Orange (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:11 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Orange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 19 OctOrange (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Australian National Field Days 22Nd -24Th Oct (Bm58) 1300m · jumps Mon 19 Oct, 4:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
GOOD4
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Onyspeed (6)

3.60

Most career wins

Geostorm

11-13-12 from 98 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

11Fantasy Crowned

Midfield

6Onyspeed
1Champions League

Offpace

3I Am Mamwaazel
7Nannu

Onpace

4Vinari
9Sweet Treats

Leader

8Geostorm

Champions League · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
I Am Mamwaazel · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Vinari · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 70%
Onyspeed · Negative
Gave ground LS
Faded towards the finish last time out

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Champions LeagueJ: Glenn Cahill·T: A D Bourke262kg6 10 3 8 867: 6-8-10$12.00$2.90

Career

67: 6-8-10

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-2-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
38: 3-8-7
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.77L
8Nowra1400m20 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD45L
3Griffith1350m12 Sept 2026 · BM78 HCP · GOOD31.5L
10Canberra1300m4 Sept 2026 · Open · SOFT65.5L
6Canberra1206m21 Aug 2026 · OPEN BM84 · GOOD35.2L
10Canberra1206m30 May 2026 · OPEN HCP · GOOD36.6L
5Queanbeyan1460m17 May 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD43.1L
7Goulburn1500m7 May 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.9L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Queanbeyan. Usually gets back. Keener on others.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Was $15.00 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Queanbeyan but drawn nicely. Expecting a strong showing.

Beaten eighth of ten over 7½f at Queanbeyan (handicap) last Sunday; is passed over.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 14/1 and faded to finish 8th last run at Queanbeyan but gets a favourable stall. Great chance.

2The ContractorScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Sent out $21 when unable to threaten at Narromine second-up. Sharper now, at best, a place hope.

ILB

Weakened to finish 10th last start at Narromine.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 10th last run at Narromine.

3I Am MamwaazelJ: Michael Heagney·T: J Rolfe960.5kg3 9 11 10 147: 6-5-3$17.00$3.60

Career

47: 6-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
11: 0-1-2
Second-up
9: 0-2-1
Third-up
8: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
3: 0-0-1
Track Gundagai
4: 0-0-0
Distance 930m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 5-5-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Wagga1200m19 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.17
10Gundagai1180m6 Sept 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1023.2L
11Moruya1210m28 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD45.8L
9Albury900m27 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY913.6L
3Moruya930m10 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.4L
7Moruya1010m5 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.4L
9Orange1000m15 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT65.3L
4Wagga1000m31 Oct 2025 · BM58 · SOFT51.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Recaptured winning form with a strong victory at Wagga. Can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Wagga but goes up in weight. Hard to warm to.

A surprise scorer at 100-1 over 6f at Wagga (handicap) last month; has to be considered.

RSIS

Charged home to win last start at Wagga but goes up in weight.

4VinariJ: Coriah Keatings·T: N J Olive760kg2 1 1 8 216: 3-3-3$4.40$1.55

Career

16: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
4: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1280m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 2-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1

Last starts

2Cootamundra1400m4 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.86L
8Wagga1200m19 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD48.12L
1Queanbeyan1200m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT5-2.2
1Sapphire Coast1405m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.2
2Canberra1200m17 Apr 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · SOFT50.5L
5Canberra1200m3 Apr 2026 · 4Y+ BM50 · SOFT53.8L
3Orange1280m22 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.5L
10Canberra1200m20 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 70%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Couldn't quite peg back winner at Cootamundra. Right in this.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 2nd last start at Cootamundra. Producing consistent results since returning from a spell. Jockey Coriah Keatings has a high strike rate on board. Win will not surprise.

Near miss at 9-5 at Cootamundra over 7f (handicap) 15 days ago; has strong claims.

RSIS

Rattled home nicely into 2nd last time at Cootamundra. Jockey Coriah Keatings has been successful previously. Looking sharp on the track since resuming from a break. Good chance and definitely has claims.

5Angel In The WindScratched6––––

Career

17: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Moruya1200m2 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT72.7L
10Randwick1600m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.2L
2Queanbeyan1460m12 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.4L
5Rosehill1500m27 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
5Hawkesbury1400m11 Sept 2025 · BM64 · SOFT65.1L
6Rosehill1400m30 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.5L
4Goulburn1400m11 Aug 2025 · CL2 BM62 HCP · SOFT74.7L
9Canberra1280m4 July 2025 · CLASS 2 HCP · GOOD310L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced in rain affected going at Moruya off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Among the dangers.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and pushed past some when 4th last start at Moruya.

Not disgraced when fourth over 6f at Moruya (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and improved when 4th last time at Moruya.

6OnyspeedJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Toby Pracey359.5kg8 6 12 2 1017: 3-1-1$3.60$1.36

Career

17: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

10Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY88.04L
2Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1L
12Mudgee1400m5 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD36.9L
6Scone1100m20 Mar 2026 · BM82 · SOFT57L
8Mudgee1400m21 Feb 2026 · CDRA CHAMP · SOFT55.4L
8Dubbo1100m2 Feb 2026 · BM74 · GOOD43.2L
7Canterbury1200m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP HIGHWAY CL3 HCP · SOFT52.3L
8Wyong1100m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at Dubbo off long spell. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and faded to finish 10th last run at Dubbo. Looking past the last run and going back up in trip. Clayton Gallagher is a plus. Has claims.

Towards the rear of 13 over 5f at Dubbo (handicap) two weeks ago; likes this combination of C&D; one to take seriously.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and was well beaten when 10th last time at Dubbo. Likely to bounce back and coming back up in distance. Clayton Gallagher is a key booking. Has claims.

7NannuJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Ms A Smith858.5kg6 5 5 10 335: 5-5-5$23.00$3.90

Career

35: 5-5-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 2-0-1
Third-up
6: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 1-0-0
Track Birdsville
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-2-1
Going Good
27: 4-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
10Orange1280m6 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD425.6L
5Bathurst1300m23 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD33.7L
5Dubbo1000m8 Dec 2025 · BM58 HCP · GOOD33.12L
6Warren1200m2 June 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD43.9L
2Brewarrina1200m17 May 2025 · Benchmark 74 · UNKNOWN1L
5Nyngan1400m25 Apr 2025 · Benchmark 66 · UNKNOWN8.1L
2Bourke1300m20 Apr 2025 · Open Trophy Race · GOOD0.48L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Alison Smith striking at just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 61%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (40-weeks). Long winless run. Competitive fresh and looked forward enough in trial but this is a tough challenge. Happy to watch off the long layoff.

ILB

Fresh today after a 40 week break. Started $19.00 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start around here. Interesting gear change of tongue tie off first time. Will struggle to compete in this race.

Quite a while since he tasted success; finished tailed off in January; returns from a break here; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 40 weeks. Started at 18/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last time at this track.

8GeostormJ: Damon Budler·T: Greg Stephens458kg1 2 9 6 598: 11-13-12$17.00$3.60

Career

98: 11-13-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
9: 1-2-2
Track Gatton
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1260m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
27: 3-6-2
Going Good
43: 6-5-9
Going Heavy
16: 2-2-2
Going Soft
38: 3-6-1

Last starts

5Canberra1400m26 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD43.19L
6Queanbeyan1200m8 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT54.6L
9Canberra1080m7 Aug 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD38.8L
2Canberra1206m24 July 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD30.2L
1Canberra1080m8 July 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-1
4Canberra1280m26 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD31.1L
1Canberra1206m12 June 2026 · 4UP BM50 HCP · GOOD3-1.6
7Sapphire Coast1400m30 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT76.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 5% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away under pressure at Canberra. Can go forward. Unplaced from 5 starts here. Others rate stronger.

ILB

At $31.00 peaked in the late stages of the race when 5th last time at Canberra. Should be going forward early. Not hopeless.

Not beaten that far in fifth (just over 3l) at Canberra over 7f (handicap) last month; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

At 30/1 started to tire when 5th last time at Canberra. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

9Sweet TreatsJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: Danielle Seib158kg8 5 6 6 418: 3-1-0$3.90$1.40

Career

18: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
3: 1-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Canberra900m9 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.3L
6Albury1600m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY95.4L
6Queanbeyan1600m17 May 2026 · CL3 · GOOD42L
5Wagga1400m1 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.2L
8Albury1500m20 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT67.4L
4Warwick Farm1400m4 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT72L
6Kembla Grange1300m24 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD42.9L
6Canberra900m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.8L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Out Of Form
Negative
Needs to try and find some form

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Consistently around the mark last prep. Fair recent tune-up at the trials. Tested against better opposition last prep. Sound claims here.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Jumped at $8.50 and was well beaten when 6th last start at Albury on a heavy surface. Is capable of a resurgence. Genuine claims.

Held in sixth over 1m at Albury (handicap) in June; despite a poor last run, she had been running well previously; returns from a layoff; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and is respected.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Odds of 15/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Albury on a heavy surface. Expected to rebound. Good potential.

10Commando JackScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Went down fighting in the small field at Forbes. This looks very achievable.

ILB

On a short back up. Started $5.50 and clearly outclassed when 10th last time at Narromine but goes down in weight.

RSIS

On a short back up. At 9/2 fairly underwhelming when 10th last time at Narromine but will benefit with the weight drop.

11Fantasy CrownedJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms J Galea555kg5 7 12 7 436: 2-4-3$4.20$1.50

Career

36: 2-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Orange
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-1-1
Going Good
25: 1-3-2
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1

Last starts

4Forbes1200m10 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.22L
7Dubbo1100m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · GOOD43.47L
12Dubbo1400m3 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD45.8L
7Dubbo1600m18 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.6L
5Wellington1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43L
10Orange1400m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD46.7L
5Warren1200m21 Mar 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.6L
4Cowra1200m9 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD43.4L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Janelle Galea in good form, out performing market 68%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 43% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance (Bm50) at Forbes second-up when in the market. Sharper now, can play a role.

ILB

Was $3.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last run at Forbes and gets some weight relief. Shows good closing speed. Capable type.

Not a frequent winner; came up a bit short, beaten just over 1l when favourite, over 6f at Forbes (handicap) nine days ago.

RSIS

At 2/1 pushed past some when 4th last time at Forbes and dropping weight. Has a great burst of pace late. Good chance of taking this out.

Odds correct as at Mon 19 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races