Shortest win price
Extra Fling (3)
1.50
Balaklava's 7th race today is a Benchmark 56 sprint over 1050m on a Good 4 track under overcast skies at 6:00 pm AEDT. The market leads with Extra Fling, a promising three-year-old on debut who has already run a place at this track last campaign. Musical Sunset, Rich Lady and Reoffer follow in the win order. This is a tight BM56 field where form and fitness will separate them, and the barrier draw has shuffled some solid chances into awkward spots.
Extra Fling looks the obvious choice from a pure form angle. The Stephen Potter-trained filly won on debut at Strathalbyn over 1100m before running a narrow second to Musical Sunset at this very venue over 1050m in a maiden. She's had 18 weeks away and rates 100 on IRD metrics. Jockey Sophie Potter is booking 29 per cent above market expectation over her last 100 rides, and the stable's runners sit at 7 per cent profit on turnover lately. That form profile and timing suggest a genuine winning hope. Rich Lady, drawn barrier 4, is worth serious consideration as a roughie. She ran a close second at Balaklava off a long break last time out and form lines show she rarely misses the action second-up. The AAP comment notes she strips fitter, and at barrier 4 she can find a spot in the onpace crew. Musical Sunset has won here before and knows this track well, though she's awkwardly at barrier 13.
The leader group—Extra Fling, Cuban Waters, Reoffer and One Whim—will vie for position early. Sioux Warrior, drawing barrier 1, sits in the onpace speed group and comes from a stable performing 54 per cent above market expectation; his jockey Jordyn Weatherley has back-to-back wins in her last 10 rides. Captainwackydoodle has the fastest finishing sectionals from last start and Caitlin Tootell is running hot. However, barrier 9 makes a come-from-behind bid a tough task in a sprint. The yarn here tilts toward Extra Fling as the logical play, but Rich Lady's value shines through as a second-up sprinter who flew home at this track three runs back.
Shortest win price
Extra Fling (3)
1.50
Most career wins
Sioux Warrior
6-5-5 from 41 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Nostryia · Positive
Jockey Booking
Alice Lindsay 20% above market expected in L100 Rides
Sioux Warrior · Positive
Stable In Form
Stable going well. Out performing market by 54%
Extra Fling · Positive
Jockey Booking
Sophie Potter 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cuban Waters · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Career
28: 4-6-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Track Jamestown
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
20: 4-2-1
Distance 1000m
12: 2-2-1
Distance 1050m
11: 1-3-2
Distance 1100m
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
16: 2-4-2
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Positive
Alice Lindsay 20% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Jamestown. Effective this track and distance. Well into preparation now, each way.
ILB
Did well when 3rd last start at Jamestown. Going well this campaign. Watch betting.
RP
All his winning form has come at Morphettville (four successes); finished third 11 days ago albeit only beaten 1½l at Jamestown.
RSIS
Tidy run when 3rd last run at Jamestown. Been in the money reqularly recently. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
41: 6-5-5
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
13: 0-1-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
9: 1-2-2
Distance 1000m
16: 1-2-3
Distance 1050m
12: 3-1-0
Going Good
22: 2-3-4
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
16: 3-2-1
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 54%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track And Dist
Positive
Excels at this track and trip
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Balaklava
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Port Lincoln. Harder to warm to here.
ILB
Kept boxing on when 3rd beaten by almost 4L last start at Port Lincoln and has minimal work to do from the gate. Will be facing a challenge.
RP
Wasn't disgraced when third of ten (Port Lincoln) ten days ago; boasts winning form over C&D.
RSIS
Came on strongly when 3rd last start at Port Lincoln and has a nice advantage with a good stall.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sophie Potter 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Returns for second campaign (18-weeks). Placed at Balaklava on debut last campaign. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Looms large first-up.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Controlled the speed to win by 3 3/4L last run at Strathalbyn. Should come to hand quickly. Strong chance.
RP
Gained a first success at the second time of asking in a maiden at Strathalbyn when winning in good style four months ago; returns from a layoff here; definitely of interest.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Led from start to finish to win by 3 3/4L last run at Strathalbyn. Should muster plenty of early toe. Tough competitor.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Controlled race and kicked away from them this track after lengthy absence. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Loves this track and distance. Among the dangers again.
ILB
Dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of close to 2 1/2L last start at the track and suited at this trip historically.
RSIS
Led all the way when winning by nearly 2 1/2L last time at the track and strong form at this distance. Has to carry more weight this time.
Career
28: 5-3-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
13: 2-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-1
Track Oakbank
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign. Raced in stiffer company last prep. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a spell. Started $18.00 and didn't find the line when 13th last start at Morphettville but stepping down to a lower level. Very weak selection.
RP
Towards the rear of 14 over 6f at Morphettville (handicap) in April; has won previously at this course; she can be competitive at this level; back from an absence here; can't be ruled out as has more than one win to her name.
RSIS
Back from break. Started 17/1 and was well beaten when 13th last run at Morphettville but will find this grade easier. Will have to carry extra weight.
Career
31: 6-3-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
9: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1109m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
7: 2-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Michael Ruberry striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious this venue over today's trip. Has a tricky draw and lumped with 60.5kg. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at the track. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide alley.
RP
Seventh of ten beaten 6l when separating a number of reopposing rivals two weeks ago; a winner over C&D; he can be competitive at this level; big chance if duplicating the form of his most recent win.
RSIS
Started 5/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last start here. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Jamestown
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Caitlin Tootell 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
All honours in the small field at Jamestown latest outing. Took a step in the right direction latest but this isn't easy.
ILB
Was first to greet the judge when winning by 1L last run at Jamestown. Likely to get back. Unlikely to feature.
RP
Won a maiden by just over 1l at Jamestown when opening his account at the third time of asking 11 days ago; despite that Jamestown success, others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Strong performance to win by 1L last run at Jamestown. Likely to settle back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Third run now in new stable/region. Seen in stronger company last campaign and runner-up three from 4 first-up. Danger.
ILB
First run back from break. Odds of $9.00 and folded up in the straight when 13th last start at Morphettville.
RSIS
Resuming. Started 8/1 and gave away some ground when 13th last time at Morphettville.
Career
22: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1017m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Andrew Stead in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Balaklava winner two back. Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up this venue over this journey. Draws to do no work. Well into preparation now, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started $6.50 and came in 5th last run at the track but has a positive alley. Will be positive in the run early. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Has scored over C&D; could not manage better than fifth splitting Musical Sunset, Squad and The Magistrate last month; others more likely as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Started 11/2 and came in 5th last start at the track but drawn nicely. Has plenty of early pace. Watch the betting.
Career
5: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
4: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
4: 1-1-1
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Gave a good sight making the frame this venue first up when fancied. Awkwardly drawn. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Hit the line well when 3rd last run at this venue. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Questions at this level.
RP
Finished in front of several of these when 3½l third last month; has kicked on in her last couple of races; C&D has proven suitable before; running in a handicap for only the second time.
RSIS
Was strong late when 3rd beaten by just short of 3 1/2L last run at this track. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
25: 3-6-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-1
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1075m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
6: 2-1-0
Going Good
19: 2-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
On pace but folded up quickly at Gawler second-up. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Was $14.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last run at Gawler. Has plenty of early speed. Respect the betting.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; beaten tenth of 11 over 6f at Gawler (handicap) last Monday; passed over as has a lot on her plate here.
RSIS
Started 13/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Gawler. Won't be far away during the run. Watch betting.
Career
34: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1516m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
25: 3-3-1
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 8kg weight here
AAP
Kept fresh. Fought bravely to the wire in the 4yo+ Hcp (64) at Morphettville first up. Class drop helps and senior rider booked. Keep safe.
ILB
Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Morphettville and back in an easier grade. Going up in weight.
RP
Had a number of these behind him when on the premises, finishing runner-up at 16-1 at Morphettville four weeks ago.
RSIS
Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Morphettville and lining up against easier rivals. Has more weight to carry.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (32-weeks). Ex D Shepherd in SA. Not pushed out Morphettville Parks trial 28 Sep. Could get into the placings fresh in this company.
ILB
First up after 32 weeks and went to the front and never looked back when winning by 1L first up last preparation at Gawler. First start for a new trainer. Big improvement required to threaten these.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 in March; fitted with blinkers for the first time; returns from a layoff; winner three starts back and too soon to write her off; should prove competitive.
RSIS
Resuming and showed a clean pair of heels to win by a margin of 1L resuming last preparation at Gawler. First start for a new trainer.
Career
15: 1-2-4
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-1-2
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-2
Going Good
8: 1-1-2
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Run down in the shadows at Mildura. Leads, handy. Deep into her campaign, can fill the minors here.
ILB
On a quick back up. Odds of $11.00 and couldn't find the line when 4th last start at Mildura. Should muster plenty of early speed. Strong prospects.
RP
Fourth a week ago, only beaten half a length, at Mildura over 6f (handicap); generally struggled with a record of 1-15; easy to oppose as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. At 10/1 didn't finish off when 4th last start at Mildura. Will be positive in the run early. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
31: 1-9-6
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-3-0
Second-up
4: 0-3-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
11: 0-6-2
Track CurrentTrack
11: 0-6-2
Distance 900m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
16: 0-8-3
Going Good
21: 0-9-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh following return. Close-up and gave her all to just miss this venue off long break. Strips fitter and rarely stays from the action second-up. Not out of this.
ILB
Close to claiming the win last start around here. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Beaten narrowly where just ahead of Reoffer four weeks ago.
RSIS
Right up there last time at this track. Can win.
Career
43: 5-7-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
8: 1-2-1
Second-up
7: 0-1-0
Third-up
7: 2-2-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Penola
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
4: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
23: 2-4-0
Distance 1050m
16: 3-2-2
Distance 1075m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
28: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-4-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $13 when safely held in Benchmark 58 company this track over this trip. A few runs under his belt this campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and faded to finish 8th last start at this venue. Expecting to settle positively. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Has winning track form; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; finished eighth, beaten a fair way when behind Musical Sunset, Zuetoro, and Squad last month.
RSIS
Was 12/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last time around here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has some claims.
Career
13: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Lincoln
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1050m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led, gave away final stages at Gawler. Usually prominent. Others rate stronger.
ILB
At $10.00 didn't threaten when 7th last time at Gawler. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Prefer others.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; respectable seventh (Gawler) last Monday.
RSIS
Was 9/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Gawler. Displays good tactical pace.