Shortest win price
Frosted Warrior (3)
2.20
Welcome to Northam for the Vero Mdn over 1600m on a fine day with a good four track rating, where punters are lining up to dissect a tricky maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, Frosted Warrior finds a spot at the very head of proceedings, closely followed by De Lago's Rock. Further down the betting order, we find Lohtse and Sylva Jack holding down the next lines in the market as the runners prepare for battle at 7:25 pm AEDT.
Diving into the form behind those shorter prices, Frosted Warrior comes into this affair with solid credentials after hitting the frame at his last two outings, including a strong effort when placing at Belmont Park over 1400m where he picked up nicely from the back half. The step up in ground should be a distinct plus for him here. Meanwhile, De Lago's Rock has shown plenty of promise with three minor placings from four starts, most recently knuckling down with purpose right here at Northam. With William Pike taking the reins, she shapes as a major player high on any shortlist.
Looking at the broader tactical setup, the speed maps indicate that runners like Table Talk and Lohtse will likely push forward as leaders, while an army of onpace hopes including Frosted Warrior, De Lago's Rock, and Paul Party will look to keep things honest from their respective barriers. Sylva Jack also brings some interesting recent snippets to the yarn, coming off a solid let-up following a pleasing run over further at Bunbury, though she might find this 1600m test a bit sharp first-up. It all points to a fascinating tactical puzzle for punters to unravel.
Shortest win price
Frosted Warrior (3)
2.20
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Profound Benefit · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Sylva Jack · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Frosted Warrior · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Paul Party · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Career
23: 0-2-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-3
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 0-0-2
Going Good
14: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now
AAP
Sent out $31 when never got into the race at York. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Tailed off to finish 9th last run at York but gets a favourable alley. The large claim from Tara Atherden helps and returning to a longer distance. Good prospects.
RP
Ran well at this venue when third in July but losing run totals 23; could not manage better than ninth at York 21 days ago in a handicap; is passed over.
RSIS
Didn't threaten when 9th last run at York but can find a nice position from the draw. Tara Atherden takes a large claim and back to a rise in trip. Should be in the finish.
Career
13: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-0-1
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 54% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi 50% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Chloe Azzopardi winning at 34% POT in last 100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Really good run coming from well back at Bunbury over longer test. Untested in wet. Looks up against it.
ILB
Freshened for this. Started at $19.00 and missed by a narrow margin last time at Bunbury but dropping in distance. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Creditable effort (went off 18-1) to finish fifth at Bunbury over 1m2f (maiden) last month; still seeking a first success after 13 starts.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Started 18/1 and just shy of the win last run at Bunbury but dropping back to a shorter trip. Watch betting.
Career
7: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In the frame last two. Picked up strongly from back half at Belmont Park when fancied. More ground a plus. Rates highly in this affair.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Managed to run 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Belmont and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Great chance.
RP
Stepped up on his last two starts; just denied over 7f at Belmont Park (maiden) last week; not been able to get his head in front lately so others appeal more.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Ran home into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Belmont and form has been improving over recent runs. Tracking very well lately. Good chance of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Off pace but only battled home to cross the line this track over this distance. Has a tricky draw to contend with this time. Untested in wet. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can play a role with even luck.
ILB
Was $1.90 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last start at the track.
RSIS
Started at 10/11 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last start at this venue.
Career
10: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
4: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brayden Gaerth current POT is 52% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 34% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 70% in L100 rides
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Started $101 when battled home in Maiden company this venue. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Finished 6th last run here. Will be positive in the run early.
RP
Signs of improvement on last two runs but attempts to score at the 11th time of asking; finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) on Sunday; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Finished 6th last time at this venue. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 9 starts
AAP
Failed to flatter at Ascot. Untried in the wet. Unexposed at trip. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Started at $201.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last run at Ascot but stepping down to a lower level. Yet to fire a shot in 9 starts. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Found life tough when 11l back in eighth two weeks ago at Ascot in a conditions race; winless after nine races and largely been out of sorts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals with stamina to prove at this new trip.
RSIS
Started at 200/1 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last time at Ascot but matched against lesser competition. Unplaced in career.
Career
4: 0-0-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
2: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
William Pike 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Showing some promise. Handy, knuckled down with purpose this track as an odds drifter. Pike on. All the better, high on the shortlist.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 3rd last time at this track and solid career start. Likely to be well placed early. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Will be there at the business end.
RP
Ran well when beaten less than a length two weeks ago; William Pike booked; should prove competitive as a number of his rivals have questions to answer.
RSIS
Caught the eye when 3rd last start around here and promising career start. Should muster plenty of early pace. Been in the placings each attempt of late. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
7: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Best result was a Narrogin placing. Two quiet trials for return. May need this.
ILB
First up today. Started at $9.50 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at this track and dropping back to a shorter trip. Hard to recommend.
RP
Finished last of eight in May upped to 1m3f; improved form the last twice; returns from a layoff; passed over.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 17/2 and faded to finish 8th last start around here and down in trip. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
4: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to make an impression in the 3yo+ Mdn at Bunbury. Hard to make a case.
ILB
At $81.00 was well beaten when 11th last time at Bunbury. Yet to break maiden status after 8 runs. Rather have another day.
RP
Towards the rear of 14 over 7f at Bunbury (maiden) last month; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Bunbury. Still a maiden after 8 starts.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $41 when battled home in Maiden company at Belmont Park. Unknown in wet. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $41.00 and ran 7th last run at Belmont. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Was held in seventh at Belmont Park over 7f (maiden) a week ago; warrants respect given several of her rivals have questions to answer and she ran well three runs back.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started at 40/1 and ran 7th last run at Belmont. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
AAP
Settled back and passed a few late in the 3yo+ Mdn this track when second-up. Has a tricky draw. Unknown in wet. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Odds of $15.00 and picked up some late ground when 5th last time at this venue. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Finished behind De Lago's Rock beaten 4½l two weeks ago; still looking to open his account after four runs; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and moved through the field into 5th last run at the track.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 7% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jason Lyon 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 3265%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
A very soft debut performance at Ascot at a mammoth price 14 Oct. Learnt plenty there. Quickly up in trip for second run. Can figure here with natural progression.
ILB
Started at $201.00 and not up to scratch when 12th last run at Ascot but having second career run. Going down in class. Stepping up in trip. This won't be easy.
RP
Didn't offer much on his debut in Ascot handicap over 6f at 200-1 two weeks ago; has to be considered.
RSIS
At 200/1 lacklustre showing when 12th last run at Ascot but having second career run. Stepping down to a lower level. Facing a rise in trip.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Daniel Morton in good form, out performing market 23%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 33%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to stamp herself on the race at Ascot debut 14 Oct. Better for run. Place preferred option.
ILB
Jumped at $9.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at Ascot. Likely to bounce back and was on debut last time. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Beaten 6l to finish eighth on her debut at Ascot at 8-1 two weeks ago; the stable continues to be among winners recently; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
At 8/1 gave away some ground when 8th last time at Ascot. Should improve from the last run and was a debutant last start. Competitive type.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
AAP
Had no answers when the pressure went on at Bunbury debut at wide odds 7 Oct. Must takes a major step forward.
ILB
Started $41.00 and ordinary performance when 9th last run at Bunbury but fitter for debut run. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Finished ninth of 12 on her debut with cheekpieces applied over 7f at Bunbury at 40-1 22 days ago; must be high on list.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and was ordinary when 9th last run at Bunbury but fitter for debut run. Will be giving the leaders a big start.