Shortest win price
Leg Godt (5)
2.00
Welcome to Leinster for the running of the Leinster Local Business & Western Meat Packers Mdn over 1000m on a good track under fine weather conditions. Looking at the early win market, punters have lined up Leg Godt at the head of affairs, followed closely by Tedeschi, Love Of Far Fa, and Sambuca Rose, with Inspirational Mac and Unruly Dame rounding out the order as they prepare to jump at 3:54 pm AEDT. Let us dive into the yarn behind this maiden affair and see how the form stacks up for our contenders on the quick back-up.
The market leader Leg Godt brings some interesting form from the stable, having led before giving way under pressure at Moora over 1190m last start, following an outing at Pinjarra. Meanwhile, Tedeschi is right there in the market conversation for Ms M Forrester, coming off a handy second at Leonora over 1200m where it stuck to its guns to fill the minors. That performance was backed by the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, and with Tara Atherden steering from barrier 6, there is plenty to like about its chances coming back in distance here. Another one drawing attention is Love Of Far Fa, a serial maiden with fifteen starts under the belt, who kept grinding away for the minors at Landor second-up and gets the benefit of a favourable draw in barrier 2 with Casey Hunter in the saddle.
Looking further down the speed maps, Leg Godt maps as the sole leader and could look to dictate terms out in front, while the likes of Tedeschi and Inspirational Mac settle midfield, and Sambuca Rose looks to be a backmarker. Unruly Dame also maps well for this track, sitting off-field. While maiden races can always throw up a tricky puzzle for punters, Tedeschi and Leg Godt hold compelling form lines that suggest they will be fighting out the finish of this 1000m scamper.
Shortest win price
Leg Godt (5)
2.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Leader
Tedeschi · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Inspirational Mac · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Love Of Far Fa · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 91% better than Career Avg.
Sambuca Rose · Negative
Jockey Booking
Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Career
10: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Junction
1: 0-0-0
Track Mingenew
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-1-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Key Rider
Positive
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Stuck to his guns to fill the minors at Leonora. Coming back in distance. Handy last start and can measure up.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Showed strength on the speed initially before fading at the end 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Leonora. Large claim helps. Has the ratings to win this.
RP
Solid effort when beaten just under 2l to finish runner-up over 6f at Leonora (maiden) last Saturday; has shown some recent improvement; ought to be competitive as recent display was promising.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Was strong on the pace before fading to finish 2nd last start at Leonora. The large claim from Tara Atherden should help. Winning potential.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
6: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Sharni Webster 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Unable to make an impression at Leonora after lengthy absence. Building fitness and takes a 2kg claim. Warrants attention.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Started at $8.50 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Leonora. Has shown early pace in races to date. Reasonable chance.
RP
Finished behind Tedeschi at Leonora over 6f (maiden) when finishing last of seven a week ago.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 15/2 weakened under pressure when 7th last start at Leonora. Shows good early pace.
Career
15: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Northam
2: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2212m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 91% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Casey Hunter 94% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 154%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Casey Hunter in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 94%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 49%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Ex Q Fowler in WA. Kept grinding away for the minors at Landor second-up. Drawn favourably. Serial maiden but has a big say here.
ILB
Resumes from a 27 week spell. Started $9.50 and not up to scratch when 9th last run at Narrogin but can find a nice position from the draw. Keep safe.
RP
Not beaten far when second upped to 1m1f at Landor 12 days ago in a conditions race; improved form the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (17 on the bounce); first start for new stable.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break of 27 weeks. Started 17/2 and just average when 9th last time at Narrogin but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
10: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
9: 0-0-0
Track Landor
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1417m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 76%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 83% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 49%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into third at Landor second-up. Coming back in distance. Among the dangers again.
ILB
First up after a break of 54 weeks. Only fair when 4th last time at Landor but can save some energy from the draw. Hasn't placed in 10 runs. Cannot have under these circumstances.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but yet to open her account after 13 starts; held when third beaten 6l two weeks ago at Landor in a conditions race; trainer has been going through a quiet spell; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 54 weeks. Below par when 4th last run at Landor but has the ideal draw. Yet to make an impression in 10 starts.
Career
7: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Moora
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Led, gave away under pressure at Moora for new stable. Rates highly in this affair.
ILB
Odds of $5.50 and ran 5th last start at Moora. Expecting improvement here. Should muster plenty of early speed. Winning potential.
RP
Creditable fifth at Moora over 6f (maiden) 14 days ago on debut for this trainer; big chance if backing up last run.
RSIS
Started at 9/2 and finished 5th last start at Moora. Should improve. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Beautifully placed.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Fresh. Has struggled to make an impression. Big prices and modest returns in early runs. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Was $151.00 and didn't threaten when 11th last start at Carnarvon. Gets back and needs luck. Prefer others.
RP
Finished last of 11 last month at Carnarvon in a handicap; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time); likely to go well.
RSIS
Started at 150/1 and was well beaten when 11th last start at Carnarvon. Does take a while to get into stride.