Shortest win price
Ask Me Mate (5)
3.60
Welcome to Townsville for this afternoon meeting where the track is rated a soft 5 under overcast skies. Race seven is the Mick Harris 50th handicap over the 1609m trip, bringing together a handy field of battlers and stayers. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Intruder sitting right at the head of affairs, followed closely by Ask Me Mate and Beta Better, with Khals and Garinion Righ next in line in the betting ring.
The yarn behind the shorter-priced runners tells an interesting story. Intruder comes in for Ms J Hassett carrying top weight of 60kg from barrier one, looking to bounce back quickly after just missing here over 1400m when fighting on bravely for second. The speed map suggests an easy lead might be on the cards from the inside alley. Meanwhile, Ask Me Mate for William Kenning lines up from barrier eight following a consistent third over 1400m at this track where he kept coming despite the winner being too strong, and Anthony Allen takes the mount with solid riding form behind him.
Further down the race book, Beta Better for Belynda Kliese catches the eye after showing plenty of fight to win over 1810m at Bowen before shifting back to this 1609m distance, bringing winning form from an onpace speed map position. Khals also backs up quickly from a previous run at this venue where things did not entirely go to plan, rounding out a fascinating contest where track specialists and short backups will dictate how the race unfolds.
Shortest win price
Ask Me Mate (5)
3.60
Most career wins
Nippa's Nightcap
6-6-7 from 49 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Intruder · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nippa's Nightcap · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Garinion Righ · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ask Me Mate · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
On a short back-up. Started $9.50 when sent forward and narrowly prevailed (Bm65). Has speed. Right in the mix again.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start at the track.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start here.
Career
38: 3-6-5
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-1
Track Ipswich
2: 2-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-2-0
Track Canterbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-2-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 1-4-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Strode forward off wide gate, fought on bravely to just miss this venue for new stable. Drawn for an easy lead. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Right in contention last run at the track and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Should muster plenty of early speed. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Producing consistent form; a winner over C&D; missed out by a nose over 7f here (handicap, had Ask Me Mate and Khals behind) on first run for current trainer a week ago.
RSIS
On a short back up. Narrowly beaten last start around here and will try to take advantage of the draw. Has early pace and positions nicely. Commands respect.
Career
49: 6-6-7
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-1
Track Gold Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
7: 1-1-1
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
24: 2-4-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 3-2-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Cairns. Has to lift considerably.
ILB
At $31.00 faded to finish 10th last start at Cairns but returning to a rise in trip. Will need to elevate.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Townsville in August; finished last of ten over 6f at Cairns (handicap) two weeks ago; others appeal more as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
At 30/1 was well beaten when 10th last start at Cairns but going back up in trip.
Career
18: 5-1-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1817m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 4-1-0
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Positive
4 time winner here at Townsville
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fought bravely to the wire in the (Bm65) at Bowen. Coming back in distance. Others with more appeal.
ILB
In the money when 3rd last start at Bowen. Racing consistently this campaign. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Finishing third was a good effort two weeks ago over 1m1f at Bowen (handicap), behind the reopposing Beta Better; a C&D winner; running consistently; much respected.
RSIS
Ran well when 3rd last run at Bowen. Looking sharp on the track lately.
Career
22: 4-3-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Mackay
1: 0-1-0
Track Rockhampton
16: 4-2-4
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 3-2-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Anthony Allen 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 364%
Key Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
On a short back-up. Reasonably consistent. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong this course. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Close to claiming the win last time here and getting better in recent performances. Suited against these.
RP
Good effort when close up over 7f here (handicap) last Sunday - split Intruder and Khals; not been able to get his head in front lately so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Missed by a narrow margin last run around here and form has been improving over recent runs. Should go very close.
Career
25: 4-3-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1605m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
18: 3-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Been racing well. Showed plenty of fight winning (Bm65) at Bowen. Switching to 1609m. A few runs under her belt this campaign, warrants attention.
ILB
Was fighting out the finish when winning by a nose last start at Bowen. Could be in the mix.
RP
Can boast winning form over this C&D; gained narrow success in a handicap at Bowen when accounting for two of these 15 days ago; should go well.
RSIS
Was fighting out the finish when winning last time at Bowen. Watch the betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
AAP
Shooting for hat-trick. Shouldered 61kg to victory at Ewan. Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Bowen. Hard fit, can again play a role if things pan out.
ILB
On a quick back up. Jumped at $10.00 and moderate showing when 7th last time at Mackay.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Odds of 9/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last start at Mackay.
Career
37: 5-2-6
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gordonvale
2: 1-0-1
Track Cairns
16: 2-0-2
Track Townsville
17: 1-2-3
Distance 950m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 1-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Gordonvale. Looks up against it.
ILB
Fought on gamely when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and up against a less competitive field. Likely to settle back in the field. Minor claims.
RP
Has winning track form; caused an upset when winning handicap at 8-1 (Gordonvale) 22 days ago; has to be considered.
RSIS
Really dug deep when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and facing less formidable opponents. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
14: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
6: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
4: 1-0-2
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Backing up quickly. Sent out $8 when never got into the race this venue. Remote place hope at best.
ILB
On a quick back up. Odds of $8.00 and ordinary performance when 8th last start at the track. Jockey Ryan Wiggins is in top form for this stable. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; was held in eighth over 7f here (handicap) dropped back in distance last week; he can be taken on given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started 7/1 and lacklustre showing when 8th last start here. Ryan Wiggins and Stephen Massingham are usually competitive together. Capable of winning this.
Career
17: 1-3-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
3: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-2
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Jumped in distance when ran on okay without troubling this track. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $5.50 and improved when 5th last start at the track. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Respect the betting.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth three weeks ago upped to this trip; has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Eagle Farm in January; not hard to turn elsewhere as this is competitive.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and pushed past some when 5th last run at the track. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces off first time. Betting is the best guide.
Career
19: 3-0-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
8: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ashley Butler 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Not disgraced at Bowen. Strikes a harder race.
ILB
Came in 4th last start at Bowen but will benefit with the weight drop. Struggling this campaign. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Finished fourth beaten 2½l over 7½f at Bowen (handicap) 15 days ago; this is her level and string of consistent efforts of late; latest effort was encouraging so could go close.
RSIS
Ran 4th last run at Bowen but will appreciate the drop in weight. Struggling in recent runs with no placings from 7 starts.
Career
35: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 1-1-1
Track Newcastle
6: 1-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1360m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Fred Wieland striking at just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
Sound performance in small field at Cairns. Super fit from racing, one for exotics.
ILB
Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Cairns and drawn the rails.
RP
Good effort when just over 1l second over 7f at Cairns (handicap) 14 days ago.
RSIS
Ran on strongly when 2nd last time at Cairns and drawn nicely.
Career
33: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
6: 1-0-0
Track Townsville
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 174%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Winless since 17 Jul 2024. Went home tamely at Bowen at $12. Remains unplaced from 5 starts here. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Was $18.00 and not in contention when 8th last time at Bowen. Hard to see this being good enough.
RP
A long time since his last win; was behind Beta Better at Bowen two weeks ago when not beaten far upped to 1m1f; a few rivals look in good form so others more appealing.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last run at Bowen.