Shortest win price
Blazing Future (2)
2.35
Townsville hosts a maiden plate over the mile on a soft track this afternoon, with Blazing Future shortest in the market ahead of Auzangate and In The Hole Tiger. The field shapes as a genuine affair across soft going, with a spread of runners likely to be competitive. Auzangate maps as the lone leader and ran a strong second here over this distance last start on Good 4 going, beaten just over a length. That effort suggests the horse is trending the right way and can dictate terms from the front if conditions suit. Blazing Future, meanwhile, is backing up quickly under new trainer Belynda Kliese after two tidy runs that have caught plenty of attention. The gelding ran a head-bobber second at this track over 1400 metres and has ridden the speed in both outings—a recipe that often works when there's tempo in a race.
Blazing Future's form line carries real substance. Rating 100 and winning 26 per cent of the place of totalisator with jockey Chris Whiteley, the pair have built genuine momentum. The comment notes two good runs under the new trainer, and that head-bobber loss suggests the horse is knocking on the door. Auzangate, rated 77, has shown improvement off a fourth-up run and carries a hot jockey-trainer combo with Ryan Wiggins and D K Amos winning 30 per cent of the POT in their last 100 races. If Auzangate can lead and get favourable splits, that short-priced profile looks inviting. In The Hole Tiger rounds out the top three and gets Anthony Allen, whose recent form shows the rider outperforming market expectation by 30 per cent, though the gelding hasn't fired a win yet and is rated 76.
Nobel Peace warrants a closer look further down. On a quick back-up after a fourth-place finish over 1400 metres two weeks ago, the four-year-old steps out for only the second time and has shown benefit from the experience. Rated 82 and with Ashley Butler riding, the horse maps well at this track and outperforms market expectations by 9 per cent from its lane. The longer trip should suit, and with only one run under the belt previously, there's genuine upside if the tempo runs genuine. The maiden plate profile suggests a race decided by pace setup and runner fitness—Blazing Future and Auzangate look the logical ammunition, though Nobel Peace offers value for punters keen to dig deeper.
Shortest win price
Blazing Future (2)
2.35
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Firststart
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Auzangate · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Blazing Future · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Farnanheit · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Gotcha Moment · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Bowen
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
A vastly improved performance when the Invader 4year-old ran into the minors this course over this trip. Handy last start and can measure up.
ILB
Competed in a tight contest last time around here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Long shot.
RP
Ran a good race in defeat when a close runner-up in a handicap three weeks ago upped to this distance; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time).
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last start here. Should be going forward early.
Career
9: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
5: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Backing up quickly. Two good runs under new trainer. Rode the speed and went down in head-bobber this track. Has a big say here.
ILB
On a short back up. Close to a win last run here. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Good winning chance.
RP
Improved form the last twice; close up runner-up over 7f here (maiden) with three of these in behind a week ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so easy to oppose.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was agonizingly close last run here. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Should go very close.
Career
11: 0-3-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Jumped at $16.00 and lacked competitiveness when 6th last time around here but stepping up in trip. Could feature here.
RP
Split Blazing Future (fourth) and Powered Right Up (seventh) three weeks ago posting a respectable effort to finish sixth in a handicap; generally struggled of late; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others more likely.
RSIS
Started at 15/1 and not competitive when 6th last start around here but rising in trip. Betting is the best guide.
Career
17: 0-2-4
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 0-2-4
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 83%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $31 when safely held in Benchmark 65 company at Bowen. Switching to 1609m. Rough place prospect only.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and was nothing special when 9th last run at Bowen but gets a favourable alley. Up in weight. Genuine claims.
RP
Finished last of nine two weeks ago at Bowen in a handicap; passed over as hits the crossbar all too often.
RSIS
Odds of 16/1 and fairly underwhelming when 9th last run at Bowen but has a positive draw. Up in weight. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.
Career
7: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Anthony Allen 30% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Backing up quickly. Sent out $7 when never got into the race this venue. Super fit from racing, only for exotics.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Odds of $7.00 and ran 7th last start around here. Peak required to upset this field.
RP
Split a number of these rivals over 7f here (maiden) when beaten 6l last week; could be in the mix given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started 6/1 and came in 7th last start here.
Career
15: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
7: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Troy Clive striking at just 5%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Had plenty of chances. Finished well held this track. Well into preparation now, place preferred option.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Odds of $31.00 and faded to finish 8th last time at this venue. Has struggled so far this campaign. Large claim helps. Needs a lot of luck in this race.
RP
Behind several of these over 7f here (maiden) when beaten 7l dropped back in distance last week; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 30/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last run at the track. Struggling lately. Samantha Pointon takes a large claim.
Career
11: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Gladstone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7.5kg more than LS
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back. Has his first look at 1609m here. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last start here but rising in trip. Still in maiden grade after 11 runs. Not threatening these.
RP
Finished seventh beaten just under 3l here over 6f (handicap) 21 days ago; stamina to prove at this trip so has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time around here but stepping up in trip. A 11 start maiden. The large claim from Julie Busuttin helps.
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Offpace
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Honest performer. Refused to shirk task in Mdn this venue over today's trip. Solid efforts here. Can challenge again.
ILB
Just missed last run here.
RSIS
Threw down a serious challenge last time at this venue.
Career
13: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
5: 0-1-0
Track Townsville
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Peta Edwards current POT is 55% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Sound claims fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up after a break. Started at $9.50 and tailed off when 4th last run at Richmond but has drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run. Hard to recommend with any confidence.
RP
Form has been a bit up and down of late; finished last of four at Richmond over 5f (maiden) four months ago; returns from a break here.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 17/2 and tailed off when 4th last start at Richmond but racing over a longer distance. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mareeba
1: 0-0-1
Track Cairns
2: 0-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 950m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $2.40 when unable to threaten at Gordonvale. Has her first look at 1609m here. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started $7.00 and came in 5th last start at Gordonvale but going up in distance. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; not beaten that far at Gordonvale over 5½f (maiden) 22 days ago; must be high on list as a number of her rivals have questions to answer and she's shown signs of promise here and there.
RSIS
Started 6/1 and came in 5th last run at Gordonvale but going over extra ground.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Stepping out for only the second time after battling home this course when drifting in the betting 18 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Longer trip may help. Warrants attention.
ILB
On a short turnaround. At $11.00 ran on into 4th last run here and was on debut last time. Slim chance.
RP
Finished fourth last Sunday on his debut albeit only beaten just under 5l (over 7f here); difficult to oppose with a bit more luck as excuses last time (tightened for room).
RSIS
On a quick back up. Was 10/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at this venue and having second career run.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eidsvold
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Offered little to catch the eye on debut at Eidsvold 3 Oct. Has work to do and others more fancied here.
ILB
At $5.50 finished 5th last start at Eidsvold. Has the talent to rebound quickly and fitter for debut run. Gets a chance against these.
RP
Held on her debut over 6½f at Eidsvold at 13-2 22 days ago; the Kevin Miller operation is running hot currently; looks likely to go well.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and ran 5th last run at Eidsvold. May see an upturn in form and having second race start. Definite contender.