Shortest win price
Blue Eyed Brigid (6)
1.30
Wyong's chasing another winner under lights at 5:35 pm AEDT in a Benchmark 64 handicap over 1625 metres on a Good 4 track. The win market has Blue Eyed Brigid shortest, with Federal Reserve next and Inception third. It's a tight affair on paper—this one's got genuine depth, and the form lines tell a story of punters who back late runners and punters who back early movers, which makes for cracking racing. The speedMap shows three leaders keen to dictate: Grunge, Cha Cha Cha, and Inception will go forward hard, while Federal Reserve and Air Kiss camp in midfield, Cellphone sits offpace, Wealthy Investor on the pace, and Blue Eyed Brigid the sole backmarker hunting from the rear.
Blue Eyed Brigid shapes as the punter's pick here. Zac Lloyd's mount earned her rating of 100 by finishing second at Hawkesbury second-up, just half a length adrift, and the AAP comment nails it: kept coming and right in this. She's got the quickest finishing sectionals last start and Lloyd's recent strike rate is 19 per cent better than his career average—that's a jockey riding hot. Federal Reserve, from the Nacim Dilmi stable, carries the handicap weight at 62 kilograms but maps well at Wyong, outperforming market by 6 per cent from the midfield. The form's rough: back halves and never competitive, but the second-up record is there—1 from 2—and the mapping suggests he finds the running lane here. Inception rates 84 and the new trainer bounce could be real; Port Macquarie saw him on pace and not far off, and the combo with Alysha Collett sits 104 per cent above market expectations.
The early battle will set the race. Grunge and Cha Cha Cha own early speed, with Grunge's sectionals screaming he goes hard early; if they slug it out up front, Blue Eyed Brigid gets a tow and room to pounce late. That said, Cellphone at barrier 8 draws awkwardly and the form is bleak—8 at Illawarra Grange off spell is damning—though trainer C J Waller keeps her ticking. Wealthy Investor, rated well in the map, struggles in the jockey-trainer combo and that's a red flag. The yarn here centres on Blue Eyed Brigid's second-up second and the finishing kick that set her apart. Back her with conviction.
Shortest win price
Blue Eyed Brigid (6)
1.30
Most career wins
Wealthy Investor
5-2-10 from 56 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Federal Reserve · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Cellphone · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Grunge · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Blue Eyed Brigid · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
13: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
4: 1-1-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
8: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Rosehill. Can make amends here.
ILB
Lost ground in the run home when 9th last run at Rosehill. Looking past the last run and dropping in grade. Strong claims.
RP
Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-13); not disgraced in ninth over 7f at Rosehill (handicap) 19 days ago; has strong claims with a bit more luck as excuses last time (hampered).
RSIS
Looked outclassed when 9th last start at Rosehill. Looking for an improved run and competing in an easier class. Attracts support.
Career
5: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened after return. Raced in back half and never likely at Illawarra Grange off spell. Since trialled at Rosehill 19 Oct. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Freshened for this. Started at $41.00 and subpar when 8th last start at Illawarra Grange but showing consistent performance in races. Limited possibility.
RP
Behind Unbridled Storm over 7f at Illawarra Grange (handicap) when beaten 9l (eighth of 11) last month; improved form the last twice; winner two starts ago and has claims.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Started 40/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last start at Illawarra Grange but promising career start.
Career
7: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Showed a fine turn of foot from the back at Warwick Farm in soft going over this distance. Key contender if he gets the breaks.
ILB
Managed to run into 3rd last time at Warwick Farm and competing in an easier class. In top form since resuming from a break.
RP
Went down by 1½l when third (Warwick Farm) three weeks ago; producing solid form figures; warrants consideration.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 3rd last run at Warwick Farm and competing at a lower level of competition. Tracking very well in recent runs.
Career
9: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
4: 1-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 138%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Cleared maiden ranks at Wyong then made the running but weakened noticeably at Hawkesbury. Look for a better showing.
ILB
Jumped at $12.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Hawkesbury but gets a favourable barrier. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Others are better.
RP
Last of eight at Hawkesbury over 1m1f (handicap) five weeks ago; best form so far in last two starts; a winner over C&D; this line-up contains some strong opposition so looks opposable.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last start at Hawkesbury but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1313m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. Controlled race and kicked away from them at Newcastle when second-up. Gate a worry. Repeat would surprise.
ILB
Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 2 3/4L last start at Newcastle but facing a stronger grade.
RP
Opened account at the fourth time of asking when winning by just under 3l (Newcastle) three weeks ago in a maiden; in with a shout.
RSIS
Dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of 2 3/4L last time at Newcastle but testing ability against stronger contenders.
Career
12: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 1-2-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Key Jockey
Positive
Zac Lloyd winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Kept coming and just fell short at Hawkesbury second-up. Right in this.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 2nd last run at Hawkesbury. Zac Lloyd and Brad Widdup are a formidable team. Has run into the placings all attempts this campaign. Has to be in the finish.
RP
Just touched off over 7½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) two weeks ago; achieved only a sole win; easy enough to take on as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Made considerable ground when 2nd last time at Hawkesbury. Zac Lloyd and Brad Widdup are a strong duo. Has run into the placings at every start lately. Will show up at the business end.
Career
14: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
6: 1-0-1
Track Wyong
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 16% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 58%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 44% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Honest performance without menacing winner at Newcastle. This looks more demanding.
ILB
Finished well when 3rd last time at Newcastle. Will need everything to go right.
RP
Has a record of 1-14; not beaten that far in third (just over 3l) over 7½f at Newcastle (handicap) four weeks ago; others appeal more.
RSIS
Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Newcastle.
Career
31: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 1-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
17: 1-2-2
Distance 1625m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1630m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
17: 2-2-1
Going Good
10: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Dictated terms in recording a gritty win in the (Bm58) at Goulburn. On pacer, perfect gate. Any give helps. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Led from start to finish to win by 3/4L last start at Goulburn and has drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run. Needs a mighty effort to win this.
RP
Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Goulburn 23 days ago; track has proven suitable before; despite that Goulburn success, may be vulnerable.
RSIS
Dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of 3/4L last start at Goulburn and drawn the rails. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Racing in stronger company.
Career
56: 5-2-10
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 1-1-2
Second-up
5: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-0-2
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 1-2-4
Going Heavy
12: 1-0-4
Going Soft
18: 3-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -24%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Finished out the back at Coonamble over this journey at wide odds. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and didn't threaten when 11th last time at Coonamble but taking on a lower class of opponents. Form will be tested here.
RP
Last of 11 at Coonamble two weeks ago; has won here; form has been a bit up and down of late; a lot on his plate here and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Coonamble but facing a weaker grade.
Career
21: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
5: 1-0-2
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 0-2-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On pace, not beaten far at Port Macquarie for new trainer. Can go forward. One for exotics.
ILB
At $4.80 was outmuscled when 4th last time at Port Macquarie and gets some weight taken off. Ashley Morgan and Robert Agnew are an imposing duo. Value play.
RP
Solid run when fourth over 7½f at Port Macquarie (handicap) 19 days ago on debut for this trainer; a few rivals look in good form so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Started 4/1 and tired towards the finish when 4th last run at Port Macquarie and gets some weight taken off. Ashley Morgan and Robert Agnew link well together. Could win this.