Shortest win price
Bank Interest (1)
3.90
Welcome to Townsville for the Win News Mdn Plate over the 1200m journey on a Soft5 track under overcast skies. It is time for local punters to sink their teeth into a intriguing three-year-old maiden battle. Looking at the early win market order, Bank Interest holds down the shortest quote to kick things off, closely followed by Booming Belief, Better Option, and Foxy Cheval rounding out the leading fancies in a competitive betting landscape set to jump at 1:40 pm AEDT.
The form lines behind those shorter prices tell an interesting yarn for form students. Bank Interest comes out of a solid effort at Cairns when finishing second over 1250m, sticking to his guns to fill the minors, though he does rise 4kg here for trainer R C Ludwig with Ashley Butler in the saddle from barrier 8. Meanwhile, Booming Belief for trainer F J Wieland and jockey Ryan Wiggins is another key player sitting near the head of the market, having performed really well in their only other go at this course and distance alongside a recent third at Townsville over 1000m.
Looking further down the race book for other angles, we find speed influences like Nicco Nota Fighter and Squadrons drawn to race up on the pace from their respective barriers, while Divine Soul catches the eye getting a low draw in barrier 2 for Matthew Mcguire after running on hard last start. Whether you are backing the market fancies or hunting for a value runner in the form pack, it shapes as a fascinating race on the quick back-up for these young hopefuls.
Shortest win price
Bank Interest (1)
3.90
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Bank Interest · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Better Option · Negative
Jockey Booking
Julie Busuttin current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Divine Soul · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Harry Hot Laps · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-1-0
Track Atherton
1: 0-0-0
Track Gordonvale
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Ashley Butler 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 450%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Been in the thick of it. Stuck to his guns to fill the minors at double-figure odds at Cairns. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Did well when 2nd last time at Cairns and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Goes up in weight. Strong prospects.
RP
Ran a good race in defeat when a close second in a handicap (Cairns) two weeks ago.
RSIS
Tidy run when 2nd last start at Cairns and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Recent form of the stable is strong but rising in weight. Solid chance.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Julie Busuttin current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 49% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut this venue 4 Oct. Wiser for it. Worth a look.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and pushed past some when 4th last start at this track and was on debut last time. Large claim helps. Marginal chance.
RP
Finished fourth on his debut, albeit only beaten 2l over 5f at 16-1 three weeks ago; can be on the premises if replicating initial run.
RSIS
Started at 16/1 and ran on into 4th last time here and having second race start. Julie Busuttin takes a large claim.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-0
Distance 820m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Form profile moderate but latest was okay. Place preferred option.
ILB
Jumped at $26.00 and ran on into 5th last run at the track and can find a nice position from the draw. Expected to settle towards the tail. Prefer a race with softer competition.
RP
Fifth, not beaten that far (25-1) in a handicap when separating a number of reopposing rivals three weeks ago; still searching for first win after three tries.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and picked up some ground to run 5th last start at this track and gets a favourable stall. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Anthony Allen 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 32%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Passable debut effort when battled home this venue at healthy odds. Better for the run. Added distance may help. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Was $21.00 and not competitive when 7th last run at this venue but having second career run. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Finished seventh on his debut, albeit only beaten 3½l (here, 5f) at 20-1 three weeks ago; hard to dismiss.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and mediocre attempt when 7th last start at this track but fitter for debut run.
Career
7: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Cairns
3: 0-1-2
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
3: 0-1-2
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Prominent and went down fighting in the Maiden company this track. Tactical speed, inside draw. Key contender.
ILB
Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run at the track. Should muster plenty of early toe. Exhibiting good form this campaign. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; unfancied when going close here over 5f (handicap) had five of the horses he faces behind three weeks ago.
RSIS
In the money when 2nd last time around here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Showing good ability in recent runs. Must be considered here.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moree
1: 0-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Unplaced in all 5 runs to date. Failed to make an impression in the 2yo+ Mdn Plate at Innisfail. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started at $41.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Innisfail but stepping up in trip. Could feature here.
RP
Held in seventh at Innisfail over 4½f (maiden) eight days ago; attempting to open his account at the sixth time of asking; now upped in trip and is passed over.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started 40/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Innisfail but rising in distance. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
9: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-1
Track Cairns
5: 0-0-2
Track Townsville
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
4: 0-0-2
Going Good
5: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Honest performer. Modest performance at Cairns. Performed really well only other go this course and trip. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Started $7.50 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Cairns. Very competitive this campaign. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
Improved form the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); respectable effort when fourth in a handicap (Cairns, not far behind Bank Interest) two weeks ago upped to this trip; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and improved late to finish 4th last time at Cairns. In a purple patch of form since returning from a break. Will attract plenty of interest.
Career
8: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-1
Track Cairns
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Safely held but not totally disgraced at Cairns at healthy odds. Drawn favourably. Super fit from racing, not out of it.
ILB
Was $19.00 and faded in the run home when 5th last time at Cairns but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Beaten 9l in fifth in a handicap when dropped back to 4½f at Cairns two weeks ago; has kicked on in her last couple of races but still winless and defeats stacking up (eight on the bounce); stable has been going through a quiet spell; passed over.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Cairns but has to cope with a weight increase. Lacey Morrison is a crucial engagement. Betting is the best guide.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (21-weeks). Trial was pleasing. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
First up from a spell. Was $9.50 and average at best when 4th last time at Cairns. Respect the betting.
RP
Held when fourth beaten 8l (Cairns) in May in a handicap; returns from a layoff; difficult to oppose.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 17/2 and just average when 4th last time at Cairns.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Freshened. Ex A & T Sweeney in QLD. Raced in back half and never likely at Warwick at second start. Place preferred option.
ILB
Was $17.00 and came in 8th last start at Warwick but facing a rise in trip. First start for a new trainer.
RSIS
Odds of 16/1 and came in 8th last start at Warwick but facing a rise in trip. Coming to a new trainer.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
2: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Cairns at second appearance. Has plenty to find.
ILB
Weakened to finish 10th last time at Cairns but has minimal work to do from the draw.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 12l into tenth) when close behind Foxy Cheval at Cairns 14 days ago in a handicap; warrants respect.
RSIS
Weakened to finish 10th last start at Cairns but gets the perfect stall.
Career
8: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Ex Paul Butterworth in QLD. Finished a long way from the action Mdn Plate at Ipswich. Only for exotics.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Ipswich. Coming to a new trainer. Yet to break maiden status after 8 starts. Looks to be in trouble.
RP
Last of 11 at Ipswich over 6½f (maiden) 17 days ago; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; now running for a new trainer; others appeal more.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Ipswich. First appearance for a new trainer. Yet to break through after 8 starts.