Orange (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:50 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Orange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 19 OctOrange (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Angullong Wines Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1000m · jumps Mon 19 Oct, 3:55 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Orange for the Angullong Wines Country Boosted Mdn Hcp over 1000m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The win market has Eddy The Greyt heading proceedings as the elect, closely followed by Isle Of Wight, Nightwalker, and Pauline's Dream rounding out the top markers in early calculations. Punters looking at the race shape will note that speed influences like Isle Of Wight, Aerialize, and Miss Strategic are marked as leaders, while Eddy The Greyt, Mighty Dancer, and Anders Diamond sit handy on the pace.

Eddy The Greyt opened eyes with a solid third on debut over this exact course and distance under betting interest, suggesting the natural improvement second-up makes a strong case in this company. Isle Of Wight resumes here after a thirty-week lay-off, formerly with Joseph Pride in New South Wales, and brings a trial win at Canberra that bodes well for the new stable under Damon Budler. Nightwalker brings plenty of race experience into the contest, having put in a reasonable effort over this trip at this track previously, and takes a two-kilogram claim which could help build further fitness.

Further down the order, Pauline's Dream returns for a second campaign following a thirty-four-week break after an outsider run on debut at Canberra, though a tricky draw makes things interesting for the backmarker. Timeless Love draws nicely down low on debut for David J Smith, adding an intriguing first-starter angle to a competitive maiden field where punters will weigh up race fitness against fresh legs.

Race notes

CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
GOOD4
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Isle Of Wight (1)

1.95

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Comby

Midfield

6Anders Diamond

Offpace

11Nightwalker
12Pauline's Dream

Firststart

3Mighty Dancer
13Timeless Love

Onpace

5Eddy The Greyt
10Miss Strategic

Leader

1Isle Of Wight
8Aerialize

Isle Of Wight · Positive
Jockey Booking
Damon Budler 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Mighty Dancer · Negative
Jockey Booking
Sairyn Fawke current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Comby · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Eddy The Greyt · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Isle Of WightJ: Damon Budler·T: Rob Potter459kg6 62: 0-0-0$1.95$1.06

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Wyong1100m18 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT66.8L
6Warwick Farm1100m20 Aug 2025 · 3Y MDN HCP · HEAVY1011.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Positive
Damon Budler 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 5% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (30-weeks). Ex Joseph Pride in NSW. No impact in early runs first campaign but latest trial win Canberra bodes well for return. Can hit the ground running for new stable off long lay-off.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 30 weeks. Odds of $7.00 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Wyong. Giving another go here. Has the ratings to win this.

Last of six at Wyong in March in a maiden; first run for stable; returns from a layoff here; passed over.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 30 weeks. At 6/1 tailed off to finish 6th last start at Wyong. Is capable of a resurgence. Should put in a decent effort.

2SkivvyScratched11––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY813.65L
8Narromine800m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)7.1L

Insights

Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

A long way off them at Dubbo on debut as an outsider. Looks in need of more racing.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Average effort when 6th last run at Narromine.

Last of six at Narromine on Saturday in a maiden; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Uncompetitive when 6th last time at Narromine.

3Mighty DancerJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Brett Thompson257kg6 12 61: 0-0-0$126.00$8.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Narromine800m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)6.2L
12Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT699.99L
6Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Sairyn Fawke current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1830%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Failed to finish the race after easing in betting at Wellington debut. Two tick over trials since. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and sub-standard effort when 12th last time at Wellington but having second career run. Ran 4th in a trial at Scone on Oct 7th but drawn nicely. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.

Failed to finish (Wellington, 4½f) at 40-1 last month; this just her second run in a handicap; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and fairly underwhelming when 12th last run at Wellington but fitter for debut run. Has not placed in all trials.

4CombyJ: Chad Lever·T: Kylie Kennedy856.5kg3 71: 0-0-0$81.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY84.6L
3Dubbo860m6 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)10.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Had no answers when the pressure went on at Dubbo debut at wide odds 2 Oct. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

At $71.00 underwhelming when 7th last start at Dubbo but was a debutant last start. Likely to get back in the field. Peak required to upset this field.

Respectable debut effort at Dubbo at 66-1 two weeks ago; running in a handicap for only the second time; that experience should set her in good stead so has a shout.

RSIS

Was 70/1 and uncompetitive when 7th last time at Dubbo on a heavy rated track but was a debutant last start. Might be ridden for luck.

5Eddy The GreytJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Ms G Williams556.5kg3 31: 0-0-1$2.50$1.12

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Orange
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.29L
3Narromine800m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)5.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave a sight on debut this course under betting interest 8 Oct. Better for it. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Ran well when 3rd last run around here and was on debut last time. Jockey Clayton Gallagher and trainer Gayna Williams are a strong team. Should come to hand quickly. Will be fighting out the finish.

Finished third of 11 on his debut (9-2) 11 days ago in front of Nightwalker over C&D; will need to progress to get off the mark.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 3rd last time at this track and was a debutant last start. Clayton Gallagher and Gayna Williams are a strong team. Likely to be well placed early. Well respected contender.

6Anders DiamondJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries1056kg3 111: 0-0-0$51.00$4.60

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Dubbo1000m3 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD48.7L
3Dubbo860m18 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (24-weeks). Ex Brett Robb in NSW. Unremarkable debut performance at Dubbo 3 May. Clearly needs to improve and would need a strong betting push.

ILB

First up. Odds of $20.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Dubbo but was on debut last time. Not at all out of this race.

Didn't offer much on his debut at Dubbo running over this distance at 18-1 in May; first start for yard; returns from a layoff; must make above-average progress to figure.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Started 19/1 and weakened to finish 11th last start at Dubbo but was on debut last time. Betting is the best guide.

7Orchid BoyScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Dubbo over this journey. Among the dangers.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Chimed in with a win by 1L last time at Bathurst.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Strong performance to win by 1L last time at Bathurst.

8AerializeJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: A L Mcrae755kg1 7 4 3 64: 0-0-1$16.00$2.80

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Moruya1010m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT75.7L
3Corowa900m14 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
4Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY81.2L
7Wagga1000m12 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD44.8L
1Goulburn800m27 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-3.5

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Allan McRae in good form, out performing market 39%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Placed Mdn Plate at Corowa 14 Sep. Started $21 when safely held in Maiden company in choppy conditions at Moruya. Right in the mix.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Moruya. Shows good early pace. Watch betting.

Beaten a fair way when sixth at Moruya two weeks ago; third two starts back and warrants consideration.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 6th last run at Moruya. Should jump out and bowl along. Could be in the mix.

9AlotofsojuScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Picked up smartly from midfield to go down by a slim margin Country Boosted Mdn at Leeton. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started $12.00 and finished 5th last start at Nowra but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started at 11/1 and ran 5th last start at Nowra but drawn beautifully.

10Miss StrategicJ: Winona Costin·T: Kylie Kennedy655kg2 14 10 10 26: 0-2-0$126.00$8.00

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 0-1-0
Track Grenfell
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Grenfell1000m26 Sept 2026 · MDN0.63L
10Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT611.88L
10Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY87.5L
14Dubbo1100m15 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD412.5L
2Gilgandra1000m7 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT60.8L
9Dubbo1000m2 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Grenfell over this trip. Place preferred option.

ILB

Honest race when 2nd last start at Grenfell. Expecting to settle positively. Others much better.

Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; missed out by half a length at Grenfell last month.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Grenfell. Expecting to settle positively.

11NightwalkerJ: Leeshelle Small·T: Ms A Smith355kg8 4 3 3 639: 0-4-14$8.50$2.00

Career

39: 0-4-14

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-3
Second-up
4: 0-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Wellington
2: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1318m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 0-1-3
Going Good
32: 0-4-11
Going Soft
7: 0-0-3

Last starts

6Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.48L
3Dubbo1200m3 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.5L
3Orange1000m17 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L
4Orange1300m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.3L
8Dubbo1400m15 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
3Dubbo1300m6 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.9L
2Dubbo1300m15 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.4L
3Dubbo1200m2 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Last assignment this trip when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Building fitness and takes a 2kg claim. Key contender.

ILB

Came in 6th last start at this track but dropping weight. Has some claims.

Finished just behind Eddy The Greyt when sixth 11 days ago in a maiden; still winless and defeats stacking up (39 on the bounce); been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Finished 6th last run around here but dropping weight. Keep safe.

12Pauline's DreamJ: Glenn Cahill·T: N J Osborne955kg4 81: 0-0-0$18.00$3.20

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Canberra1000m20 Feb 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD412L
4Canberra900m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 111%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). Well down the track at Canberra on debut as an outsider. Has a tricky draw for return. Long lay-off. Must show more and hard to entertain without market support.

ILB

First run back from a 34 week break. At $61.00 disappointing outing when 8th last run at Canberra but fitter for debut run. Questions at this level.

Never posed a significant threat on her debut running over this distance at Canberra at 66-1 in February; has had some time off; should be wiser for experience so poses a threat.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 34 weeks. Odds of 60/1 and disappointing run when 8th last start at Canberra but fitter for debut run.

13Timeless LoveJ: Dale Smith·T: David J Smith155kg–$26.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 27% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). 3yo filly making debut out of a Fastnet Rock mare Infinite Love. Improved in latest trial outing on a soft 5. Drawn well. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

First start at the races 3yo by Peltzer for David J Smith and drawn the rails. Ran 5th in a barrier trial at Scone on Apr 1st. Watch the betting.

From the same family as Gogmagog, a winner over 5f; conceding experience to all her rivals; holds major claims with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Peltzer for David J Smith and drawn nicely. Ran 5th in a trial at Scone on Apr 1st.

Odds correct as at Mon 19 Oct, 4:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 8 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races