York (WA) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:25 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for York (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 8 OctYork (WA)Change

Race 2 — Avon Valley Pools (Bm52+) 1920m · jumps Thu 8 Oct, 5:22 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to York for the Avon Valley Pools benchmark fixture over the 1920m journey, run on a soft five surface under overcast skies. Punters looking at the early win market order find Hanafubuki sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Gold Beau, Point Of Luck, and Space Academy leading the next tier of runners. Behind them in the market come Rebelnado, Fioreyes, Obscentino, and Lathams Wish as the field heads out over the staying trip.

The market leader Hanafubuki comes here from barrier five with Clint Johnston-Porter steering for Aaron Mitchell, carrying the top weight of sixty kilos. Recent form features runs at Belmont over further, including an on-pace effort where the stayer could not quite sustain the bid before dropping back in distance here. Another key player near the front of the betting is Gold Beau from barrier eight for Coreen Maynard and Laqdar Ramoly, coming off encouraging minor placings at Belmont over middle distances where it kept finding the line nicely.

Looking further down the order, Point Of Luck draws barrier three for Bethany Poletti and Shaun O'Donnell, bringing a handy course win to the table. Although the backmarker was well back and made limited headway over further at Northam last time out, that prior track and distance success makes it an interesting puzzle piece for wider multiples as the race unfolded.

Race notes

3UP RTG 52+ HCP,3yo+,Benchmark 52+,RTG 52+
SOFT5
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Hanafubuki (1)

2.90

Most career wins

Fioreyes

4-2-3 from 44 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Point Of Luck

Midfield

6Lathams Wish
3Space Academy
4Gold Beau
5Rebelnado

Offpace

1Hanafubuki
7Fioreyes

Leader

2Obscentino

Hanafubuki · Negative
Trainer SR
Aaron Mitchell striking at just 4%
Obscentino · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Space Academy · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Gold Beau · Negative
Trainer SR
Coreen Maynard striking at just 4%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1HanafubukiJ: Clint Johnston-Porter·T: Aaron Mitchell560kg2 9 7 11 725: 2-4-5$2.90$1.24

Career

25: 2-4-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-3-3
Going Soft
10: 0-1-2

Last starts

7Belmont2200m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT54L
11Belmont2100m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 66+ HCP · SOFT58.1L
7Belmont2100m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · SOFT51.6L
9Northam1600m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD1.75L
2Pakenham2500m12 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
4Sandown3000m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.5L
5Pakenham2500m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L
4Sandown2100m26 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD42.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Aaron Mitchell striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 156%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

On pace but unable to sustain bid at Belmont Park. Coming back in distance. Key contender.

ILB

Lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Belmont. Giving another chance here and competing in a lower grade. Has to carry more weight this time. Stamps its reason for consideration.

Not disgraced when seventh over 1m3f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; plenty of appeal as shown she can be competitive fairly recently.

RSIS

Didn't find the line when 7th last start at Belmont. Looking for an improved run and taking on a lower class of opponents. Rising in weight. Very capable of taking this out.

2ObscentinoJ: Sharni Webster·T: Ms K D'Orsogna159.5kg8 11 2 1 836: 1-4-5$21.00$3.60

Career

36: 1-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Narrogin
3: 0-0-0
Track Dongara
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-2

Last starts

8Northam2200m13 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD8L
1Northam2200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
2Northam2200m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · HEAVY90.3L
11Belmont2100m19 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · SOFT55.1L
8Northam2200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD47.7L
7Pinjarra1700m22 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD45.6L
7Pinjarra2000m21 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD49L
2York1920m14 May 2026 · 2UP MDN HCP · SOFT53.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 114%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Northam. Should be prominent. Switching to 1920m. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $31.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last start at Northam but will appreciate a good draw. Should race on the speed. Large claim helps. Risky betting proposition.

Beaten 9l in eighth over 1m3f at Northam (handicap, split Point Of Luck and Fioreyes) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Northam but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Has plenty of early pace.

3Space AcademyJ: Brayden Gaerth·T: Mack Hall259kg4 4 4 11 430: 3-5-0$7.00$2.05

Career

30: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 2-4-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Kalgoorlie1600m1 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD44.71L
11Belmont1600m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 59+ · SOFT54.55L
4Bunbury1400m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD43.4L
4Belmont1200m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
4Pinjarra1700m4 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
9Belmont1650m27 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD45.3L
1York1500m14 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 52+ HCP · SOFT5-1.4
2Kalgoorlie1612m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT1.25L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Brayden Gaerth 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 71%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Brayden Gaerth in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 27%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at York

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Midfield, finished off evenly through line at Kalgoorlie. First real test of stamina here. Looms large.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Odds of $8.00 and crept into 4th last time at Kalgoorlie and will appreciate the drop in grade. Has a positive draw. Can win this.

A course winner; this is his grade; not beaten that far at Kalgoorlie over 1m (handicap) last Thursday; should be in the mix if finding his best form.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Odds of 7/1 and closed off nicely when 4th last run at Kalgoorlie and taking on easier opposition. Drawn nicely. Should go very close.

4Gold BeauJ: Laqdar Ramoly·T: Coreen Maynard858kg2 13 6 3 410: 1-1-1$3.00$1.26

Career

10: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-0-1
Track York
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1695m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Belmont1650m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.51L
3Belmont1700m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD42.2L
6Belmont1700m29 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD46.3L
13Belmont1400m18 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · SOFT76.7L
2York1920m6 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
11Belmont2100m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.3L
1York1920m15 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN 46+ HCP · GOOD4-1.4
4Bunbury1695m26 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD42.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Coreen Maynard striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at York
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Placed 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Belmont Park 2 Sep. Kept finding the line without threatening at Belmont Park. Winner this trip. Commands attention here.

ILB

Odds of $4.40 and chased well when 4th last start at Belmont. Competitive type.

Not beaten that far over 1m at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; likes this combination of C&D; form is hit and miss; others appeal more.

RSIS

At 10/3 chased well when 4th last run at Belmont. Should be in the finish.

5RebelnadoJ: Zephen Johnston-Porter·T: D T Mcauliffe657kg9 11 8 9 918: 2-2-1$13.00$2.90

Career

18: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-1-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Bunbury1685m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD46.24L
9Northam1600m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT56L
8Belmont1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT57L
11Belmont1400m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT54.9L
9Ascot2200m22 Apr 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD415.8L
13Ascot1800m1 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG66+ HCP · SOFT513.7L
8Albany1600m8 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ C&G HCP · SOFT57.3L
12Ascot1600m28 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD47.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $15 when safely held in Class 3 company at Bunbury. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started $15.00 and disappointing run when 9th last run at Bunbury. One of the value chances in this race.

Was ninth of 11, beaten 6l, over 1m½f at Bunbury (handicap) three weeks ago; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; he shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and clearly outclassed when 9th last start at Bunbury. Can figure in the finish.

6Lathams WishJ: Holly Nottle·T: P J Daly456.5kg9 11 2 8 1144: 3-2-3$34.00$4.20

Career

44: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
30: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-1-1

Last starts

11Northam1600m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 53+ HCP · GOOD1.75L
8Belmont1400m20 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD45.8L
2Geraldton1100m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
11York1920m9 Nov 2025 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD442.6L
9Belmont2100m29 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD46L
1Northam2212m16 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD4-0.2
3York1920m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD30.9L
4Toodyay1850m28 Sept 2025 · 3UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD36.8L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (63-days). Failed to threaten at Northam second-up. Usually gets back. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Back after a break. Started at $13.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last run at Northam. Very unlikely to cause an upset.

Struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Northam a year ago; finished 11th of 12 over 1m at Northam (handicap) two months ago; doesn't have a good record when fresh; can be taken on.

RSIS

Fresh today. Odds of 12/1 and was well beaten when 11th last start at Northam.

7FioreyesJ: Joey Azzopardi·T: A W Maley754.5kg5 12 9 9 1144: 4-2-3$15.00$3.20

Career

44: 4-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Northam
5: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
9: 2-2-1
Track Ascot
12: 2-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
6: 1-2-1
Distance 2025m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
35: 4-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Northam2200m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD410.16L
9Northam2200m13 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD8.75L
9Belmont2100m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP 56+ 1MW SPEC COND HCP · GOOD410.3L
12Northam2200m23 July 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD416.3L
5Northam2200m9 July 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT57.5L
4Bunbury2013m28 June 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT74.7L
4Belmont2100m17 June 2026 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · SOFT62.3L
9Belmont2200m3 June 2026 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · SOFT55.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Joey Azzopardi current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Failed to threaten at Northam. Switching to 1920m. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and mediocre display when 11th last run at Northam and going up in weight. Has struggled so far this preparation. Looking elsewhere today.

Finished 11th of 12 at Northam over 1m3f (handicap) last month; if replicating best previous efforts poses a threat.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and unimpressive effort when 11th last time at Northam and has to cope with a weight increase. Struggling of late.

8Point Of LuckJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: Bethany Poletti354.5kg13 16 7 6 527: 2-1-4$5.00$1.55

Career

27: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track York
2: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2038m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 2-1-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Northam2200m13 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD6.5L
6Belmont1650m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT67L
7Belmont1000m17 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.2L
16Belmont2200m5 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · SOFT536.3L
13Pinjarra1613m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD49.3L
13Northam1300m9 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT2.05L
10Belmont1000m8 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)10.4L
7Pinjarra2000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD46.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at York
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Northam. Usually gets back. Ticks the track and distance win box. One for multiples.

ILB

At $16.00 moved through the field into 5th last time at Northam. Likely to get back in the field. Prefer in something easier.

Has scored over C&D; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at York last November; beaten 7l into fifth where she had two of these rivals behind at Northam last month upped to 1m3f; is passed over.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and got going late when 5th last run at Northam. Likely to settle back in the field.

Odds correct as at Thu 8 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.