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Townsville (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Townsville (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 25 OctTownsville (QLD)Change

Race 9 — Aura Property Qld Plate (C5) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

Townsville's Class 5 sprint over 1200 metres shapes up as a genuine affair under overcast skies on a soft track. The win market is cleanly ordered, with Cifonelli the shortest price, followed by Khumbila, Keep Safe and Kickoff. It's the sort of race where form and track nous tell the story — a few runners have logged serious mileage at this venue, and that often counts for plenty over a mile on ground like this.

Cifonelli looks the obvious play here. The mare won last time out over 1000 metres at Townsville on good ground, saluting by just over half a length, and that victory came off a determined effort trained by Georgie Holt with jockey Aidan Holt aboard. The form reads smartly: fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, a four-win record from 18 career starts, and useful form over this course. Backing up quickly from an 850-metre barrier trial, Cifonelli sits as a backmarker in the speedMap, which plays to strength — the fast-finishing profile is the angle here. Kickoff, meanwhile, makes appeal as the leader who's posted sound stats at Townsville over 1200 metres. Two runs here at the distance show three placings, and Anthony Allen's recent performance is running 25 per cent better than career average. The trainer has a modest strike rate overall, but Kickoff's course record and Anthony Allen's hot hand make this one a legitimate roughie.

The speedMap shows Cifonelli as the sole backmarker while Kickoff leads the way, with onpace runners Indefinite and Sand 'N' Power positioned to chase. Khumbila, though second favourite and freshened, has made limited headway at Townsville as a drifter and rates as a one for multiples. Mclovin from barrier one sits midfield and has a trainer-jockey combo outperforming expectations by 42 per cent, a narrative worth following in place bets. Cifonelli's blend of track form, recent victory and explosive finishing sectionals makes her the opinion for the win, though Kickoff's course knowledge and jockey's upswing offer genuine place appeal in what should be a competitive 1200-metre test.

Race notes

  • 3UP CL5-SW,3yo+,CL5-SW,Class 5
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Cifonelli (1)

1.85

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Cifonelli

Offmidfield

  • 9Diamond Lucy

Midfield

  • 2Mclovin
  • 13Khabalov

Offpace

  • 6Khumbila
  • 12Keep Safe
  • 7Russian Summer

Onpace

  • 10Indefinite
  • 8Sand 'N' Power

Leader

  • 15Kickoff
  • Cifonelli · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Mclovin · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Khumbila · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Russian Summer · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1CifonelliJ: Aidan Holt·T: Georgie Holt560kg1 3 6 2 118: 5-2-3$1.85$1.10

Career

18: 5-2-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 5-1-3

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Townsville1000m18 Oct 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.53
  2. 2Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.8L
  3. 6Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.2L
  4. 3Townsville1400m14 July 2026 · OPEN · GOOD40.9L
  5. 1Townsville1200m5 July 2026 · CL5 · GOOD4-1.3
  6. 2Townsville1000m22 June 2026 · CL4 · GOOD40.1L
  7. 1Townsville1200m25 May 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-1.2
  8. 2Townsville1000m8 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT50.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Determined effort to secure victory this course. Useful form this track. Major player here.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Ran on hard when winning last start at this track and solid performer at this trip in the past. Can go through the gears. Expected to be competitive.

RP

A winner over this C&D; narrow success in a handicap (dropped back to 5f) a week ago; leading claims.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at this track and hard to fault at the trip. Will go close here.

2MclovinJ: Nathan Thomas·T: Sharlee Hoffman160kg1 6 9 3 223: 5-1-1$23.00$3.80

Career

23: 5-1-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Innisfail1200m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD40.82L
  2. 3Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · Open3.98L
  3. 9Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM659.39L
  4. 6Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.33L
  5. 1Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM65-1.6
  6. 1Oak Park1200m4 July 2026 · CL4-0.4
  7. 1Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM60-2.7
  8. 6Atherton1400m13 June 2026 · BM6014.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in the Open Hcp at Innisfail over this distance. Finds a harder setup.

ILB

On a short back up. Tidy run when 2nd last start at Innisfail and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Displays good tactical speed. Tough ask.

RP

Missed out by less than a length at Innisfail last Saturday in a handicap; career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 5-23); entitled to respect.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Did well when 2nd last run at Innisfail and drawn nicely. Should come to hand quickly. On an upward trajectory in recent races.

3SingularScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Led, dug deep into his reserves but shaded late over 1250m in the (Bm62) at Cairns. Tougher alley. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Applied plenty of pressure when 2nd last run at Cairns but competing at a higher class.

RSIS

Couldn't keep the pace going when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at Cairns but facing a stronger group of contenders.

4ChartwellScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when made limited headway this track. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

At $4.60 ran 5th last start at this venue.

RSIS

Started 7/2 and ran 5th last start at this track.

5Ellis BeachScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Started $6 when safely held in Benchmark 65 company this course. Switching to 1200m. Lost some spark lately but this not beyond him.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $6.00 and below standard effort when 9th last start around here but drawn nicely.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 5/1 and average performance when 9th last run around here but gets a favourable draw.

6KhumbilaJ: Lacey Morrison·T: William Kenning858.5kg7 6 3 4 232: 4-6-6$5.00$1.60

Career

32: 4-6-6

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mackay

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    18: 4-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Townsville850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.7L
  2. 4Townsville1000m18 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT53.65L
  3. 3Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT51.2L
  4. 6Mackay1200m25 July 2026 · BM75 · GOOD45.1L
  5. 7Mackay1300m17 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD43.12L
  6. 3Townsville1200m5 July 2026 · CL5 · GOOD42.1L
  7. 3Townsville1000m22 June 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.9L
  8. 1Townsville1200m31 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 37 days

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Off pace, made limited headway this venue as a market drifter. Since trialled at Townsville 13 Oct. One for multiples.

ILB

Started $17.00 and hit the line well when 4th last start here. Very competitive this campaign. Lacey Morrison is a bonus. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Has won over C&D; form has an uneven look to it; not disgraced when fourth of ten here over 5f (handicap) 37 days ago; a lot on his plate here and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time around here. Showing great form of late. Good to see jockey Lacey Morrison is jumping on. Respect the betting.

7Russian SummerJ: Tahlia Fenlon·T: S J Royes958.5kg5 7 5 5 444: 4-8-7$41.00$4.80

Career

44: 4-8-7

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1204m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1218m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-3-2

  • Going Synthetic

    8: 1-4-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.62L
  2. 5Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD2.71L
  3. 5Townsville1000m18 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT54.55L
  4. 7Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT53.8L
  5. 5Cairns1250m12 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY84.9L
  6. 4Townsville1200m3 Feb 2026 · BM70 · GOOD44.5L
  7. 1Townsville1200m16 Jan 2026 · CL3 · SOFT6-0.1
  8. 2Cairns1250m20 Dec 2025 · BM60 · SOFT50.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Steven Royes striking at just 9%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tahlia Fenlon 29% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 46%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 51% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Tahlia Fenlon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 29%

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Handily placed and worked home soundly at Cairns. Keener on others.

ILB

Started $17.00 and peaked on the run when 4th last run at Cairns but facing a stronger group of contenders. Very unlikely to shake these.

RP

Creditable fourth, beaten 2½l, of ten when behind the reopposing Diamond Lucy at Cairns in a handicap 14 days ago; a winner over this C&D; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Townsville in January; others more persuasive as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

At 16/1 gave ground when 4th last run at Cairns but facing stiffer opposition.

8Sand 'N' PowerJ: Samantha Pointon·T: Gareth Smith1058.5kg3 7 2 4 319: 4-3-4$17.00$3.50

Career

19: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-3

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    3: 2-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1540m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-2-2

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 3-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 3Townsville850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.9L
  2. 4Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.9L
  3. 2Townsville850m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.4L
  4. 7Townsville1400m30 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.62L
  5. 3Townsville1200m14 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.49L
  6. 2Townsville1200m31 Mar 2026 · BM75 · GOOD43.03L
  7. 1Cairns1500m16 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.31
  8. 2Townsville1609m21 Oct 2025 · BM65 · GOOD40.04L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (25-weeks). Placed first-up last campaign while trialling 3 times ahead of return. On pacer. Remote place hope at best fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and amongst the placegetters when 2nd first up last preparation here. Samantha Pointon takes a large claim. Good potential.

RP

Last of seven over 7f here (handicap) six months ago; successful four times from 19 career runs; has had some time off; he should go close.

RSIS

Resuming and honest race when 2nd resuming last preparation at the track. Samantha Pointon provides some weight relief. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

9Diamond LucyJ: Chris Whiteley·T: Troy Clive758kg1 4 1 7 137: 5-4-3$34.00$4.40

Career

37: 5-4-3

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Home Hill

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 4-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.51
  2. 7Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD42.94L
  3. 1Bowen1200m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.74
  4. 4Townsville1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55 · SOFT52.3L
  5. 1Bowen1280m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 55-3.6
  6. 5Townsville1000m1 Aug 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.7L
  7. 4Cairns1250m23 July 2026 · BM55 · SOFT70.7L
  8. 1Townsville1200m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.6

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Rearward in transit then rattled home late to prevail final stages at Cairns. This will test her credentials.

ILB

Flew home to win last time at Cairns but facing a stronger class. Going up in weight. Needs to improve.

RP

Flourishing at present (last six form figures of 514171); a winner over C&D; gained narrow success in a handicap (Cairns) two weeks ago; despite that Cairns success, others more likely.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last time at Cairns but up against stronger rivals. Has to carry more weight this time.

10IndefiniteJ: Tasha Chambers·T: Ms S Royes257kg2 1 2 5 422: 3-4-1$21.00$3.80

Career

22: 3-4-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Cairns

    7: 1-3-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Townsville

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1612m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-2-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Cairns1450m11 Oct 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.45L
  2. 5Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP3.67L
  3. 2Cairns1450m28 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD42.3L
  4. 1Cairns1400m23 July 2026 · CL2 · SOFT7-0.2
  5. 2Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM602.7L
  6. 6Townsville1000m6 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD33.8L
  7. 2Cairns1400m2 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD42.4L
  8. 5Townsville1200m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.8L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Bodine Bailey in QLD. Only picked off late after showing pace at Cairns. Drawn favourably and under less weight. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Started $3.50 and came in 4th last time at Cairns but will try to take advantage of the draw. First appearance for a new trainer. Should be going forward early. Can win this.

RP

Respectable fourth in a handicap at Cairns 14 days ago; has winning C&D form to his name; starts out for new trainer; this looks a fair heat so others are preferred.

RSIS

Was 5/2 and came in 4th last run at Cairns but has a good draw. Displays good tactical pace. First appearance for a new trainer. Must be considered here.

11Insta WorthyScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Delivered a steely performance to score (Bm65) at Gordonvale. Looks up against it.

ILB

Got the prize when winning by 1 1/2L last time at Gordonvale and showing improvement in recent outings. Exhibiting good form this preparation but challenged by more formidable competitors.

RSIS

Solid win by 1 1/2L last time at Gordonvale and form has been improving over recent runs. Performing honestly since resuming from a break but facing formidable rivals.

12Keep SafeJ: Julie Busuttin·T: Graham R Hughes357kg9 5 1 6 526: 3-2-3$8.50$2.40

Career

26: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    6: 1-1-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    6: 0-0-1

  • Track Doomben

    9: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    17: 3-2-1

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 3-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Ipswich1100m15 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD41.59L
  2. 6Doomben1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L
  3. 1Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.6
  4. 5Doomben1200m3 June 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  5. 9Sunshine Coast1200m10 May 2026 · CL3 · SOFT54.6L
  6. 5Doomben1200m22 Apr 2026 · BM68 · GOOD41.7L
  7. 4Ipswich1100m6 Apr 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.47L
  8. 5Eagle Farm1200m8 Nov 2025 · BM70 · GOOD32.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Julie Busuttin current POT is 14% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 49% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex R L Heathcote. Trained here now. Long time since last saluted. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ipswich. Not fancied.

ILB

Started at $4.80 and ran 5th last start at Ipswich. Change in trainer. The large claim from Julie Busuttin helps. Good chance at a nice price.

RP

Creditable fifth last week at Ipswich in a handicap; first start for new yard; this line-up contains some strong opposition so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and ran 5th last run at Ipswich. Coming to a new trainer. The large claim from Julie Busuttin helps. Will go close.

13KhabalovJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: S Massingham457kg7 6 7 11 718: 3-1-2$12.00$2.90

Career

18: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Oak Park

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cairns1450m28 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD49.4L
  2. 11Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD47.1L
  3. 7Cairns1250m23 July 2026 · HCP · SOFT72.7L
  4. 6Oak Park1000m3 July 2026 · 3yo+12.7L
  5. 7Cairns1250m25 Nov 2025 · BM70 · GOOD45.8L
  6. 1Cairns1250m16 Nov 2025 · CL5 · GOOD4-0.41
  7. 9Cairns950m2 Nov 2025 · CL2 · GOOD42.3L
  8. 6Bendigo1600m30 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (58-days). Ex O Chillemi in QLD. Patchy career. Unable to make an impression at Cairns.

ILB

Let up. Odds of $13.00 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Cairns but goes down in weight. Capable type.

RP

Behind Indefinite over 7f at Cairns (handicap) when last of seven two months ago; he can be competitive at this level; runs for a new trainer here; more than capable if on song so he isn't without hope.

RSIS

Freshened up. Was 12/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Cairns but suited by the weight drop. Definite claims.

14FabuleanScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Midfield, overhauled them for a strong win this course over today's trip. Warrants attention.

ILB

On a quick back up. Just missed last start at Mackay but up against a higher level of opposition. Has run into the money on multiple occasions this preparation.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Just missed last run at Mackay but facing a stronger class. Running with confidence since returning from a break.

15KickoffJ: Anthony Allen·T: S J Royes656.5kg1 4 1 3 326: 4-2-2$11.00$2.75

Career

26: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Port Macquarie

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-2

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 3-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.89L
  2. 3Townsville1200m18 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SOFT50.1L
  3. 1Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD4-0.4
  4. 4Townsville1000m30 Aug 2026 · BM55 · SOFT50.5L
  5. 1Armidale1300m18 Jan 2026 · CL2 · SOFT6-1
  6. 1Port Macquarie1208m1 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-4.3
  7. 8Taree1300m23 Dec 2025 · CL1 · GOOD46.1L
  8. 5Orange1400m21 Nov 2025 · CL1 · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Anthony Allen 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 46%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 51% Profit on Turnover

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors (Bm65) this venue over this distance. Sound stats this venue. Can challenge again.

ILB

Honest race when 3rd last run around here. Shows good early pace. Putting up notable efforts this preparation. Good chance in this.

RP

String of consistent efforts of late; has won at this track; couldn't quite get the job done when 9-4 third in a handicap three weeks ago.

RSIS

Finished 3rd last start at this track. Likely to be well placed early. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a break. Definite contender.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races