Shortest win price
Boa Vista (1)
1.95
Welcome to Tamworth for the KCE Civil Contractors Mdn Plate over the 1000m dash on a soft 5 surface under fine skies. Since this 3:05 pm AEST jump has already been run and won, let us unpack how the race set up on the day. Looking at the early market order, punters zeroed in on Boa Vista heading the win market, closely followed by Magic Storm, Hangonaseq, and Big Brad sitting next in line for honours.
The form lines behind those shorter prices tell an interesting yarn. Boa Vista, prepared by Brett and Georgie Cavanough, jumped from barrier 7 with Rory Hutchings steering, holding a career record of 8 starts for 2 minor placings. Her form line featured a tidy second over 900m at Scone where she reserved midfield and picked up intently for her new stable, suggesting she would appreciate the conditions. Meanwhile, Magic Storm for Cameron Crockett came into the race with strong trial credentials, costing $50k as a youngster out of a city-winning dam, backed by Jenny Duggan stepping into the saddle from barrier 8.
Other angles from the pack showed the Cavanough stable also presented Big Brad and Hangonaseq as first starters from barriers 5 and 2 respectively, both having carded encouraging trial efforts right here at Tamworth. Hangonaseq benefited from a sweet inside draw, while Big Brad was heavily respected given the stable's local footprint. Down the order, Platinum Card resumed from a lengthy spell as a backmarker, while Smashit and Tous rounded out the speed map from their respective lanes.
Shortest win price
Boa Vista (1)
1.95
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Boa Vista · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.
Platinum Card · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Smashit · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Tous · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Career
8: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Rory Hutchings 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Scone for new trainer. Better conditioned and looks an each way chance here.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Scone. Interesting to see the tongue tie go off for the first time. Strong competitor.
RP
Not beaten far when second over 4½f at Scone (maiden) on first run for her current trainer last month; has raised her game the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce).
RSIS
Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 2L last run at Scone. Interesting gear change of tongue strap off first time. Highly respected.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Inverell
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 324 day break (> 300 days)
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Returns for second campaign (46-weeks). Trialled quietly at Tamworth. Debut ended poorly when placed but later disqualified at Inverell 22 Nov. Big watch on return.
ILB
First up after a break of 46 weeks. Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Inverell and was a debutant last start. Definite winning chance.
RP
Respectable debut effort (beaten 1½l) at Inverell at 13-2 last November; returns from a layoff; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 46 weeks. Did well to run into 3rd last run at Inverell on a heavy track and was a debutant last start. Very capable of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Rarely far away. Great run at Coffs Harbour 3 Sep. Finished it off well in the Mdn Plate in soft going at Taree. Worth a look.
ILB
On a quick back up. Handy enough when winning by 1L last start at Port Macquarie. Placed at every start this campaign.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Showed promise when winning by 1L last time at Port Macquarie. Been in the top three each start lately.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Never sighted at Scone after lengthy absence. Facing an uphill task.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and made up ground when 5th last start at Scone and drawn the rails. Expecting to settle positively. Will be tested.
RP
Finished behind Boa Vista over 4½f at Scone (maiden) when beaten 9l last month; not hard to turn elsewhere; also engaged in race 3 at Tamworth.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and advanced late into 5th last run at Scone and drawn beautifully. Should muster plenty of early pace.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (77-days). Ex Reece Goodwin in Victoria. Started $15 when safely held in Maiden company at Ballarat Synthetic over today's trip. Two runs prior okay. Check betting.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Odds of $15.00 and finished 7th last run Ballarat Synthetic. First start for a new trainer. Will not be far away.
RP
Was seventh of 12, beaten 7l, at Ballarat in July; still searching for first win after three tries; first start for current yard; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. At 14/1 finished 7th last time Ballarat Synthetic. First start for a new trainer. Worthy of strong consideration.
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). In a leading country stable and prepared with two Tamworth trials. Look to betting.
ILB
Career debut 3yo by Goodfella for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Fitter for a barrier trial here on Sept 23rd. Watch the market moves.
RP
From the same family as Catchulata, a winner over 6f; first race for the son of Goodfella; must be high on list with signs of encouragement in profile and the current trainer form is another tick.
RSIS
Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough 3yo by Goodfella having first race appearance. Ran 3rd in a trial at the track on Sept 23rd. Follow the money.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (15-weeks). Debut effort fair in spread-out finish in sticky going at Newcastle when fancied 27 Jun. Wiser for experience. Good pipe-opener trial. Look for improvement.
ILB
Backs up quickly. At $1.75 came in 4th last start at Port Macquarie but has a positive gate.
RP
Out of the money, beaten 2l, when fourth at Port Macquarie on Saturday.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Was 8/11 and ran 4th last start at Port Macquarie but drawn nicely.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-1). Has trialled well enough but the race looks deep for first outing. Drawn well. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
3yo debutant by Rothesay for trainer Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough and has a good draw. Fitter for placing in all trials. Market as guide.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old; every chance as some good aspects to his profile and the hot form of the stable is a bonus.
RSIS
Rothesay 3yo having first race appearance for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough and gets a favourable stall. Fitter for placing in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 20% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (21-weeks). Not too far off them at Scone on debut 15 May. Wiser for it. Two trials since, latest at Wyong 10 Sep. Certainly open to improvement off that performance. Can give a sight.
ILB
First run back from a break. Started $6.50 and gave ground when 4th last run at Scone and having second career run.
RP
Solid debut run at Scone at 11-2 five months ago; back from an absence here; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 11/2 and peaked in the final stages of the race when 4th last run at Scone and having second race start.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jenny Duggan 63% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 87%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 63%
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (7:3-0-1). Cost $50k. Dam a city winner. All her raced foals are winners. Shown plenty of promise in trials. Good yard. Big watch.
ILB
3yo first starter by Cool Aza Beel for trainer Cameron Crockett. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Unbeaten in all barrier trials. Watch early betting.
RP
First start for this daughter of Cool Aza Beel; from the same family as Alludere, a winner over 1m; competitive shout with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Debutant 3yo by Cool Aza Beel for Cameron Crockett. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Unbeaten in all trials.