Shortest win price
Gilded Reign (1)
2.30
Welcome to York for The Flour Mill Cafe Mdn over 1920m on a Soft 5 track under overcast skies. Since the race has already jumped at 4:47 pm AEDT, let us look at how the market shook out. Gilded Reign leads the win market order, followed closely by Rare Rock, Kingsley Town, and Rock The Mic rounding out the top four in betting. Punters looking for a yarn will find plenty to unpack as this staying maiden unfolded across the regional circuit.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Gilded Reign lines up for D T Mcauliffe with Clint Johnston-Porter steering from barrier 7. Carrying 59kg, this runner drops back to a suitable class after running fourth and seventh at Bunbury over 1400m, with form notes suggesting it is ready to test its staying credentials. Kingsley Town is another key player for trainer Aaron Pateman and jockey Kate Pateman, jumping from barrier 5 on a quick back-up after sticking to its guns to fill the minors when second at Moora over 1500m.
For those seeking further angles down the order, She's Resolute maps as the leader from barrier 2, while Lead Cinga brings early speed from barrier 4 which can prove a handy asset on this tight circuit. Rare Rock is kept safe in the market despite drawing barrier 3 off recent efforts at Bunbury and Northam, while veteran runner Going Hard lines up from barrier 1 for M H Miller carrying the lightweight. It is opinion only, but those tracking the staying credentials of Gilded Reign might have found plenty to like in this company.
Shortest win price
Gilded Reign (1)
2.30
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Gilded Reign · Negative
Awkward Draw
Would have liked a better draw
Rock The Mic · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
She's Resolute · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Rare Rock · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Career
10: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fairly consistent this campaign. Kept on evenly at Bunbury. Ready to test his staying credentials now. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
At $10.00 ran 7th last time at Bunbury. Has the potential to improve sharply and racing over a longer distance. Strong winning hope.
RP
Defeats piling up (0-10); didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bunbury (beaten 3½l) in a maiden last week; steps into the unknown over new trip and hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and came in 7th last start at Bunbury. Is capable of a resurgence and facing a rise in trip. Strong claims and hard to beat.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Bunbury. Right in the mix.
ILB
Unsatisfactory performance when 8th last time at Bunbury. Should be swooping on the field late. Large claim helps. Do not dismiss entirely.
RP
Finished eighth, beaten 10l, at Bunbury last month upped to 1m2f in a maiden; respected.
RSIS
Fairly underwhelming when 8th last start at Bunbury. Should be swooping on the field late. The large claim from Sharni Webster helps.
Career
21: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Bunbury
11: 0-1-2
Track Narrogin
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1618m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 0-2-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Finished well down the track in 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Bunbury last outing. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Was $151.00 and weakened to finish 11th last start at Bunbury but competing in an easier class. Should come to hand quickly. Has a positive draw. Rising in weight. Respect the betting.
RP
Not the most consistent of horses lately and still searching for her first win after 21 attempts; 11th of 12 over 1m½f at Bunbury (handicap) last Monday; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Odds of 150/1 and faded to finish 11th last run at Bunbury but up against a less competitive field. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 45%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $151 when safely held in Maiden company at Bunbury. Among the dangers.
ILB
Started $151.00 and finished 6th last run at Bunbury. Can't have.
RP
Ahead of Rock The Mic and Going Hard when sixth (beaten 6l) in a maiden last week at Bunbury upped to 1m2f; deserves respect.
RSIS
At 150/1 ran 6th last time at Bunbury.
Career
14: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
5: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Not Trustworthy
Negative
May be competing at this level for some time
AAP
Many starts with little to show. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Bunbury. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
Started $61.00 and was ordinary when 8th last start at Bunbury. Gets back and needs luck. Has struggled so far this preparation. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Tried in blinkers in a maiden upped to 1m2f when beaten 7l at Bunbury last month; shown signs of promise here and there and rates a likely contender.
RSIS
At 60/1 clearly outclassed when 8th last time at Bunbury. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Yet to fire in recent runs.
Career
12: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moora
1: 0-1-0
Track Kojonup
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Stuck to his guns to fill the minors at Moora for new stable. Ready to tackle longer now. Highly fancied to go one better.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Maintained a solid pace but eventually weakened to finish 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Moora. Expecting to settle positively. Strong claims.
RP
Beaten 1½l at Moora over 7½f (maiden) on first run for this trainer at the weekend; has arguably shown improved form the last twice.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Was found wanting late when 2nd last start at Moora. Has shown early pace in races to date. Could take this out.
Career
15: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
6: 0-1-0
Track Geraldton
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1403m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Had plenty of chances. Never sighted at Bunbury. First time around York. Looks up against it.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and below standard effort when 10th last time at Bunbury. The large claim from Kayla Holroyd should help. Place best.
RP
Close up behind Crazy Carrot when tenth in a maiden at Bunbury three weeks ago upped to 1m2f; yet to win, defeats are stacking up; passed over.
RSIS
At 100/1 only fair when 10th last run at Bunbury. Large claim helps.
Career
36: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
8: 0-1-0
Track Narrogin
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1720m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jason Lyon 35% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jason Lyon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 35%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten at Bunbury at cricket score odds. Usually gets back. Noted non winner.
ILB
Started $151.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Bunbury but has the ideal draw. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Best to watch and see.
RP
Defeats piling up (0-36); behind two of these ten days ago when last at Bunbury in a maiden; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
At 150/1 weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Bunbury but drawn beautifully. Struggling recently with no placings from 16 starts. Might be ridden for luck.