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Caulfield (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Caulfield (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 17 OctCaulfield (VIC)Change

Race 10 — Nationwide Tristarc Stakes 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Caulfield's Nationwide Tristarc Stakes at 6:25 pm AEDT on Good track is a Group 2 mares sprint with the going set to stay fine. Over 1400 metres, this is the longer assignment for the four-year-olds and up, and the win market has pulled tight around the first four chances. Concord Connie is shortest, with Shadhavar sitting next, then Merrigold and Terilee in close contention. All four have genuine claims, though the form behind them tells a different story for each.

Concord Connie, starting from barrier 9, is a lightly raced four-year-old with a Rating of 97 and a sharp recent record—three wins and two placings from five starts. She was narrowly beaten at Mornington first-up over 1200 metres in soft going, and the comment suggests she'll be much fitter second-up. Her jockey, Jett Stanley, is outperforming career averages by 39 per cent, and her finishing sectionals were fastest overall last start. Shadhavar, from barrier 7, represents a different angle: the formidable Craig Williams–Tom Dabernig partnership are out performing market by 74 per cent, and Craig himself sits 15 per cent above his career average in the last 100 rides. Shadhavar's form is rock solid—six wins from 17 starts, with a lead position in the speedGroups and a recent Rating of 100. She's suited by the longer trip and has shown grit in rain-affected ground.

Merrigold and Terilee both carry form that deserves respect, though for different reasons. Merrigold, from barrier 6, was backing up quickly and showed no early speed at Caulfield second-up, but the analysis suggests she'll make her presence felt third-up in the midfield. Her J/T combo is out performing by 89 per cent—the standout stable angle here. Terilee, meanwhile, has William Pike booked, a jockey running 39 per cent above market expectation in his last 100 rides, and she'll strip fitter for her second run back off an extended spell. The early pace will be set by Shadhavar as the sole leader, with Wrote To Arataki and Betwitchery on pace; Ferivia and Concord Connie will run offmidfield, which suits both their finishing credentials.

Race notes

  • 4yo+,GROUP 2 4UP MARES SWP,Group 2,Open,TRISTARC
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Concord Connie (12)

2.65

Most career wins

Merrigold

9-6-2 from 35 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Butternut Princess

Offmidfield

  • 1Ferivia
  • 12Concord Connie

Midfield

  • 5Merrigold
  • 6Guerite
  • 10Terilee

Offpace

  • 3Oh Too Good
  • 13Grand Omaha

Onpace

  • 2Wrote To Arataki
  • 7Betwitchery

Leader

  • 4Shadhavar

  • Ferivia · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Wrote To Arataki · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Oh Too Good · Positive

    Trainer Career

    Proven stable with a S/R of 25%

  • Shadhavar · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1FeriviaJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes1157.5kg9 6 4 11 311: 3-1-1$41.00$5.50

Career

11: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 3Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT51.15L
  2. 11Morphettville1200m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT67.6L
  3. 4Morphettville1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.9L
  4. 6Caulfield1200m11 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 100 · SOFT73.2L
  5. 9Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.8L
  6. 5Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
  7. 6Caulfield1600m18 Oct 2025 · 1000 GNEAS · GOOD43.4L
  8. 1Sandown1400m27 Sept 2025 · 3yo · GOOD3-0.1

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made late and solid headway into the placings at Mornington. Has an adverse draw here & this looks more demanding.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd last time at Mornington but matched against a stronger field. Might be ridden for luck. Can't suggest backing.

RP

Hard to crab her most recent performance (third of ten) last month (Mornington) in a handicap; has won here; has to be respected as recent effort was encouraging and she can cope with this step up in class.

RSIS

Good run when placing 3rd last time at Mornington but up against a more competitive field. Does take a while to get into stride.

2Wrote To AratakiJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams857kg1 3 9 6 1132: 7-3-7$26.00$4.40

Career

32: 7-3-7

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 2-0-3

  • Second-up

    8: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Sandown

    5: 2-1-2

  • Track Flemington

    11: 2-1-3

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 2-0-3

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    18: 4-1-3

  • Going Good

    17: 3-2-5

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-1-2

Last starts

  1. 11Flemington1400m3 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · HEAVY817.41L
  2. 6Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT64.4L
  3. 9Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.6L
  4. 3Flemington1400m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
  5. 1Caulfield1200m31 Jan 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-1
  6. 13Flemington1400m13 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD410.9L
  7. 6Caulfield1200m30 Aug 2025 · 4yo+ · SOFT52.8L
  8. 2Moonee Valley1600m22 Mar 2025 · Standard Weight for Age · SOFT62.75L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1400m Rose of Kingston Stakes at Flemington. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Flemington on a heavy track. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Can measure up against these.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; behind several of these at Flemington when last of 11 in a Group 2 14 days ago; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 11th last start at Flemington. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Very capable of taking this out.

3Oh Too GoodJ: Damian Lane·T: Kevin Daffy1057kg4 12 2 2 622: 6-6-2$23.00$4.00

Career

22: 6-6-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Flemington

    6: 1-3-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 0-4-1

  • Distance 1500m

    4: 3-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    8: 2-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 5-6-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Caulfield1600m30 May 2026 · BM100 HCP · HEAVY85.9L
  2. 2Flemington1600m16 May 2026 · BM100 · GOOD40.8L
  3. 2Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 4UP MARES SWP · GOOD30.8L
  4. 12Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.1L
  5. 4Caulfield1100m14 Mar 2026 · 3UP F&M SWP · GOOD42L
  6. 10Flemington1600m6 Nov 2025 · CHSTR MANIFOLD · GOOD36.5L
  7. 4Moonee Valley1600m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  8. 1Caulfield1600m11 Oct 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Positive

    Proven stable with a S/R of 25%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Damian Lane 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 4 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Boasts impressive first-up stats. 2nd & 1st at recent jump-outs. Not out of this fresh in this company.

ILB

Resumes from a break. Jumped at $7.00 and weakened to finish 6th last time around here on a heavy track. Damian Lane takes the reins today. Keep safe.

RP

Held in sixth over 1m here (handicap) five months ago; has winning track form; she can be competitive at this level; returns from a break here; productive partnership with Damian Lane, who retakes the mount; enters calculations judged on finishing second two starts back and she can take this step up in class in her stride.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 6/1 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start around here on a heavy rated track. Damian Lane takes the reins today. Not at all out of this race.

4ShadhavarJ: Craig Williams·T: Tom Dabernig756kg1 1 1 4 217: 6-3-2$3.50$1.40

Career

17: 6-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    6: 2-0-2

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 3-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 4-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 2Murray Bridge1200m3 Oct 2026 · HCP · SOFT70.66L
  2. 4Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT62.9L
  3. 1Caulfield1200m15 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT6-0.4
  4. 1Morphettville1200m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1
  5. 1Murray Bridge1200m7 Mar 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD4-2.3
  6. 2Caulfield1440m15 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.3L
  7. 1Caulfield1400m20 Sept 2025 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · GOOD3-0.4
  8. 2Caulfield1400m30 Aug 2025 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Refused to shirk task in rain affected going in Open Hcp at Murray Bridge Gh. Suited by the longer assignment now. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last start at Murray Bridge and dropping weight. Should come to hand quickly. Craig Williams rates highly aboard. In top racing shape this preparation. Definite claims for punters.

RP

Second favourite and just came up short over 6f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) 14 days ago; a winner over this C&D; yet to win a race of this value; booking of Craig Williams takes the eye; this demands more than last time so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last start at Murray Bridge and will appreciate the drop in weight. Has shown early pace in races to date. Good chance in this.

5MerrigoldJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: J D Sadler655kg1 4 7 6 1035: 9-6-2$7.00$2.30

Career

35: 9-6-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    5: 3-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Pakenham

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    13: 4-1-1

  • Going Good

    28: 7-5-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Caulfield1200m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD35.06L
  2. 6Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.48L
  3. 7Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 4UP MARES SWP · GOOD31.6L
  4. 4Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD32.7L
  5. 1Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.3
  6. 2Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  7. 2Caulfield1700m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD31L
  8. 1Flemington1600m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP · GOOD3-2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 4 when third up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers this venue second-up. All the better, can make her presence felt.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Just average when 10th last run here. Could feature here.

RP

Found life tough when 5l back in tenth a week ago in a Group 3; all her wins have been at a lower level and struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Caulfield six months ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals with tougher test on the cards.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was nothing special when 10th last start at the track. Watch the betting.

6GueriteJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith355kg1 1 5 3 511: 4-2-2$14.00$3.50

Career

11: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1343m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 3-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Caulfield1200m10 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD33.1L
  2. 3Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
  3. 5Warrnambool1200m6 May 2026 · LISTED HCP · HEAVY104.5L
  4. 1Caulfield Heath1000m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8
  5. 1Flemington1600m6 Nov 2025 · BM 80 HCP · GOOD3-0.3
  6. 1Bendigo1400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1
  7. 4Horsham1400m19 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD31.9L
  8. 1Geelong1225m12 Sept 2025 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD4-0.4

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when third up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. 5yo with spaced form. Worked home nicely here last week behind Point Barrow. Strips fitter. Each way.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $51.00 and chased well when 5th last start at this track. Can run into the placings.

RP

Admirable career strike-rate (four from 11 to date); not beaten too far when fifth of 11 over 6f here (Group 3) a week ago; trainer going well a plus; more on her plate this time but is of interest.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. At 50/1 picked up some ground to run 5th last start around here.

7BetwitcheryJ: Ben Allen·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin155kg3 8 10 9 323: 5-2-4$17.00$3.80

Career

23: 5-2-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 4-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-1-2

  • Going Good

    13: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Flemington1400m3 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · HEAVY81.21L
  2. 9Caulfield1400m19 Sept 2026 · BM84 · GOOD32.93L
  3. 10Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT68L
  4. 8Caulfield Heath1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM88 · SOFT64L
  5. 3Flemington1200m18 July 2026 · BM88 · SOFT60.6L
  6. 1Caulfield1400m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.8
  7. 1Pakenham1400m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD4-1.8
  8. 4Morphettville1400m14 Feb 2026 · BM72 · GOOD30.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Won the 3yo+ F&M Hcp Caulfield 14 Mar. Fought bravely to the wire in the Rose of Kingston Stakes at Flemington over today's trip. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Picked up late ground when 3rd last run at Flemington on a heavy rated track and hard to fault at this distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Drawn well. Others make far more appeal.

RP

Not disgraced when third at 66-1 at Flemington in a Group 2 two weeks ago; has scored over C&D; has never won a race of this value.

RSIS

Strong run when finishing 3rd last start at Flemington and solid performer at this trip in the past. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Drawn well.

8RecuperatoScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed20%

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Mornington. Breaks from an outside gate. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started $3.80 and faded away to finish 7th last time at Mornington and challenged by a tougher grade.

RSIS

Started 11/4 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Mornington and facing a stronger group of contenders.

9Gold MedallistScratched8––––

Career

11: 5-2-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 4-2-0

  • Going Good

    6: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Flemington1400m3 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · HEAVY80.46L
  2. 5Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.46L
  3. 5Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT64.1L
  4. 2Caulfield1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  5. 1Caulfield1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM84 · GOOD4-2
  6. 5Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 7Sale1200m1 Feb 2026 · BM78 · GOOD45.3L
  8. 1Sandown1400m27 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD3-0.8

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 60% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

Comments

AAP

Raced midfield, let down powerfully at Flemington over this trip last time to grab second. Not out of this.

ILB

Narrowly denied victory last start at Flemington and ideal trip as proven previously.

RP

Not beaten far in a Group 2 with three of these rivals behind her at Flemington 14 days ago; can boast winning form over this C&D; wins have come at a lower level.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at Flemington and strong form at the distance.

10TerileeJ: William Pike·T: M C Kent555kg4 1 1 5 310: 4-1-2$9.00$2.65

Career

10: 4-1-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 3Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT50.45L
  2. 5Morphettville1600m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
  3. 1Caulfield1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 · GOOD3-1
  4. 1Sandown1400m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
  5. 4Pakenham1400m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD33.15L
  6. 3Caulfield1200m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · SOFT60.5L
  7. 1Sandown1300m14 June 2025 · 3YF BM70 HCP · SOFT5-0.1
  8. 2Sandown1400m24 May 2025 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT53L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    William Pike 39% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    2 time winner here at Caulfield

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Let down late into the placings at Mornington off extended spell. Strips fitter second run back and suited over the longer trip. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Close to claiming the win last run at Mornington but facing a stronger class. William Pike adds value and will benefit with the weight drop. Could be in the mix.

RP

Not far behind Concord Connie when third in a handicap dropped back in distance posting a respectable effort (Mornington) last month; has winning track form; all her victories have been gained at a lower level; this represents a step up in class so unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Just missed last start at Mornington but facing stiffer opposition. William Pike adds value and carrying less weight this time. Has some claims.

11Butternut PrincessJ: Luke Cartwright·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman455kg1 4 3 7 824: 2-6-3$14.00$3.50

Career

24: 2-6-3

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Caulfield

    10: 0-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    10: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1600m

    6: 0-3-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-3-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-3-2

Last starts

  1. 8Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD32.69L
  2. 7Caulfield1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · SOFT61.1L
  3. 3Caulfield1400m15 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.4L
  4. 4Caulfield1100m25 July 2026 · BM84 · SOFT62.7L
  5. 1Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.4
  6. 6Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.6L
  7. 6Caulfield1600m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  8. 7Flemington1600m7 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD31.7L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 5%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 59% Profit on Turnover

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

Comments

AAP

5 weeks since last run. Ran on late from the back at Flemington over today's trip. Generally gives her all on this track. Sound claims.

ILB

Started at $18.00 and came in 8th last start at Flemington. Gets back and needs luck. Rough chance.

RP

All her wins have been at a lower level; respectable effort (beaten 2½l) in a Group 2 at Flemington 35 days ago; been struggling to get her head in front recently so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Odds of 17/1 and ran 8th last time at Flemington. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

12Concord ConnieJ: Jett Stanley·T: Charlotte Littlefield955kg2 1 1 1 25: 3-2-0$2.65$1.32

Career

5: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1200m26 Sept 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · SOFT50.1L
  2. 1Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD4-1.3
  3. 1Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM 70 HCP · GOOD3-6
  4. 1Pakenham1200m9 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT5-2
  5. 2Ballarat1200m20 Nov 2025 · 3-5Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jett Stanley winning at 29% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 4yo with share of ability. Narrowly beaten in that small field at Mornington first up. Will be much fitter second-up. Looks hard to beat.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last start at Mornington and solid career start. Jett Stanley and Charlotte Littlefield are usually competitive when they team up. Finishes off strongly. Very capable of taking this out.

RP

Winner of three of her five career starts; near miss at 30-100 21 days ago at Mornington finished just ahead of Terilee in a handicap; warrants plenty of respect despite having more on her plate.

RSIS

Close to a win last run at Mornington and good career start. Jockey Jett Stanley and trainer Charlotte Littlefield must be respected as a team. Possesses good closing pace. Good prospects.

13Grand OmahaJ: Patrick Moloney·T: M M Laurie255kg2 3 3 9 1010: 2-2-3$61.00$8.00

Career

10: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    8: 2-1-3

Last starts

  1. 10Flemington1400m3 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · HEAVY89.41L
  2. 9Eagle Farm2200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45L
  3. 3Doomben2000m23 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD41.5L
  4. 3Gosford1600m9 May 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD41.4L
  5. 2Mornington1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD41L
  6. 1Caulfield Heath1500m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
  7. 3Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.4L
  8. 1Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-3

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Flemington off spell. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

At $31.00 subpar when 10th last time at Flemington but will try to take advantage of the alley. Considering others.

RP

Has won here previously; beaten 9l when tenth of 11 in a Group 2 (dropped back to this distance) at Flemington two weeks ago; this is competitive and passed over.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and clearly outclassed when 10th last time at Flemington but has a good draw.

14Pillow FightScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Comments

AAP

Led, gave away final stages at Rosehill second-up. Has early speed. Place claims preferred.

ILB

Started at $17.00 and finished 5th last start at Rosehill.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and came in 5th last time at Rosehill.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sun 27 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races