Orange (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 12:49 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Orange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 19 OctOrange (NSW)Change

Race 7 — Spanline Orange & Bathurst Country Boosted (Bm50) 1000m · jumps Mon 19 Oct, 5:50 pm AEDT

Race preview

Orange hosts benchmark-grade action on Saturday afternoon, with a 1000-metre sprint at 5:50 pm AEDT on Good 4 going under fine conditions. The market has laid out a clear pecking order, led by Xceptional Spirit, with Media Coverage and Can Do It queuing closely behind. The yarn here is one of mixed form and sharp recent efforts, with a trio of frontrunners carrying genuine claims but each asking slightly different questions of punters.

Xceptional Spirit sits shortest and presents the form case, freshened after a tidy campaign. The lightly raced type bolted in by four lengths at Canberra two back on Good 3, then pushed forward and fought on solidly in a Class 1 handicap at Queanbeyan second-up. That's a jockey-trainer combo out-performing market expectations by 89 per cent, and Emma Ly is riding 32 per cent above her career average. Media Coverage, drawn ten, sits next in the market after filling the minors at Queanbeyan over this exact distance and trip, though form suggests he's been hard fit with no first or second-up wins on record. Can Do It, second-up from an extended spell, comes with a sharp finishing profile—fastest overall sectionals last start and a 2kg claim through apprentice Leeshelle Small. The Orange form line shows a three-length third on the same going, and the AAP comment flags he strips fitter. Wellspring won his last at Grenfell over this distance but rates up against it at Orange on debut for the track, despite a red-hot Jacob Stiff and trainer combination running 61 per cent better than expected.

The leaders will dominate early position across the front here. Divine Conclusion and Travelon Dory shape as the early speed, joined by Xceptional Spirit and Sardonyx, with onpace runners Brogans Creek—who won last start—and Media Coverage bridging the gap. Brogans Creek's blemish is a poor record at the mile, which leaves a genuine opening for one of the shorter prices to strike. The form convergence points most toward Xceptional Spirit or Can Do It as the play, though a small case exists for Media Coverage's proven Orange effort should the expected pace suit a runner drawn wide.

Race notes

Benchmark 50,CTRY BM50,CTRY BM50 HCP
GOOD4
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Wellspring (4)

4.80

Most career wins

Brogans Creek

5-10-9 from 62 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Twin Gift

Offpace

4Wellspring
5Bounding Bon
2Can Do It

Onpace

12Brogans Creek
16Media Coverage
19Bold Tee

Leader

1Divine Conclusion
11Xceptional Spirit
14Sardonyx
6Travelon Dory

Divine Conclusion · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 10% below Career Avg.
Can Do It · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Wellspring · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Bounding Bon · Negative
Well beaten LS
Not competitive last run

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Divine ConclusionJ: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren·T: P J Cornish964.5kg7 8 4 1 525: 4-3-2$10.00$2.90

Career

25: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 1-0-0
Track Dubbo
3: 0-0-0
Track Albury
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Dubbo1620m10 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY93.9L
1Forbes1400m2 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.1
4Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT51.4L
8Dubbo1300m28 June 2026 · BM58 FINAL · HEAVY83L
7Dubbo1300m5 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY92.9L
5Bathurst1200m12 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD46.3L
3Orange1000m17 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.6L
9Albury1600m6 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jasmine Urquhart-Warren current POT is 10% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (70-days). Won a 1400m Benchmark 58 at Forbes two back. The gelding hasn't been far away at last two runs including when kept on evenly at Dubbo over longer assignment. Has some claims fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation around here. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Large claim helps. Could feature here.

This is his grade; not disgraced when fifth at Dubbo in August upped to 1m; difficult to oppose if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Resuming and did well to run into 3rd beaten by 1/2L resuming last preparation here. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Dropping back to a shorter trip. Could be in the mix.

2Can Do ItJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Ms A Smith363kg4 7 2 3 359: 4-8-8$5.50$2.05

Career

59: 4-8-8

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
9: 0-1-5
Second-up
7: 1-2-1
Third-up
7: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-2-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
4: 0-0-1
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
35: 4-6-5
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 0-2-3

Last starts

3Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42.82L
3Cowra1200m18 Jan 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD40.4L
2Bathurst1100m23 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD30.2L
7Orange1300m15 Dec 2025 · BM58 · SOFT65.2L
4Narromine1100m2 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.1L
8Orange1000m21 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD43L
2Dubbo1000m1 Nov 2025 · BM66 · GOOD41.47L
3Orange1000m9 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT61L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Gave a good sight making the frame this track off extended spell after a market ease. Strips fitter and takes a 2kg claim. Can play a role.

ILB

Finished with intent when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time around here. Strong competitor.

Decent effort when 14-1 third 11 days ago; has scored over C&D; not won for some time now; poor record second up off a break so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last run here. Will go close.

3Arctic DesertScratched1––––

Career

29: 5-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 1-0-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-0
Track Adaminaby
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1007m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

8Wagga1000m28 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45.93L
11Moruya1020m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT715.6L
6Nowra1000m10 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT72.7L
8Wagga1000m20 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY88.4L
9Parkes1000m24 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.9L
10Canberra1000m28 Dec 2025 · BM65 · GOOD410.4L
4Sapphire Coast1000m1 Dec 2025 · BM66 · SOFT51.7L
2Corowa1000m24 July 2025 · BM66 HCP · SOFT72.5L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 8.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Sent out $151 when unable to threaten at Wagga over this trip. Usually gets back. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 8th last run at Wagga but drops back to a suitable class. Has drawn the rails. Up in weight.

Beaten a fair way when eighth (Wagga) 21 days ago; could have a say.

RSIS

Weakened to finish 8th last run at Wagga but facing weaker opposition. Can save some energy from the stall. Rising in weight.

4WellspringJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries662.5kg9 6 2 3 116: 2-1-4$4.80$1.85

Career

16: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Grenfell
1: 1-0-0
Track Gulargambone
1: 0-0-1
Track Jerilderie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 940m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Grenfell1000m26 Sept 2026 · BM58-1.9
3Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CL11.9L
2Warren1000m21 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.3L
6Cowra950m11 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.3L
9Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT53.85L
3Wagga1200m29 Nov 2025 · BM50 · GOOD42.2L
7Tumut1000m1 Nov 2025 · BM503.6L
8Echuca1200m20 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD37.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 70%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 7kg weight here

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Grenfell over this distance. First time around Orange. Looks up against it.

ILB

Got the cash when winning by 2L last run at Grenfell but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Looks like solid value.

Gained a just under 2l success at Grenfell three weeks ago; despite that Grenfell success, others appeal more.

RSIS

Winner by 2L last time at Grenfell but will have to carry more weight. Jacob Stiff and Sharon Jeffries are a duo to watch closely. Very capable of taking this out.

5Bounding BonJ: Ken Dunbar·T: M C Lynch162kg4 11 6 6 823: 2-3-3$19.00$3.80

Career

23: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
12: 0-3-3
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Leeton1050m22 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD411.6L
6Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.9L
6Bathurst1100m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY82L
11Forbes1100m2 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD48L
4Dubbo1100m13 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51L
6Dubbo1000m28 June 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY82.6L
6Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT62.3L
5Parkes1200m17 May 2026 · CL2-SW · SOFT65L

Insights

Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Well back and never sighted at Leeton. Placed only other run at Orange. Has some claims.

ILB

At $7.50 only fair when 8th last start at Leeton but will try to take advantage of the gate. Capable of winning this.

Poor form of late a cause for concern and not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Wellington six months ago; beaten a fair way when eighth (Leeton) last month; hard enough to fancy as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Started at 13/2 and sub-standard effort when 8th last start at Leeton but drawn nicely. Rates as one of the key chances.

6Travelon DoryJ: Glenn Cahill·T: N J Osborne562kg2 1 3 5 68: 1-1-2$7.00$2.40

Career

8: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-1-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-2
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Queanbeyan1000m11 Oct 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD43.91L
5Gundagai1000m12 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.5L
3Sapphire Coast1000m30 Mar 2026 · CL1 · SOFT71.9L
1Canberra1000m8 Mar 2026 · FEDRAL MDN · SOFT7-0.5
2Albury900m5 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
6Cowra950m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
3Gundagai1000m2 Jan 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD31.6L
8Goulburn1000m30 May 2025 · 2Y MDN HCP · SOFT79.6L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Had chance but didn't go on with it at Queanbeyan after lengthy absence. Fitter second-up and takes a 1.5kg claim. Usually prominent. Can challenge.

ILB

On a short turnaround. At $7.00 weakened to finish 6th last run at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will be facing a challenge.

Finished just behind Media Coverage when sixth at Queanbeyan last week; shown she can get her head in front so can figure.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started at 6/1 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early pace.

7Texas OpenScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 40%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 9.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Just beaten in the 3yo+ Hcp at Young off extended spell. Better conditioned. Back from picnics.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last run at Young.

RSIS

Close up last time at Young.

8All SaintsScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 6.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Gave them a spanking at Dubbo off long break. On pacer. First time around Orange. This will test her mettle.

ILB

Finished hard to win last start at Dubbo but carrying more weight than last time.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Dubbo but up in weight.

9Twin GiftJ: Chad Lever·T: B W Draper260.5kg10 2 8 7 818: 2-2-2$12.00$3.30

Career

18: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
2: 0-1-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-0

Last starts

8Warren1200m1 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT75.2L
7Parkes1200m17 May 2026 · CL2-SW · SOFT66.3L
8Orange1400m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD45.9L
2Cowra1200m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.7L
10Mudgee1400m21 Feb 2026 · CDRA CHAMP · SOFT56.2L
1Orange1400m9 Feb 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY10-0.5
4Dubbo1200m2 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42.8L
6Cowra1200m18 Jan 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD44.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Raced well last time in. Placed at Bathurst first-up last campaign. Tested against better opposition last prep.

ILB

First up from a break of 20 weeks and zipped home into 2nd first up last preparation at Bathurst. Likely to get back. Watch for a sign in the market.

No impression when eighth of 11 at Warren over 6f (handicap) in June; has won at this track; returns from an absence here; a lot on his plate here and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Resuming and produced an eye catching run when 2nd beaten by more than 3L resuming last preparation at Bathurst. Likely to get back. Could feature here.

10Spring ProspectScratched20––––

Career

14: 1-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
3: 0-3-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-0

Last starts

6Mudgee1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT73L
12Forbes1100m2 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD49.4L
6Muswellbrook1000m7 July 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT75L
6Bathurst1200m16 June 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · HEAVY99.8L
2Dubbo1100m5 June 2026 · CTRY CL1 · HEAVY90.2L
11Mudgee1400m21 Feb 2026 · CDRA CHAMP · SOFT57.2L
2Dubbo1300m2 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41L
4Canterbury1200m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP HIGHWAY CL3 HCP · SOFT51.3L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (50-days). Not disgraced in choppy conditions at Mudgee at $19. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Back from a let up. Started $19.00 and ran 6th last time at Mudgee and will have to carry extra weight.

Has a record of 1-14; fair effort when beaten 3l, finishing sixth of ten over 6f at Mudgee (handicap) 50 days ago; others more appealing with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Let up. At 18/1 finished 6th last run at Mudgee and rises in weight.

11Xceptional SpiritJ: Emma Ly·T: Matthew Kelley860kg1 5 6 1 34: 1-0-1$6.00$2.20

Career

4: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
2: 1-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Queanbeyan900m8 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.8L
1Canberra1080m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-4
6Wagga1000m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD44.4L
5Canberra1000m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.8L
1Goulburn800m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.6

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 46%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Emma Ly winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Lightly raced and showing genuine ability. Bolted in at Canberra Acton two back. Pushed forward and fought on solidly Hcp (C1) second-up. Leading chance.

ILB

Couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 3rd last time at Queanbeyan. Has run into the money at every start this preparation. Definite claims for punters.

Lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); minor honours when 15-8 over 4½f at Queanbeyan (handicap, close behind Media Coverage) six weeks ago; one to be interested in.

RSIS

Was outmuscled when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Queanbeyan. Has run into the placings all attempts lately. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Good chance in this.

12Brogans CreekJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Toby Pracey759.5kg5 6 7 7 162: 5-10-9$10.00$3.00

Career

62: 5-10-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Orange
8: 1-3-1
Track Mudgee
10: 2-1-0
Track Wellington
6: 0-2-1
Distance 1400m
9: 0-2-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
14: 1-3-3
Going Good
32: 0-5-7
Going Heavy
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
22: 3-4-2

Last starts

1Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM50-0.27
7Bathurst1200m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT52.96L
7Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT76L
6Bathurst1400m17 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY88.1L
5Muswellbrook1280m26 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43L
10Dubbo1100m13 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT58.1L
11Scone1300m9 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT68.3L
4Bathurst1200m12 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD46.2L

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Broke a long run of outs when winning at Mudgee. Going well but meets stronger field and must lift again.

ILB

Game effort to win narrowly by a head last start at Mudgee but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Likely to be well placed early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Returned to winning ways over 5½f at Mudgee (handicap) 16 days ago; has won at this track; despite that Mudgee success, hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Fought on gamely when winning last start at Mudgee but has more weight to carry. Should come to hand quickly. Not at all out of this race.

13There She GoesScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 40%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Dubbo. Not fancied.

ILB

Weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Dubbo but matched against less formidable competition.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 9th last time at Dubbo but stepping down to a lower level.

14SardonyxJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Toby Pracey1158.5kg8 8 7 7 1016: 1-1-2$18.00$3.80

Career

16: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
3: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
5: 1-0-1
Track Scone
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY85.81L
7Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.5L
7Muswellbrook1000m12 Aug 2025 · CL1 HCP · HEAVY95.3L
8Wellington1100m29 July 2025 · BenchMark 58 · HEAVY95.1L
8Bathurst1300m21 July 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD46L
6Narromine1100m23 June 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD44.45L
11Dubbo1100m6 June 2025 · CL1 HCP · SOFT613.1L
5Bathurst1100m23 Dec 2024 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD41.69L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Winless since 5 Feb 2024. Sent out $61 when unable to threaten in rain affected going at Dubbo after lengthy absence. Has a tricky draw and rising in weight. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

At $61.00 faded to finish 10th last run at Dubbo on a heavy surface and going up in weight. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide gate. Has some claims.

Recent form hardly the most inspiring and been a while since she achieved her only career win; finished tenth of 12 at Dubbo 17 days ago; others appeal more with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started at 60/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Dubbo on a heavy rated track and has to cope with a weight increase. Has some claims.

15ZaibatsuScratched7––––

Career

14: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM506.98L
9Dubbo1000m18 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.5L
4Wellington900m10 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.6L
8Warren1200m21 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD48.1L
5Dubbo1000m6 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.9L
2Orange1000m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD40.3L
10Gunnedah900m19 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD36.9L
5Warren1000m12 Dec 2025 · BM50 · SOFT55L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Started $6 when safely held in Benchmark 50 company in rain affected going at Mudgee off extended spell. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Form falls short of this.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. At $8.50 lacked competitiveness when 10th last time at Narromine.

Fair effort when beaten 5l, finishing tenth of 11 at Narromine over 5½f (handicap) on Saturday.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Odds of 15/2 and not competitive when 10th last start at Narromine.

16Media CoverageJ: Damon Budler·T: Greg Stephens1058kg10 6 2 7 331: 1-5-5$6.50$2.35

Career

31: 1-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-1-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-2-0
Track Parkes
2: 0-0-2
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 920m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1020m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-4-2

Last starts

3Queanbeyan1000m11 Oct 2026 · BM58 HCP · GOOD41.64L
7Canberra1000m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD42.76L
2Queanbeyan900m8 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.3L
6Moruya1020m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · GOOD47.4L
10Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD311.1L
6Orange1000m9 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT61.6L
5Bathurst1100m14 Sept 2025 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT52.2L
8Wellington1000m1 Sept 2025 · CL1 · SOFT64.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Stuck to his guns to fill the minors at Queanbeyan over today's trip. Drawn out but has good gate speed. Hard fit, can play a role if he gets the breaks.

ILB

On a short back up. Gave plenty of cheek when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Queanbeyan. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

Creditable third (Queanbeyan) last week; normally pretty consistent; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Was strong on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Queanbeyan. Good chance at a nice price.

17Magic BertieScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 8kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Young. First time around Orange. Prefer others.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Not competitive when 9th last time at Narromine.

RSIS

On a short back up. Mediocre attempt when 9th last time at Narromine.

18Box Of CrackersScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Showed plenty of fight winning 3yo+ Hcp at Young. Place claims again.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Struggled when 8th last run at Narromine.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Uncompetitive when 8th last time at Narromine.

19Bold TeeJ: Quayde Krogh·T: Michael Plummer455.5kg8 2 12 8 516: 1-2-1$126.00$14.00

Career

16: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Tottenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
5: 0-1-1
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Young800m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM21.9L
8Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · CL3 · SOFT57.1L
12Cowra950m11 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT512.2L
2Gundagai1000m27 June 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY91.2L
8Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT64.7L
6Gulgong1000m7 June 2026 · BM506.5L
3Cobar1200m23 May 2026 · CL13.4L
2Binnaway1100m2 May 2026 · BM 45 HCP0.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 70%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last success was 21 Mar 2025. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Young. First time around Orange. Back from picnics.

ILB

Was $21.00 and finished 5th last time at Young. Rough chance today.

Finished fifth nine days ago albeit only beaten just under 2l over 4f (handicap) at Young.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and ran 5th last run at Young.

20Spirited KingScratched16––––

Career

44: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
3: 0-0-0
Track Adaminaby
2: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 930m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
10: 0-2-0
Distance 1065m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Lockhart930m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+-0.14
8Queanbeyan1200m21 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.9L
5Nowra1000m5 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · HEAVY83.8L
5Crookwell1100m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+1.8L
7Yass1200m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+6.9L
4Harden1100m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+6.3L
6Bombala1100m18 Oct 2025 · BM503.7L
2Lockhart930m3 Oct 2025 · 3yo+0.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Lockhart off long spell. Tougher assignment here.

ILB

Fought on gamely when winning by a short half head last run at Lockhart and gets some weight taken off. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Will be a difficult assignment.

Got the job done in a handicap by a short head two weeks ago at Lockhart when dropped back to 4½f, returning to winning ways.

RSIS

Narrowly clinched the victory last run at Lockhart and gets some weight relief. Likely to get back in the field.

Odds correct as at Mon 19 Oct, 6:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races