Shortest win price
Grafology (8)
2.65
Welcome to Orange for the Bank Orange Benchmark 58 over the 1600m on a good four track under fine skies. Punters looking at the win market see Grafology heading the betting boards, closely followed by Naval Officer, Take The Chance, and Boujee Gold rounding out the early faves in what shapes as a fascinating tactical battle across the mile.
Taking a look at the form behind those shorter quotes reveals some proper stories. Naval Officer comes out of the J T Mcmillan stable with Jacob Stiff steering from barrier nine, having run a narrow second in a BM66 here over this trip on a good four surface two starts back, suggesting this drop in grade brings genuine claims. Take The Chance for M C Lynch and Ken Dunbar draws barrier three with early speed after securing all honours in a small field at Leeton over the 1600m last start, staying at the same level and looking very hard to toss. Meanwhile, Grafology for Lou Mary and Winona Costin enters off a huge win after biding time at the rear at Tamworth over 1600m following a change of stable. Boujee Gold also warrants plenty of respect after breaking the maiden at Queanbeyan and giving a solid sight making the frame at Goulburn over the journey.
For those chasing further angles, speed maps show Ferrari Man and Take The Chance pushing forward as leaders, while runners like Dunna Runna and Anladio settle midfield ready to pounce if the front-runners overdo it. Naval Officer and Tillman find themselves mapping well on pace. It all adds up to a cracking afternoon of regional racing where punters will be keen to weigh up the local form lines and find some value as they sort through the yarn.
Shortest win price
Grafology (8)
2.65
Most career wins
Ferrari Man and Tillman
7 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Dunedin · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Naval Officer · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Ferrari Man · Negative
Trainer SR
Andrew Bourke striking at just 4%
Take The Chance · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Career
23: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 1-0-0
Track Dubbo
7: 1-1-2
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 43% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 7.5kg now
AAP
Went home tamely at Dubbo second-up at $101. Stripping fitter, rough exotics hope.
ILB
Started $101.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Dubbo on a heavy rated track but taking on a lower class of opponents. Has a positive barrier. Will be tested.
RP
Finished last of eight at Dubbo two weeks ago upped to 7f; clear chance if finding his best form.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last start at Dubbo but will appreciate the drop in class. Drawn nicely. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
Career
26: 4-2-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
6: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 2-1-0
Going Good
18: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 6.5kg now
AAP
Narrowly beaten in the small field this course over this trip. Drops in grade. Rates among the better chances.
ILB
Close to a win last time at this track but rises in weight. Exhibiting good form since returning from a spell. Strong claims.
RP
Close up second upped to this trip 11 days ago; has been consistent of late; considered.
RSIS
Competed in a tight contest last run here but has to carry more weight this time. In a purple patch of form since resuming from a break. Strong chance.
Career
26: 4-3-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Mudgee
2: 0-1-0
Track Gulgong
1: 1-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
Settled back and didn't come on at Dubbo off extended spell. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
On a quick back up. Below expectations when 7th last run at Narromine but drawn nicely.
RP
Beaten 5½l (seventh, Narromine) on Saturday upped to this trip; track has proven suitable before; has shown some ability on occasion and expected to be in the thick of things.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Clearly outclassed when 7th last run at Narromine but has a positive draw.
Career
66: 7-11-7
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
9: 1-1-2
Second-up
8: 0-2-0
Third-up
8: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 2-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
4: 2-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1670m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
30: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
11: 1-3-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Bourke striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 47%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 56% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Orange
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
No match in a three-horse contest at Grenfell. Handles all conditions. Has form this track and distance. Not out of this.
ILB
Finished 3rd last time at Grenfell and competing in a less challenging grade. Glenn Cahill is a suitable booking. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Can take this out.
RP
Recent efforts have generally been solid; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; last of three at Grenfell over 1m½f (handicap) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Did well when 3rd last start at Grenfell and matched against lesser competition. Good to see Glenn Cahill is jumping on. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Has strong claims.
Career
30: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 1-0-0
Track Narromine
3: 0-1-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1
Going Good
19: 3-3-3
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
All honours in the small field at Leeton over today's trip. Gets the gun run. Remains at this level and looks hard to toss.
ILB
Led all the way when winning by a margin of 1 3/4L last start at Leeton. Ken Dunbar is a bonus. Has early speed and positions nicely. Competitive type.
RP
Won a handicap by 1½l (Leeton) last month; others appeal more despite that win last time.
RSIS
Led throughout when winning by a margin of 1 3/4L last start at Leeton. Expecting to settle positively. Ken Dunbar rates highly aboard. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Career
11: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far at Cootamundra second-up. Winner this trip. Worth a look.
ILB
Started $5.50 and finished 5th last time at Cootamundra. Looking past the last run. Jockey Pierre Boudvillain and trainer Danielle Seib go well together. Expect a forward showing.
RP
Respectable effort (beaten 3l) over 7f at Cootamundra (handicap) 15 days ago; largely disappointing since successful in a maiden at Wagga in March; this line-up contains some strong opposition so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and finished 5th last run at Cootamundra. Expecting improvement here. Jockey Pierre Boudvillain and trainer Danielle Seib are a strong combination. Definite claims for punters.
Career
97: 7-15-17
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track Gundagai
4: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
25: 1-4-4
Distance 1613m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
50: 5-7-8
Going Heavy
14: 1-3-3
Going Soft
32: 1-5-6
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Damon Budler 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 22%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Form has tapered off in recent outings. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
On a short back up. Started $13.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early speed. Watching with interest.
RP
Last of ten over 7½f at Queanbeyan (handicap) eight days ago; been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Canberra Acton three months ago; is passed over given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started at 12/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last time at Queanbeyan. Shows good early pace.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Huge win after biding time at the rear at Tamworth for new trainer. Has claims for a repeat.
ILB
Strong effort to the line to win last start at Tamworth and has drawn the rails. Slim possibilty.
RP
Seems to be improving based on last two runs; opened account at the sixth attempt when in front by 1½l on his debut for this trainer two weeks ago at Tamworth in a maiden; despite that Tamworth success, not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Ran on strongly to win last run at Tamworth and drawn well.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Ran on okay without troubling on a soft deck at Wagga Riverside. Draw no favours here. Won only other time at Orange. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Really dug deep when winning last start at Nowra and getting better in recent performances.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Narrowly clinched the victory last start at Nowra and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
6: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-0-1
Track Queanbeyan
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Broke maiden at Queanbeyan 8 Sep. Gave a good sight in choppy conditions making the frame at Goulburn over this journey. Big show.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last time at Goulburn. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Very competitive this campaign. Respect the betting.
RP
Improved form the last twice; had two of these rivals behind her two weeks ago (Goulburn) when a respectable third; runs for only the second time in a handicap; should go close.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last start at Goulburn. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Possesses good closing pace. Has some claims.
Career
36: 3-3-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Cobar
1: 0-0-1
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
9: 0-1-0
Distance 1610m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
14: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-1-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Form has cooled in recent outings. New to Orange. Needs to up his game.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started $101.00 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Coonamble. Can't have in this.
RP
Fifth beaten 6l (Coonamble) last Sunday; passed over as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started at 100/1 and kept chasing when 5th last time at Coonamble.
Career
53: 4-5-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
11: 1-0-0
Second-up
8: 0-1-1
Third-up
7: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 0-1-0
Track Griffith
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
11: 3-2-2
Going Soft
25: 1-3-3
Going Good
17: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 43% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Goulburn over this journey. Usually gets back. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Started $101.00 and only fair when 8th last start at Goulburn. Does take a while to get into stride. Can't entertain a bet.
RP
Largely not been running well and not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024); last of eight at Goulburn 13 days ago; this looks a decent race so has questions to answer.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and disappointing run when 8th last time at Goulburn. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
9: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Leeton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure after lengthy absence in the Plate (C2) at Canberra. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and disappointing effort when 8th last run at Canberra. Considering others.
RP
Has won at this course; held in eighth in a conditions race at Canberra when dropped in distance ten days ago.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and moderate showing when 8th last time at Canberra.
Career
32: 1-5-9
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Cootamundra
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
2: 0-0-2
Track Bathurst
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 0-0-4
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 78%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 57% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
First run for new trainer ran on okay without troubling in choppy conditions at Goulburn. Deep into his campaign, could get into the placings.
ILB
Started $12.00 and ran 4th last start at Goulburn.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 3l) two weeks ago (Goulburn) on debut for this trainer; has proven competitive in a race of this nature and produced a string of consistent efforts.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and came in 4th last start at Goulburn.