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Meeting — Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 17 OctCaulfield (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Sharp Eit Solutions Ethereal Stakes 2000m · jumps

Race preview

The Sharp Eit Solutions Ethereal Stakes is a Group 3 sprint for three-year-old fillies over 2000 metres at Caulfield on a Good 4 track under fine conditions at 12:50 pm AEDT. The win market is tight at the top: Fringilla leads the order, followed by Miss Waititi, Voynichese, and Your Colour. This is a genuine test of stamina for the division, and the market reflects genuine uncertainty about which filly will handle the extra ground.

Fringilla, trained by Ben, Will & Jd Hayes and ridden by Ethan Brown, arrives as shortest-priced runner having won at Geelong over 1765 metres on her last start, kicking away from rivals with a decisive three-length margin. Brown is a key rider performing 63 per cent above market expectations, which adds weight to the booking. Miss Waititi sits next, rated 100 by IRD and looking well placed after breaking clear to win impressively at Flemington second-up—more ground should suit. Craig Williams' recent form sits 15 per cent above career average. Voynichese is on a quick back-up after running on okay at Rosehill without troubling at 1800 metres; the stamina question here is genuine, though the comment suggests she isn't out of this. Your Colour, rated 78, ran on hard into the placings at Randwick and won a maiden at Newcastle—settling at the back then producing a grinding charge, she could offer value in exotics.

Quick Finish and Fringilla share the Leader speed map and are expected to dominate early, with Quick Finish bringing early speed to advantage on this circuit. However, the Douglas-trained Leopard Shark looms as a genuine chance under Rachel King; the jockey-trainer combination is outperforming market by 97 per cent, and King's recent form sits 18 per cent above career average. In the finishers' division, Your Colour and Refuse To Curtsy both posted the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, suggesting they could run through the line if the pace favours. Fringilla looks the logical play if early speed sticks, while Miss Waititi's form and fitness make her appealing for punters seeking something with genuine recent winning credentials at a better price.

Race notes

  • 3yo,ETHEREAL,GROUP 3 3Y FILLIES SWP,Group 3,Open
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Fringilla (8)

2.80

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Your Colour
  • 13Abaya

Midfield

  • 1Voynichese
  • 7Autumn In Grinzing
  • 10Tharwa
  • 2Miss Waititi
  • 9Refuse To Curtsy

Offpace

  • 14Levate
  • 3Leopard Shark
  • 6Notified
  • 11Shameful Impulse

Onpace

  • 8Fringilla
  • 12Oceans Fouroseven

Leader

  • 4Quick Finish

  • Voynichese · Negative

    Tricky Map

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Miss Waititi · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Leopard Shark · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Quick Finish · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1VoynicheseJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: N J Olive557kg1 1 7 8 76: 2-1-0$7.50$2.50

Career

6: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Albury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Rosehill1800m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.33L
  2. 8Caulfield1440m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD45.71L
  3. 7Eagle Farm1600m13 June 2026 · 2yo · HEAVY96.7L
  4. 1Eagle Farm1500m6 June 2026 · 2yo · GOOD4-1.2
  5. 1Albury1175m26 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.4
  6. 2Bathurst1100m12 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
  7. 1Sapphire Coast1000m3 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.6

Insights

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Ran on okay without troubling at Rosehill. Stamina on trial here. All the better, not out of this.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Appeared lacklustre when 7th last time at Rosehill. Rates as one of the key chances.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) over 1m1f at Rosehill (Group 3) last Saturday; has won in classy company before and warrants respect.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Struggled when 7th last start at Rosehill. Expect a forward showing.

2Miss WaititiJ: Craig Williams·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr257kg4 6 3 13: 1-0-1$3.60$1.55

Career

3: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Flemington1800m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY8-2.5
  2. 3Seymour1600m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.9L
  3. 6Sandown1400m3 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.55L
  4. 4Caulfield Heath1000m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    M G & M Price & Kent striking at just 11%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke clear to win impressively at Flemington second-up. More ground a plus. Looks ready to go on.

ILB

Dashed home to win last start at Flemington on a heavy rated track and drawn nicely. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Successful by 2½l when opening her account at the third time of asking two weeks ago (Flemington) in a Listed race; she should go close despite being up in class.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last run at Flemington and showing consistent performance in races. In the placings at every start lately. Form has been improving over recent runs. Will be in the finish.

3Leopard SharkJ: Rachel King·T: Clayton Douglas856kg8 2 8 8 69: 2-1-1$101.00$14.00

Career

9: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Randwick1600m3 Oct 2026 · 3Y LISTED SW · SOFT65.78L
  2. 8Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo · SOFT78.9L
  3. 8Caulfield Heath1200m8 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT64.7L
  4. 2Flemington1000m18 July 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT61.5L
  5. 8Flemington1400m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD36.5L
  6. 1Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT5-0.1
  7. 1Pakenham1200m5 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.8
  8. 6Caulfield1000m24 Jan 2026 · 2yo · GOOD34L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely in soft going at Randwick at $61. First real test of stamina here. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was $61.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Randwick. This looks a tough assignment.

RP

Not far behind Your Colour when sixth in a Listed race two weeks ago at Randwick upped to 1m; she can be taken on with more demanding test in store.

RSIS

At 60/1 lost ground in the run home when 6th last run at Randwick.

4Quick FinishJ: Jye Mcneil·T: T & C Mcevoy656kg1 5 1 13: 2-0-0$14.00$3.70

Career

3: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Caulfield1800m19 Sept 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD3-0.4
  2. 1Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-2
  3. 5Bendigo1400m30 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT63.9L
  4. 1Caulfield Heath1000m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.5

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 28 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Gritty on pace victory 3yo Open Hcp this venue latest outing. Has early speed. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Was much too speedy in front to win by a margin of a long neck last time at this venue but testing ability against stronger contenders. Undefeated last 2 runs. Sharp improvement needed.

RP

Scored narrowly in a handicap upped to 1m1f 28 days ago; winner of two of her three runs to date and bids to pull off a hat-trick; holds major claims despite being up in class.

RSIS

Went to the front and never looked back to win by a margin of a long neck last start here but up against a more competitive field.

5Your ColourJ: Blake Shinn·T: C J Waller1156kg7 4 10 1 35: 1-0-1$8.50$2.75

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warwick Farm

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick1600m3 Oct 2026 · 3Y LISTED SW · SOFT61.58L
  2. 1Newcastle1400m18 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN · GOOD3-0.71
  3. 10Warwick Farm1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.3L
  4. 4Rosehill1300m15 Aug 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT52.6L
  5. 7Randwick1045m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.7L
  6. 10Randwick745m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)10.1L
  7. 6Warwick Farm1200m15 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN · GOOD46.9L
  8. 6Warwick Farm792m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Newcastle 18 Sep. Settled at rear, produced a grinding charge into the placings at Randwick. First real test of stamina here. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Ran on when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Randwick. Might be ridden for luck. Will be a difficult assignment.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; solid performance to finish third at 25-1 at Randwick 14 days ago in a Listed race; easy to oppose as facing a tougher assignment this time.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Randwick. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

6NotifiedJ: Jordan Childs·T: Archie Alexander1056kg5 1 2 4 85: 1-1-0$81.00$11.00

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Flemington1800m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY811.41L
  2. 4Ballarat1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD42.5L
  3. 2Flemington1800m18 July 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT62.5L
  4. 1Ballarat Synthetic1500m7 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.8
  5. 5Ballarat Synthetic1200m16 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC2.9L

Insights

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Finished out the back at Flemington. Stamina on trial here. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Odds of $20.00 and came in 8th last time at Flemington. Should go very close.

RP

Was behind Miss Waititi at Flemington two weeks ago in a Listed race when beaten 11l upped to 1m1f; hard enough to fancy with more demanding test in store.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and ran 8th last time at Flemington. One of the punters top hopes.

7Autumn In GrinzingJ: Mark Zahra·T: D T O'Brien456kg9 1 7 44: 1-0-0$15.00$3.80

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Flemington1600m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY810.75L
  2. 7Ballarat1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD43.31L
  3. 1Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY8-3.3
  4. 9Seymour1200m21 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT65.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Mark Zahra 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield, lacked required acceleration at Flemington. Stamina on trial here. Best viewed as a rough place hope.

ILB

Was $8.50 and crept into 4th last time at Flemington on a heavy track and dropping in grade. Competitive type.

RP

Held in fourth in a Group 2 (Flemington, had Abaya (seventh) and Oceans Fouroseven (ninth) behind) 14 days ago; others more persuasive despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and moved through the field into 4th last start at Flemington on a heavy track and up against weaker rivals. Definitely worth considering.

8FringillaJ: Ethan Brown·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes356kg6 2 13: 1-1-0$2.80$1.36

Career

3: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-3.25
  2. 2Geelong1425m23 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD31.25L
  3. 6Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Ethan Brown 63% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Ethan Brown winning at 42% POT in last 100 rides

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

Comments

AAP

Controlled race and kicked away from them at Geelong last outing. May now be looking for this extra ground. Stays under strong notice.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace to win by a margin of 3 1/4L last run at Geelong and promising career start. Should come to hand quickly. Very competitive this campaign. Considerable improvement needed.

RP

Opened account at the third time of asking when winning with a bit in hand (Geelong) upped to 1m1f last week in a maiden; more on her plate this time but on the shortlist.

RSIS

Set the pace when winning by a margin of 3 1/4L last time at Geelong and solid career start. Has plenty of early pace. Challenged by more formidable competitors.

9Refuse To CurtsyJ: John Allen·T: Thomas Carberry756kg7 10 4 14: 1-0-0$26.00$4.60

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kilmore1450m28 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.75
  2. 4Seymour1300m10 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT52.5L
  3. 10Flemington1400m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD311.9L
  4. 7Caulfield1100m7 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD45.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Thomas Carberry striking at just 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 53% Profit on Turnover

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 8%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Finished too well winning 3yo Mdn Plate at Kilmore second-up. John Allen on again. Stamina on trial here. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Picked up late to win last run at Kilmore and going up in distance. Rising in class. Potential to run into a place.

RP

Got the job done by just under 2l over 7f at Kilmore (maiden) when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as this is a tougher test.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last start at Kilmore and going over more ground. Competing at a higher level of competition.

10TharwaJ: Damian Lane·T: C J Waller1256kg8 10 4 3 23: 0-1-1$13.00$3.60

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Illawarra Grange

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Warwick Farm1600m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP SUPER MDN HCP · SOFT60.03L
  2. 3Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  3. 4Wyong1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  4. 10Rosehill900m21 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L
  5. 8Randwick740m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6L
  6. 6Rosehill900m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
  7. 5Canterbury893m1 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.7L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Damian Lane 21% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form from three runs has been respectable. Ran a cracking race when just edged out in soft going at Warwick Farm 5 Oct. Stamina on trial here. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Right up there last run at Warwick Farm and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Going well this preparation but facing a stronger group of contenders. Very minor chance.

RP

Went close when second 12 days ago at Warwick Farm in a handicap; this represents a step up in class so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at Warwick Farm and showing improvement in recent outings. In top racing shape of late but rising in class.

11Shameful ImpulseJ: William Pike·T: R J Blacker956kg5 1 33: 1-0-1$61.00$8.50

Career

3: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Cranbourne1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD42.75L
  2. 1Wodonga1400m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.75
  3. 5Bendigo1000m12 Aug 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN SW · HEAVY93.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    William Pike 39% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Rob Blacker in good form, out performing market 36%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made late headway into the placings at Cranbourne last start. Stamina on trial here. Tackling stronger line-up.

ILB

Strong effort to run into 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last start at Cranbourne and racing over extra ground. In fine form since coming back from a break. Too much luck needed to come into contention.

RP

Third, not beaten that far (10-1, Cranbourne) three weeks ago in a handicap.

RSIS

Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd last run at Cranbourne and rising in distance. Running with confidence since coming back from a break but up in grade.

12Oceans FourosevenJ: Harry Coffey·T: L & T Corstens & W Larkin1356kg5 1 93: 1-0-0$34.00$6.00

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Flemington1600m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY813.3L
  2. 1Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-6
  3. 5Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Bolted in at Swan Hill two back. Was a long way from the action in 1600m Edward Manifold Stakes at Flemington. Stamina on trial here. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Started $19.00 and gave away some ground when 9th last run at Flemington on a heavy rated track but drops back to a suitable class. Do not dismiss.

RP

Held when ninth beaten 13l at Flemington over 1m (Group 2) two weeks ago; might find this company a little easier but others more appealing.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and faded away to finish 9th last run at Flemington on a heavy surface but facing a weaker group of contenders.

13AbayaJ: Michael Dee·T: A & S Freedman156kg3 4 73: 0-0-1$41.00$6.50

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Flemington1600m3 Oct 2026 · 3yo · HEAVY812.7L
  2. 4Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.7L
  3. 3Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 23% POT in L100 Runners

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Flemington latest outing. Stamina on trial here. Not fancied.

ILB

Was $51.00 and ran 7th last time at Flemington but competing at a lower grade. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Has drawn to do little work. Will struggle to compete in this race.

RP

Could not manage better than seventh at Flemington over 1m (Group 2) two weeks ago; the trainer is going well; she can be taken on despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

Was 50/1 and finished 7th last run at Flemington but lining up against easier rivals. Likely to get back. Will appreciate a good draw.

14LevateJ: Jamie Spencer·T: C Maher1456kg7 5 23: 0-1-0$51.00$7.50

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1400m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.2L
  2. 5Seymour1300m10 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT53.7L
  3. 7Pakenham1200m2 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Ballarat. Quickly up in trip. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

Right up there last start at Ballarat and going over extra ground. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Competing at a higher class. May find these too slick.

RP

Went down by a head in a maiden at Ballarat two weeks ago; this demands more than last time so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Close to a win last start at Ballarat and stepping up in trip. Racing in stronger company. Getting better in recent performances.

15Tears Of HappinessScratched9––––

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2016m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Ballarat2016m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.9L
  2. 6Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  3. 5Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L
  4. 3Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.7L
  5. 8Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT78.2L
  6. 5Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5L
  7. 13Caulfield1000m29 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT67.5L

Insights

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Ballarat. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

At $4.20 didn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last start at Ballarat but matched against a stronger field.

RP

Fifth, beaten 7l, after starting favourite in a maiden last month (Ballarat) upped to this distance; with more on her plate others make more appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 10/3 and was found wanting late when 5th last run at Ballarat but facing a stronger group of contenders.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Sun 27 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races