Shortest win price
Got Lucky (3)
1.90
Welcome to Leinster for the Bhp Nickel West Leinster Cup, a competitive 1600m test set for 7:06 pm AEDT on a fine day with the track rated good. The win market sees Got Lucky leading the line of early fancies, with Fries With That, Ruler Rocket, and Western Impact following closely in the order of betting. Punters looking for a yarn here have plenty to chew on as these seasoned campaigners back up quickly on a sharp program.
Got Lucky comes in for trainer Felicity Forbes-Ives with Kyra Yuill in the saddle from barrier 5, having put together a 48-start career with six wins and eight minor placings. The stable runner was ridden cold and never really figured over this trip at Leonora last time out, but with a few runs under the belt this campaign, an improved showing into the minors wouldn't shock. Ruler Rocket is drawn nicely in barrier 3 for jockey Ebony Johnson and trainer P R Bamford, arriving here off a gutsy second at Leonora over 1200m where he just failed to repel challengers after leading. That stable is firing well above market expectations, and this runner maps midfield with a big show.
Looking further down the field, Western Impact lines up from barrier 4 for R J Malpass and Sharni Webster, bringing a handy form line that features a late-finishing third over 1600m at Leonora behind a tearaway winner. Fries With That also represents the R J Malpass yard from the inside alley in barrier 1 with Tara Atherden steering, coming off a battling fourth over the mile on the quick back-up. With Deal Obtained and Mr Hollywood rounding out the mix across various map positions, punters have a fascinating tactical puzzle to solve before jumping into the cup feature.
Shortest win price
Got Lucky (3)
1.90
Most career wins
Fries With That
7-8-13 from 69 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Ruler Rocket · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Got Lucky · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Western Impact · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Deal Obtained · Negative
Jockey Booking
Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
On a quick back-up. Totally dominated from the front in the 3yo+ (Bm64+) at Leonora over this trip. On pacer. Take a power of beating again.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Controlled the speed to win by a margin of 5 1/4L last start at Leonora and hard to fault at the distance.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Led all the way when winning by a margin of 5 1/4L last run at Leonora and have to respect the form at this distance.
Career
32: 6-5-6
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
3: 2-0-1
Track Leonora
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1099m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1200m
11: 1-2-3
Going Good
23: 6-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-2
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 51%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 49%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Just failed to repel challengers after leading at Leonora. Leads, handy. Big show.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Narrowly beaten last start at Leonora and racing over extra ground. Suited against these.
RP
Missed out by a head at Leonora over 6f (handicap) last Saturday; likely to be a contender.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Right up there last time at Leonora and going up in trip. Ebony Johnson consistently performs well for this stable. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
48: 6-8-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Geraldton
3: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Laverton
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
16: 1-2-1
Distance 1720m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-0
Going Good
40: 6-7-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Leinster
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Backing up quickly. Ridden cold and never in the picture at Leonora over this trip. Usually gets back. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can fill the minors here.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Started at $6.50 and edged past some when finishing 5th last start at Leonora. Potential to run into a place.
RP
A winner over this C&D; split a number of these rivals dropped back in distance when beaten 10l (Leonora) seven days ago; one to note as he finished second last month.
RSIS
On a short back up. Started at 11/2 and picked up some ground to run 5th last run at Leonora.
Career
43: 5-11-5
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Carnarvon
27: 4-5-4
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1216m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
38: 4-9-5
Going Soft
5: 1-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sharni Webster 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Sharni Webster winning at 26% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
On a quick back-up. Ran on late to place behind tearaway winner at Leonora. Deep into his campaign, can run top three.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 5 1/4L last start at Leonora. In top form this preparation. Possesses very good finishing speed. Looks like solid value.
RP
Been running well in defeat of late; finished in front of several of these at Leonora when on the premises, finishing third last week.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by 5 1/4L last start at Leonora. In top racing shape of late. Will be motoring home late. Commands respect.
Career
38: 5-5-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Leonora
1: 0-0-0
Track Junction
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1765m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
35: 5-5-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Thrashed a small field at Landor. Tackling stronger now but arrives in form.
ILB
Was $21.00 and not up to standard when 8th last time at Mingenew but will try to take advantage of the draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Could not recommend in this.
RP
Going for a hat-trick; a good winner at Landor over 7f (conditions race) two weeks ago; has to be respected.
RSIS
At 20/1 looked flat when 8th last time at Mingenew but gets a favourable draw. Should be going forward early.
Career
69: 7-8-13
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-1-2
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-3
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Carnarvon
4: 1-1-1
Track Northam
6: 1-0-1
Track Pinjarra
10: 0-0-3
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-2
Going Good
61: 7-8-11
Key Rider
Positive
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 565%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Backing up quickly. Sent out $8 when battled home to finish 4th at Leonora. Secures inside draw in small field. Well into preparation now, looks a top three chance.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Was $8.00 and came in 4th last run at Leonora. Expecting improvement here and gets a favourable draw. Displaying good ability this campaign. Will show up at the business end.
RP
Not beaten that far in fourth (6l) dropped down to this distance at Leonora when separating a number of reopposing rivals last Saturday; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Started at 7/1 and ran 4th last run at Leonora. Should improve from the last run and has minimal work to do from the draw. Will go close.
Career
62: 2-7-7
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Newman
1: 0-0-1
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
56: 2-6-7
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Leonora over today's trip. Usually gets back. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Was $101.00 and below par when 7th last start at Leonora. Likely to settle back in the field. Overlook from a betting angle.
RP
Finished behind three of these rivals when beaten 17l (seventh of eight) at Leonora a week ago; not really built on success in a handicap in July at Carnarvon and hasn't shown much recently; facing a testing assignment and hard to recommend.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started at 100/1 and well beaten when 7th last time at Leonora. Will be giving the leaders a big start.