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Townsville (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Townsville (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 25 OctTownsville (QLD)Change

Race 7 — Mick Harris 50Th (Bm65) 1609m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Townsville for this afternoon meeting where the track is rated a soft 5 under overcast skies. Race seven is the Mick Harris 50th handicap over the 1609m trip, bringing together a handy field of battlers and stayers. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Intruder sitting right at the head of affairs, followed closely by Ask Me Mate and Beta Better, with Khals and Garinion Righ next in line in the betting ring.

The yarn behind the shorter-priced runners tells an interesting story. Intruder comes in for Ms J Hassett carrying top weight of 60kg from barrier one, looking to bounce back quickly after just missing here over 1400m when fighting on bravely for second. The speed map suggests an easy lead might be on the cards from the inside alley. Meanwhile, Ask Me Mate for William Kenning lines up from barrier eight following a consistent third over 1400m at this track where he kept coming despite the winner being too strong, and Anthony Allen takes the mount with solid riding form behind him.

Further down the race book, Beta Better for Belynda Kliese catches the eye after showing plenty of fight to win over 1810m at Bowen before shifting back to this 1609m distance, bringing winning form from an onpace speed map position. Khals also backs up quickly from a previous run at this venue where things did not entirely go to plan, rounding out a fascinating contest where track specialists and short backups will dictate how the race unfolds.

Race notes

  • BM65,BM65 HCP,Benchmark 65
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Ask Me Mate (5)

3.60

Most career wins

Nippa's Nightcap

6-6-7 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Khals

Offmidfield

  • 8Betta Al

Midfield

  • 10Zeamaize
  • 11Whirlwind
  • 13Twin Turbo

Offpace

  • 3Nippa's Nightcap
  • 5Ask Me Mate

Onpace

  • 6Beta Better
  • 4Garinion Righ

Leader

  • 2Intruder
  • Intruder · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Nippa's Nightcap · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.

  • Garinion Righ · Negative

    Slow Early LS

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ask Me Mate · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Brave AgendaScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Started $9.50 when sent forward and narrowly prevailed (Bm65). Has speed. Right in the mix again.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start at the track.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start here.

2IntruderJ: Mitch Goring·T: Ms J Hassett160kg1 3 1 1 238: 3-6-5$3.70$1.45

Career

38: 3-6-5

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Track Ipswich

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Canterbury

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 0-2-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    16: 1-4-2

Last starts

  1. 2Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.04L
  2. 1Townsville850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-3.7
  3. 1Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.8
  4. 3Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51L
  5. 1Townsville1609m18 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-1.01
  6. 5Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.1L
  7. 2Cairns1400m23 July 2026 · CL2 · SOFT70.2L
  8. 3Townsville1300m5 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Strode forward off wide gate, fought on bravely to just miss this venue for new stable. Drawn for an easy lead. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Right in contention last run at the track and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Should muster plenty of early speed. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

RP

Producing consistent form; a winner over C&D; missed out by a nose over 7f here (handicap, had Ask Me Mate and Khals behind) on first run for current trainer a week ago.

RSIS

On a short back up. Narrowly beaten last start around here and will try to take advantage of the draw. Has early pace and positions nicely. Commands respect.

3Nippa's NightcapJ: Lacey Morrison·T: Sharlee Hoffman560kg1 4 5 6 1049: 6-6-7$12.00$3.30

Career

49: 6-6-7

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    7: 1-1-1

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    4: 2-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    24: 2-4-5

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    16: 3-2-2

Last starts

  1. 10Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD46.98L
  2. 6Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP4.34L
  3. 5Mareeba1800m5 Sept 2026 · BM684.7L
  4. 4Innisfail1800m15 Aug 2026 · HCP4.8L
  5. 1Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.5
  6. 2Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT70.2L
  7. 4Innisfail2000m20 June 2026 · BM655.4L
  8. 4Atherton1830m13 June 2026 · BM654L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Cairns. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

At $31.00 faded to finish 10th last start at Cairns but returning to a rise in trip. Will need to elevate.

RP

Brings winning C&D form to the table; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Townsville in August; finished last of ten over 6f at Cairns (handicap) two weeks ago; others appeal more as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

At 30/1 was well beaten when 10th last start at Cairns but going back up in trip.

4Garinion RighJ: Aidan Holt·T: Georgie Holt459.5kg4 1 11 3 318: 5-1-3$6.50$2.25

Career

18: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Ewan

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1817m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 4-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.2L
  2. 3Ewan1750m25 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4L
  3. 11Townsville1400m8 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD47.1L
  4. 1Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT5-0.2
  5. 4Townsville850m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.8L
  6. 11Sunshine Coast1600m24 May 2026 · BM62 · SOFT712.6L
  7. 3Beaudesert1650m25 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY83.1L
  8. 6Gatton1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.4L

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    4 time winner here at Townsville

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the (Bm65) at Bowen. Coming back in distance. Others with more appeal.

ILB

In the money when 3rd last start at Bowen. Racing consistently this campaign. This will pose a challenge.

RP

Finishing third was a good effort two weeks ago over 1m1f at Bowen (handicap), behind the reopposing Beta Better; a C&D winner; running consistently; much respected.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Bowen. Looking sharp on the track lately.

5Ask Me MateJ: Anthony Allen·T: William Kenning859kg4 1 6 4 322: 4-3-5$3.60$1.50

Career

22: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Mackay

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    16: 4-2-4

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    5: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    10: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-2-3

Last starts

  1. 3Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.48L
  2. 4Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.11L
  3. 6Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.64L
  4. 1Townsville850m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-4.4
  5. 4Rockhampton1400m13 Aug 2026 · CL5 · GOOD42.9L
  6. 3Rockhampton1400m31 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.7L
  7. 4Rockhampton1200m11 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT50.7L
  8. 3Rockhampton1300m19 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT51.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Anthony Allen 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 364%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Anthony Allen winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Reasonably consistent. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong this course. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Close to claiming the win last time here and getting better in recent performances. Suited against these.

RP

Good effort when close up over 7f here (handicap) last Sunday - split Intruder and Khals; not been able to get his head in front lately so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Missed by a narrow margin last run around here and form has been improving over recent runs. Should go very close.

6Beta BetterJ: Chris Whiteley·T: Belynda Kliese358kg7 10 1 2 125: 4-3-1$6.00$2.15

Career

25: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Murwillumbah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1605m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    18: 3-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.04
  2. 2Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.16L
  3. 1Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT5-2.05
  4. 10Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT54.9L
  5. 7Townsville1609m18 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43.33L
  6. 2Townsville850m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
  7. 6Mackay2000m25 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD424.47L
  8. 2Townsville1609m5 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Showed plenty of fight winning (Bm65) at Bowen. Switching to 1609m. A few runs under her belt this campaign, warrants attention.

ILB

Was fighting out the finish when winning by a nose last start at Bowen. Could be in the mix.

RP

Can boast winning form over this C&D; gained narrow success in a handicap at Bowen when accounting for two of these 15 days ago; should go well.

RSIS

Was fighting out the finish when winning last time at Bowen. Watch the betting.

7AirwavesScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Shouldered 61kg to victory at Ewan. Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Bowen. Hard fit, can again play a role if things pan out.

ILB

On a quick back up. Jumped at $10.00 and moderate showing when 7th last time at Mackay.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 9/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last start at Mackay.

8Betta AlJ: Wanderson D'Avila·T: A R Bailey1057.5kg6 1 8 10 137: 5-2-6$34.00$5.00

Career

37: 5-2-6

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gordonvale

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Cairns

    16: 2-0-2

  • Track Townsville

    17: 1-2-3

  • Distance 950m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Gordonvale1800m3 Oct 2026 · HCP-0.26
  2. 10Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT57.55L
  3. 8Cairns1900m22 Aug 2026 · AMAT CUP BM74 · SOFT69L
  4. 1Innisfail1500m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 60-0.7
  5. 6Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT74L
  6. 7Townsville1609m5 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.9L
  7. 2Townsville1400m22 June 2026 · BM55 · GOOD41L
  8. 3Townsville1400m16 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 7%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Gordonvale. Looks up against it.

ILB

Fought on gamely when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and up against a less competitive field. Likely to settle back in the field. Minor claims.

RP

Has winning track form; caused an upset when winning handicap at 8-1 (Gordonvale) 22 days ago; has to be considered.

RSIS

Really dug deep when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and facing less formidable opponents. Might have to make up considerable ground.

9KhalsJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: S Massingham257.5kg3 9 9 1 814: 2-0-3$8.00$2.50

Career

14: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    4: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 8Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD45.13L
  2. 1Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.16
  3. 9Townsville1400m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT53.1L
  4. 9Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
  5. 3Cairns1250m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 SW · SOFT62.8L
  6. 9Townsville1200m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.6L
  7. 4Laura Qld1200m27 June 2026 · BM6016.1L
  8. 6Cairns1500m23 Aug 2025 · 4yo · GOOD46.3L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Sent out $8 when never got into the race this venue. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

On a quick back up. Odds of $8.00 and ordinary performance when 8th last start at the track. Jockey Ryan Wiggins is in top form for this stable. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Brings winning C&D form to the table; was held in eighth over 7f here (handicap) dropped back in distance last week; he can be taken on given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 7/1 and lacklustre showing when 8th last start here. Ryan Wiggins and Stephen Massingham are usually competitive together. Capable of winning this.

10ZeamaizeJ: Chris Mc Iver·T: Michael Mclellan956kg4 6 4 9 517: 1-3-2$14.00$3.60

Career

17: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Toowoomba

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1625m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-2-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42.93L
  2. 9Townsville1200m18 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SOFT55.09L
  3. 4Townsville850m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L
  4. 6Toowoomba1625m3 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.5L
  5. 4Gatton1400m27 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42L
  6. 6Doomben1650m17 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
  7. 4Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51.4L
  8. 8Toowoomba1300m2 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT511.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Jumped in distance when ran on okay without troubling this track. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $5.50 and improved when 5th last start at the track. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Respect the betting.

RP

Not disgraced when fifth three weeks ago upped to this trip; has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Eagle Farm in January; not hard to turn elsewhere as this is competitive.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and pushed past some when 5th last run at the track. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces off first time. Betting is the best guide.

11WhirlwindJ: Ashley Butler·T: Matthew Mcguire755kg10 11 9 4 419: 3-0-2$26.00$4.40

Career

19: 3-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mackay

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    8: 1-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bowen1470m10 Oct 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.37L
  2. 4Ewan1600m26 Sept 2026 · CL43.55L
  3. 9Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT57.09L
  4. 11Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT57.7L
  5. 10Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT79.2L
  6. 13Townsville1300m5 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD46.5L
  7. 5Townsville1200m22 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.2L
  8. 4Townsville1609m15 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY81.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Ashley Butler 29% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Dry Spell

    Negative

    Recent form uninspiring

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Bowen. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Came in 4th last start at Bowen but will benefit with the weight drop. Struggling this campaign. Entitled to be a big price.

RP

Finished fourth beaten 2½l over 7½f at Bowen (handicap) 15 days ago; this is her level and string of consistent efforts of late; latest effort was encouraging so could go close.

RSIS

Ran 4th last run at Bowen but will appreciate the drop in weight. Struggling in recent runs with no placings from 7 starts.

12Manhattan'sScratched1––––

Career

35: 3-6-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    6: 1-1-1

  • Track Newcastle

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1360m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 2-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Cairns1450m11 Oct 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.22L
  2. 7Gordonvale1360m3 Oct 2026 · BM654.55L
  3. 7Townsville1400m8 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.28L
  4. 6Cairns1450m22 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT62.8L
  5. 4Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM652.9L
  6. 2Cairns1500m4 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY103.1L
  7. 3Townsville1400m31 Mar 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.9L
  8. 6Cairns1250m12 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY85.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Fred Wieland striking at just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Cairns. Super fit from racing, one for exotics.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Cairns and drawn the rails.

RP

Good effort when just over 1l second over 7f at Cairns (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last time at Cairns and drawn nicely.

13Twin TurboJ: Raul Silvera Olivera·T: D K Amos654kg6 5 4 6 833: 2-4-2$26.00$4.40

Career

33: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kembla Grange

    6: 1-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 2-3-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.2L
  2. 6Ewan1600m26 Sept 2026 · CL412.71L
  3. 4Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT52.97L
  4. 5Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT52.4L
  5. 6Mackay1800m20 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.4L
  6. 5Townsville2000m8 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.5L
  7. 11Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.8L
  8. 6Mackay1560m17 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 174%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Winless since 17 Jul 2024. Went home tamely at Bowen at $12. Remains unplaced from 5 starts here. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was $18.00 and not in contention when 8th last time at Bowen. Hard to see this being good enough.

RP

A long time since his last win; was behind Beta Better at Bowen two weeks ago when not beaten far upped to 1m1f; a few rivals look in good form so others more appealing.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last run at Bowen.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races