Shortest win price
Royal Fox (2)
3.20
Balaklava plays host to a competitive 1600m Restricted 56 handicap on a good four surface under overcast skies. Punters sizing up the race will find Royal Fox heading the win market order, closely followed in the betting ring by Togetherforever, Victory Lane, and Miss Kasei. With multiple runners noted in the speed groups as leaders and on-pace runners such as Hamner Springs, Kryal Castle, Miss Kasei, and Laybuy, expect a genuine tempo as they sort out their positions early in the yarn.
Royal Fox brings compelling form to the contest as the market leader, having put in a solid runner-up effort over 1600m at Murray Bridge before a reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Gawler. The stable combination with Todd Pannell steering from barrier eleven is outperforming market expectations by a notable margin, and the seasoned performer gets every chance to bounce back here. Miss Kasei is another holding claims after settling on the pace and finishing fourth over 1400m at this track, with the step up to the mile looking suitable for a fit runner.
Looking further down the win market order, Togetherforever is backing up quickly after going home tamely at Mount Gambier, though the stable presence and previous campaign miles suggest a bounce back is not entirely out of the question. Victory Lane tends to get a long way back and failed to threaten at Strathalbyn, leaving punters looking toward the sharper end of the market for more reliable form lines. It shapes as an intriguing test over the mile where early speed influences will dictate the story of the race.
Shortest win price
Royal Fox (2)
3.20
Most career wins
Augusta Rock
16-12-9 from 101 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Royal Fox · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Victory Lane · Positive
Key Rider
Sophie Potter 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Augusta Rock · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hamner Springs · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 17% in Last 100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Gawler over longer assignment. Can lead or take a sit. Coming back in distance but among the dangers.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and ran 5th last start at Gawler and coming back in trip.
RSIS
At 9/1 ran 5th last run at Gawler and dropping back to a shorter trip.
Career
68: 9-6-8
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 1-2-1
Second-up
7: 2-0-1
Third-up
7: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
13: 4-0-1
Distance 1600m
21: 3-5-0
Going Good
40: 4-4-5
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Seasoned performer. Solid run Hcp (58) at Murray Bridge Gh 9 Sep. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Gawler. Right in this.
ILB
Odds of $6.50 and finished 7th last run at Gawler. May see an upturn in form. Finishes off strongly. Strong claims.
RP
Has proven competitive in a race of this nature and produced a string of consistent efforts; finished in front of Hamner Springs and Kamikaze Fighter over 7½f at Gawler (handicap) when seventh beaten 2½l last month; strong claims as recent effort was encouraging.
RSIS
Started at 11/2 and came in 7th last run at Gawler. Giving another go here. Shows very good finishing pace. Should put in a decent effort.
Career
37: 3-4-6
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
8: 1-1-0
Second-up
7: 0-1-2
Third-up
7: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
7: 1-1-1
Track Warwick Farm
2: 1-0-1
Track Randwick
9: 0-1-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
13: 1-1-3
Going Good
16: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
6: 2-1-0
Going Soft
15: 0-1-3
Key Rider
Positive
Sophie Potter 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long time since last saluted. Sent out $6.50 when unable to threaten at Strathalbyn. Usually gets back. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
At $6.50 made up ground when 5th last time at Strathalbyn. Very capable of taking this out.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten a fair way over 6½f at Strathalbyn (handicap) two weeks ago; useful at this level; cannot be ignored.
RSIS
Odds of 11/2 and picked up some late ground when 5th last time at Strathalbyn. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Career
101: 16-12-9
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-2-0
Track Ceduna
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1396m
13: 4-1-2
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
60: 10-7-8
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Went home tamely at Jamestown at $15. Home track advantage but has a tricky draw and rising in weight. Drops to shorter trip. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and uncompetitive when 7th last time at Jamestown and going up in weight. Expected to settle towards the rear. Rough chance.
RP
Not disgraced in seventh over 1m1f at Jamestown (handicap) 11 days ago; respected as shown he can get his head in front.
RSIS
Started at 60/1 and not in contention when 7th last start at Jamestown and hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
29: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
11: 0-0-1
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
6: 0-0-2
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1556m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
16: 0-1-2
Going Soft
13: 3-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 123%
Key Jockey
Positive
Brooke King winning at 44% POT in last 100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home tamely at Gawler at $9.50. Dual winner this trip and right in the mix.
ILB
Was $9.50 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Gawler. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Solid claims.
RP
Finished 11th, beaten 6l, at Gawler over 7½f (handicap) three weeks ago; may have to settle for supporting role.
RSIS
Was 17/2 and didn't attack the line when 11th last time at Gawler. Will be positive in the run early. Has strong claims.
Career
19: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Gawler. Can rebound.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and didn't threaten when 14th last start at Gawler. Likely to get back in the run. Needs significant improvement.
RP
A few throw outs since his success in a handicap at Albany in January; towards the rear of 15 at Gawler over 7½f (handicap) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 14th last time at Gawler. Prefers to settle towards the tail.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Jamestown
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1340m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Jamestown last start. Positive last start but needs to build further on that effort.
ILB
Fought on well to win a tight contest by a nose last run at Jamestown and drawn the rails. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Prefer others.
RP
Off the mark at the third time of asking in a maiden (Jamestown) when getting the job done by a nose 11 days ago; despite that Jamestown success, unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Was fighting out the finish when winning last run at Jamestown and drawn well. Should muster plenty of early pace.
Career
20: 1-1-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
4: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
4: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 1-0-2
Distance 1717m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 46% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Off pace and failed to make an impression at Gawler. Only win to date was this distance. Best viewed as a rough place hope.
ILB
Came in 6th last start at Gawler. Polly Brewster takes a large claim.
RP
Close up behind Dodd when sixth over 7½f at Gawler (handicap) last week; others more likely.
RSIS
Ran 6th last start at Gawler. Polly Brewster takes a large claim.
Career
15: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-1-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1629m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Mildura over longer test. Switching to 1600m. Deep into her campaign, one for exotics.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Weakened under pressure when 6th last start at Mildura.
RP
Finished sixth, beaten a fair way last week (Mildura) upped to 1m1½f; others appeal more.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Tailed off to finish 6th last start at Mildura.
Career
14: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
D & A Magro striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end this track. Has early speed. Looking for a mile now. Fit from racing, has some claims.
ILB
Was $12.00 and got tired late when 4th last time here. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide gate. Could feature here.
RP
A few throw outs since her success in a maiden at Yarra Glen in December; out of the frame (beaten just under 5l in fourth) over 7f here (handicap) last month; has to prove this longer trip is what she wants and others make more appeal.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and couldn't find the line when 4th last time at this track. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
30: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
6: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
4: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 1-1-2
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1
Going Good
18: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 44% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
S & C Oxlade striking at just 7%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but found little at the business end at Gawler. Deep into his campaign, capable of making an impact with even breaks.
ILB
At $18.00 was found wanting late when 5th last time at Gawler. Minor claims.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth at Gawler nine days ago upped to 7½f; not a frequent winner and form has been a bit mixed lately; others more likely.
RSIS
At 17/1 peaked on the run when 5th last time at Gawler.
Career
63: 6-5-7
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
10: 1-1-2
Second-up
9: 2-1-0
Third-up
9: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
9: 0-2-1
Track Sandown
12: 1-1-0
Track Kerang
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1812m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1881m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
33: 3-2-4
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Wesley Cave 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
AAP
Freshened. Veteran, just going through the motions lately and hard to warm to here.
ILB
Started $151.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Morphettville but up against weaker rivals. Should race on the speed. Needs a lot of luck to figure in the finish.
RP
Was tailed off over 1m3f at Morphettville (handicap) five weeks ago; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and looks like a player.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Morphettville but taking on a lower class of opponents. Should be going forward early.
Career
25: 2-1-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
6: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
3: 0-1-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-0-2
Going Good
13: 0-1-2
Trainer SR
Negative
Ms L Treloar striking at just 3%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
On a quick back-up. Went home tamely at Mt Gambier at $31. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Backing up quickly. At $31.00 weakened to finish 11th last run at Mount Gambier. Potential to run into a place.
RP
Finished 11th, beaten a fair way at Mt Gambier a week ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Gawler last November; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. At 30/1 was well beaten when 11th last time at Mount Gambier.
Career
89: 7-11-6
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 2-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-2-1
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-1
Track Benalla
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1733m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
42: 5-4-4
Going Heavy
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
34: 2-6-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 7% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Sent out $71 when never got into the race this venue. Remains unplaced from 8 starts here. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and improved when 5th last start around here. Likely to settle back in the field. Would be more keen on the chance of others.
RP
Finished just behind Miss Kasei when fifth over 7f here (handicap) two weeks ago; others appeal more.
RSIS
At 70/1 crept into 5th last time at this track. Likely to get back.