Shortest win price
Can't Recall One (2)
2.25
Welcome to Wyong for the Sal - App - Electra - Trader (Bm64) over the 2125m journey on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The market has sorted itself out nicely for this staying test, with Can't Recall One heading the win market order ahead of Serpico, Dolce Dior, and Satono's Shout sitting close by in the early betting. Punters looking for a yarn in the opening race will find plenty to ponder as this field of stayers stretches out over the 2125m trip.
Taking a closer look at the form for our market faders and faves, Can't Recall One for Matthew Smith and Zac Lloyd comes in off a fast-finishing third at Newcastle over 1900m on soft ground where it ran on late into the placings. With a rating of 90 and some sharp overall finishing sectionals from last start, this backmarker should be getting home hard if the tempo suits. Meanwhile, Serpico from the David Payne yard jumps from barrier 1 with Ashley Morgan steering, looking to test staying credentials here after a close-up effort at Canterbury prior to a softer outing at Randwick.
For those hunting further down the win market order, Dolce Dior lines up for Peter Snowden from barrier 2 with Tom Sherry aboard, boasting a handy previous course and distance performance despite a tougher time at Randwick-Kensington last start. The speed map shows Dolce Dior looking to lead the charge early, while Satono's Shout is noted for going hard early from barrier 6. It all sets up a fascinating tactical battle as the field turns for home on the Wyong circuit.
Shortest win price
Can't Recall One (2)
2.25
Most career wins
Dolce Dior
4-3-2 from 22 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Can't Recall One · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Dolce Dior · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Serpico · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Renoir · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Career
37: 5-4-6
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
9: 2-2-2
Track Eagle Farm
4: 2-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1830m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1900m
8: 1-3-1
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
19: 4-2-3
Going Good
14: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 8kg more than LS
AAP
City winner three back. Sent out $10 when never got into the race Port Macquarie Cup. Can bounce back here.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and looked flat when 9th last time at Port Macquarie but up against weaker rivals. Has to carry more weight this time.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 over 1m2f at Port Macquarie (handicap) three weeks ago; useful in this grade; strong contender as shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and not up to standard when 9th last time at Port Macquarie but competing in an easier class. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
Career
22: 3-0-5
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
8: 0-0-2
Going Good
14: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Zac Lloyd 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Zac Lloyd winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Ran on late into the placings at Newcastle. Right in this with even luck.
ILB
Just short of the win last time at Newcastle but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Zac Lloyd and Matthew Smith are a strong team. Strong chance.
RP
Respectable effort in defeat (beaten a neck) at Newcastle over 1m1½f (handicap) two weeks ago; booking of Zac Lloyd takes the eye; hard to dismiss as shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
Close to claiming the win last time at Newcastle but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Suited against these.
Career
22: 4-3-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
6: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2140m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 3-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 22% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
AAP
Went home tamely in soft going at Randwick-Kensington at $20. Performed really well only other go this course and trip. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started $20.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Randwick Kensington. Is capable of a resurgence and matched against a less competitive field. Tom Sherry is a plus. Should be in the finish.
RP
Beaten 5½l (eighth) over 1m1f at Randwick (handicap) 22 days ago; useful in this grade; was successful three starts back and has to be respected.
RSIS
Odds of 19/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Randwick Kensington. Happy to forgive that run and has been racing in stronger company. Drawn nicely. Definite winning chance.
Career
18: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Close-up at Canterbury 16 Sep then didn't figure on a soft deck in the 3yo+ Midway (Bm72) at Randwick. Ready to test his staying credentials now. Warrants attention.
ILB
At $18.00 not up to scratch when 11th last time at Randwick. Should improve and facing weaker opposition. Will be trying to topple them late. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 at Randwick over 1m1f (handicap) four weeks ago; has won here; can give it a good shot as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
Started 17/1 and below standard effort when 11th last start at Randwick. May see an upturn in form and stepping down to a lower level. Can go through the gears. Should go very close.
Career
8: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home into last in the small field at Kembla Grange. First real test of stamina here. Among the dangers.
ILB
Was $6.50 and gave away some ground when 6th last start at Kembla Grange but will try to take advantage of the alley. Going up in distance.
RP
Finished last of six over 1m at Kembla Grange (handicap) three weeks ago; a course winner; others more persuasive stepping into the unknown over new trip.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Kembla Grange but stepping up in trip. Gets a favourable stall.
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 58%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 44% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent back to last and safely held in the small field at Newcastle. Stamina on trial here. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
At $61.00 showed some merit late when 4th last time at Newcastle and going over extra ground. Does take a while to get into stride. Unlikely to go close.
RP
Not beaten that far over 7½f at Newcastle (handicap) four weeks ago; has to prove this longer trip is what he wants and one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
At 60/1 kept chasing when 4th last run at Newcastle and rising in distance. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
6: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started $4.40 and only fair when 5th last start at Hawkesbury. Happy to forgive that run. Expect a bold effort.
RP
In good form prior to backwards step last time out but form has an up and down look to it; was held in fifth (Hawkesbury) 14 days ago upped to 1m2f; passed over.
RSIS
At 10/3 disappointing run when 5th last time at Hawkesbury. Should improve from the last run. Winning chance.
Career
43: 2-2-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-2
Track Wyong
8: 0-1-2
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-1-2
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
9: 0-1-3
Going Soft
16: 2-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Unable to make an impression in choppy conditions at Hawkesbury. Keener on others.
ILB
Started $81.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Hawkesbury. Hard to see this being competitive today.
RP
Not far behind Satono's Shout when last two weeks ago (Hawkesbury) upped to 1m2f; largely not been running well and wins infrequently; others more appealing.
RSIS
Started at 80/1 and faded away to finish 7th last run at Hawkesbury.