Shortest win price
Ratify (3)
3.10
Wyong is set up nicely for Maiden company over 1625 metres on a Good 4 track under fine conditions at 3:40 pm AEDT. The win market leans on Ratify as the shortest-priced runner, with Made In Italy next out, followed by Forsaken and Victorious Ruler. There is a spread across the field here — classic maiden racing where the gaps between contenders are narrow and the form lines tell conflicting stories.
Ratify shapes as the early favourite, and the numbers back some appeal. A fast finisher with the quickest final sectionals at the last outing, this runner also has early speed to work with on this circuit — a genuine advantage at Wyong. Drawn wide at barrier 11, that's a tricky gate, and the weight is rising, but a Rating 81 suggests competitive ability. The run back at Rosehill over 1400 metres came after a lengthy absence, and Ratify was reined back from that wide draw before finding room late to hit the frame. On the quick back-up over the extra 225 metres, and with genuine early speed to use, there is a form narrative worth following. Made In Italy sits next, and this one's Warwick Farm run last start at 1600 metres is a legitimate pointer. Ran on hard from the back over today's trip on a Soft 6, then backed that up with a narrow second at Newcastle in a females' maiden. A Rating 100 is the highest in the race. The form suggests this one can genuinely run a place, and the comment flags competitive type.
Victorious Ruler deserves consideration further down the order. Jockey Rachel King is running 25 per cent ahead of her career average over the last hundred rides — that is real edge. Victorious Ruler was second at Hawkesbury over 1600 metres in rain-affected going on the second-up run, very honest and prominent throughout, just going down by a whisker. That near-miss in a strong showing suggests a win is close. The honest form line and the jockey momentum make this an opinion-based roughie case, particularly if weather remains fine and Victorious Ruler can lead or sit close in the Leader group.
Shortest win price
Ratify (3)
3.10
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Firststart
Midfield
Leader
Autumn Surf · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Harrythewiz · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ratify · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Almaaz · Negative
Wide Draw
Likely to get caught wide
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (30-weeks). Beaten a long way in races and trials and needs to show more. Prefer to see.
ILB
First run back from a 30 week break. Odds of $41.00 and below standard effort when 7th last time at this track. Most likely not today.
RP
Finished tailed off in March; yet to manage better than sixth in his three races; returns from a break today; shown nothing recently so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Fresh after a 30 week break. Started 40/1 and only fair when 7th last time at this track. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Remains fresh. Put in a long run from the back at Illawarra Grange for new trainer. Usually gets back. Finds a harder setup.
ILB
Tidy run when 3rd last start at Illawarra Grange and drawn nicely. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; turned in improved effort over 7f at Illawarra Grange (maiden) on first run for current trainer when a respectable third 28 days ago.
RSIS
Ran 3rd last time at Illawarra Grange and drawn nicely.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Reined back to last from the wide gate, wound up at Rosehill after lengthy absence. Has a tricky draw and rising in weight. Place.
ILB
Rattled home nicely into 3rd last time at Rosehill. Expected to settle towards the rear. Has some claims.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; finishing third was a good effort 15 days ago at Rosehill in a handicap.
RSIS
Managed to finish 3rd last start at Rosehill. Likely to get back. Watch the betting.
Career
6: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Well back and made some minor headway but passing mainly tired rivals at Illawarra Grange. Strips fitter. Place preferred option.
ILB
At $13.00 came in 5th last start at Illawarra Grange. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished second; finished fifth, beaten 6l, over 7f at Illawarra Grange (maiden) 28 days ago; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 5th last start at Illawarra Grange. Not at all out of this race.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Lee Magorrian current POT is 35% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Eclipsed by winner but kept whacking away to place in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Newcastle. Again a place hope.
ILB
Ran well when 3rd last time at Newcastle. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Appears to be going forwards; wasn't disgraced when third of nine over 7½f at Newcastle (maiden) 23 days ago; she can make a bold bid.
RSIS
Honest race when 3rd last run at Newcastle.
Career
5: 0-3-0
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Great run at Newcastle 19 Sep. Led, gave away final stages at Warwick Farm when second-up. Has speed. Stripping fitter, rates highly in this affair.
ILB
Jumped at $3.60 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Warwick Farm but putting a tidy record together so far.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; not beaten too far (3l) in a handicap three weeks ago at Warwick Farm upped to this distance.
RSIS
Started at 13/5 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at Warwick Farm but good career start.
Career
9: 0-3-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-3
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-2
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-3-3
Going Soft
3: 0-0-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Competitive type. Placed F&M Mdn at Newcastle 18 Sep. Ran on late from the back at Warwick Farm over today's trip. Can play a role.
ILB
At $5.50 chased well when 5th last time at Warwick Farm. Showing good ability since coming back from a spell. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Finished fifth three weeks ago albeit only beaten 2l (Warwick Farm) in a handicap; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; Chad Schofield booking heightens interest; been struggling to get her head in front recently so passed over.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and was making up some late ground when 5th last start at Warwick Farm. Showing great form recently. Will show up at the business end.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Hot Trainer
Positive
M, W & J Hawkes in good form, out performing market 32%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Highly encouraging debut performance at Illawarra Grange at longer odds. Better for race exposure. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Back from a let up. Narrowly denied a win last start at Illawarra Grange and fitter for debut run. Watch the betting.
RP
Beaten narrowly first time out at Illawarra Grange when ahead of Phlox and Adaptation at 20-1 last month; needs to make above-average progress.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Missed by a narrow margin last start at Illawarra Grange and fitter for debut run. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $14 when unable to threaten in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury over today's trip. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Was $14.00 and lacklustre showing when 6th last run at Hawkesbury.
RSIS
At 13/1 sub-standard effort when 6th last run at Hawkesbury.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Close-up at Rosehill 30 Sep. Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Randwick. Only for the minors here.
ILB
Was $81.00 and appeared lacklustre when 9th last time at Randwick but matched against lesser competition. Does take a while to get into stride. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in ninth) in a Group 3 at Randwick 12 days ago; dropping in class a definite plus and not dismissed.
RSIS
Started at 80/1 and average effort when 9th last run at Randwick but taking on easier opposition. Likely to get back in the field.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Shown some promise. Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Warwick Farm over today's trip. Since trialled at Rosehill 19 Oct. Can have a major say.
ILB
Started $8.50 and overtook some late when 4th last start at Warwick Farm.
RP
Finished in front of Made In Italy and Koibito when fourth beaten 1½l 24 days ago at Warwick Farm in a handicap; one to consider as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
Started 15/2 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start at Warwick Farm.
Career
4: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Very honest. Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in rain affected going to just go under at Hawkesbury when second-up. Should be prominent. Worth a look.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last time at Hawkesbury and showing consistent performance in races. The wide alley shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Went down by a neck 14 days ago at Hawkesbury in a handicap; a big player.
RSIS
Right in contention last run at Hawkesbury and showing consistent performance in races. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall. Serious contender.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Newcastle at her second race start. First go at 1600m now and improvement required. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Jumped at $12.00 and performed below standard when 6th last run at Newcastle. Might have to make up considerable ground. Could feature here.
RP
Beaten 10l (sixth) at Newcastle 26 days ago in a handicap.
RSIS
At 11/1 well beaten when 6th last start at Newcastle. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Has some claims.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Zac Lloyd 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure for new trainer in the 3yo+ F&M Mdn at Kembla Grange. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Was $4.20 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Kembla Grange and drawn the rails. Possesses good finishing speed. Respect the betting.
RP
Could not manage better than fifth upped to 7½f at Kembla Grange on debut for this trainer 19 days ago in a handicap.
RSIS
Started 10/3 and overtook some late when 5th last time at Kembla Grange and has minimal work to do from the draw. Could feature here.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
G & S Ryan & Alexiou striking at just 8%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field at Kembla Grange. Keener on others.
ILB
Faded to finish 7th last run at Kembla Grange.
RP
Finished last of seven over 6½f at Kembla Grange (maiden) three weeks ago; can be a player at this level.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 7th last run at Kembla Grange.
Career
7: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Key Jockey
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald winning at 4% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Freshened. Unable to make an impression at Canberra over longer assignment. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Jumped at $9.00 and disappointing outing when 5th last time at Canberra and down in trip. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Will have to carry more weight. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.
RP
Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; fifth of seven beaten 7l at Canberra over 1m2f (handicap) last month.
RSIS
At 8/1 disappointing outing when 5th last start at Canberra and dropping back to a shorter trip. Gets back and needs luck. Has to cope with a weight increase.