Shortest win price
Mayflower (7)
1.90
Welcome to Wyong for the Schneider - Atkore - Pipemakers Super Mdn Plate over the 1100m journey. The track is rated Good 4 with fine weather overhead for this 3yo+ maiden battle. Looking at the win market order, punters have zeroed in on Mayflower as the early elect, followed closely by Benson, Brutal Advance, and Extreme Courage holding down the next lines in the betting.
The form behind those shorter prices tells an interesting yarn. Brutal Advance for trainer K J Parker lines up here with Chad Lever in the saddle from barrier 7, bringing a very consistent record including a runner-up finish at Kembla Grange over 1200m where they were very game. The stable combination is firing above market expectations. Meanwhile, Benson for John Thompson showed plenty of promise left from a debut second at Hawkesbury over this exact 1100m trip on a soft track, backed up by a trial win, and maps as a key leader from barrier 4 with early speed that suits this circuit.
Further down the race card, we find runners like Extreme Courage dropping out of an off-pace role from barrier 3 for Ross Mcconville, coming off a solid effort in defeat at Hawkesbury over this distance with Rachel King steering. For punters hunting a narrative, the debutant Mayflower commands attention carrying a hefty price tag and a pair of sharp barrier trials at Rosehill and Randwick under Jason Collett for Michael Freedman, though race day pressure brings a fresh challenge.
Shortest win price
Mayflower (7)
1.90
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Firststart
Leader
Brutal Advance · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Extreme Courage · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Hay Prize · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Glamour Magic · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Shown early promise. Surrendered late after leading second 3yo+ Super Mdn at second appearance. Fitter, has scope to progress. Sharper now, highly fancied to go one better.
ILB
Although getting tired late still grabbed 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Hawkesbury. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation.
RSIS
Ran a solid race on the pace before weakening to finish 2nd last start at Hawkesbury. In the placings at every start recently.
Career
15: 0-7-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-3-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-2-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1020m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-4-1
Going Soft
5: 0-3-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Latest form okay but well entrenched in the maiden ranks. Very game at Kembla Grange at $1.95. Blinkers back on. In the mix.
ILB
Close to a win last time at Kembla Grange. Has not missed the money this preparation in 3 attempts. Major player who should go very close.
RP
String of creditable efforts to his name of late but still winless and defeats stacking up (15 on the bounce); favourite and just beaten at Kembla Grange over 6f (maiden) 19 days ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so not one to rely on.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last time at Kembla Grange. Been in the top three each attempt recently. Will show up at the business end.
Career
8: 0-3-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
7: 0-3-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 24%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Pretty good effort in defeat at Hawkesbury over this trip. Breaks from a low barrier. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Hawkesbury. Great chance.
RP
Missed out by less than a length (Hawkesbury) three weeks ago; has arguably shown improved form the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight.
RSIS
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last time at Hawkesbury. Good potential.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 323%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Dam won 7 races. Not asked to do much in trials. Ms J Taylor sticks for debut. Expect will need the run and experience.
ILB
John Cooper trained 4yo first starter by Prized Icon. Ear muffs go on for the first time. Unplaced in multiple barrier trials. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
From the same family as Hay John, a winner over 5f; this daughter of Prized Icon is running for the first time; some claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
John Cooper 4yo first starter by Prized Icon. Interesting to see the hood go on for the first time. Yet to place in multiple trials.
Career
4: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Alysha Collett 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Alysha Collett winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Back for second campaign (21-weeks). In the minors at Wyong on debut last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Awkwardly drawn. Goes into wider exotics fresh in this affair.
ILB
Resumes from a break. Competitive effort when 3rd last time at Kembla Grange but coming back in trip. Yet to place in multiple trials. Rough chance today.
RP
Finished a decent third of ten (Kembla Grange) five months ago in a handicap; returns from a layoff here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Came in 3rd last run at Kembla Grange but down in distance. Unplaced in multiple trials.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Hawkesbury 15 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Was found wanting late when 2nd last run at Hawkesbury and fitter for debut run. Should come to hand quickly. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Second of six at the first time of asking at Hawkesbury at 7-2 two weeks ago; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last run at Hawkesbury and was on debut last time. Should be going forward early. Expect a forward showing.
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Firststart
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (5:2-2-0). $360k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. With astute stable and aided by some solid trial form but this looks a real challenge. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Capitalist for Michael Freedman. Won a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Watch early betting.
RP
Trainer well capable of preparing youngsters to win races on limited experience; related to 6f winner Monolink; should go close with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 3yo by Capitalist for trainer Michael Freedman. Won a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Watch for a sign in the market.
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 136%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-1). $400k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Quietly prepared at the trials. Good draw. Market watch advised.
ILB
3yo first starter sired by I Am Invincible for trainer Bryce Heys and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Watch the betting.
RP
This daughter of I Am Invincible makes first rules appearance; has to be high on list.
RSIS
3yo by I Am Invincible having first race appearance for Bryce Heys and has minimal work to do from the stall. Watch the market.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (5:0-0-3). $90k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won four races. Latest trial was fair but this looks tough. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Brad Widdup 3yo by Playing God having first race start. Fitter for a barrier trial at this track on Apr 24th. Betting as a guide.
RP
From the same family as Hey True Blue, a winner over 1m; first public outing; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Playing God for trainer Brad Widdup. Finished 3rd in a trial at this venue on Apr 24th.
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -87% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gave good account at Newcastle first run back. Better conditioned. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $3.40 and improved when 4th last start at Newcastle and has a positive alley. Displays very good finishing speed. Has some claims.
RP
Finished fourth 26 days ago albeit only beaten 1½l at Newcastle in a handicap; three-race maiden but has managed to finish third.
RSIS
At 12/5 closed off nicely when 4th last time at Newcastle and can find a nice position from the draw. Expected to be flashing home. Could be in the mix.
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 37% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 40% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). In the minors at Scone on debut last campaign while showing enough in recent trials. Keener on others.
ILB
First up from a break of 19 weeks and good effort to place 2nd first up last preparation at Scone. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished last of nine at Gosford four months ago; returns from a layoff here; others more likely.
RSIS
Resuming and made some ground late when 2nd beaten by over 2 1/2L resuming last preparation at Scone. Placed 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 2nd. Could feature here.
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Safely contained at Rosehill on debut when fancied 14 Oct. Experience helps. Has scope to progress.
ILB
At $2.50 not up to scratch when 5th last run at Rosehill but having second race start.
RP
Was fifth of seven on her debut at Rosehill over this distance at 6-4 15 days ago; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Started at 6/4 and below par when 5th last run at Rosehill but was a debutant last start.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Had no answers when the pressure went on at Newcastle debut 6 Oct. Must show improvement off that run.
ILB
At $13.00 hit the line well when 5th last run at Newcastle and was a debutant last start.
RSIS
Was 12/1 and making up some late ground when 5th last run at Newcastle and fitter for debut run.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Passable debut effort when battled home at Hawkesbury. Benefits from the experience. Drops to shorter trip. Only for exotics.
ILB
Started $7.50 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Hawkesbury but was on debut last time.
RSIS
Odds of 13/2 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Hawkesbury but was on debut last time.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Portelli striking at just 5%
AAP
Trials (6:4-1-0). $100k purchase. Out of a full sister to G2 winner Time to Reign. An outstanding trial worker but this isn't an easy race to kick off in.
ILB
First start at the races 3yo by Capitalist for Gary Portelli. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Record of the yard offers some encouragement; difficult to fancy strongly without some encouraging signs from the betting; first rules outing for this three-year-old son of Capitalist; also engaged in race 6 at Wyong.
RSIS
3yo by Capitalist on debut for Gary Portelli.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
2: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
AAP
Trailed leaders and battled to wire at Hawkesbury off extended spell. Fitter second-up. Draws to do no work. Only for exotics.
ILB
At $2.20 faded to finish 6th last time at Hawkesbury.
RP
Finished just behind Extreme Courage when sixth at Hawkesbury three weeks ago; without a win in three attempts although has finished third; also engaged in race 6 at Wyong.
RSIS
Started 6/5 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Hawkesbury.