Shortest win price
Cheyne Bay (1)
2.60
Welcome to Northam for the Country Wide Insurance Brokers Hcp (C3) over the mile. We are racing on a good four surface under fine skies, and punters are getting stuck into a fascinating Class Three test. Looking at the early win market order, Cheyne Bay heads the betting lines as the shortest elect, closely followed by Costa Del Darlo and Chino Bay. Vancouver Storm sits next in the market order, with Atlantis Beach and Ginger And Tonic following behind, while Moriah, Sunday Mass and Knockoneback round out the rest of the runners as we gear up for a ripping yarn on the quick back-up.
Taking a look under the hood at the form lines for those at the sharp end of betting, Cheyne Bay lines up from barrier five for trainer A G Durrant and jockey Holly Nottle. This gelding displayed a fine change of gears running home to just miss over fourteen hundred metres at this venue off an extended spell, and the rise to the mile second-up should suit nicely. Costa Del Darlo jumps from the inside alley for Ms K Kersley and Laqdar Ramoly, coming off a gritty win after leading all the way over this track and journey, though he rises in class here. Chino Bay brings another intriguing angle for S J Miller, putting in good late work at Ascot when resuming and expected to strip fitter for the extra distance.
Further down the order, Vancouver Storm offers plenty of appeal for punters hunting value, having flashed home with the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start when grabbing a close second over this course and distance. The speed map suggests Costa Del Darlo will try to dictate terms from the front, while Cheyne Bay maps on pace to apply pressure early. It all points to a tactical battle over the sixteen hundred metres, and while racing always holds its surprises, the form suggests the major players are well-placed to fight out the finish in this grade.
Shortest win price
Cheyne Bay (1)
2.60
Most career wins
Cheyne Bay and Atlantis Beach
3 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cheyne Bay · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Atlantis Beach · Negative
Trainer SR
Cliff Green striking at just 4%
Costa Del Darlo · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Chino Bay · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Career
20: 3-3-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Albany
2: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
2: 1-0-1
Track Belmont
4: 1-1-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2038m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-3-5
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Displayed a fine change of gears running home to just miss in the 3yo+ Hcp (C5) this venue off extended spell. Fitter second-up and the longer trip helps. Can get the job done.
ILB
Competed in a tight contest last time at this venue. Has shown early pace in races to date. Smart type.
RP
Close up runner-up here over 7f (handicap) 14 days ago; can figure.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last start at this track. Should muster plenty of early toe. Like to be on it today.
Career
48: 3-3-7
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
9: 1-0-2
Second-up
8: 0-1-0
Third-up
6: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Esperance
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
15: 2-0-4
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
18: 1-3-3
Going Good
34: 2-1-5
Going Soft
14: 1-2-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Cliff Green striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors 3yo+ Hcp (C3) at Belmont Park over this trip. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
On a quick back up. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last run at Belmont and drawn nicely. Slight prospect.
RP
Ran well to finish third at 28-1 (Belmont Park) eight days ago; a while since his last success.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Flashed home late into 3rd last start at Belmont and has a good draw.
Career
8: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led and held sway to win this venue over this journey. Untested in wet. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase to win by a long neck last start here and gets the perfect gate. Should jump out and bowl along. Rising in grade. Not interested.
RP
Got the job done in a maiden by a neck two weeks ago, getting off the mark at the eighth attempt; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; considered.
RSIS
Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of a long neck last run at this venue and will appreciate a good stall. Up against tougher rivals.
Career
7: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 128%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 70% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Put in some good work late at Ascot off extended spell. Fitter second-up and the longer trip helps. Worth a look.
ILB
Jumped at $14.00 and looked flat when 7th last run at Ascot. Can go through the gears. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Respectable effort when seventh at Ascot over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; first-time cheekpieces on; capable if in the mood so she's worth a go.
RSIS
Started 13/1 and struggled when 7th last run at Ascot. Will be trying to topple them late. Has some claims.
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1677m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Clint Johnston-Porter winning at 20% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 26%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ran on late from the back at Ascot after lengthy absence. Untested in wet. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started $31.00 and ran 8th last run at Ascot. Likely to settle back in the field. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Finished just behind Ginger And Tonic when eighth (dropped back to this trip, Ascot) two weeks ago; this only her second handicap outing; more than capable if on song so one to take seriously.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and ran 8th last time at Ascot. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
38: 2-2-7
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Geraldton
2: 0-0-0
Track Albany
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
9: 1-0-3
Going Good
31: 2-1-5
Going Soft
7: 0-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -30%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Ascot off long spell. Better conditioned. Not out of this.
ILB
Weakened to finish 10th last run at Ascot. Should come to hand quickly. Modest hope.
RP
All his winning form has come at Pinjarra (two successes) and quite a while since he tasted success; close up behind Chino Bay when last at Ascot over 7f (handicap) 15 days ago; a few rivals look in good form so may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 10th last start at Ascot. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
34: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra Scarpside
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
4: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-5-0
Going Soft
15: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 39% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Placed 3yo+ (Rs0ly) Belmont Park 16 Sep. Midfield, great effort running into second 3yo+ Hcp (C3) this course over this journey. Has some claims.
ILB
Finished with intent when 2nd last start at the track. The large claim from Giaan Odonnell should help. Best to watch and see.
RP
Not beaten far three weeks ago; a winner over C&D; not a frequent winner; he can be taken on as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at this venue. Large claim helps.
Career
38: 1-2-8
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
11: 0-1-3
Track York
2: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
11: 0-1-2
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
7: 0-1-4
Distance 1600m
9: 0-0-2
Going Good
32: 1-2-7
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 60%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 43% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Northam
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winning drought. Gave good account 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Ascot over this distance. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Was $8.00 and making up some late ground when 4th last start at Ascot. Always seems to find the line well. Some hope in this event.
RP
Has winning form at this track; respectable effort at Ascot with Sunday Mass just behind two weeks ago; been struggling to get her head in front recently so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started 7/1 and ran on into 4th last time at Ascot. Shows very good closing pace.
Career
31: 2-1-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Esperance
4: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
24: 2-1-3
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1760m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1638m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
23: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Responded with raking strides to win at Kalgoorlie. Gets in light. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can make her presence felt again.
ILB
Charged home to win last time at Kalgoorlie. Likely to get back in the run. Others are more appealing.
RP
Successful by 1½l at Kalgoorlie upped to this trip 11 days ago; despite that Kalgoorlie success, not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Kalgoorlie. Likely to get back in the run.