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Tamworth (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Tamworth (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctTamworth (NSW)Change

Race 8 — Shay Brennan Construction (Bm58) 1400m · jumps

Race notes

  • BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 13 runners

Shortest win price

Jagerschnitzel (9)

2.90

Most career wins

Johnny Boz and Gold Smiles

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 6Shipshape

Offmidfield

  • 1Maid In Dubai
  • 13Gold Smiles
  • 4Maximum Ride
  • 9Jagerschnitzel

Midfield

  • 12Velia
  • 11Blazed Prince
  • 15Gloryess

Offpace

  • 10Johnny Boz

Onpace

  • 7Smart Scud

Leader

  • 3Master Gee
  • 8Hard As Brok
  • 14Tamieka Warrior
  • Maid In Dubai · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Master Gee · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Maximum Ride · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Shipshape · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Maid In DubaiJ: Kody Nestor·T: Brett Robb661.5kg10 6 4 10 233: 4-4-5$15.00$3.90

Career

33: 4-4-5

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-2

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Albury

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1675m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-0-2

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    20: 4-4-2

Last starts

  1. 2Narromine1300m21 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD31.64L
  2. 10Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT713.3L
  3. 4Muswellbrook1280m9 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.8L
  4. 6Gilgandra1280m1 Aug 2026 · COLLIE CUP BM76 · GOOD44.2L
  5. 10Bendigo1600m13 June 2026 · BM70 HCP · SOFT59.4L
  6. 13Albury1600m26 May 2026 · BM66 · SOFT69.5L
  7. 7Echuca1300m11 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM56 HCP · SOFT54.6L
  8. 4Tatura1600m14 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD33.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Taken back from the alley, closed the race off powerfully at Narromine. Two of her wins were this distance. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd last start at Narromine but will have to carry extra weight. Will be trying to topple them late. Keep safe.

RP

Ran encouragingly when 1½l second at Narromine over 6½f (handicap) 21 days ago; if she is able to build on her most recent effort then is respected.

RSIS

Was strong late when 2nd last time at Narromine but rising in weight. Should get going late. Betting is the best guide.

2Easy TrapezeeScratched5––––

Career

7: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1318m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD4-0.58
  2. 5Coffs Harbour1318m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.4L
  3. 1Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY8-0.8
  4. 1Newcastle800m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
  5. 5Gosford1600m2 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.4L
  6. 5Grafton1420m5 Mar 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.3L
  7. 4Tuncurry1300m21 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.9L
  8. 10Newcastle1350m15 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT513.8L

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Had to call on all his resolve to win from the deep draw at Dubbo. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $4.60 and performed below standard when 7th last time at Port Macquarie but matched against less formidable competition. Shannen Llewellyn takes the reins today.

RP

Beaten a fair way when seventh at Port Macquarie over 7½f (handicap) two days ago; should be in the mix given he won a handicap two runs back.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started at 7/2 and below standard effort when 7th last run at Port Macquarie but matched against less formidable competition. Shannen Llewellyn is a key booking.

3Master GeeJ: Nick Palmer·T: C R Clegg1059.5kg4 4 2 7 547: 4-11-4$20.00$4.20

Career

47: 4-11-4

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-3-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    17: 1-3-3

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    15: 1-2-2

  • Distance 1050m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    34: 3-9-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD33.2L
  2. 7Scone1200m31 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.2L
  3. 2Tamworth1200m17 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.3L
  4. 4Tamworth1000m26 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.9L
  5. 4Tamworth1000m15 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.2L
  6. 8Tamworth1000m10 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.3L
  7. 6Armidale1100m29 Mar 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.2L
  8. 5Tamworth1000m2 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

On pace but under siege late and weakened out of the fight. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and faded away when 5th last start at Armidale. The wide barrier shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Can measure up against these.

RP

Posted a good effort at this track whensecond in July; not beaten that far in fifth (just over 3l) at Armidale over 5½f (handicap) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere given many of his rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and outmatched when 5th last time at Armidale. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Very tidy performer.

4Maximum RideJ: Jack Baker·T: D Lane359.5kg6 12 6 2 119: 2-3-1$34.00$6.00

Career

19: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 1Wellington1400m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT6-0.68
  2. 2Tamworth1400m25 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.99L
  3. 6Hawkesbury1300m11 Aug 2026 · CL1 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  4. 12Wyong1200m4 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT76.7L
  5. 6Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10L
  6. 9Dubbo1600m15 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.6L
  7. 4Scone1400m24 Feb 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.1L
  8. 1Dubbo1400m2 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Damien Lane striking at just 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 527%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Determined effort to secure victory at Wellington over today's trip. Went close only other go this course and trip. One for multiples.

ILB

Finished on top by 3/4L last start at Wellington and proven performer at this trip. On an upward trajectory in recent races. Has to cope with a weight increase. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Narrow scorer in a handicap at Wellington 27 days ago; he can be taken on despite that win at Wellington.

RSIS

Finished on top by 3/4L last time at Wellington and strong form at this trip. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Carrying more weight than last time.

5Nugget SmartScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Track And Dist

    Positive

    Excels at this track and trip

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Responded strongly to dispose of the small field this course over today's trip. Barrier hurts but possesses early toe. Fit from racing, can challenge again.

ILB

Finished well when winning last time here but rises in weight.

RSIS

Charged home to win last run at this venue but has to carry more weight this time.

6ShipshapeJ: Heavelon Van Der Hoven·T: Kylie Kennedy1359.5kg5 7 5 7 537: 2-4-5$16.00$3.90

Career

37: 2-4-5

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 0-0-3

  • Distance 1300m

    5: 0-3-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-0-2

  • Going Good

    16: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 5Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.91L
  2. 7Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT65.94L
  3. 5Forbes1400m2 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD41.5L
  4. 7Warren1200m21 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT54.6L
  5. 5Dubbo1000m28 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY82.3L
  6. 9Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT68.6L
  7. 12Coonamble1400m12 Oct 2025 · BM66 · GOOD411.4L
  8. 6Dubbo1100m28 Sept 2025 · CL2-SW · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Heavelon Van Der Hoven 37% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Heavelon Van Der Hoven winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak but okay at latest when settled back. Awkwardly drawn. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and pushed past some when 5th last start at Dubbo. Does take a while to get into stride. Form will be tested here.

RP

Finished just behind Jagerschnitzel when fifth at Dubbo over 6½f (handicap) last month; hasn't won for a while; this line-up contains some strong opposition so is passed over.

RSIS

Started 18/1 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Dubbo. Struggling lately. Expected to settle towards the tail.

7Smart ScudJ: Reece Jones·T: R P Northam859.5kg7 1 7 4 44: 1-0-0$4.20$1.80

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Narromine1200m21 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.55L
  2. 4Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L
  3. 7Gunnedah1400m24 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.6L
  4. 1Narromine1300m26 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.9
  5. 7Scone1100m13 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  6. 6Scone1000m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.1L
  7. 2Scone900m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Narromine off spell. Will be fitter second-up. Right in the mix.

ILB

Jumped at $8.00 and got going late when 4th last time at Narromine. Rough chance today.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten 1½l) over 6f at Narromine (handicap) last month; few miles on the clock with this his fifth race; form of the trainer is a plus; has to be considered if replicating the best of his form.

RSIS

Was 7/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Narromine.

8Hard As BrokJ: Ben Looker·T: Ridge Wilson959kg2 3 11 1 412: 1-1-3$6.50$2.40

Career

12: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Doomben

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1181m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 4Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61.52L
  2. 1Tamworth1000m14 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  3. 11Eagle Farm1600m29 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.6L
  4. 3Ipswich1700m8 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.2L
  5. 2Beaudesert1650m26 June 2026 · CL2 · SOFT70.2L
  6. 3Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · 3Y BM60 HCP · SOFT52.5L
  7. 4Ipswich1200m9 May 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD42.8L
  8. 5Deagon1050m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Grafton for new stable. Fit from racing, has some claims.

ILB

Started at $3.60 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last run at Grafton. Won't be far away during the run. Has strong claims.

RP

Respectable effort when fourth over 6f at Grafton (handicap) on debut for new trainer last month; managed just one success in his career to date; this looks a decent race so is passed over.

RSIS

Started 13/5 and picked up some late ground when 4th last run at Grafton. Shows good early pace. Competitive type.

9JagerschnitzelJ: Aaron Bullock·T: Cameron Crockett759kg7 10 6 3 317: 1-5-5$2.90$1.40

Career

17: 1-5-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1411m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1427m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 1-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 3Dubbo1300m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.82L
  2. 3Mudgee1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT71L
  3. 6Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  4. 10Tamworth1200m3 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT75.9L
  5. 7Scone1300m9 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT63.9L
  6. 3Scone1100m15 May 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD45.2L
  7. 2Muswellbrook1000m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  8. 2Mudgee1400m5 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD30.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Came home with a wet sail to grab third Showcase (Bm58) at Dubbo at odds of $2.70. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Managed to run 3rd last start at Dubbo. Should be going forward early. Showing great form since resuming from a spell. Jockey Aaron Bullock is in form. Suited against these.

RP

Favourite and only narrowly beaten at Dubbo over 6½f (handicap) in front of Shipshape last month; generally struggled with a record of 1-17; hard enough to fancy as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by 3/4L last run at Dubbo. Should muster plenty of early toe. Performing impressively since returning from a break. Jockey Aaron Bullock rates highly aboard. Winning potential.

10Johnny BozJ: Braith Nock·T: Ms J Clement259kg6 8 1 1 126: 5-2-1$34.00$6.00

Career

26: 5-2-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Inverell

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Barraba

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Barraba1720m19 Sept 2026 · BM50-0.58
  2. 1Collarenebri1600m12 Sept 2026 · BM50-1.2
  3. 1Mendooran1500m5 Sept 2026 · BM50-0.6
  4. 8Gulargambone1450m29 Aug 2026 · BM454.8L
  5. 6Gilgandra1100m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD43L
  6. 5Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · CL3 · SOFT53.4L
  7. 3Carinda1100m18 July 2026 · BM452.2L
  8. 1Lightning Ridge900m4 Apr 2026 · CL1-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Braith Nock current POT is 27% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -61% POT in their L100 Races

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Just got there in the (Bm50) at Barraba over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. This will ask more.

ILB

Solid win by 1/2L last run at Barraba and drawn nicely. Unbeaten last 3 attempts but will be down in distance. Needs to find a lot more.

RP

Scored narrowly in a handicap (Barraba) three weeks ago; bidding for a four-timer; interesting.

RSIS

Displayed potential when winning by 1/2L last run at Barraba and will try to take advantage of the draw. Made it 3 wins in succession.

11Blazed PrinceJ: Mikayla Weir·T: C R Clegg158kg2 13 4 1 820: 2-2-2$26.00$4.80

Career

20: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Tamworth1600m28 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.32L
  2. 1Tamworth1600m14 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD4-0.3
  3. 4Tamworth1600m25 Aug 2026 · CTRY CL2 · SOFT52.5L
  4. 13Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT68.5L
  5. 2Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  6. 5Tamworth1400m15 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53L
  7. 3Tamworth1400m6 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY90.6L
  8. 9Tamworth1400m24 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Craig Clegg striking at just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -53%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Tamworth winner two back. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious this course. Drops to shorter trip. Look for an improved effort here.

ILB

At $6.50 faded away to finish 8th last run at the track but has drawn to do little work. Might have to make up considerable ground. Could feature here.

RP

Last of eight over 1m here (handicap) two weeks ago; has winning form at this track; passed over with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and weakened under pressure when 8th last start around here but drawn by the rails. Might have to make up considerable ground. Can't leave out of your calculations.

12VeliaJ: Deon Le Roux·T: Cody Morgan1257kg3 5 4 8 814: 1-3-0$9.00$2.90

Career

14: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Armidale1400m20 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD314.27L
  2. 8Wagga1600m27 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY1010.3L
  3. 4Kembla Grange1500m15 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.7L
  4. 5Kembla Grange1300m25 July 2026 · CL1 HCP · GOOD41L
  5. 3Illawarra Grange1150m3 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.3L
  6. 4Goulburn1600m12 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.1L
  7. 9Moruya1650m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L
  8. 10Kembla Grange1600m3 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD47.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Deon Le Roux 29% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Armidale for new trainer. Not fancied.

ILB

Jumped at $4.20 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Armidale. Gets a chance against these.

RP

Behind Tamieka Warrior (Armidale) when beaten 14l on first outing for new trainer three weeks ago; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Gosford in December; a lot on her plate here and others are preferred.

RSIS

Started at 10/3 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Armidale. Winning chance at nice odds.

13Gold SmilesJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Sally Torrens1156.5kg4 1 8 4 758: 5-5-9$17.00$4.00

Career

58: 5-5-9

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    11: 1-1-2

  • Track Barraba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1450m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 3-1-3

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Tamworth1400m1 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.52L
  2. 4Dubbo1400m7 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD41L
  3. 8Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT65.2L
  4. 1Moree1300m6 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD3-1.8
  5. 4Gunnedah1400m20 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD41.7L
  6. 5Tamworth1200m17 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42L
  7. 7Dubbo1200m28 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY85.3L
  8. 3Moree1200m2 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT72.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Sally Torrens striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent out $8.50 when unable to threaten this course over this journey. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

At $8.50 ran 7th last start at this track but will appreciate the drop in weight. Likely to get back in the run. Won't find this easy.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; held when seventh of 13 11 days ago; meeting some horses in good form and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and ran 7th last run at this venue but will benefit with the weight drop. Does take a while to get into stride.

14Tamieka WarriorJ: Adam Farragher·T: Liam Ruddy455.5kg2 6 8 1 317: 1-4-2$13.00$3.70

Career

17: 1-4-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Taroom

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wandoan

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Unknown

    4: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Armidale1400m20 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD30.94L
  2. 1Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-0.1
  3. 8Newcastle1600m22 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.3L
  4. 6Scone1300m31 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
  5. 2Tamworth1200m17 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
  6. 6Scone1000m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)10.2L
  7. 4Augathella1300m6 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW6.6L
  8. 2Wandoan900m7 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW0.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Mudgee 30 Aug. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Armidale over this trip. On pacer, perfect gate. Not out of this.

ILB

Claimed late when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Armidale. In a purple patch of form this campaign. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Rough chance.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; not beaten far at Armidale last month.

RSIS

Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 3rd last run at Armidale. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break. Likely to settle back in the field.

15GloryessJ: Angel Brennan·T: Ms K Simpkins555kg7 1 9 2 1322: 4-1-1$101.00$15.00

Career

22: 4-1-1

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Quirindi

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    9: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Tamworth1400m1 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD413.39L
  2. 2Quirindi1450m4 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD30.4L
  3. 9Tamworth1200m17 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43.6L
  4. 1Warialda1700m11 Apr 2026 · BM50-2.5
  5. 7Moree1600m17 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.7L
  6. 11Gunnedah1400m7 Mar 2026 · BM50 · GOOD38.1L
  7. 6Walcha1700m6 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.5L
  8. 1Tamworth1600m31 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 81%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Stats

    Negative

    Has struggled at this distance range

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Quirindi 4 Aug. Prominent but got the staggers and surrendered quickly this track over this distance. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and gave away some ground when 13th last time at the track. Might be ridden for luck. The large claim from Angel Brennan should help. In a lot of trouble.

RP

This is his grade; suited by this C&D; last of 13 11 days ago, behind Gold Smiles.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and looked outclassed when 13th last run here. Prefers to settle towards the rear. The large claim from Angel Brennan should help.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races