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Bendigo (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Bendigo (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Wed, 28 OctBendigo (VIC)Change

Race 1 — RSN Bendigo 945Am Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Bendigo kicks off at 12:50 pm AEDT with a three-year-old maiden plate over the sprint trip of 1000 metres on a GOOD4 track in fine weather. The market is tight at the pointy end, which tells you the form line is genuine across this bunch. Scoville sits shortest, followed closely by Resonant and Running Rich, with Magnusaurus Rex fourth. It's a race that could turn either way, and the early tempo shapes as crucial with two leaders locked in at the front.

Scoville rates highest in the market and the form stacks up. Ethan Brown is riding with recent strike rate 27% above his career average, and the combination is outperforming market expectations by 44% over their last 100 rides. A debut second at Ballarat over this distance on 30 September shows promise for a four-week spell, and the feedback from camp suggests valuable lessons were taken from that outing. Resonant, barrier 7 for Nash Rawiller and the Hayes team, missed by just a length on the Pakenham Synthetic at the same trip two weeks back. Rawiller is another jockey in good form—23% above market expected over his last 100—and the form line suggests placing money is there. Running Rich leads the early charge from barrier 6 for Chelsea Jokic and Jarrod Robinson, back for a second campaign after 18 weeks away. A jump-out winner on 14 October and a fair showing in the first prep points to the physical readiness; the speed map suits an aggressive tempo.

Magnusaurus Rex is the fast finisher on the formsheet—fastest overall finishing sectionals last start—and a narrow second to Echuca over this journey on GOOD4 going four weeks back shapes as live. The problem is early tempo; the horse is out of races when the speed is crawling, so if Scoville and Resonant are genuinely suited to this track and conditions, the backmarker may find it tough to unleash. The tip leans toward Scoville as the value angle with Brown and the combination firing, but this is punter's fuel—a genuine argument exists for any of the leading three on the form line alone.

Race notes

  • 3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Scoville (6)

2.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Magnusaurus Rex

Offmidfield

  • 8Vixen Vibes

Midfield

  • 2Resonant

Offpace

  • 7Takasago

Onpace

  • 6Scoville

Leader

  • 3Running Rich
  • 4Tandarra
  • Magnusaurus Rex · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Resonant · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides

  • Running Rich · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Tandarra · Positive

    Jockey Booking

    Teodore Nugent 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Magnusaurus RexJ: Jye Mcneil·T: R D Griffiths158kg6 5 23: 0-1-0$8.00$3.20

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.35L
  2. 5Cranbourne1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.21L
  3. 6Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Echuca over this journey. Untested in wet. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Missed by a narrow margin last run at Echuca and drawn well. Gets back and needs luck. Form has been improving over recent runs. Significant improvement required.

RP

Beaten a neck at Echuca last week.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last start at Echuca and drawn the rails. Likely to get back in the field. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

2ResonantJ: Nash Rawiller·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes758kg1 2 7 6 25: 0-2-0$3.40$1.70

Career

5: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC0.25L
  2. 6Flemington1100m6 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY83.9L
  3. 7Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.3L
  4. 2Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD30.5L
  5. 1Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nash Rawiller 23% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 125%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 53%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 40% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Narrow miss in the 3yo Mdn Plate at Pakenham Synthetic 2 Oct. Better for the outing. In the placings only prior run here. Has a big say here.

ILB

Close to claiming the win last time at Pakenham Synthetic. Jockey Nash Rawiller and trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes deserve serious attention. Has to be in the finish.

RP

Narrowly beaten and favourite at Pakenham four weeks ago.

RSIS

Close to claiming the win last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Jockey Nash Rawiller and trainer Will Ben & Jd Hayes make an imposing pair. Looks like a winning chance.

3Running RichJ: Chelsea Jokic·T: Jarrod Robinson658kg2 3 3 134: 0-1-2$4.00$1.95

Career

4: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Flemington1420m20 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT712.32L
  2. 3Swan Hill1300m5 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT61.5L
  3. 3Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD31.8L
  4. 2Echuca1100m16 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD32L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Gave a fair showing in his first prep. In the minors at Echuca on debut last campaign. Semour jump-out winner 14/10. Big show fresh.

ILB

First up from a break of 18 weeks and looked good when 2nd first up last preparation at Echuca. Displays good tactical speed. Challenged by less formidable competitors. Not hopeless.

RP

Winless in four starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; towards the rear of 14 at Flemington in June in a handicap; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Resuming and placed 2nd resuming last preparation at Echuca. Should come to hand quickly. Matched against lesser competition. Showing consistent performance in races. Back in trip.

4TandarraJ: Teodore Nugent·T: R G Symons258kg7 111: 0-0-0$51.00$11.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat1100m22 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD414.8L
  2. 7Bendigo800m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial11.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Teodore Nugent 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 107%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (35-weeks). More mature now. Well down the track at Ballarat on debut at cricket score odds. 3rd & 2nd at recent jump-outs. Watch for any stable support.

ILB

Racing fresh after a 35 week break. Odds of $101.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Ballarat but was a debutant last start. Will struggle to compete in this race.

RP

Beaten on his debut over 5½f at Ballarat at 100-1 in February; may well improve; should be better for that run.

RSIS

Back from a 35 week break. Was 100/1 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Ballarat but was a debutant last start. Should race on the pace.

5Hot SambaScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

First foal to race from dam who retired as a maiden. Has shown ability at the jumpouts. Has claims.

ILB

Grahame Begg 3yo by Too Darn Hot on debut. Watch for a sign in the market.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Too Darn Hot for Grahame Begg.

6ScovilleJ: Ethan Brown·T: C Maher356kg22: 0-1-0$2.30$1.32

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Ethan Brown 44% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 51%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Ethan Brown in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. No match but ran on for the minors at Ballarat on debut 30 Sep. Took valuable lessons. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 3L last start at Ballarat and having second race start. Hard to see finishing out of the placings.

RP

Gave a good account on her debut at Ballarat at 5-1 last month; if backing up initial run looks like a player.

RSIS

Did well to place 2nd last run at Ballarat and fitter for debut run. Will be around the mark.

7TakasagoJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: E & D Browne456kg6 7 42: 0-0-0$26.00$6.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Caulfield Heath1000m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  2. 7Pakenham1000m9 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD36.6L
  3. 6Cranbourne1000m27 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD35.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Lachlan Neindorf current POT is 34% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (41-weeks). Has upside off spell. 2nd at her last couple of jump-outs. Can make her presence felt fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a spell of 41 weeks. Started at $21.00 and faded to finish 7th last run at Pakenham. Interesting gear change of tongue tie off first time. Will need to lift.

RP

Held in seventh (Pakenham) in January; looks likely to be involved.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 41 weeks. Odds of 20/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Pakenham.

8Vixen VibesJ: Damian Lane·T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh556kg2 83: 0-1-0$21.00$5.50

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1125m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Geelong1125m19 June 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY98.1L
  2. 2Morphettville1100m30 May 2026 · 2Y BM64 HCP · SOFT71.2L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    M & L Kavanagh striking at just 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 73% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (18-weeks). In the minors at Morphettville on debut last campaign. Fair debut, but failed to build on it next time out. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

First up from a break of 18 weeks and improved to place when 2nd first up last preparation at Morphettville. Possesses very good closing speed. Winning chance.

RP

Beaten eighth of 11 over 5½f at Geelong (maiden) in June; a major contender as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 2nd resuming last preparation at Morphettville. Will be hitting the line strongly. Should go well.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sun 6 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races