Northam (WA) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Northam (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctNortham (WA)Change

Race 2 — ATC MB Hcp (C1) 1400m · jumps Thu 29 Oct, 5:22 pm AEDT

Race preview

Northam's serving up a cracking Class 1 handicap over 1400 metres on a Good 4 track in fine weather at 5:22 pm AEDT, and the win market's telling a story worth reading. Flying In The Wind is shortest, with Mr Mellon pressing hard next, then Final Call and The Lucky Chip rounding out the early fancies. It's a five-runner affair with genuine quality on show — the kind of race where form and timing converge into something worth a punt.

Flying In The Wind looks the part on paper and then some. William Pike's aboard and the jockey's been running 33 per cent above market expectation across his last 100 rides, which is the kind of intel that gets punters' ears up. The runner broke through at Bunbury on debut in October with a win at 1200 metres, then pitched up at Ascot over this trip and made ground without ever troubling the winner. From barrier 2 with an offmidfield speed map, all the luck's going the right way, and the rating of 100 is the standout among the field. Mr Mellon's a metro winner who's been competitive at both Belmont and Ascot — last start at Ascot saw the runner picked off late over 1400 metres, which is a tough luck story, but the form's solid and Paul Harvey gets the ride. Final Call's resuming after 17 weeks with just a barrier trial at Lark Hill since the spell; the runner's found some form here before with a placing and could drift out to fair odds given the absence.

The Lucky Chip was the story of this race last time it ran at Northam over the same trip — unleashed a driving charge late and flew home with the fastest overall finishing sectionals, yet still couldn't get there. That's the kind of run that sticks with punters, and Jason Li's in the saddle from barrier 5 in midfield. However, the form line's choppy and the yard's struggling for results, so there's no compelling reason to chase lightning twice. The form and fitness angle tilts to Flying In The Wind as the selection here.

Race notes

3UP CL1 HCP 50+,3yo+,CL1,Class 1
GOOD4
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Flying In The Wind (6)

1.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Major Magnus

Offmidfield

6Flying In The Wind

Midfield

7The Lucky Chip

Leader

2Final Call
5Mr Mellon

Major Magnus · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Final Call · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Mr Mellon · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Flying In The Wind · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Major MagnusJ: Jarrad Noske·T: B P Graham160kg6 3 2 1 1017: 1-2-2$34.00$4.60

Career

17: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2238m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Northam2200m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD49.38L
1Bunbury2013m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-0.06
2Northam2200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.2L
3Pinjarra2013m20 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD42.7L
6Bunbury1690m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT56L
10Pinjarra1600m16 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY86.9L
9Belmont1700m8 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · SOFT52.4L
6Pinjarra1600m24 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Failed to threaten this track over longer test. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $9.00 and well beaten when 10th last run around here but will appreciate a good draw. Might have to make up considerable ground. Back to a shorter trip. Very unlikely to shake these.

Tenth of 12 over 1m3f here (handicap) last month; improved form the last twice; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and clearly outclassed when 10th last time at the track but can save some energy from the stall. Expected to settle towards the rear. Down in trip.

2Final CallJ: Joey Azzopardi·T: Ms D Riordan458.5kg7 6 7 7 612: 1-1-4$12.00$3.00

Career

12: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-1-4
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.3L
7Bunbury2013m28 June 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT78.2L
7Belmont2100m6 June 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 57+ · GOOD44.7L
6Pinjarra1600m21 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD44.6L
7Ascot1600m6 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD43.5L
2Pinjarra2000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD40.3L
5Ascot1800m17 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
1Ascot1800m10 Dec 2025 · 3UP SW MDN HCP · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Donna Riordan striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Since trialled at Lark Hill. Placed only other time here. Could pop up at fair odds.

ILB

Back from a break. Started at $12.00 and ran 7th last time at Bunbury and back to a shorter distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Looks hopeful.

Beaten 8l over 1m2f at Bunbury (handicap) four months ago; returning from a layoff here; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and one to take seriously.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Started 11/1 and came in 7th last time at Bunbury and will be down in distance. Should muster plenty of early pace.

3HamadryadScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Got the wobbles late after leading this venue. Can go forward. Well into preparation now, can fill the minors here.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $14.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start here.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 13/1 and faded away to finish 9th last time at this track.

4Kat FiveScratched4––––

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
7: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-0-2

Last starts

3Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
4Lark Hill930m5 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
4Pinjarra1500m27 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD42.6L
3Pinjarra1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
1Pinjarra1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3Y SW MDN · GOOD4-0.5
3Belmont1200m18 Feb 2026 · 3Y SW MDN · GOOD41.9L
8Belmont1000m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.7L
6Pinjarra1600m21 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD44.9L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Resuming (26-weeks). Held form well last time in. Brought on with two trial hitouts. One for exotics fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resumes from a spell of 26 weeks. Odds of $7.50 and came in 4th last time at Pinjarra.

Running consistently; creditable fourth over 7½f at Pinjarra (handicap) six months ago; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resumes from a break of 26 weeks. Odds of 13/2 and finished 4th last start at Pinjarra.

5Mr MellonJ: Paul Harvey·T: D R Harrison358kg1 2 1 4 53: 1-0-0$3.40$1.26

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Ascot1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.07L
4Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3Y SWP PLATE · GOOD41.3L
1Belmont1200m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.8
2Lark Hill950m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
1Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.2
10Lark Hill400m9 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.5L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Metro winner. Gave good sight at Belmont Park 26 Sep. Picked off late at Ascot over this trip. Commands respect here.

ILB

Was $2.45 and came in 5th last time at Ascot. Expected to rebound. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Holds a major chance.

Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; ran a bit below expectations (sent off 7-5) when fifth at Ascot two weeks ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; his best form stacks up so likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

Started at 6/4 and finished 5th last time at Ascot. Giving another go here. Should be going forward early. Will not be far away.

6Flying In The WindJ: William Pike·T: A G Durrant256kg2 3 1 1 52: 1-0-0$1.40$1.02

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Ascot1400m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y SWP · GOOD43.86L
1Bunbury1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.8
1Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
3Lark Hill950m15 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.3L
2Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.6L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
William Pike 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
William Pike in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 33%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Good debut at Bunbury 7 Oct. Made some headway without troubling at Ascot at second appearance. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Profiles strongly here.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and ran past a few when 5th last start at Ascot and facing a weaker grade. Jockey William Pike is in form and has a positive draw. Rated to win.

Lightly raced with this just her third appearance; not beaten that far in a conditions race (Ascot) two weeks ago; holds major claims as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Ascot and facing weaker opposition. William Pike adds value and has a good draw. Will take a stack of beating.

7The Lucky ChipJ: Jason Li·T: Brett Pope554kg7 6 11 6 331: 1-3-3$16.00$3.60

Career

31: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Belmont
10: 0-2-0
Track Northam
4: 0-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1400m
16: 0-3-3
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-1
Going Good
19: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

3Northam1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD43.21L
6Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.89L
11Belmont1400m1 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · HEAVY85.4L
6Belmont1300m17 June 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT62.3L
7Pinjarra1500m27 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD46.1L
5Pinjarra1200m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 50+ HCP · GOOD44.2L
5Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L
7Ascot1500m15 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD41.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Last, unleashed driving charge late this course over this trip. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start around here. Jason Li provides some weight relief. Place hope.

Ran well to finish third at 25-1 three weeks ago; low strike-rate of 1-31.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last time at this venue. Large claim helps.

Odds correct as at Thu 29 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Thu 3 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races