Shortest win price
Blowin' Smoke (5)
2.30
Leinster plays host to the Tabtouch Benchmark 56+ over the 1400m on a good track under fine skies, with the race scheduled for 5:56 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Blowin' Smoke as the shortest runner, closely followed by Addictive Dream, Lady Coco, and What About Moi rounding out the initial quartet in the betting order. It is shaping up as a tactical affair over the seven furlongs with speed drawn right across the map.
Taking a closer look at the form for the market principals, Blowin' Smoke comes here off a sound second at Leonora over the 1600m before shifting back to this 1400m trip, having also placed at Mingenew prior. The Malcolm Mackenzie-trained runner maps well here and looks hard fit to figure in the finish. Meanwhile, Addictive Dream is on a quick back-up after a fourth at Leonora following a sharp win at Mingenew two starts ago, and with Tara Atherden steering for R J Malpass, this speed-runner will take plenty of catching if allowed dictation up front as a leader.
Digging a bit further down the runners, What About Moi joins stablemate Blowin' Smoke in the Malcolm Mackenzie camp and is on a quick back-up after fading at Leonora over 1200m, though the slight drop back in trip and a 2kg claim might help spark improvement. Lady Coco maps well from barrier four for trainer R J Malpass and rider Ebony Johnson after chasing hard at Geraldton last time out, making her a logical inclusion for exotic players looking to spice up the yarn.
Shortest win price
Blowin' Smoke (5)
2.30
Most career wins
Roey Clam
9-4-11 from 69 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
One Punch · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Addictive Dream · Positive
Key Rider
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Roey Clam · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Shabalala · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 33% lower than Career Avg.
Career
25: 3-5-2
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Northam
3: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
6: 2-1-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
10: 0-1-1
Distance 1500m
3: 2-1-0
Going Good
15: 3-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-2-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 51%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Backing up quickly. Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Leonora. Awkwardly drawn and up in weight. Capable but needs to turn it around quickly.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Started $11.00 and below par performance when 6th last start at Leonora. Expecting improvement and matched against less formidable competition. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Beaten a fair way when sixth at Leonora over 1m (handicap) last Saturday; useful at this level; he shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
On a quick back up. At 10/1 subpar when 6th last start at Leonora. Happy to forgive that run and has been racing in stronger company. Commands respect.
Career
20: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
8: 1-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
15: 3-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Key Rider
Positive
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 565%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Won a 1200m Benchmark 48+ at Mingenew two back. In trailing position and kept on evenly at Leonora. Will take stopping in this company.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Was $4.60 and couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last run at Leonora. Large claim helps. Strong claims.
RP
Can be a player at this level; respectable effort when fourth at Leonora over 6f (handicap) last week with two of these rivals behind; can make her presence felt as does have winning form.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. At 7/2 tired in the closing stages when 4th last time at Leonora. Large claim helps. Good winning chance.
Career
69: 9-4-11
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 0-0-2
Second-up
6: 2-0-0
Third-up
6: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-1
Track Broome
19: 2-2-4
Track Kalgoorlie
3: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
21: 3-1-2
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
59: 8-4-10
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
On a short back-up. Experienced campaigner. Finished out the back at Leonora as a market drifter. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Started at $15.00 and only fair when 8th last start at Leonora but has the ideal draw. Has early speed and positions nicely. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Can boast winning form over this C&D; beaten 16l (eighth) over 6f at Leonora (handicap) a week ago; no surprise to see him go well as finished third at Kununurra 49 days ago and had excuses last time (hampered).
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Was 14/1 and disappointing display when 8th last run at Leonora but has the ideal draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
30: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
29: 3-3-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 33% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (62-days). Settled back and didn't come on at Carnarvon for new stable. Awkwardly drawn. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
First run back from a break. Odds of $26.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last time at Carnarvon and back in trip. Very unlikely to cause an upset.
RP
Last of 11 over 1m½f at Carnarvon (handicap) two months ago on debut for this trainer; could be involved based on the pick of his form.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was 25/1 and faded to finish 11th last time at Carnarvon and dropping in distance. Likely to get back in the run.
Career
23: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Junction
1: 0-0-0
Track Mingenew
1: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-4-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Backing up quickly. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Leonora. Switching to 1400m. Hard fit, could get into the placings.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Strong effort to run into 2nd last time at Leonora and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Has every chance.
RP
Beaten narrowly at Leonora over 1m (handicap) last Saturday; often been there or thereabouts lately.
RSIS
On a short back up. Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Leonora and showing improvement in recent outings. Should give this a shake.
Career
32: 3-2-4
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 1-0-1
Track Geraldton
3: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
10: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1211m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
28: 3-2-3
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Failed to threaten at Leonora off spell after a market ease. Better for the outing and takes a 2kg claim. Worth a look.
ILB
On a quick back up. Started $9.50 and disappointing effort when 9th last start at Leonora. Do not dismiss.
RP
Last of nine at Leonora over 6f (handicap) when behind two of these last Saturday; easy enough to take on as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. At 17/2 well beaten when 9th last start at Leonora.
Career
40: 1-4-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1677m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
36: 1-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Shooting for hat-trick. Shouldered 68kg to victory at Landor. Thrashed a small field at Landor. Again holds plenty of aces.
ILB
Gave away some ground when 7th last run at Carnarvon but can find a nice position from the draw. First appearance for a new trainer.
RP
Bids to pull off a hat-trick; wide-margin winner over 6f at Landor (conditions race) two weeks ago; others appeal more despite that win last time.
RSIS
Didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Carnarvon but drawn nicely. First appearance for a new trainer.
Career
27: 3-7-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mount Barker
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-2
Distance 1100m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
19: 3-4-3
Going Soft
8: 0-3-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geraldton. One for multiples.
ILB
Faded away to finish 7th last time at Geraldton but stepping back up in distance. The large claim from Ebony Johnson helps. Slight prospect.
RP
Beaten 6l in seventh at Geraldton over 5½f (handicap) two weeks ago; this is competitive and not one to rely on.
RSIS
Tailed off to finish 7th last run at Geraldton but back to a longer distance. The large claim from Ebony Johnson helps.
Career
20: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track Kalgoorlie
6: 0-0-1
Track Pinjarra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1417m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Key Rider
Positive
Sharni Webster 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 76%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Landor when second-up. Sharper now, has some claims.
ILB
First up and solid win first up last preparation at Landor. Lines up against a competitive field.
RP
Solid second at Landor finished just ahead of Run Teddy Run two weeks ago in a conditions race; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Resuming and left nothing to chance when winning resuming last preparation at Landor.
Career
18: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Barker
1: 0-0-0
Track Moora
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1413m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1605m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 91% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Casey Hunter 94% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 154%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Casey Hunter winning at 75% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Ex G P Criddle in WA. Finished out the back at Geraldton second-up as a despised outsider. Prefer to see under new trainer.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Was $101.00 and disappointing run when 9th last start at Geraldton. Racing for a new trainer. Will need a big effort to win this.
RP
No impression when ninth of ten on Sunday at Geraldton upped to this trip; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Geraldton in February; first start for current trainer; a few rivals look in good form so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of 100/1 and disappointing effort when 9th last start at Geraldton. First start for a new trainer.
Career
46: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
7: 1-0-1
Track Esperance
3: 0-0-0
Track Roebourne
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
43: 1-3-3
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
AAP
Secured third in a staggered finish at Landor over this trip. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
Lacklustre showing when 8th last start at Carnarvon and down in distance. Has struggled so far this campaign.
RP
Not disgraced when third of six in a conditions race at Landor two weeks ago.
RSIS
Sub-standard effort when 8th last time at Carnarvon and will be down in distance. Struggling recently.