Bendigo (VIC) horses tips & previews

7 Nov, 10:57 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bendigo (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 28 OctBendigo (VIC)Change

Race 9 — The Sporting Globe After The Last - MCC Series Heat 8 (Bm78) 1400m · jumps Wed 28 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Bendigo hosts the eighth heat of the MCC Series for BM78 three-year-olds and up over 1400 metres on Good 4 ground at 5:30 pm AEDT. The win market has Bel Mezyaan shortest, followed by Col Klink, then Rosa Aotearoa and Spirited Defence. It shapes as a genuine puzzle. Bel Mezyaan comes into the race with the highest rating in the field at 100 according to IRD, bolstered by the fastest finishing sectionals last start and a recent barrier trial placing. Col Klink, lightly raced at just five starts, showed enough early in his career to warrant market respect—he won at Bendigo over 1100 metres on Heavy 8 ground and ran on without troubling at Horsham most recently. Both runners are backing up from recent assignments and carry genuine claims.

Rosa Aotearoa, third in the market, looms as the play with early speed. She knows Bendigo well and was a winner at her only other start at this track. The AAP comment flags her as highly rated in this line-up, though she lacked the finish late at Caulfield off her spell. Jye Mcneil's ride and the scenario of a second-up run favour improvement. Spirited Defence, fourth up in the market, comes to hand after a 49-day let-up, but the form reads plainly: tamely home on the quick back-up at Sandown-Hillside over this trip, and the J/T combination of John Allen and Andrew Noblet are underperforming expectations. Hiyaam Proud sits fifth and presents a narrative with Ethan Brown booked; the jockey is running 44 per cent above market expected in the last 100 rides, suggesting the stable fancies this runner's prospects despite a form line that shows mostly mid-field finishes.

The leaders—Black Storm, Rosa Aotearoa, and Chest Of Gold—will run hard early, with Flying Basil on pace behind them according to the speed map. Black Storm from barrier one has early speed but carries a concern: trainer Timothy Fitzsimmons is striking at just 7 per cent, yet Nadia Daniels is overperforming her career average by 57 per cent. Col Klink presents the best case for a roughie: Damian Lane is aboard a lightly raced type who has tasted success at Bendigo and has proven he can run on late. The opinion here leans to Rosa Aotearoa for tactical reasons and track knowledge, with Col Klink as the value alternative.

Race notes

3yo+,BM78,BM78 HCP - MCC SERIES HEAT 8,Benchmark 78
GOOD4
Fine
14 runners

Shortest win price

Bel Mezyaan (11)

2.80

Most career wins

Flying Basil

14-3-5 from 55 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

11Bel Mezyaan
16Col Klink

Offmidfield

10Shaalute
12He's Beset

Midfield

8Coco Jen
2Spirited Defence
3Hiyaam Proud
15Silver Bullet

Offpace

13Chicago Blues
4Van Roy

Onpace

9Flying Basil

Leader

1Black Storm
6Rosa Aotearoa
7Chest Of Gold

Black Storm · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 57% in Last 100 Rides
Spirited Defence · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -28%
Hiyaam Proud · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Van Roy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Black StormJ: Nadia Daniels·T: T Fitzsimmons162.5kg5 9 2 5 1326: 6-10-1$34.00$5.50

Career

26: 6-10-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1450m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
13: 3-6-0
Going Good
20: 4-10-1
Going Soft
6: 2-0-0

Last starts

13Seymour1600m11 Oct 2026 · LISTED · SOFT58.57L
5Caulfield Heath1500m8 Aug 2026 · BM84 · SOFT65.9L
2Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.4L
9Caulfield1700m27 June 2026 · BM78 · SOFT73.3L
5Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT51.6L
2Warracknabeal1600m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
1Albury1600m19 Mar 2026 · ALBURYMILE BM90 · SOFT7-0.9
7Caulfield1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 57% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Timothy Fitzsimmons striking at just 7%
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 75% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Seymour at healthy odds. On pacer, perfect gate. Drops to shorter trip. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 13th last run at Seymour. Likely to bounce back and has been racing in stronger company. Will be positive in the run early. Solid prospects.

Last of 13 two weeks ago at Seymour in a Listed handicap; has won here; not hard to turn elsewhere despite dropping in class.

RSIS

Didn't find the line when 13th last time at Seymour. Likely to bounce back and competing in a lower grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Drawn well. Good chance and definitely has claims.

2Spirited DefenceJ: John Allen·T: Andrew Noblet258.5kg1 4 4 1 1115: 5-3-0$16.00$3.90

Career

15: 5-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Sandown1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76L
1Ballarat Synthetic1500m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SYNTHETIC-2.3
4Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC1.2L
4Pakenham Synthetic1200m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.6L
1Ballarat Synthetic1200m30 June 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC-2
5Warrnambool1200m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD33.1L
6Ballarat1100m6 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT68.7L
1Ballarat Synthetic1200m11 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SYNTHETIC-2.3

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -28%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Went home tamely in choppy conditions at Sandown-Hillside over this trip at $21. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Freshened for this. Performed below standard when 11th last time at Sandown but has a good draw. Strong prospects in this race.

Towards the rear of 14 (Sandown) last month; career wins-runs record of 5-15; should not be far away as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Below standard effort when 11th last time at Sandown but drawn nicely. Forward showing expected.

3Hiyaam ProudJ: Ethan Brown·T: M M Laurie958kg2 2 8 6 518: 3-5-0$13.00$3.60

Career

18: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 1-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
8: 0-2-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
13: 1-5-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0

Last starts

5Seymour1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
6Caulfield1600m7 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD42.5L
8Flemington1600m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
2Cranbourne1600m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD30.4L
2Pakenham1600m13 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.5L
2Wodonga1590m28 Nov 2025 · Open · GOOD30.4L
7Caulfield1700m15 Nov 2025 · BM74 · GOOD44.2L
6Bendigo1600m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ethan Brown 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on soundly from midfield at Seymour off extended spell. Better conditioned. One for exotics.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Seymour. Watch for a sign in the market.

Respectable effort to finish fifth, beaten 2½l at Seymour two weeks ago; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2024); Ethan Brown a noteworthy booking; not a great record second time out after a break and others are preferred.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and kept chasing when 5th last time at Seymour. Has some claims.

4Van RoyJ: Tom Madden·T: Aaron Purcell1358kg1 8 1 2 655: 9-8-9$101.00$14.00

Career

55: 9-8-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-2
Second-up
6: 0-1-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
4: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-1
Track Moonee Valley
6: 2-1-1
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
32: 7-5-5
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-2-3

Last starts

6Mount Gambier2050m22 May 2026 · MT G CUP · SOFT717.6L
2Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY80.8L
1Penola1600m5 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD3-1
8Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD411.8L
1Mount Gambier2062m25 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 78 · GOOD4-0.1
1Penola2000m16 Jan 2026 · Benchmark 74 · GOOD4-2.7
3Mount Gambier1800m21 Dec 2025 · BM66 · SOFT60.9L
2Stawell2000m13 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD42L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Awkwardly drawn and up in weight for return. Remains unplaced from 4 starts here. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Back from a spell. Odds of $5.50 and didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Mount Gambier and back to a shorter distance. Has more weight to carry. Looks too tough.

Held in sixth at Mt Gambier over 1m2f (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back. At 9/2 faded away to finish 6th last start at Mount Gambier and will be down in distance. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.

5Enna's DreamScratched17––––

Career

27: 4-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-3
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
9: 1-1-2
Going Good
13: 0-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
12: 4-2-3

Last starts

7Flemington1400m4 July 2026 · F&M · SOFT77L
1Murray Bridge1400m13 June 2026 · BM76 · SOFT6-0.4
2Caulfield1600m30 May 2026 · Benchmark 78 · HEAVY82.3L
4Warrnambool1400m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM70 HCP · HEAVY104.5L
14Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.9L
7Flemington1600m6 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M SWP · GOOD31.7L
3Moonee Valley1496m24 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.6L
2Pakenham1400m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT50.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (16-weeks). Has performed well previously first-up without winning. Awkwardly drawn and up in weight for return. Can fill the minors here fresh in this affair.

ILB

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Was $16.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Flemington but lining up against easier rivals. Going up in weight.

Came home seventh, beaten 7l, at Flemington four months ago; Craig Williams a noteworthy booking; others appeal more.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 15/1 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Flemington but challenged by less formidable competitors. Going up in weight.

6Rosa AotearoaJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Reece Goodwin757.5kg1 5 3 1 813: 4-2-1$4.40$1.80

Career

13: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
3: 2-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

8Caulfield1100m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.57L
1Caulfield Heath1000m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-3
3Flemington1420m20 June 2026 · BM84 · SOFT72.7L
5Flemington1200m6 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY84.9L
1Bendigo1300m2 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD3-0.5
1Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD3-1.75
1Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.8
1Mornington1200m27 Nov 2025 · 3UP CG&E BM62 HCP · GOOD4-1.5

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Handy but lacked necessary finish late at Caulfield off spell. Fitter second-up. Winner at only other start at Bendigo. Highly rated in this line-up.

ILB

Started $12.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time at Caulfield. Should race on the speed. Betting is the best guide.

Possesses winning form at this track; consistent lately; not disgraced when eighth over 5½f at Caulfield (handicap) two weeks ago; could have a say given recent reappearance at Caulfield will have blown away the cobwebs and he's no stranger to the winners' enclosure.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Caulfield. Likely to be well placed early. Watch betting.

7Chest Of GoldJ: Beau Mertens·T: Julius Sandhu556kg1 6 5 13 1313: 3-2-2$34.00$5.50

Career

13: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Seymour1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT517.2L
13Sandown1400m1 July 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY924.8L
5Sandown1400m3 June 2026 · BM74 · HEAVY86.2L
6Caulfield Heath1500m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.2L
1Cranbourne1500m22 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD3-0.2
5Cranbourne1400m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.2L
3Pakenham1600m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT54.5L
3Flemington1630m21 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD40.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Julius Sandhu striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 38% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Finished well down the track in 3yo+ (Bm70) at Seymour last outing. Can go forward. Place preferred.

ILB

Started $14.00 and weakened to finish 13th last start at Seymour but will appreciate the drop in weight. Expecting to settle positively. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

Last of 13 at Seymour when behind Shaalute, Hiyaam Proud, and Chicago Blues two weeks ago; has managed three wins from 13 career runs; needs considering.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and looked outclassed when 13th last start at Seymour but gets some weight relief. Should muster plenty of early toe.

8Coco JenJ: Luke Currie·T: M M Laurie456kg2 2 1 7 68: 3-3-0$26.00$4.60

Career

8: 3-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1412m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-2-0
Going Good
8: 3-3-0

Last starts

6Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD41.3L
7Mornington1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM74 HCP · GOOD44.1L
1Moonee Valley1600m24 Oct 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD3-0.8
2Cranbourne1600m10 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42L
2Sandown1400m27 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · GOOD30.8L
1Kilmore1612m14 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.8
2Bendigo1600m2 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD40.1L
1Benalla1412m16 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Has run well fresh. Raced in metro company last prep. Not out of this fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Finished 6th last start at Flemington. Good to see Luke Currie is jumping on. Strong claims in this.

Finished sixth beaten just over 1l at Flemington in May; returns from a layoff; much respected as has wins in the formbook.

RSIS

First run back today. Finished 6th last run at Flemington. Luke Currie rates highly. Nice price for the value seekers.

9Flying BasilJ: Declan Bates·T: Shane Jackson1456kg1 6 7 11 755: 14-3-5$126.00$16.00

Career

55: 14-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
8: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 3-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
9: 3-0-2
Distance 1628m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
36: 9-2-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 5-1-1

Last starts

7Casterton2000m17 May 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT622.5L
11Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY87.5L
7Edenhope2000m7 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD47.4L
6Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
1Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT5-1.5
8Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L
8Wodonga1590m28 Nov 2025 · Open · GOOD36.7L
9Murray Bridge2000m12 July 2025 · BM78 HCP · SOFT59.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -47% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Seasoned galloper best over longer these days. Went to the paddock after a lean run last prep. Expect will need this.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Jumped at $12.00 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Casterton and up in class. Down in distance. Cannot have today.

Successful 14 times from 56 career runs but not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Great Western in January; tailed off at Casterton five months ago upped to 1m2f; layoff to overcome; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 11/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last time at Casterton and up against stronger opponents. Down in distance.

10ShaaluteJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: M M Laurie1156kg3 3 4 2 428: 6-4-4$17.00$3.90

Career

28: 6-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
3: 1-1-1
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Seymour1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.15L
2Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.25L
4Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.4L
3Ballarat Synthetic1200m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SYNTHETIC1L
3Pakenham Synthetic1200m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.8L
7Flemington1200m6 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY88.1L
9Caulfield Heath1200m20 May 2026 · BM74 · SOFT63.3L
3Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 939%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Seymour. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Seymour. Will be giving the leaders a big start. The large claim from Stephanie Hateley helps. Entitled to be a big price.

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 6-28; fair effort when beaten just over 2l at Seymour 17 days ago; not hard to turn elsewhere as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and outmuscled late when 4th last run at Seymour. Gets back and needs luck. The large claim from Stephanie Hateley should help.

11Bel MezyaanJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Jerome Hunter355.5kg3 2 3 4 37: 2-1-3$2.80$1.36

Career

7: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-1

Last starts

3Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.7L
4Flemington1600m6 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY82.5L
3Caulfield1400m30 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY81.1L
2Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD30.4L
3Sandown1200m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
2Caulfield Heath800m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
1Sandown1500m25 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT5-0.3
1Ballarat1200m14 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-2.8

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (20-weeks). Merit in earlier Stakes performance. Placed at Sandown-Hillside on debut last campaign while showing enough in recent trials. Has some claims fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up after 20 weeks and was amongst the placegetters when 3rd first up last preparation at Sandown. Fitter for a trial at Caulfield Heath on Oct 1st. Solid chance.

Produced a string of consistent efforts; solid effort over 1m at Flemington (handicap) in June; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L resuming last preparation at Sandown. Placed 3rd in a trial at Caulfield Heath on Oct 1st. Strong prospects in this race.

12He's BesetJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: Dean Williams1055.5kg4 8 4 4 925: 4-5-3$81.00$11.00

Career

25: 4-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1347m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
14: 3-2-2
Distance 1412m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-3
Going Soft
13: 2-4-0

Last starts

9Hamilton1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.01L
4Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
4Seymour1000m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.9L
8Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT67.9L
4Caulfield1600m8 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 74 · GOOD42.15L
6Sandown1400m25 Jan 2025 · BenchMark 70 · GOOD43.62L
9Flemington1400m11 Jan 2025 · BenchMark 74 · GOOD34.41L
9Ballarat1400m17 Oct 2024 · BenchMark 70 · GOOD44.25L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 88% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 125% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 91% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Hamilton. Prefers better than heavy. Switching to 1400m. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started at $16.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Hamilton and up against a more competitive field. Likely to get back in the field. Needs to improve.

Beaten 5l when ninth of 13 over 1m at Hamilton (handicap) two weeks ago; a while since his last success; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Hamilton and challenged by a tougher grade. Might be ridden for luck. Goes down in weight.

13Chicago BluesJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Jason Warren1255kg10 2 1 1 812: 3-1-1$34.00$5.50

Career

12: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1112m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 2-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Seymour1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.05L
1Morphettville1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD4-1.17
1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-1.8
2Wangaratta1100m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT70.1L
10Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT75.5L
5Mildura1200m17 July 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.8L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC9.5L
6Cranbourne1000m6 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD38L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Positive
Teodore Nugent 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 110%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 86% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Won a 1250m Benchmark 64 at Morphettville Parks two back. Sent out $14 when unable to threaten at Seymour over this journey. Soft tick, heavy query. One for multiples.

ILB

At $14.00 ran 8th last time at Seymour but goes down in weight. Better to look elsewhere.

Finished eighth, beaten 5½l, at Seymour two weeks ago; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a fourth career win); passed over.

RSIS

Was 13/1 and came in 8th last run at Seymour but gets a reduction in weight.

14Charming DeelScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Geelong winner two back. Led, gave away final stages at Geelong. Awkwardly drawn this time. Has some claims.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and lost ground when 4th last run at Geelong but facing a stronger group of contenders. Gets a reduction in weight.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and outmuscled in the run home when 4th last start at Geelong but facing formidable opponents. Carrying less weight this time.

15Silver BulletJ: Jett Stanley·T: Charlotte Littlefield654.5kg1 7 1 6 77: 2-1-0$21.00$4.40

Career

7: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
3: 2-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Ballarat1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD41.85L
6Mornington1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SWP · GOOD42.6L
1Pakenham1400m2 Apr 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.4
7Pakenham1400m26 Feb 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 SW · GOOD43.7L
1Pakenham1400m16 Jan 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD4-0.8
2Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
10Sale1210m31 July 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT76.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Positive
Jett Stanley 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Ballarat off extended spell. Strips fitter second run back and suited over the longer trip. At optimum distance. Among the dangers.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and came in 7th last time at Ballarat and competing at a higher level of competition. Jett Stanley and Charlotte Littlefield show promise as a combination. Watch the betting.

Fair effort over 6f at Ballarat (handicap) three weeks ago; consistent performer.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and finished 7th last time at Ballarat and up against tougher opponents. Jett Stanley and Charlotte Littlefield must be respected when they team up. Keep safe.

16Col KlinkJ: Damian Lane·T: L Smith854kg2 6 1 1 55: 2-1-0$3.70$1.65

Career

5: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
1Bendigo1100m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-2
1Geelong1212m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo · SOFT5-0.3
6Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3&4Y SW · GOOD34.1L
2Geelong1230m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Lightly raced 4yo with share of ability. Won 3yo+ Hcp (C1) Bendigo 26 Aug. Latest attempt this journey when ran on okay without troubling at Horsham. Can challenge.

ILB

At $4.40 made ground when closing off to finish 5th last run at Horsham and putting a tidy record together. Does take a while to get into stride. Watch betting.

Has won here; not beaten too far (just under 3l) ten days ago at Horsham upped to this trip.

RSIS

Started at 10/3 and advanced late into 5th last start at Horsham and solid career start. Likely to settle back in the field. Competing at a higher level of competition. Not at all out of this race.

17CoronationherculesScratched5––––

Career

5: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1243m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 2-0-0

Last starts

7Horsham1400m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.61L
1Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT5-0.5
4Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.4L
1Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT6-0.3
3Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY83.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Won 3yo+ (Bm62) Mornington 4 Sep. In trailing position but couldn't quicken enough at Horsham over this distance. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $9.50 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Horsham but showing consistent performance in races. Going well this preparation.

Close up behind Col Klink when seventh at Horsham ten days ago.

RSIS

Was 17/2 and well beaten when 7th last time at Horsham but good career start. Competing in a more challenging class. Gets a reduction in weight.

18GunadoScratched3––––

Career

19: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 2-1-2
Going Good
10: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.12L
6Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.9L
3Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.8L
4Warrnambool1300m23 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY103.5L
8Geelong1225m19 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY95.4L
2Sandown1200m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY81L
6Ballarat1100m10 May 2026 · BM62 · SOFT64L
13Flemington1600m6 Nov 2025 · BM 80 HCP · GOOD35.9L

Insights

Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Battled home okay at Ballarat. Coming back in distance. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and faded to finish 9th last start at Ballarat and racing in stronger company. Dropping weight.

Not beaten that far in ninth (just over 3l) over 1m at Ballarat (handicap) three weeks ago.

RSIS

Odds of 15/2 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Ballarat and matched against a stronger field. Gets some weight taken off.

Odds correct as at Wed 28 Oct, 5:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Sun 6 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races