sharing the onpace duties, which should give them every chance to dictate terms on this tight circuit. While some runners like Mission Strike and Don't Party have a bit of work to do against the market trends, the race sets up nicely for those settled near the speed. Punters looking for value might want to weigh up how the map plays out over the 2030m journey.
Shortest win price
Freddie Bassett (2)
1.95
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Don's Party · Negative
Jockey Booking
Andrew Calder current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Freddie Bassett · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Liyah's Girl · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Queen Tavane · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Career
8: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-0-2
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Andrew Calder current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Battled home into last in the small field at Kembla Grange. Stamina on trial here but capable of making an impact with even luck.
ILB
Started $6.50 and weakened to finish 6th last run at Kembla Grange. Capable of a strong comeback. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Tough competitor.
RP
Finished last of six over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month; this is his level; shown he can win fairly recently and warrants plenty of respect.
RSIS
At 11/2 folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Kembla Grange. Looking for an improved run. Will go close here.
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Only picked off late after showing pace at Newcastle. Back in easier class and worth a look.
ILB
Jumped at $15.00 and tailed off to finish 5th last run at Newcastle. Is capable of a resurgence. Strong claims and hard to beat.
RP
Posted respectable effort when beaten 1½l in a handicap upped to 1m1½f at Newcastle three weeks ago; this is his grade; knows how to win so has a competitive shout.
RSIS
Was 14/1 and faded to finish 5th last start at Newcastle. Expecting improvement. Winning hope.
Career
13: 1-4-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
5: 0-4-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1880m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-3-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went close at Canberra 18 Sep. Not disgraced at Canberra. A few runs under her belt this campaign, not out of this.
ILB
Started at $4.60 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Canberra and can save some energy from the draw. Stepping up to a higher level. Solid chance.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately; not beaten too far (just under 2l, Canberra) 13 days ago; Chad Schofield a noteworthy booking; should not be far away if finding her best form.
RSIS
Odds of 7/2 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Canberra and gets the perfect stall. Testing ability against stronger contenders. Chance and can measure up.
Career
18: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
12: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely at Hawkesbury. Needs to lift to figure. On trust.
ILB
At $101.00 couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Hawkesbury. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Finished last of nine in a handicap last Tuesday (Hawkesbury) upped to 1m1f; could be in the mix as shown some signs of promise.
RSIS
Odds of 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Hawkesbury.
Career
22: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2125m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2140m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Last win was 16 Oct 2025. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Dubbo. Looks up against it.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and lacklustre showing when 7th last start at Dubbo but gets a favourable draw. Will be positive in the run early. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Beaten 7l into seventh in a handicap at Dubbo five weeks ago; achieved just the one win; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Was 15/2 and unsatisfactory performance when 7th last time at Dubbo but has a positive stall. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Matched against a stronger field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Pedestrian efforts in both runs to date. Significantly up in distance here. Hard to recommend.
ILB
Ordinary performance when 6th last run at Muswellbrook but drawn beautifully. Facing a rise in trip. Competing in a more challenging class.
RSIS
Sub-standard effort when 6th last start at Muswellbrook but drawn beautifully. Stepping up in distance. Challenged by a tougher grade.
Career
11: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Happy Valley
6: 0-1-1
Track Sha Tin
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 65%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
Never in the call at Muswellbrook for new trainer. Ex HK galloper who will need to lift.
ILB
Jumped at $17.00 and came in 5th last run at Muswellbrook but going up in trip. Likely to get back in the field. Matched against a stronger field. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Held on his debut over 7½f at Muswellbrook (wearing blinkers) at 16-1 last month; came up short in overseas starts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and came in 5th last run at Muswellbrook but going over more ground. Might be ridden for luck. Racing against tougher rivals.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Never sighted at Canberra. Underwhelming record and needs a major turnaround.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and faded away to finish 11th last start at Canberra and facing a stronger grade. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Needs a lot of luck.
RP
Finished last of 11 last month at Canberra when behind two of these upped to this trip; best he's managed so far is sixth from five career starts; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as shown nothing recently.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 11th last start at Canberra and stepping up to a higher level. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
AAP
Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Kembla Grange second-up. Significantly up in distance. Only for exotics.
ILB
Was well beaten when 6th last run at Kembla Grange and up against stronger opponents.
RP
Beaten 7l in sixth last month at Kembla Grange in a handicap; recent form nothing to write home about and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Gave away some ground when 6th last start at Kembla Grange and up in grade.
Career
15: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Wayne Hudd striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 53%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last at turn, ran on late at Canberra. First time around Gosford. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Showed some merit late when 4th last run at Canberra but competing in a higher grade.
RP
Respectable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 2l upped to this trip (Canberra, had Liyah's Girl and Roman City behind) last month; knocking at the door recently; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 15.
RSIS
Made up ground when 4th last time at Canberra but rising in grade.
Career
7: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hawkesbury when second-up. Placed only other run at Gosford. Sharper now, not out of it.
ILB
Was $21.00 and finished 4th last time at Hawkesbury and matched against tougher rivals. Watch betting.
RP
Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; recent form has a decent look to it; finished fourth beaten three-quarters of a length upped to 1m1f four weeks ago at Hawkesbury in a maiden; others appeal more with stamina to prove at this new trip.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and finished 4th last run at Hawkesbury and racing in stronger company.