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Tamworth (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Tamworth (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 12 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 12 OctTamworth (NSW)Change

Race 3 — TMFM 95.5 Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Tamworth threw up a country maiden handicap over 1200 metres on a soft five track under fine skies, and the result has already been decided. The win market shaped with Syllable as the shortest-priced runner, followed by Super Vitality, then Burning Ambition and Half Gage jostling for third. The race played out with early leaders Warrawee and Syllable setting the tempo, while the speed brigade of Street Empress and Half Gage tucked in on pace. It's a tale of two campaigns — some runners shaking off the cobwebs, others hunting a breakthrough.

Syllable caught plenty of eyeballs in the preview. The filly has rattled off back-to-back placings at Tamworth over this exact distance, going down by a length and a bit when second-up last time out. Rory Hutchings is riding with real spark, outperforming his career average by 33 per cent in his last 100 rides, though Holly Williams' camp is struggling at just 7 per cent strike rate lately. The form line reads brave, and the rating of 85 suggests a genuine contender — just needed that breakthrough moment. Super Vitality came in as the second choice, a three-week returner on his second campaign who trialled strongly and posted some decent efforts from early outings. The worry sits with the trainer-jockey combo's recent losing record, but Reece Jones himself has been operating 22 per cent above career average. Half Gage, meanwhile, drew barrier 12 and maps well for this track, outperforming market expectations by 7 per cent — Anna Weatherlake takes the ride on a runner now wiser for a debut at Dubbo where it ran on into the minors. That barrier 12 spot has its quirks, but the map suits.

Burning Ambition deserves a mention despite the outside gate. The resuming type has been away 22 weeks but trialled encouragingly under new trainer C K Martin and comes from the James Ponsonby camp. The jockey change to Shannen Llewellyn is a question mark — she's underperforming market by 31 per cent in recent runs — yet the new stable angle and trial form paint a different picture. The Last Romanov and jenny Duggan have clicked at 48 per cent above career average, and that combination with a hot trainer-jockey pairing offering 91 per cent above market expectation, could spring a surprise from barrier 8.

Race notes

  • CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Fine
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Syllable (5)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Burning Ambition

Offmidfield

  • 14Silver Dream

Midfield

  • 1Bosca Bullet

Offpace

  • 3Bundoran
  • 15The Last Romanov
  • 10Totally Underrated
  • 6Chasing Camilla
  • 9Super Vitality

Onpace

  • 8Half Gage
  • 7Street Empress

Leader

  • 2Warrawee
  • 5Syllable
  • Bosca Bullet · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Warrawee · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Bundoran · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

  • Syllable · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Bosca BulletJ: Kody Nestor·T: Carlos Antonio459kg81: 0-0-0$126.00$14.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Muswellbrook1000m28 Mar 2025 · Handicap · GOOD412.42L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 563 day break (> 300 days)

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (80-weeks) spell. Ex Tim McIntosh in NSW. A long way off them at Muswellbrook on debut at a mammoth price. Comes off a good trial but prefer to see.

ILB

First up after a 80 week break. Started at $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Muswellbrook but was a debutant last start. Would rather look at others.

RP

Beaten 12l on his debut (Muswellbrook, 5f) at 150-1 last March; first start for new stable; runs for only the second time in a handicap; one to note.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 80 weeks. Was 150/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Muswellbrook but having second career run. Has been gelded.

2WarraweeJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Luke A Thomas757.5kg6 2 5 7 52: 0-0-0$91.00$10.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1004m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.22L
  2. 7Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L
  3. 5Port Macquarie1008m28 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT55L
  4. 2Taree1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1L
  5. 6Scone900m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Port Macquarie at $101. Wiser for those runs and should have more to offer.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and outmuscled when 5th last time at Port Macquarie. Expecting to settle positively. Will be tested in this.

RP

Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) last month (Port Macquarie) in a maiden; is passed over.

RSIS

At 100/1 didn't finish off when 5th last run at Port Macquarie. Should be going forward early.

3BundoranJ: Ben Looker·T: Ridge Wilson957kg5 4 6 3 313: 0-4-4$14.00$3.50

Career

13: 0-4-4

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-3-3

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.41L
  2. 3Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD44L
  3. 6Muswellbrook1000m20 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD44.5L
  4. 4Tamworth1000m10 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
  5. 5Newcastle1150m23 Mar 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT64.5L
  6. 3Armidale1100m13 Mar 2026 · Maiden · SOFT51.2L
  7. 2Scone1000m24 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT50.5L
  8. 5Yarra Valley1209m29 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races

Comments

AAP

Form around the mark. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Armidale second-up. Stripping fitter, sound claims.

ILB

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Armidale. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide barrier. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Solid chance.

RP

Went down by a neck over 5½f at Armidale (handicap) last month when just behind Totally Underrated; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13.

RSIS

Right up there last start at Armidale. Has run into the money all attempts recently. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Will be competitive.

4Unalienable RightScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed60%

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this course. Has a tricky draw. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and only fair when 6th last run around here.

RSIS

At 8/1 disappointing display when 6th last start at this track.

5SyllableJ: Rory Hutchings·T: Holly Williams556.5kg10 1 2 2 23: 0-2-0$2.80$1.34

Career

3: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Tamworth

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Tamworth1200m28 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD42.07L
  2. 2Tamworth1200m14 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.5L
  3. 2Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.1L
  4. 1Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-5.2
  5. 10Muswellbrook1000m27 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT57.9L
  6. 3Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.9L
  7. 3Scone900m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Rory Hutchings 37% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Early form encouraging. No match but still very brave in defeat in Country Boosted Mdn this track when second-up. Sharper now, top chance to go one better.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 2L last start here and promising career start. Has early speed and positions nicely. Betting is the best guide.

RP

She shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

Good performance to run into 2nd beaten by 2L last time around here and showing consistent performance in races. Should muster plenty of early toe. Watch the betting.

6Chasing CamillaJ: Mikayla Weir·T: W T Wilkes1056kg6 81: 0-0-0$61.00$7.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Scone1100m25 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.18L
  2. 6Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.8L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unremarkable debut performance at Scone at wide odds 25 Sep. Much to learn and others carry more punch.

ILB

At $91.00 ran 8th last run at Scone but was on debut last time. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Will need everything to go right.

RP

Seemed to find life tough on her debut last month in Scone handicap over 5½f; runs for only the second time in a handicap; will need to step up from her racecourse introduction.

RSIS

Was 90/1 and came in 8th last start at Scone but was a debutant last start. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.

7Street EmpressJ: Grant Buckley·T: Joel Wilkes1156kg3 9 3 43: 0-0-1$23.00$4.20

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Dubbo1000m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.62L
  2. 3Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)10.5L
  3. 9Muswellbrook1000m8 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD44.1L
  4. 3Tamworth1000m13 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Grant Buckley current POT is 22% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 281%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 46%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 38% POT in L100 Runners

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $9.50 when battled home in Maiden company at Dubbo. Will be fitter second-up. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Was $9.50 and advanced late into 4th last time at Dubbo. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Facing a difficult task today.

RP

Beaten fourth of 11 last month (split Half Gage and Divine Blessing) at Dubbo in a maiden; holds leading claims as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Odds of 17/2 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Dubbo. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw.

8Half GageJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: R P Northam1255.5kg1 21: 0-1-0$7.00$2.40

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Dubbo1000m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.18L
  2. 1Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.5

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Dubbo on debut 27 Sep. Took valuable lessons. Can play a role with even luck.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at Dubbo and having second race start. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Very tidy performer.

RP

Ahead of Street Empress and Divine Blessing when runner-up (beaten just over 4l, 5f, Dubbo) at 100-30 last month; trainer is ticking along nicely; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last start at Dubbo and having second race start. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Tough competitor.

9Super VitalityJ: Reece Jones·T: T S Howlett255.5kg8 3 3 3 13: 0-0-2$4.60$1.80

Career

3: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Newcastle1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.2
  2. 3Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.7L
  3. 3Muswellbrook1000m1 May 2026 · 2Y C&G HCP · GOOD46.1L
  4. 3Scone1100m13 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.2L
  5. 8Muswellbrook1000m27 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT56.3L
  6. 2Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.4L
  7. 5Scone900m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (23-weeks). Maturity upside. Posted some decent efforts from three appearances and trialled strongly ahead of this return. Watch betting.

ILB

First run back from a break. Made some ground late when 3rd last time at Muswellbrook. Winner in a barrier trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Sept 23rd. Others preferred.

RP

Held when third beaten 6l over 5f at Muswellbrook (handicap) in May; returns from a break today; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Resuming. Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by over 6L last time at Muswellbrook. Success in a trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Sept 23rd.

10Totally UnderratedJ: Deon Le Roux·T: Zach Hatch355.5kg7 4 5 10 213: 0-3-2$9.00$2.70

Career

13: 0-3-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Armidale1100m20 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD30.35L
  2. 10Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD411.9L
  3. 5Murwillumbah1100m29 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
  4. 4Casino1400m18 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY89.7L
  5. 7Gold Coast1200m2 Aug 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT56.7L
  6. 2Grafton1175m17 July 2025 · BIG MDN · GOOD42.4L
  7. 5Murwillumbah1200m26 June 2025 · MDN HCP · SOFT74.3L
  8. 1Gold Coast1000m17 June 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.3

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Deon Le Roux 29% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the Country Boosted Mdn at Armidale for new stable. Strips fitter. Can show early speed. Place preferred option.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last time at Armidale. Likely to be well placed early. Expecting a solid performance.

RP

Not beaten far over 5½f at Armidale (handicap) with Bundoran just behind on debut outing for new trainer last month; has raised her game the last twice but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 13.

RSIS

Right in the mix last run at Armidale. Should race on the pace. Good chance and definitely has claims.

11Burning AmbitionJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: C K Martin655kg2 2 8 7 213: 0-3-0$6.00$2.15

Career

13: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Quirindi

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1720m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 0-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
  2. 7Wyong1600m7 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43.1L
  3. 8Wellington1700m10 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD46.1L
  4. 2Grafton1720m30 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.2L
  5. 2Moree1400m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
  6. 8Rosehill1500m25 Feb 2026 · Maiden · GOOD49L
  7. 7Sapphire Coast1600m30 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD44.6L
  8. 2Wagga1675m18 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (22-weeks). Ex James Ponsonby. Trained here now. Trial was encouraging. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Jumped at $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Wyong and down in distance. First race for a new trainer. Questions at this level.

RP

Out of the frame (beaten 3l in seventh) at Wyong over 1m (handicap) five months ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13 and form has been a bit up and down of late; returns from an absence here; runs for a new yard here; facing a testing assignment and not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started 20/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Wyong and back in trip. Racing for a new trainer.

12Divine BlessingScratched12––––

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gulargambone

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Dubbo1000m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD48.68L
  2. 2Gulargambone1100m29 Aug 2026 · MDN0.2L
  3. 4Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  4. 6Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
  5. 2Scone900m30 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Dubbo at second appearance following market easing. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Odds of $16.00 and average at best when 8th last start at Dubbo. Might be ridden for luck.

RP

Found life tough when 9l back in eighth at Dubbo 15 days ago in a maiden; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

At 15/1 unimpressive effort when 8th last start at Dubbo. Likely to get back in the run.

13Echo Of A WhisperScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (78-days). Form lacks depth but latest was encouraging. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

First up. Jumped at $19.00 and closed off nicely when 4th last time at Muswellbrook.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 18/1 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Muswellbrook.

14Silver DreamJ: Braith Nock·T: Lou Mary155kg5 10 2 2 83: 0-0-0$15.00$3.70

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Narromine1300m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD34.96L
  2. 2Scone1100m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  3. 2Muswellbrook1000m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.7L
  4. 10Wyong1200m28 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT511.1L
  5. 5Tamworth1000m23 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD43.1L
  6. 2Scone900m30 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Narromine. Comes back in trip a touch. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

At $1.95 weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Narromine but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Braith Nock consistently performs well for this stable. Should go very close.

RP

Failed to reward backers (10-11) when eighth over 6½f at Narromine (handicap) last month; could be in the mix as she was strong in the market last time.

RSIS

Started 19/20 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Narromine but has a good draw. Jockey Braith Nock and trainer Lou Mary are a pair that can't be ignored. Solid claims.

15The Last RomanovJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Troy O'Neile855kg5 3 4 5 57: 0-0-1$21.00$4.00

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Tamworth1400m28 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.06L
  2. 5Tamworth1400m14 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
  3. 4Tamworth1200m25 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT54.2L
  4. 3Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY93.8L
  5. 5Gunnedah1000m20 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  6. 2Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1L
  7. 10Ararat1100m25 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD37.5L
  8. 6Caulfield1000m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 63%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Off pace, no response and trudged home this course. Drops to shorter trip. Hard fit, looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and faded away to finish 5th last run at this track but suited by the weight drop. Has shown early pace in races to date. Others are better.

RP

Finished fifth, beaten 12l, here over 7f (maiden) last month; seven-race maiden but has managed to finish third.

RSIS

Odds of 25/1 and was well beaten when 5th last run at this venue but will appreciate the drop in weight. Has plenty of early pace.

16BigbetterbestScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Stats

    Negative

    Tends to struggle at this track

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Long-standing maiden who seldom threatens.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Muswellbrook.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Muswellbrook.

17SmashitScratched1––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Scone900m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.29L
  2. 11Tamworth1000m14 Oct 2024 · Maiden · SOFT712.13L
  3. 9Scone900m27 Sept 2024 · Maiden · HEAVY911.15L

Insights

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Unfancied in all runs and performed accordingly. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Made up ground when 5th last run at Scone and drawn beautifully. Going over extra ground.

RP

Out of the frame when fifth at Scone two weeks ago in a maiden; also engaged in race 4 at Tamworth.

RSIS

Pushed past some when 5th last run at Scone and drawn well. Racing over extra ground.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
  • Mon 28 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races