Shortest win price
Lions Eyes (1)
3.50
Gosford hosts the Creightons Funeral Service Maiden Handicap over 1100 metres on a Good 4 track in fine conditions at 2:30 pm AEDT. The maiden field splits between two pieces of racing experience: a small brigade with recent form, and a larger first-starter contingent. The win market is ordered by Lions Eyes from barrier 11, followed by Hy in barrier 8, with Usain Boss third from barrier 9 and River Inferno fourth from barrier 6. Lions Eyes carries top weight at 61 kilograms; Hy is 60.5 kilograms. The market suggests a two-horse story at the top, but the form tells a richer tale.
Lions Eyes maps well for this circuit and hasn't raced in 28 days, but his form credentials are legit. The 4-year-old has had two starts and was pushed forward to fight on solidly for second at his second up over 1000 metres at Hawkesbury in a 3yo+ Super Maiden. He's sharper now, and the comment from the form lines suggests his maiden is overdue. Hy, trained by J & G Lee — a stable currently out-performing market expectations by 41 per cent — returns for a second campaign after 15 weeks away. He also finished second at his debut, over this exact distance at Hawkesbury in a Maiden-Sweepstakes when conditions were soft. The Lee stable fires at 16 per cent of runners in their last 100, a resilient strike rate. Both runners shape as genuine second-up or first-up-back contenders with winning races written into their dossiers.
Usain Boss sits third in the market and shouldn't be overlooked. The 10-start maiden has been thereabouts of late, finishing second twice at Tamworth in his last two starts, most recently over a longer test on Good 4. He's drawn in barrier 9 with only 55 kilograms and gate speed to his favour, which should help him settle midfield and launch late. The map suits this track, out-performing market expectations by 22 per cent. River Inferno, a first-starter from Brad Widdup's yard, won her latest trial at Hawkesbury and has dam form worth noting — her mother won five races. If the market moves on her, that's a signal worth following into the betting.
Shortest win price
Lions Eyes (1)
3.50
Back left · leaders right
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Backmarker
Leader
Lions Eyes · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Hy · Positive
Hot Trainer
Jim & Greg Lee in good form, out performing market 41%
Mens Rea · Negative
Market Watch
Keep eye on betting moves
Navy Rose · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 13%
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
2: 0-2-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Promising 4yo. Pushed forward and fought on solidly 3yo+ Super Mdn at second start. Sharper now, looks poised to shake his maiden.
ILB
Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Hawkesbury. Been in the money each start this preparation. Good chance today.
RP
Not beaten far when second at Hawkesbury over 5f (handicap) last month; this only his second handicap outing.
RSIS
Was outmuscled when 2nd last time at Hawkesbury. In the top three at every start lately. Finished 5th in a trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 30th. Attracts support.
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jim & Greg Lee in good form, out performing market 41%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (15-weeks). Shown early promise. In the minors at Hawkesbury on debut last campaign while building fitness through 2 trials. Looms large first-up.
ILB
Fresh after a spell. Tidy effort when 2nd last start at Hawkesbury but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Finishing runner-up was a good effort in July (Hawkesbury) in a maiden.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Placed 2nd last run at Hawkesbury but has to carry more weight this time. Can take this out.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Trials (2:1-0-1). Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Mitchell Bell sticks for debut. Drawn deep but market may offer more insight.
ILB
Ringerdingding 4yo having first race appearance for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Market as guide.
RSIS
Racing as a debutant 4yo by Ringerdingding for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). Dam won a maiden. Trials form ok and A Adkins stays aboard for debut. Might be one to watch at this stage.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by Menari for trainer Con Karakatsanis. Fitter for a barrier trial at Warwick Farm on May 25th. Watch early betting.
RP
Running for the first time; related to Allegro Miss (winner from 6½f up to 1m1½f); already gelded; deserves respect with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by Menari racing as a debutant for trainer Con Karakatsanis. Fitter for a trial at Warwick Farm on May 25th.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 13%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). $20k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Rosa's Spur. Trial form was okay and off a good draw. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 4yo by Merchant Navy for trainer David Pfieffer and gets a favourable draw. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Betting is the best guide.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Merchant Navy; may be involved.
RSIS
Merchant Navy 4yo trained by David Pfieffer having first race start and can find a nice position from the draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Firststart
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-0). Out of a three-quarter-sister to the stakes winner Loveme. Drawn well. Follow betting leads.
ILB
4yo debutant by Churchill for Sterling Alexiou & Gerald Ryan. Fitter for a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Sept 22nd. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Stable is well capable of preparing youngsters to win races on limited experience; sire can produce useful types; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile and the trainer is hot at the moment.
RSIS
Career debut 4yo by Churchill for trainer Sterling Alexiou & Gerald Ryan. Placed 2nd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Sept 22nd. Respect the betting.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-1). $5,000 purchase. Out of an unraced mare. Latest trial was fair but this looks tough. Good draw. Would need to see some market confidence.
ILB
Brad Widdup 3yo by King's Legacy having first start and can save some energy from the draw. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Watch the market moves.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of King's Legacy; faces fairly tall order so she could be one for another day.
RSIS
3yo by King's Legacy having first race appearance for Brad Widdup and has a nice advantage with a good stall.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (22-weeks). Had a low-key debut at Warwick Farm 3 Jun. Latest trial work was solid but must show more this time in.
ILB
First up after a break. Struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Warwick Farm but having second career run.
RSIS
First run back. Weakened to finish 9th last run at Warwick Farm but fitter for debut run.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:1-0-0). Dam won five races. Showed good improvement to win her latest trial at Hawkesbury. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo first starter sired by Hellbent for trainer Brad Widdup. Success in a barrier trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th. Watch the betting.
RP
First competitive racecourse experience; sire can produce useful types; prospects.
RSIS
Initial appearance 3yo by Hellbent for trainer Brad Widdup. Winner in a trial at Hawkesbury on Oct 20th.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 46% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Gibbons 65% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -64% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Dylan Gibbons winning at 42% POT in last 100 rides
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (4:0-1-1). $180k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Bliss Street. Some of her earlier trial form was okay but this will test. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
3yo by Pinatubo having initial appearance for trainer Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Betting as a guide.
RP
Related to 5½f winner Call Me Invincible; stable is well capable of preparing youngsters to win races on limited experience; this one is best watched, unless market signals suggest otherwise as she will do well to trouble those who have already shown fair form.
RSIS
First race appearance 3yo by Pinatubo for Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Jockey Booking
Negative
Liam Riordan current POT is 11% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (47-days). Got the wobbles and faded out of the placings at Newcastle. Has early speed and handicap conditions favour. Right in the mix.
ILB
Freshened for this. Was $7.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Newcastle.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Started 13/2 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Newcastle.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Every chance but compounded at Scone second-up. Sharper now, can improve.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Scone. Likely to be well placed early. Blinkers go on for the first time. This looks a tough assignment.
RP
Attempting to open his account at the seventh time of asking; 11th of 12 (Scone) 41 days ago; this only his second handicap outing; is passed over given many of his rivals are in good form.
RSIS
At 100/1 weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Scone. Blinkers go on for the first time. Displays good tactical pace.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1313m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Jay Hopkins striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Failed to threaten at Muswellbrook at huge odds and others more persuasive.
ILB
At $101.00 weakened to finish 6th last start at Muswellbrook. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Likely to get back. Tough race, will need luck.
RP
Four-race maiden though does have a third place to her name; finished sixth, beaten a fair way at Muswellbrook over 6½f (handicap) last month; passed over.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and didn't threaten when 6th last start at Muswellbrook. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time. Likely to get back.
Career
10: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-2-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Thereabouts of late. Felt the run late but held a minor share at Tamworth over longer test. Has gate speed and under less weight. High on the shortlist.
ILB
Was in the hunt for a long way when 2nd last start at Tamworth but back in trip. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at ten; second at Tamworth when 10-11 in a maiden last month; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Ran a solid race on the pace before weakening to finish 2nd beaten by over 2 1/2L last start at Tamworth but back to a shorter distance. Strong claims.