Next2Go logo

Balaklava (SA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Balaklava (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 14 OctBalaklava (SA)Change

Race 2 — Agfert Mdn Plate 1050m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Balaklava for the Agfert Mdn Plate over the 1050m scamper on a good four surface under overcast skies. The jump is locked in for 3:05 pm AEDT and punters have been busy sizing up this maiden field. Looking at the early win market order, Lethal Harry heads calculations closely followed by Scooped, Farnace, Snobz, Via Niccolina, Sparklingrebellion, Genco, Bon's Secret, and Candy In Miami rounding out the list for this three-year-old and upwards affair.

The form lines behind those shorter prices tell an interesting yarn for punters trying to unlock the puzzle. Scooped comes into this following a let-up of sixty days, having previously given a decent sight at Morphettville Parks when on pace before finding little at the business end, though the booking suggests a sharp fresh bid. Farnace brings handy gate speed and was forwardly placed when sticking on well at Murray Bridge over the 1000m. Meanwhile, Snobz resumes here after racing on the pace and tiring at this venue previously, while Lethal Harry steps out on debut following a sharp trial performance at Morphettville Parks where the youngster signalled plenty of ability from barrier one.

Diving deeper into the data pack, several stable and jockey combinations catch the eye for a potential upset or exotic play. Via Niccolina links up with a hot jockey and trainer combination that has been outperforming market expectations significantly. For the speed purists, Farnace possesses early speed which should prove an advantage around this tight circuit, while debutant Lethal Harry benefits from drawing down low in barrier one. It shapes as a fascinating tactical battle where the on-pace runners will look to control terms early in the yarn.

Race notes

  • 3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Farnace (8)

3.20

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offpace

  • 7Via Niccolina

Onpace

  • 4Scooped
  • 8Farnace

Firststart

  • 3Genco
  • 10Sparklingrebellion

Backmarker

  • 2Candy In Miami

Leader

  • 5Snobz

  • Candy In Miami · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Genco · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Scooped · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Taylor Johnstone current POT is 26% below Career Avg.

  • Snobz · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 44% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Bon's SecretScratched2––––

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam retired a maiden after 18 starts. Well held in his Murray Bridge Gh trial 11 Dec. Benefit of decent alley. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

4yo debutant sired by Bon Aurum for trainer Scott Whittle and has a positive barrier. Follow the money.

RP

This son of Bon Aurum makes debut under rules; certainly not out of it as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Bon Aurum 4yo having first start for trainer Scott Whittle and drawn nicely.

2Candy In MiamiJ: Stephanie Wright·T: T H Jolly458kg7 8 8 14 66: 0-0-0$41.00$9.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Halidon

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Balaklava1050m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD39.32L
  2. 14Murray Bridge1100m9 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD418.37L
  3. 8Balaklava1050m23 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD48.67L
  4. 8Oakbank1050m13 Feb 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
  5. 7Halidon1000m15 Sept 2024 · Maiden · GOOD45.8L
  6. 11Morphettville1050m31 Aug 2024 · Maiden · SOFT615L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Form to date uninspiring. Never in the call this venue off extended spell. Looking to others.

ILB

Was $151.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 6th last start at this venue. Likely to settle back in the field. Large claim helps. May find these too slick.

RP

Behind Via Niccolina when beaten 9l two weeks ago; lightly raced for age but recent form is unremarkable; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Odds of 150/1 and below par performance when 6th last run here. Might have to make up considerable ground. The large claim from Stephanie Wright helps.

3GencoJ: Andrew Stead·T: Jon O'Connor858kg5$16.00$4.40

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Morphettville800m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Andrew Stead 62% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of an unraced mare. Didn’t show much in his only trial. A Stead on from trials. Tough draw but look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Jon O'connor 5yo by Sooboog having first race start. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

From the same family as Insaaf, a winner over 1m; racing education begins here for this son of Sooboog; strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

5yo debutant sired by Sooboog for Jon O'connor.

4ScoopedJ: Taylor Johnstone·T: G Richards & D Moyle358kg4 2 5 6 46: 0-1-0$3.30$1.70

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    6: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Morphettville1000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY85.4L
  2. 6Morphettville1000m1 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61.5L
  3. 5Morphettville1000m18 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.8L
  4. 2Morphettville1050m8 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT71.3L
  5. 4Morphettville1050m20 June 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY101.5L
  6. 2Morphettville800m28 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  7. 7Morphettville1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  8. 3Murray Bridge1000m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Taylor Johnstone current POT is 26% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 67%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 42% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Let-up (60-days). Gave good sight at Morphettville Parks 1 Aug. On pace but found little at the business end at Morphettville Parks. Can have a major say fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and lost momentum when 4th last run at Morphettville on a heavy track. Expecting to settle positively. Strong chance.

RP

Not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished second; finished fourth, beaten a fair way at Morphettville two months ago; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and tired late when 4th last start at Morphettville on a heavy surface. Displays good tactical pace. Attracts support.

5SnobzJ: Lauren Stojakovic·T: David Jolly & Justin Potter558kg4 2 8 3 53: 0-0-1$4.40$2.15

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Balaklava1050m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.56L
  2. 3Murray Bridge900m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.7L
  3. 8Murray Bridge900m4 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD411.4L
  4. 2Murray Bridge800m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1L
  5. 4Morphettville800m12 June 2025 · Barrier Trial3.3L
  6. 1Strathalbyn600m19 May 2025 · Barrier Trial-4

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 44% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Freshened. On pace but found little at the business end this venue second-up. Only for exotics.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and was outmuscled late when 5th last start at the track. Has early speed and positions nicely. Expected to be competitive.

RP

Came home fifth, beaten 6l, last month; not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at this track. Should race on the pace. Expect support.

6Lethal HarryScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.6

Insights

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Dam won five sprints and has produced mutliple winner All Too Mysti. Signalled ability with a solid trial performance at Morphettville Parks. Nice gate. Primed to run a big race.

ILB

3yo by Harry Angel having initial appearance for trainer Richard Jolly And Chantelle Jolly and has drawn to do little work. Watch betting.

RP

Already a gelding; yard does well at Balaklava with debutants; needs considering as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 3yo by Harry Angel for Richard Jolly And Chantelle Jolly and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

7Via NiccolinaJ: Will Price·T: M W Lewis656kg6 2 7 6 25: 0-2-0$5.00$2.35

Career

5: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1050m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Balaklava1050m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.25L
  2. 6Murray Bridge1100m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
  3. 7Morphettville1000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY88.1L
  4. 2Balaklava1050m26 July 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.1L
  5. 6Balaklava1050m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat 3yo+ Mdn Plate this track over today's trip. Encouraging latest and warrants inclusion.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 2nd last run here. Jockey Will Price and trainer Mark Lewis are a strong team. Has claims.

RP

Has displayed improved form on last two starts; creditable effort to finish second last month.

RSIS

Was strong late when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last start around here. Will Price and Mark Lewis are an imposing duo. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.

8FarnaceJ: Rose Hammond·T: A J Gluyas754kg3 5 2 7 27: 0-2-1$3.20$1.75

Career

7: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    4: 0-1-1

  • Track Murray Bridge

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1050m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 2Murray Bridge1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.98L
  2. 7Morphettville1100m12 Sept 2026 · 3Y BM64 HCP · GOOD46.3L
  3. 2Morphettville1100m29 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT71.1L
  4. 5Balaklava1050m26 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT74.6L
  5. 3Morphettville1000m28 Feb 2026 · 2Y SW+P · SOFT55.3L
  6. 4Morphettville1050m7 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD47.5L
  7. 6Murray Bridge1000m17 Jan 2026 · 2Y SW+P · GOOD411.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Ready To Strike

    Positive

    Can be rewarded for recent consistent form

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Murray Bridge Gh. Has gate speed. Worth a look.

ILB

Tidy run when 2nd last time at Murray Bridge. Has definite claims.

RP

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; beaten less than a length (Murray Bridge Gh) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Did well when 2nd last time at Murray Bridge. Solid chance.

9Maria ElenaScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 24% Profit on Turnover

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

No match but ran on for the minors at Jamestown on debut 3 Oct. Will need to come on again in tougher affair.

ILB

In the money when 3rd last run at Jamestown and having second race start.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Jamestown and was a debutant last start.

10SparklingrebellionJ: Brooke King·T: A J Gluyas954kg4$13.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Morphettville1000m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Brooke King 63% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Brooke King winning at 44% POT in last 100 rides

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Run Fox Run. Did little in trial but may be more competitive on debut. Follow betting leads.

ILB

3yo by Russian Revolution having first race appearance for Andrew Gluyas. Market as guide.

RP

Sire capable of getting smart offspring; makes first racecourse appearance; in the mix with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Russian Revolution having first race appearance for Andrew Gluyas.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races