Shortest win price
Show The Way (5)
3.40
Northam hosts a competitive Class 5 handicap over 1400 metres at 8:37 pm AEDT, with the track in Good 4 condition under fine weather. The win market is led by Queen Aria from William Pike's yard, followed by Show The Way, then Yougivemechills. This is a race where form and fitness narratives tell competing stories: two recent Northam winners at this exact trip against genuinely progressive types chasing a breakthrough.
Show The Way brings the strongest credentials on raw form, having won her last two starts at Northam over 1400 and 1300 metres, most recently letting down strongly from midfield to take out a Class 5 contest in Good conditions. Rated 93 by the IRD, she holds real value in the market despite that pair of wins. The barrier draw at nine is favourable given her midfield speed map, and she shapes as the form horse with proven winning consistency at this track. Yougivemechills sits second in the market and third on form, returning to racing second-up after recent outings on the softer tracks at Ascot and Belmont. The form comment suggests she's found a few lengths through fitness and is ready to peak here, though her recent rides have been tamely ridden. Queen Aria leads the market at the top weight despite limited recent run-outs; she's a genuine improver second-up over a trip that suits, but hasn't yet proven on firm going.
Random Rewards deserves a chapter here—drawn ideally at barrier one with a hot jockey-trainer combination outperforming market expectations by 41 per cent, and while his recent Belmont effort saw him settled back without much luck over this distance, a four-week freshen-up paired with that inside draw is a telling angle. Spangledstar rounds out the value plays: the Chester Cooper-Brett Drury combination is operating at 69 per cent above expectation, and a run-on pattern from an offmidfield slot offers tactical upside. Queen Aria's recent form is light, but William Pike's riding over the past 100 starts sits 25 per cent ahead of career average—worth noting for a class field where small edges compound.
Shortest win price
Show The Way (5)
3.40
Most career wins
Idyllic Ruler
6-2-6 from 29 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Idyllic Ruler · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Yougivemechills · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 62% lower than Career Avg.
Lano · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Buster Biff · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Career
29: 6-2-6
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Belmont
7: 0-0-1
Track Northam
12: 5-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
12: 5-2-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 5-2-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (38-weeks). Given two soft trials and proven here. Fitter and capable of better second-up. Can fill the minors here fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up from a break of 38 weeks. At $8.50 unsatisfactory performance when 12th last start at Ascot. The large claim from Jason Li helps. Rough hope.
RP
Finished last of 12 at Ascot in February 12l behind Yougivemechills; five wins from 12 here; returns from an absence here; can be in the thick of things as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break of 38 weeks. Started at 15/2 and disappointing run when 12th last time at Ascot. The large claim from Jason Li should help.
Career
15: 5-0-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 3-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 2-0-0
Going Good
8: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 62% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Ascot when second-up. Fitter for those two runs and ready to show best. Can find a few lengths here.
ILB
Lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Ascot. Overlooking the last run and drops back to a suitable grade. Good chance at a nice price.
RP
Came home tenth, beaten 6l, at Ascot 19 days ago; has won previously at this course; strong contender as has wins in his back catalogue.
RSIS
Gave away some ground when 10th last start at Ascot. Should improve and taking on easier opposition. Strong prospects.
Career
16: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (35-weeks). Not knocked around in recent tickover trial at Belmont Park. Has early speed. Expect will need this.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 35 weeks. Was $101.00 and faded to finish 12th last run at Ascot. Could not recommend.
RP
Has won here previously; finished out the back over 1m at Ascot (handicap) in February; returning from a layoff here; one to be interested in as he knows how to get the job done.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 35 weeks. Started at 100/1 and was well beaten when 12th last time at Ascot.
Career
7: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
4: 1-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1677m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1705m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (32-weeks). Readied with two soft trials. Usually prominent. Prefer to see fresh.
ILB
Back from a spell of 32 weeks. Started at $71.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Ascot but taking on a lower class of opponents. Needs a lot of luck in this race.
RP
Out of the frame when ninth back down to 1m1f at Ascot in March in a Listed race; has had some time off; enters calculations in this lower-class event and was successful two starts back.
RSIS
Back from a break of 32 weeks. Was 70/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Ascot but facing less formidable opponents. Has a positive stall.
Career
29: 3-2-5
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-1-3
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
17: 1-2-3
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
11: 1-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
26: 3-2-5
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently
AAP
Lining up for three wins on the trot here. Let down strongly from midfield to score this venue when second-up. Again holds plenty of aces.
ILB
Reeled them in to win last run at this venue. Going well this campaign winning 2 from as many attempts. Can win this.
RP
Bids to pull off a hat-trick; landed a narrow success in a handicap 14 days ago; passed over despite that win at Northam.
RSIS
Picked up late to win last run at this track. Flawless in recent runs with 2 wins from as many runs. Win will not surprise.
Career
32: 5-3-7
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Belmont
8: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 3-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-2-0
Going Good
24: 5-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 56% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 62% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi winning at 36% POT in last 100 rides
AAP
Rider found a forward spot this track but she put in a very lacklustre finish when second-up. Stripping fitter, hard to make a case beyond the minors.
ILB
At $26.00 faded away to finish 6th last time at this venue but have to respect the form at the trip. Can run into the placings.
RP
Behind Show The Way here when beaten 6l (sixth of nine) two weeks ago; others are preferred.
RSIS
Odds of 25/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at this track but will be well suited at the distance.
Career
17: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-3-1
Going Good
15: 2-4-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ran on with some conviction from back half at Bunbury when drifting in the betting off long spell. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus. Untried in the wet. One for multiples.
ILB
Started $12.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Bunbury and back to a longer distance. William Pike is a crucial engagement. Well respected contender.
RP
Has won here; finished fourth three weeks ago albeit only beaten 2½l at Bunbury over 5½f (handicap) dropped back in distance; William Pike a noteworthy booking but yard has been going through a quiet spell; not been able to get her head in front lately so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and hit the line well when 4th last start at Bunbury and returns to a rise in trip. Jockey William Pike rates highly. Displays good closing pace. Will go close here.
Career
43: 5-6-4
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
13: 2-1-1
Track Northam
7: 1-1-0
Distance 1618m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 2-0-1
Going Good
30: 3-5-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 41%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Settled back and didn't figure over this journey in the 3yo+ (Rs1mw) at Belmont Park. Commands attention here.
ILB
Was well beaten when 11th last time at Belmont but will appreciate a good barrier. Will be hitting the line strongly. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 at Belmont Park five weeks ago; has scored over C&D; others are preferred.
RSIS
Weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Belmont but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Always seems to find the line well. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Picked off late at Ascot. Leader. Drops to shorter trip. Well into preparation now, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $6.00 and folded up in the straight when 5th last start at Ascot.
RSIS
At 5/1 struggled with the pace when 5th last start at Ascot.
Career
40: 4-6-5
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track York
3: 2-1-0
Distance 2100m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 2200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
36: 4-5-5
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 7% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jason Lyon 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Resuming (28-weeks). Long winless run. Will have much longer trips in mind. Fitness could tell.
ILB
First up after a 28 week break. Started $15.00 and below par when 9th last start at Narrogin and back in trip. Rough chance today.
RP
Has not been firing consistently; ninth beaten 9l over 1m1½f at Narrogin (handicap) in April; returns from a layoff; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Resuming after a 28 week break. Odds of 14/1 and mediocre display when 9th last start at Narrogin and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Career
56: 4-4-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
11: 0-0-0
Second-up
10: 0-0-2
Third-up
10: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
7: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
43: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Well back and never a factor at Ascot. Usually gets back. Very hard to recommend.
ILB
Jumped at $201.00 and subpar when 10th last time at Ascot. Expected to settle towards the tail. Can't have.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 13 at Ascot over 6f (handicap) 12 days ago; largely not been running well; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Was 200/1 and nothing special when 10th last time at Ascot. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
Career
34: 4-6-4
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
15: 4-5-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
10: 2-0-2
Distance 1300m
9: 0-4-2
Going Good
25: 2-5-3
Going Soft
9: 2-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 24%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Close up in sound performance 3yo+ (Rs0mw) at Kalgoorlie. Deep into her campaign, could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Was $9.00 and closed off nicely when 4th last start at Kalgoorlie and gets some weight relief. Has very good finishing speed. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Respectable effort over 6f at Kalgoorlie (handicap) 11 days ago; achieved each of her four career wins at Kalgoorlie and form has been a bit mixed lately.
RSIS
At 8/1 pushed past some when 4th last start at Kalgoorlie and gets some weight relief. Possesses good closing pace. Has some claims.