Shortest win price
Syllable (5)
2.80
Tamworth threw up a country maiden handicap over 1200 metres on a soft five track under fine skies, and the result has already been decided. The win market shaped with Syllable as the shortest-priced runner, followed by Super Vitality, then Burning Ambition and Half Gage jostling for third. The race played out with early leaders Warrawee and Syllable setting the tempo, while the speed brigade of Street Empress and Half Gage tucked in on pace. It's a tale of two campaigns — some runners shaking off the cobwebs, others hunting a breakthrough.
Syllable caught plenty of eyeballs in the preview. The filly has rattled off back-to-back placings at Tamworth over this exact distance, going down by a length and a bit when second-up last time out. Rory Hutchings is riding with real spark, outperforming his career average by 33 per cent in his last 100 rides, though Holly Williams' camp is struggling at just 7 per cent strike rate lately. The form line reads brave, and the rating of 85 suggests a genuine contender — just needed that breakthrough moment. Super Vitality came in as the second choice, a three-week returner on his second campaign who trialled strongly and posted some decent efforts from early outings. The worry sits with the trainer-jockey combo's recent losing record, but Reece Jones himself has been operating 22 per cent above career average. Half Gage, meanwhile, drew barrier 12 and maps well for this track, outperforming market expectations by 7 per cent — Anna Weatherlake takes the ride on a runner now wiser for a debut at Dubbo where it ran on into the minors. That barrier 12 spot has its quirks, but the map suits.
Burning Ambition deserves a mention despite the outside gate. The resuming type has been away 22 weeks but trialled encouragingly under new trainer C K Martin and comes from the James Ponsonby camp. The jockey change to Shannen Llewellyn is a question mark — she's underperforming market by 31 per cent in recent runs — yet the new stable angle and trial form paint a different picture. The Last Romanov and jenny Duggan have clicked at 48 per cent above career average, and that combination with a hot trainer-jockey pairing offering 91 per cent above market expectation, could spring a surprise from barrier 8.
Shortest win price
Syllable (5)
2.80
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Bosca Bullet · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Warrawee · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Bundoran · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Syllable · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 563 day break (> 300 days)
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming after a (80-weeks) spell. Ex Tim McIntosh in NSW. A long way off them at Muswellbrook on debut at a mammoth price. Comes off a good trial but prefer to see.
ILB
First up after a 80 week break. Started at $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Muswellbrook but was a debutant last start. Would rather look at others.
RP
Beaten 12l on his debut (Muswellbrook, 5f) at 150-1 last March; first start for new stable; runs for only the second time in a handicap; one to note.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 80 weeks. Was 150/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Muswellbrook but having second career run. Has been gelded.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
AAP
Went home just tamely at Port Macquarie at $101. Wiser for those runs and should have more to offer.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and outmuscled when 5th last time at Port Macquarie. Expecting to settle positively. Will be tested in this.
RP
Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) last month (Port Macquarie) in a maiden; is passed over.
RSIS
At 100/1 didn't finish off when 5th last run at Port Macquarie. Should be going forward early.
Career
13: 0-4-4
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
9: 0-3-3
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
AAP
Form around the mark. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Armidale second-up. Stripping fitter, sound claims.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last start at Armidale. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide barrier. Amongst the placegetters at every start this preparation. Solid chance.
RP
Went down by a neck over 5½f at Armidale (handicap) last month when just behind Totally Underrated; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13.
RSIS
Right up there last start at Armidale. Has run into the money all attempts recently. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Will be competitive.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this course. Has a tricky draw. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Started at $9.00 and only fair when 6th last run around here.
RSIS
At 8/1 disappointing display when 6th last start at this track.
Career
3: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-2-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Key Rider
Positive
Rory Hutchings 37% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Early form encouraging. No match but still very brave in defeat in Country Boosted Mdn this track when second-up. Sharper now, top chance to go one better.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by 2L last start here and promising career start. Has early speed and positions nicely. Betting is the best guide.
RP
She shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 2nd beaten by 2L last time around here and showing consistent performance in races. Should muster plenty of early toe. Watch the betting.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unremarkable debut performance at Scone at wide odds 25 Sep. Much to learn and others carry more punch.
ILB
At $91.00 ran 8th last run at Scone but was on debut last time. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Will need everything to go right.
RP
Seemed to find life tough on her debut last month in Scone handicap over 5½f; runs for only the second time in a handicap; will need to step up from her racecourse introduction.
RSIS
Was 90/1 and came in 8th last start at Scone but was a debutant last start. Interesting to see the tongue strap go on for the first time.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Grant Buckley current POT is 22% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 281%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 46%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 38% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $9.50 when battled home in Maiden company at Dubbo. Will be fitter second-up. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Was $9.50 and advanced late into 4th last time at Dubbo. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Beaten fourth of 11 last month (split Half Gage and Divine Blessing) at Dubbo in a maiden; holds leading claims as has bits and pieces of decent form.
RSIS
Odds of 17/2 and ran past a few when 4th last run at Dubbo. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No match but ran on for the minors at Dubbo on debut 27 Sep. Took valuable lessons. Can play a role with even luck.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 2nd last time at Dubbo and having second race start. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Very tidy performer.
RP
Ahead of Street Empress and Divine Blessing when runner-up (beaten just over 4l, 5f, Dubbo) at 100-30 last month; trainer is ticking along nicely; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last start at Dubbo and having second race start. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Tough competitor.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (23-weeks). Maturity upside. Posted some decent efforts from three appearances and trialled strongly ahead of this return. Watch betting.
ILB
First run back from a break. Made some ground late when 3rd last time at Muswellbrook. Winner in a barrier trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Sept 23rd. Others preferred.
RP
Held when third beaten 6l over 5f at Muswellbrook (handicap) in May; returns from a break today; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Resuming. Caught the eye when 3rd beaten by over 6L last time at Muswellbrook. Success in a trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Sept 23rd.
Career
13: 0-3-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Deon Le Roux 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the Country Boosted Mdn at Armidale for new stable. Strips fitter. Can show early speed. Place preferred option.
ILB
Narrowly beaten last time at Armidale. Likely to be well placed early. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Not beaten far over 5½f at Armidale (handicap) with Bundoran just behind on debut outing for new trainer last month; has raised her game the last twice but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 13.
RSIS
Right in the mix last run at Armidale. Should race on the pace. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Career
13: 0-3-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1720m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Ex James Ponsonby. Trained here now. Trial was encouraging. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Jumped at $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Wyong and down in distance. First race for a new trainer. Questions at this level.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3l in seventh) at Wyong over 1m (handicap) five months ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13 and form has been a bit up and down of late; returns from an absence here; runs for a new yard here; facing a testing assignment and not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Back after a break. Started 20/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Wyong and back in trip. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Gulargambone
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Dubbo at second appearance following market easing. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and average at best when 8th last start at Dubbo. Might be ridden for luck.
RP
Found life tough when 9l back in eighth at Dubbo 15 days ago in a maiden; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
At 15/1 unimpressive effort when 8th last start at Dubbo. Likely to get back in the run.
Rating · IRD
20
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Let-up (78-days). Form lacks depth but latest was encouraging. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
First up. Jumped at $19.00 and closed off nicely when 4th last time at Muswellbrook.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started 18/1 and moved through the field into 4th last time at Muswellbrook.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Narromine. Comes back in trip a touch. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
At $1.95 weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Narromine but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Braith Nock consistently performs well for this stable. Should go very close.
RP
Failed to reward backers (10-11) when eighth over 6½f at Narromine (handicap) last month; could be in the mix as she was strong in the market last time.
RSIS
Started 19/20 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at Narromine but has a good draw. Jockey Braith Nock and trainer Lou Mary are a pair that can't be ignored. Solid claims.
Career
7: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 91%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jenny Duggan in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 63%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Off pace, no response and trudged home this course. Drops to shorter trip. Hard fit, looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Jumped at $26.00 and faded away to finish 5th last run at this track but suited by the weight drop. Has shown early pace in races to date. Others are better.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten 12l, here over 7f (maiden) last month; seven-race maiden but has managed to finish third.
RSIS
Odds of 25/1 and was well beaten when 5th last run at this venue but will appreciate the drop in weight. Has plenty of early pace.
Rating · IRD
20
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Long-standing maiden who seldom threatens.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Muswellbrook.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Muswellbrook.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Unfancied in all runs and performed accordingly. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Made up ground when 5th last run at Scone and drawn beautifully. Going over extra ground.
RP
Out of the frame when fifth at Scone two weeks ago in a maiden; also engaged in race 4 at Tamworth.
RSIS
Pushed past some when 5th last run at Scone and drawn well. Racing over extra ground.