Shortest win price
Saisoku (2)
1.60
Welcome to Northam for the 360 Farm And Regional Mdn over the staying trip of 2200m on a good4 surface with fine weather overhead. The race is set to jump at 4:47 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Saisoku holds down the top of the betting boards as the shortest runner, closely followed by Rock The Mic, Yalda Night, and Rock Silver rounding out the main fancies in what shapes up as a fascinating maiden puzzle for punters to unravel.
Taking a look at the form underpinning the market leaders, Saisoku is drawn in barrier 2 for trainer S V Vahala and gets the services of William Pike. This honest type found enough to place in a small field over this course and trip last time out at Northam following a runner-up effort at Bunbury, suggesting this is a logical place to look for the winner. Rock The Mic sits next in the betting from barrier 7 with Jason Lyon steering for Joshua Krispyn. This runner has put together back-to-back minor placings, including going close at York before letting rip late at Belmont Park over 2100m, and should prove fully fit from recent racing.
Further down the line, Yalda Night lines up from barrier 1 for Matthew Scott with Holly Nottle in the saddle, deep into a lengthy campaign after battling home in maiden company at Belmont Park. Meanwhile, Rock Silver comes out of barrier 4 for Ms J Erkelens with Troy Turner taking the mount, though query the step up in distance significantly from previous runs here at Northam. With speed maps showing Tagolorian looking to dictate early from out front and Saisoku positioned handily on the pace, this 2200m journey should provide plenty of storytelling yarns once they settle into stride.
Shortest win price
Saisoku (2)
1.60
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Yalda Night · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Saisoku · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Rock The Mic · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rock Silver · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 47%
Career
30: 0-3-4
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
5: 0-1-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-1
Track Narrogin
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1920m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 0-1-4
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $91 when battled home in Maiden company at Belmont Park. Deep into his campaign, can make the podium.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Odds of $91.00 and advanced late into 5th last run at Belmont and back to a rise in trip. Drawn beautifully. A difficult test here.
RP
Finished fifth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) over 7f at Belmont Park (maiden) last week; showed up well at this track when runner-up in July but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 30; others appeal more.
RSIS
On a quick back up. At 90/1 picked up some late ground when 5th last time at Belmont and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.
Career
12: 0-4-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
6: 0-3-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2013m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2025m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Jockey Booking
Positive
William Pike 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 34% Profit on Turnover
Key Jockey
Positive
William Pike winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Honest type. Found enough to place in small field this course over this trip. Clearly the one to beat.
ILB
Did well to run 3rd last time at this venue and drawn nicely. William Pike is a bonus. Exhibiting good form this preparation. Very hard to make a case against.
RP
Solid effort two weeks ago; has shown some recent improvement but still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce); booking of William Pike takes the eye; others more persuasive as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
Picked up late ground when 3rd last time at this venue and gets a favourable stall. William Pike is a crucial engagement. In a purple patch of form lately. Banking this as top selection.
Career
7: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 7% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Placed last two. Went close at York 8 Oct. Sent back from wide gate and let rip late at Belmont Park. Fit from racing, can challenge again.
ILB
On a quick back up. Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd last start at Belmont and matched against less formidable competition. Will be trying to topple them late. Strong prospects.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; didn't run badly when 28-1 runner-up in a handicap at Belmont Park last week; he's an attractive contender.
RSIS
On a short back up. Zipped home into 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Belmont and back in an easier grade. Will be hitting the line strongly. Follow the money.
Career
7: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 47%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Never in the call this course second-up. Query wet. Significantly up in distance. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Was $21.00 and average at best when 7th last run at this track but going over more ground. Tough ask.
RP
Seventh of ten beaten 9l over 1m here (maiden) two weeks ago; strong claims as he finished third at Pinjarra in March.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and well beaten when 7th last start at this track but going up in trip.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6kg now
AAP
First run for new trainer reasonable effort without seriously threatening at York. Unknown in wet. First real test of stamina here. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
At $31.00 overtook some late when 5th last start at York and stepping up in trip. Yet to fire a shot in 8 starts. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 2l) over 7½f at York (handicap) three weeks ago on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Started 30/1 and made up ground when 5th last time at York and racing over a longer distance. Yet to trouble the judge in all runs and rises in weight.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Unable to make an impression this venue second-up. Unknown in wet. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Was $101.00 and lost ground in the run home when 5th last start at this track. Shows good early pace. Prefer a race with easier competition.
RP
Behind Saisoku when beaten 6l 14 days ago upped to this trip; few miles on the clock with this his fourth race; is passed over.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last time here. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 47%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Well beaten in two runs to date. Significantly up in distance. Shown nothing in two outings so far. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at this track but racing over a longer distance. Likely to get back. Need a lot of luck to be close to winning this.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his third appearance; not far behind Rock Silver when eighth over 1m here (maiden) two weeks ago; has to be considered.
RSIS
Odds of 150/1 and gave away some ground when 8th last start around here but rising in trip. Expected to settle towards the rear.