Shortest win price
Cavalry Girl (2)
3.00
Welcome to Caulfield for the Henley Homes Sprint, a sharp Group 2 open handicap over the 1000m dash scheduled for a 3:10 pm AEDT jump on a fine afternoon with the track rated Good 4. The win market has Cavalry Girl sitting right at the head of affairs, closely followed by Bev's Nine, Oak Hill, and Pallaton holding down the next lines in the betting. It is shaping up as a cracking sprint where early speed will be crucial over the short five furlongs.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Cavalry Girl comes in following a let-up after leading and digging deep into reserves when shaded late over 1000m at Sandown-Hillside. Bev's Nine was freshened since resuming, running on gamely here over 1100m last time out and boasting a strong unbeaten record when second-up. Oak Hill strikes form quickly and can make a presence felt fresh if the breaks go the way of the backmarker. Pallaton returns after a gripping win at this course and distance, just getting there in a tight finish for the new stable.
Further down the line, speed maps show a strong contingent of leaders including Cavalry Girl, Don't Hope Do, Hidden Motive, and I'm Foxing, which suggests the early sectionals will be willing. I'm Foxing brings an interesting profile into the race as part of an in-form stable with a hot jockey and trainer combination. Punters looking for a bit of value can weigh up these historical stable trends and sectional markers as we get ready for a fascinating edition of the sprint yarn.
Shortest win price
Cavalry Girl (2)
3.00
Most career wins
Oak Hill
8-5-0 from 25 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Sweynesday · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cavalry Girl · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Gallant Son · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 42% lower than Career Avg.
Oak Hill · Positive
Jockey Booking
Damian Lane 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Career
12: 6-3-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Taupo
1: 0-1-0
Track Te Rapa
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
8: 4-2-1
Going Good
6: 3-1-0
Going Soft
6: 3-2-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Was well in the market in last campaign and did win G3 in NZ. 4th & 2nd at recent jump-out & trial. Can figure with some luck fresh.
ILB
First up specialist. Jumped at $8.50 and faded away to finish 11th last start at Doomben. Should improve but will be dropping in distance. First appearance for a new trainer. Chance and can measure up.
RP
Close up behind Oak Hill when 11th at Doomben over 6½f (Group 3) in May; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 6-12 but has done all his winning at a lower level; first start for stable; returns from a layoff; easy enough to take on as has more on his plate in this.
RSIS
Proven record first run back. Started at 15/2 and folded up in the straight when 11th last time at Doomben. Happy to overlook that run. Has a good chance.
Career
18: 7-5-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 1-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
14: 6-3-0
Distance 1050m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
9: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 3-3-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Led, dug deep into her reserves but shaded late over 1000m in the Moir Stakes at Sandown-Hillside over this distance. Makes a strong case in this company.
ILB
Back from a let up. Close to claiming the win last run at Sandown and strong performer at this distance. Expecting to settle positively. Matched against less formidable competition. Watch betting.
RP
Has won here before; nothing to fault about her last run (a neck second in the Moir Stakes at Sandown) last month; could have less on her plate in this; should be in the mix.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Close to a win last run at Sandown and hard to fault at this distance. Should be going forward early. Competing at a lower class. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
13: 3-4-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 2-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-1-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 2-2-2
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-4-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 42% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 59% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 46% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Great effort in the Newmarket Hcp Flemington two back. Started $31 when safely held in Open company this track off long break. Will be fitter second-up. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Tailed off to finish 13th last run at this venue but stepping down to a lower level. Watch the betting.
RP
Well beaten in the Manikato Stakes last month; a course winner; all his victories have been gained at a lower level; might find this company a little easier but looks an unlikely winner.
RSIS
Was well beaten when 13th last run around here but stepping down to a lower level. Not at all out of this race.
Career
25: 8-5-0
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 3-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
9: 4-2-0
Going Good
21: 6-5-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0
Jockey Booking
Positive
Damian Lane 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Damian Lane winning at 2% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 5 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Strikes form quickly. 2nd in past couple of jump-outs. Can make his presence felt fresh in this company if he gets the breaks.
ILB
First up from a break of 16 weeks and finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 3/4L first up last preparation at this track. Damian Lane takes the reins today. Solid claims.
RP
Respectable eighth at Eagle Farm four months ago in a Group 3; likes this combination of C&D; facing a tougher assignment than last time, may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Resuming and good effort to place 2nd beaten by 3/4L resuming last preparation around here. Damian Lane is a key engagement and suited at this trip historically. Must respect.
Career
9: 6-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 2-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 3-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 3-1-1
Going Good
4: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 2%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Freshened since resuming. Trailed that pace and ran on gamely first-up here. Unbeaten second-up. Must be considered.
ILB
Was competitive when 3rd last time here and will benefit with the weight drop. Shows good early pace. Well respected contender.
RP
Three-quarters of a length third to the reopposing Pallaton over 5½f here (handicap) 28 days ago on debut outing for new trainer when not beaten far; can have a big say despite this step up in class.
RSIS
Nice run when 3rd last time at this venue and will benefit with the weight drop. Has shown early pace in races to date. Will be in the finish.
Career
14: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 2-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
3: 2-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 2-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
7: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Caulfield
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened after returning. Just got there in a gripping finish at this course for new trainer. Can definitely challenge again.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last start at the track. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Admirable career strike-rate (four from 14 to date); had two of these in arrears here over 5½f (handicap) when winning by a nose on his first start for this trainer 28 days ago; more on his plate this time but in with a shout.
RSIS
Reeled them in when winning last time at this venue. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
20: 4-1-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 2-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 2-0-3
Distance 1100m
12: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 3-1-4
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Benchmark 100 company this venue second-up. Usually prominent. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started $10.00 and came in 5th last start here. Displays good tactical speed. Modest hope.
RP
Has won here; all his wins achieved at a lower level; fifth behind Pallaton when not beaten too far last month in a handicap; this demands more than last time so others make more appeal.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and finished 5th last time around here. Should come to hand quickly.
Career
14: 3-2-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-2
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 1-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
8: 2-0-3
Going Good
8: 1-1-2
Going Soft
6: 2-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last start this trip led from pillar to near the post in the 3yo+ (Bm100) at Warwick Farm. Draws to do no work. One for multiples.
ILB
Threw down a serious challenge last run at Warwick Farm and has drawn to do little work. Has early speed and positions nicely. Could feature here.
RP
Has achieved three wins from 14 career runs; ran well when beaten a neck in a handicap at Warwick Farm two weeks ago; faces a tougher assignment this time so looks risky.
RSIS
Narrowly beaten last run at Warwick Farm and has minimal work to do from the draw. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Watch betting.
Career
21: 6-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 1-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
18: 6-1-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -28%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Strong win over 1000m 3yo+ (Bm84) at Mornington over today's trip. This will test.
ILB
Bold effort when winning last start at Mornington and has a good draw. Challenged by a tougher grade. Simply cannot have.
RP
Snapped losing streak when springing a surpise to score by just over 1l (went off 40-1) at Mornington 21 days ago in a handicap; a winner over C&D; yet to win a race of this value; others more likely as facing tougher company.
RSIS
Finished with purpose when winning last run at Mornington and has a positive draw. Up against a higher level of opposition.
Career
5: 4-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-1
Track Caulfield
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
4: 4-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 4-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 289%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 64%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Upside
Positive
Progressive runner
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (16-weeks). Gave a fair showing in her first prep. 4th & 2nd at recent jump-outs. Forward showing anticipated.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Found another gear when winning by a margin of 4 1/4L last start at this venue and suited at this trip in the past. May find these too slick.
RP
Sequence of wins is stacking up and yet to taste defeat over this C&D, winning on all two attempts; aiming for a third C&D win after her success here four months ago; yard going well a plus; easy to see her making an impression despite having more on her plate.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Blitzed its rivals when winning by 4 1/4L last time at this venue and will be well suited at the trip.
Career
14: 4-4-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 2-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 955m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
12: 3-4-2
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
9: 3-2-2
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Solid performance in defeat in the 3yo+ (Bm84) at Mornington over this trip. Sterner task awaits here.
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Mornington but competing in a higher grade. Jye Mcneil rates highly. Performing honestly this preparation.
RP
Creditable effort behind Always Enuff in a handicap when beaten 1½l to finish third at Mornington three weeks ago; winning form over C&D; wins have come at a lower level; passed over as has more on her plate in this.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Mornington but facing formidable competition. Jye Mcneil rates highly.