Shortest win price
Jenni You Think (12)
3.90
Welcome to Bendigo for the Prestige Event Hire benchmark 70 over the 1600m journey on a fine afternoon with a good 4 track awaiting punters. The win market is currently headed by Jenni You Think, with Cushioned, Kiwi Jenni, and The Muffin Man next in line in a competitive middle-distance affair where tactics will play a major hand. Let us dive into the yarn behind this race and see how the form stacks up for the punters looking to land a winner on the quick back-up of local action.
At the head of the market, Jenni You Think represents the stable of C Maher and comes in following a solid minor placing at Ballarat over this exact 1600m trip, showing a liking for the distance after running on well. Another prominent contender near the top of the betting is Cushioned from the A & S Freedman stable, who finished within striking distance at Cranbourne over the mile last time out and gets in with a nice weight here. Meanwhile, Kiwi Jenni brings another C Maher form line to the table, having made a late rally from the back at Geelong over 1765m after a strong placing at Caulfield Heath.
Further down the win market order, The Muffin Man catches the eye for trainer M J Enright, coming off a narrow-margin second in a 3up bm66 handicap at Ballarat over 1600m where he clocked the fastest overall finishing sectionals. With speed maps showing a distinct spread across the field from leaders like Itsukushima down to backmarkers such as Jackknife and Kiwi Jenni, the race sets up nicely for those with a turn of foot. It shapes as an intriguing puzzle where form lines converge and the punters can weigh up several genuine chances.
Shortest win price
Jenni You Think (12)
3.90
Most career wins
Brung King
7-5-3 from 33 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Jackknife · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Expeetee · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Itsukushima · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 53%
Brung King · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Career
7: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1712m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Import returning for second Australian campaign (23-weeks). Last campaign was safely held against better opposition. Untested in wet. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Fresh today after a break. Folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Flemington but competing at a lower class. Possesses very good closing speed. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished last of ten over 1m1f at Flemington (handicap) in May; returns from an absence here; others are preferred.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Weakened to finish 10th last start at Flemington but challenged by weaker competitors. Will be trying to topple them late. Drawn nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
28: 6-4-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
5: 2-1-1
Distance 1206m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
5: 2-1-1
Going Good
24: 6-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Seymour off long break. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Odds of $101.00 and was nothing special when 9th last start at Seymour but matched against less formidable competition. Brittany Button provides some weight relief. Sharp improvement needed.
RP
Ninth of 13 beaten 6l over 7f at Seymour (handicap) two weeks ago when just behind Highly Intrigued; career wins-runs record of 6-28; has a reasonable shout.
RSIS
Started at 100/1 and only fair when 9th last time at Seymour but up against weaker rivals. The large claim from Brittany Button should help.
Career
41: 6-11-6
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-3
Fourth-up
5: 2-2-0
Track Sale
3: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 6-10-6
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Bendigo
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Toughed it out on the pace at Cranbourne over today's trip at $13. On pacer. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Warrants attention.
ILB
Bold effort when winning last start at Cranbourne and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. This won't be easy.
RP
Won a handicap by 1l (Cranbourne) two weeks ago; suited by this C&D; others more likely despite the last time out success.
RSIS
Rounded them up to win last start at Cranbourne and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.
Career
33: 7-5-3
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1308m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
6: 3-1-0
Going Soft
13: 2-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 43% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Hamilton over this distance. Can lead or take a sit. Handles the wet. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Was $5.50 and faded away to finish 12th last run at Hamilton but has drawn the rails. Sarah Field takes the reins today. The large claim from Sarah Field helps. Watch betting.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 (Hamilton) two weeks ago; career wins-runs record of 7-33; strong claims.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 12th last start at Hamilton but has a nice advantage with a good stall. Sarah Field is a plus. Betting is the best guide.
Career
38: 5-7-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-3-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Distance 955m
3: 0-1-2
Distance 1000m
7: 1-3-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-2-0
Going Soft
9: 3-3-0
Going Synthetic
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 0-4-4
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 46%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Battled home okay at Caulfield. Distant place hope only.
ILB
Finished 7th last start at Caulfield but matched against lesser competition.
RP
Largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Sandown four months ago; finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 7f at Caulfield (handicap) two weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Came in 7th last time at Caulfield but dropping in class.
Career
7: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Horsham off extended spell following market easing. Strips fitter. Untried in wet going. Right in the mix.
ILB
Jumped at $16.00 and just average when 11th last time at Horsham. Beau Mertens is a bonus. Possible place chance.
RP
Finished 11th of 12 over 7f at Horsham (handicap) ten days ago; competitive shout as he knows how to get the job done.
RSIS
Odds of 15/1 and well beaten when 11th last time at Horsham. Beau Mertens rates highly.
Career
13: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1205m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 57% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 192%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 53%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 40% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 75%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Having a good preparation. Wore them down late at Cranbourne over this journey. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Flew home to win last time at Cranbourne. Won last 2 on the trot. Nadia Daniels and Will Ben & Jd Hayes are a strong duo.
RP
Narrow scorer in a handicap (Cranbourne) three weeks ago; going for a hat-trick and has managed four wins from 13 career runs; looks likely to go well.
RSIS
Rocketed home when winning last start at Cranbourne. Made it 2 wins on the trot.
Career
18: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 4-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 660%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Seymour. Has a tricky draw. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and came in 7th last time at Seymour but will appreciate the drop in class. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. A difficult test here.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh of 13 over 7f at Seymour (handicap) two weeks ago; resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fifth career win); this is competitive and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and finished 7th last run at Seymour but competing in an easier class. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall.
Career
17: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2016m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 44% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 50% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Narrow miss in the 3yo+ (Bm66) at Ballarat 9 Oct. Warrants attention.
ILB
Right in the mix last start at Ballarat and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Has a good chance.
RP
Good effort when close up (Ballarat) 19 days ago upped to this trip; only once has he got into the winners' enclosure; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Close up last time at Ballarat and showing improvement in recent outings. Should be in the finish.
Career
12: 2-0-3
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
Midfield, picked up solidly at Ballarat. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and came in 5th last time at Ballarat but gets some weight taken off. Others are more appealing.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten 1½l) over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) 19 days ago; this looks a decent race so others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 5th last start at Ballarat but will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-1
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2546m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
Finished within striking distance 3yo+ (Bm62) at Cranbourne second-up. Nicely weighted. Soft tick, heavy query. All the better, has some claims.
ILB
At $4.60 improved when 4th last start at Cranbourne and suited by the weight drop. Finishes off strongly. Serious contender.
RP
A few throw outs since her success in a maiden at Pakenham in April; solid run when fourth upped to this distance (Cranbourne) three weeks ago; Craig Williams booked; not hard to turn elsewhere with a number of her rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Odds of 7/2 and improved when 4th last time at Cranbourne and suited by the weight drop. Has a nice turn of foot. Must be considered here.
Career
10: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Ballarat over this distance. Good second only time this t/d. Not out of this.
ILB
Did well to run 3rd last time at Ballarat. Running with confidence this campaign. Will be trying to topple them late. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Producing solid form figures; third in Ballarat handicap, just over 5l off winner 28 days ago.
RSIS
Strong effort to run into 3rd beaten by 5 1/4L last start at Ballarat. In good form since returning from a break. Displays very good finishing pace. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
9: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
5: 1-0-2
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Made late rally from the back at Geelong. Usually gets back. Only win to date was this distance. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and made some ground when 4th last time at Geelong. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Has a nice turn of foot. Has some claims.
RP
Has maintained her consistent level of form; solid effort over 1m1f at Geelong (handicap) three weeks ago; facing a testing assignment and others appeal more.
RSIS
Started 5/1 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at Geelong. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Expected to be flashing home. Respect the betting.
Career
8: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Annalise Maragos striking at just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Teodore Nugent 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Sent out $9.50 when unable to threaten this venue over this journey. One for multiples.
ILB
Started at $9.50 and faded to finish 8th last run around here. Others much better.
RP
Came home eighth, beaten 6l, last month; lightly raced; track has proven suitable before; this line-up contains some strong opposition so has some questions to answer.
RSIS
At 17/2 tailed off to finish 8th last start at this track.