Shortest win price
Belle Chanteuse (2)
2.70
Welcome to Gosford for race four on the card, where a competitive field of maidens is set to lock horns over the 1600m journey. The track is currently rated a good four under fine skies, promising a fair surface for the afternoon's racing. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Belle Chanteuse as the one to beat, closely followed by Golden Princess, Cool Summer Nights, and Extra Special heading up the next line of betting in this provincial maiden handicap contest.
Digging into the form lines behind those shorter prices, the market elect Belle Chanteuse drops back to a suitable class and comes here following a solid third in a staggered finish at Warwick Farm over 1300m at just her second start. The stable engagement of Chad Schofield adds plenty of interest, and the step up to the mile looks ideal. Meanwhile, Cool Summer Nights maps well from barrier one for Nathan Doyle and Ashley Morgan, having battled home into third at Tamworth over 1400m following a long break. That outing should have brought plenty of improvement for this assignment.
Further down the order, other runners tell their own story as the speed map takes shape. What A Gent is listed as the leader from gate five, while Cool Summer Nights is set to take up a handy on-pace position from the inside alley. For those playing wider, Extra Special steps out for Nacim Dilmi with a 2kg claim via Olivia Chambers, looking to bounce back from a fair effort at Newcastle when fitter second-up over more ground.
Shortest win price
Belle Chanteuse (2)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cool Summer Nights · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Belle Chanteuse · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Audacity · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Circus Girl · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Career
6: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-2-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown some ability. Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Tamworth off long break. Better for the outing and looks suitably placed.
ILB
Solid effort when placing 3rd last time at Tamworth and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Will be competitive.
RP
Has shown some recent improvement; fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing third of seven in a maiden at Tamworth last month; must be high on list if she is able to replicate her best form.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last run at Tamworth and gets a favourable stall. Will go close.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Secured third in a staggered finish at Warwick Farm at second start. Suited by the longer assignment now and commands attention here.
ILB
Was strong late when 3rd last run at Warwick Farm. Absolutely right in this.
RP
Not disgraced when third last month at Warwick Farm in a maiden; is passed over.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by just over 4 1/2L last start at Warwick Farm. Strong competitor.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Freshened. Has struggled to make an impression. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Illawarra Grange. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Was $101.00 and disappointing display when 11th last time at Illawarra Grange. Ran 6th in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Finished last of 11 (Illawarra Grange) last month in a maiden; possibilities.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 11th last run at Illawarra Grange. Finished 6th in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th.
Career
13: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
9: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 250%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Winona Costin in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
Record poor across numerous opportunities. Never sighted at Hawkesbury. Usually gets back. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and mediocre performance when 9th last time at Hawkesbury. Blinkers go off for the first time. Yet to make an impression in 13 runs. Looks optimistic.
RP
Still winless and defeats stacking up (13 on the bounce) and recent form is unremarkable; ninth of 12 in a maiden (Hawkesbury) last Tuesday; facing a testing assignment and is passed over.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and underperformed when 9th last time at Hawkesbury. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Hasn't fired a shot in 13 starts.
Career
7: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
4: 0-0-2
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Outgunned but did enough for third at $11 at Muswellbrook. Place preferred option.
ILB
Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Muswellbrook. Prefers to settle towards the rear. This is a tough race.
RP
Well held when third over 7½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) 17 days ago; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice.
RSIS
Competitive effort when 3rd last run at Muswellbrook. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Olivia Chambers current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 47% in L100 rides
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $4.80 when safely held at Beaumont first run back. Fitter second-up and takes a 2kg claim. More ground could help but hope for exotics only.
ILB
Odds of $4.80 and finished 7th last start at Newcastle. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Will not be far away.
RP
Finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) at Beaumont over 6½f (handicap) last Monday; should not be far away as has been on the scene in the recent past and had excuses last time (hampered).
RSIS
At 4/1 finished 7th last time at Newcastle. Blinkers go on for the first time. Significant value and can go close.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Hot Trainer
Positive
Mark Minervini in good form, out performing market 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Backing up quickly. Ridden back and never a factor at Wyong. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Backs up quickly. At $81.00 only fair when 10th last run at Wyong but drawn nicely. Likely to get back in the field. Will be facing a challenge.
RP
Tenth of 12 in a maiden at Wyong last Thursday; shown recent signs of improvement; easy to oppose.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started 80/1 and performed below standard when 10th last start at Wyong but has a good draw. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
7: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
Started $8 when battled home in Maiden company at Hawkesbury. Only for exotics.
ILB
Started $8.00 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Hawkesbury. Large claim helps. Prefer in something easier.
RP
Fourth of 12 beaten 5l in a maiden at Hawkesbury last week; big chance as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
At 7/1 lost ground late when 4th last run at Hawkesbury. Leeshelle Small takes a large claim.
Career
7: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 487%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Performance just fair at Tamworth over this trip at $12. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Jumped at $12.00 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Tamworth and will appreciate the drop in weight. Not hopeless.
RP
Without a win in seven attempts although has finished third; not beaten too far when fifth of nine in a maiden (Tamworth) 35 days ago; passed over given many of his rivals are in good form.
RSIS
Odds of 11/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last time at Tamworth and gets some weight relief.
Career
25: 0-6-5
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-3-4
Going Good
13: 0-3-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -59%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in rain affected going in the Super Mdn Plate at Taree. Placed to effect here.
ILB
Attacked the line when 2nd last start at Taree. Expecting to settle positively. Showing positive results since returning from a break. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Close up runner-up over 7f at Taree (maiden) last month; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 25; record demonstrates how he often finds at least one too good so is passed over.
RSIS
Kept traping on when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at Taree. Won't be far away during the run. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break. Good chance at a nice price.