Leinster (WA) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 2:14 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Leinster (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 17 OctLeinster (WA)Change

Race 2 — Shire Of Leonora (Bm56+) 1000m · jumps Sat 17 Oct, 4:29 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP RTG 55+ HCP,3yo+,BenchMark 56+,RTG 55+
GOOD
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Power To Rule (4)

2.40

Most career wins

Shooting Kontiki

5-11-9 from 59 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Precast

Midfield

5Dragonflies
3Casino Royale
6If I Din Havadime

Offpace

7Magic Money

Onpace

1Shooting Kontiki
4Power To Rule

Leader

9Sanctions

Shooting Kontiki · Positive
Key Rider
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Casino Royale · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Power To Rule · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Dragonflies · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 33% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Shooting KontikiJ: Tara Atherden·T: R J Malpass560kg7 2 10 7 659: 5-11-9$10.00$2.50

Career

59: 5-11-9

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
8: 0-0-1
Second-up
7: 1-2-2
Third-up
7: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
10: 1-1-1
Track Narrogin
2: 0-1-0
Track Junction
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1103m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1190m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
25: 2-6-3
Going Good
51: 5-9-7
Going Soft
8: 0-2-2

Last starts

6Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD4.98L
7Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 62+ · GOOD38.96L
10Carnarvon1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD8.3L
2Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD2.5L
7Carnarvon1000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ HCP · GOOD3.8L
2Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1.3L
3Roebourne1103m25 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1.3L
6Carnarvon1200m10 July 2026 · 2UP 56+ HCP · GOOD8.7L

Insights

Key Rider
Positive
Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 565%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Unable to make an impression at Leonora. Coming back in distance. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Was $11.00 and well beaten when 6th last run at Leonora. Should bounce back and stepping down to a lower level. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

Respectable sixth at Leonora over 6f (handicap) last Saturday; has not been firing consistently; others appeal more as a few rivals look in good form.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 10/1 didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Leonora. Can show a better performance this time and facing weaker opposition. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

2IntoxicatingScratched7––––

Career

14: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Leonora
1: 0-0-0
Track Carnarvon
2: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
7: 2-2-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-2-1

Last starts

7Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD6.76L
2Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD30.33L
1Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-2.5
7Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1.8L
4Carnarvon1000m10 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD6.8L
11Belmont1400m20 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD47.5L
11Ascot1400m6 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD45.1L
10Ascot1200m22 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD46L

Insights

Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Great run at Mingenew 26 Sep. Unable to threaten in the small field at Leonora. Will be out to atone.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started at $4.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Leonora but facing weaker opposition. Will have to carry more weight.

Last of seven over 6f at Leonora (handicap) when not far behind Shooting Kontiki last Saturday; can be a player at this level; big chance as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 3/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Leonora but challenged by less formidable competitors. Going up in weight.

3Casino RoyaleJ: Sharni Webster·T: R J Malpass658kg1 9 5 3 327: 2-6-4$4.40$1.45

Career

27: 2-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Leinster
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
13: 1-2-3
Going Good
26: 2-5-4
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD1.49L
3Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD31.61L
5Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.4L
9Carnarvon1200m10 July 2026 · 2UP 56+ HCP · GOOD9.4L
1Carnarvon1200m26 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD-0.2
2Carnarvon1000m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1L
6Carnarvon1000m30 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD5.5L
7Geraldton1417m28 Feb 2026 · 2UP CLASS 2 HCP · GOOD411.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Sharni Webster 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Forwardly placed, continued to stick on at Leonora. On pacer. Well into preparation now, among the dangers again.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Leonora. Knockout chance.

Producing consistent form; a winner over C&D; creditable effort behind Power To Rule over 6f at Leonora (handicap) when close third a week ago.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd last start at Leonora.

4Power To RuleJ: Ebony Johnson·T: Malcolm Mackenzie856.5kg1 4 6 8 121: 3-0-1$2.40$1.22

Career

21: 3-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Derby
1: 1-0-0
Track Rockingham
1: 0-0-0
Track Broome
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 53+ HCP · GOOD-0.22
8Broome1435m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
6Broome1615m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL2 HCP 45+ · GOOD7.1L
4Broome1435m24 July 2026 · 2UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD3.5L
1Derby1400m18 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS B 46+ HCP · GOOD-0.5
5Broome1300m11 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD5.5L
11Broome1435m28 June 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD317L
7Broome1100m6 June 2026 · 2UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD4.9L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 45%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Great win from the deep gate at Leonora. Can go forward. Fit from racing, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was much too speedy in front when winning by a head last start at Leonora. The large claim from Ebony Johnson should help. Respect the betting.

Big price (16-1) when winning Leonora handicap last Saturday on debut for this trainer; likely to be in contention.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Controlled the pace to win by a margin of a head last run at Leonora. The large claim from Ebony Johnson should help. Watch for a sign in the market.

5DragonfliesJ: Kate Pateman·T: Jacquelyn Scott356kg12 5 9 5 440: 3-9-5$26.00$3.80

Career

40: 3-9-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
8: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-2
Third-up
5: 0-3-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Junction
2: 1-0-0
Track Mingenew
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
3: 0-2-1
Distance 1100m
7: 0-2-1
Distance 1108m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
14: 3-1-0
Going Good
34: 2-7-4
Going Soft
6: 1-2-1

Last starts

4Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD32.02L
5Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD6.9L
9Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD13.4L
5Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1L
12Carnarvon1200m26 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD16.8L
11Carnarvon1200m16 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ · GOOD13.3L
8York1200m2 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD410.8L
7Narrogin1100m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD39.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 33% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Mingenew for new trainer. Drops to shorter trip. Has some claims.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and came in 4th last start at Mingenew. Struggling this preparation. Prefer to watch.

Fourth, not beaten that far (20-1) at Mingenew over 6f (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; not a frequent winner; hard enough to fancy with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and came in 4th last time at Mingenew. Struggling recently.

6If I Din HavadimeJ: Amy Jo Hayes·T: Ms C Godden156kg7 5 2 7 843: 3-3-6$15.00$3.20

Career

43: 3-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-1-1
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
12: 0-1-1
Distance 1016m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
8: 0-1-0
Going Good
38: 3-3-6
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Kalgoorlie1300m1 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD48.58L
7Kununurra1350m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD33.2L
2Kununurra1200m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.4L
5Port Hedland1200m2 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP RTG 56+ · GOOD2.6L
7Roebourne1205m25 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 50+ HCP · GOOD4.2L
8Port Hedland1300m12 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD7.12L
4Marble Bar1200m4 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.4L
4Port Hedland1200m20 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD2.9L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Last win was 28 Feb 2024. Failed to threaten at Kalgoorlie over longer test at wide odds. Coming back in distance. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Odds of $81.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last start at Kalgoorlie but up against a less challenging field. Drawn the rails. Coming back in distance. Looks hopeful at best.

Finished eighth, beaten a fair way over 6½f at Kalgoorlie (handicap) 16 days ago; last two runs were below standard set by second at Kununurra three starts ago; has prospects.

RSIS

Started at 80/1 and weakened under pressure when 8th last time at Kalgoorlie but matched against less formidable competition. Drawn the rails. Back to a shorter trip.

7Magic MoneyJ: Jessica Gray·T: P R Bamford956kg11 5 4 4 212: 1-1-1$4.40$1.45

Career

12: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.8L
4Ballarat Synthetic1200m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.7L
4Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.3L
5Ballarat Synthetic1200m26 June 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC5.9L
11Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT57.7L
12Seymour1300m15 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD39L
4Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD43.8L
1Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.4

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Peter Bamford in good form, out performing market 51%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (54-days). Ex Simon Zahra in Victoria. Prominent, showed plenty of ticker to just go under at Pakenham Synthetic. Capable of making an impact if things pan out.

ILB

Let up. Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Pakenham Synthetic. First appearance for a new trainer. Will be there at the business end.

Has maintained his consistent level of form; beaten narrowly at Pakenham over 6f (handicap) two months ago; now running for a new yard; entitled to respect as latest run was an encouraging one.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Did well when 2nd last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Change in trainer. Strong chance to be considered.

8PrecastJ: Jason Li·T: Jacquelyn Scott456kg10 10 13 7 545: 3-3-3$34.00$4.40

Career

45: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Kalgoorlie
5: 1-0-2
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
14: 1-2-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
30: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 0-2-0

Last starts

5Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD9L
7Carnarvon1000m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG68+ · GOOD47L
13Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
10Carnarvon1400m10 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 50+ HCP · GOOD11.2L
10Carnarvon1000m26 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD9.6L
12Carnarvon1000m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD8.1L
4Carnarvon1000m30 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD3.2L
11Geraldton1203m19 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG58+ HCP · GOOD46L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

First time around Leinster. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Freshened up. Was $5.50 and made some ground when 5th last start at Junction. First start for a new trainer. Might be ridden for luck. Hard to see it being good enough.

Does not win very often; last of six (Landor) two weeks ago in a conditions race; a lot on her plate here and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Started 9/2 and ran on into 5th last start at Junction. First appearance for a new trainer. Likely to settle back in the field.

9SanctionsJ: Kyra Yuill·T: David Dicks256kg5 5 3 6 328: 1-3-7$6.50$2.00

Career

28: 1-3-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
2: 0-0-0
Track Broome
7: 0-0-2
Track Pinjarra
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1100m
10: 0-2-1
Distance 1200m
9: 1-1-3
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
27: 1-3-6
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Broome1200m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD7.6L
6Broome1300m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD8.6L
3Broome1100m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP HCP RTG50+ · GOOD2.9L
5Broome1200m24 July 2026 · 2UP CLASS 2 HCP · GOOD3L
5Broome1100m11 July 2026 · 2UP CL2 HCP 50+ · GOOD4.6L
6Broome1100m28 June 2026 · 2UP 50+ HCP · GOOD33.9L
11Broome1100m6 June 2026 · 2UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
3Albany1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (63-days). Ex Casey Hunter in WA. Made a belated run to make the frame 3yo+ Hcp (C2) at Broome. Can fill the minors here fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh today. Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd beaten by nearly 8L last time at Broome and has a good draw. Has strong claims.

Finished third of eight over 6f at Broome (handicap) in August; first start for new stable; record demonstrates how she often finds at least one too good so is passed over.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Finished strongly when 3rd last run at Broome and can find a nice position from the draw. First race for a new trainer. Must be considered here.

Odds correct as at Sat 17 Oct, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.