Shortest win price
Cosmic Crusader (2)
4.60
Caulfield's showpiece 2400-metre Group 1 handicap is a proper puzzle on GOOD4 going under fine skies at 5:15 pm AEDT. The win market sits tight across the top four: Cosmic Crusader heads the order, followed by Zahrann, Wine Dark Sea, and Half Yours. This is a race where last year's Caulfield and Melbourne Cups winner Half Yours returns to defend turf, but the market has him fourth-up. That tells a story—the field is loaded with form and freshness.
Cosmic Crusader leads the market with genuine credentials. The four-year-old settled handy to win the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington over heavy going, then showed class when second at Caulfield over 1800 metres last time. Trainer Andrea Leek and jockey William Pike form a hot combo, running 78 per cent above market expectations, and Pike himself is delivering 30 per cent above career average return on turnover in his last 100 rides. Drawn barrier 14, Cosmic Crusader will likely hunt cover from an on-pace position. Half Yours, ridden by Mark Zahra, carries top weight at 57.5 kilograms and arrives off a freshen-up. Zahra's recent strike rate sits 17 per cent better than career average, and the pair worked home nicely second-up at Flemington. The form line reads solid for another bold tilt. Wine Dark Sea, an importing British recruit who won a Group 3 over 2670 metres at Newbury 63 days ago, carries the support of both Damian Lane (21 per cent above market in his last 100 rides) and a form profile that suggests immediate fitness for this distance after let-up.
The on-pace runners cluster together: Cosmic Crusader, Kingswood, Enfjaar, and Royal Supremacy all map to hunt the early lead. Kingswood and his handler Gavin Bedggood form another plus-money combo, outperforming market by 54 per cent, while Enfjaar won last start from barrier 1 and figures as a poacher. The case for Cosmic Crusader's market position rests on recent Australian form convergence, hot booking metrics, and a map where he can hunt genuine cover into a strong finishing lane. The roughie angle points to Zahrann, who bounced back to nail the Naturalism Stakes over this track at 2000 metres, but faded badly at Flemington in heavy going last time. On a firmer surface and given time to settle, the 12-win career record and Ethan Brown's 41 per cent outperformance rate make for an interesting narrative beyond his single-figure quote.
Shortest win price
Cosmic Crusader (2)
4.60
Most career wins
Cosmic Crusader and Treasurethe Moment
11 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Half Yours · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Cosmic Crusader · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Treasurethe Moment · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Kingswood · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Career
21: 8-3-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 4-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Mark Zahra 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -79% POT in their L100 Races
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Caulfield
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Last year's Caulfield & Melbourne Cups winner. Worked home nicely in the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington when second-up. Although up in weight this year, looks well suited to run well again.
ILB
Jumped at $16.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last start at Flemington. Does take a while to get into stride. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Could not compete with Cosmic Crusader when fifth at Flemington two weeks ago upped to 1m2f; yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits and is a top-level performer; likely to go well.
RSIS
Odds of 15/1 and ran on into 5th last time at Flemington on a heavy track. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Respect the betting.
Career
22: 11-3-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 4-0-0
Second-up
4: 3-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Belmont
4: 3-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
4: 3-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 4-1-3
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
15: 5-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 5-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Holding form well. Ran home well to win in The Turnbull in those testing conditions after settling handy in the run. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Sticky gate but will likely go back anyhow and look for cover. Major player.
ILB
Flew home to win last run at Flemington and form has been improving over recent runs. Jockey William Pike rates highly aboard. Been in the money each attempt this campaign. Genuine claims.
RP
Had eight of these in arrears when winning the Turnbull Stakes by just under 2l at Flemington 14 days ago; has won here before; in with a shout.
RSIS
Picked up nicely to win last start at Flemington and on an upward trajectory in recent races. William Pike is a key engagement. Definite winning chance.
Career
23: 11-5-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 2-2-1
Second-up
5: 3-1-0
Third-up
5: 2-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Flemington
5: 3-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-1-0
Track Rosehill
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 3-0-1
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 8-5-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 3-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Not racing with the zest we are used to seeing from her. Has won at the trip and could be looking for ground. Don't dismiss too quickly.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Jumped at $12.00 and had difficulty when 5th last run at this venue. Has plenty of early speed. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Impressive record of four wins from nine runs here; close up behind Kingswood when fifth upped to 1m2f a week ago; a leading contender based on the pick of her form.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 11/1 and lacked competitiveness when 5th last start at this track. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
23: 6-4-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Roscommon
1: 0-0-0
Track Tipperary
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
10: 3-2-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 54%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Gavin Bedggood in good form, out performing market 91%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 66% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
On a quick back-up. Brave in defeat past couple after racing up on pace here. Drawn poorly but should push forward. Place claims.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Started at $12.00 and gave away some ground when 4th last start at this track but gets some weight taken off. Will be tested.
RP
Finished fourth in the Might And Power but only beaten just under 2l last Saturday; possesses winning form at this track; meeting some horses in good form and not easy to fancy.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 11/1 and faded to finish 4th last time at the track but gets some weight taken off.
Career
30: 6-3-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 3-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 3-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1
Going Good
18: 5-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Backing up quickly after running a cracker of a race in the Herbert Power last week when was just edged out. Harder assignment here though.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Close to a win last start at the track but racing in stronger company. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Consistent lately; went down by a head in a Group 2 upped to this distance a week ago; if he can build on his latest effort then should not be far away.
RSIS
On a short back up. Close to a win last run here but rising in class. Likely to get back.
Career
24: 6-2-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newmarket
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
5: 1-0-1
Track Caulfield
6: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
7: 2-0-0
Distance 2405m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2847m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 4-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Thomas Stockdale 33% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely in the wet at Flemington. Should relish the step up in trip and comes into this after 3 solid runs. Consider at a price.
ILB
Started at $31.00 and finished 8th last start at Flemington. Can't entertain.
RP
Admirable career strike-rate (six from 15 to date); out of the money and beaten 11l in the Turnbull Stakes, finishing well behind reopposing Cosmic Crusader at Flemington 14 days ago; a few rivals look in good form so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started at 30/1 and finished 8th last run at Flemington.
Career
16: 5-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 3-0-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ayr
1: 0-1-0
Track Chelmsford
3: 2-0-0
Track Goodwood
3: 1-1-1
Distance 2001m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2004m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2412m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 5-2-2
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 6 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (77-days). English stayer who won the G3 Glorious Stakes at Goodwood last time out. Draws well and will get every possible chance. Sound claims.
ILB
First up specialist. Controlled the pace to win by 1 1/4L last start at Goodwood and can save some energy from the alley. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Can measure up against these.
RP
Five from 16 career starts overseas; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Could build on a strong first run back record. Controlled the pace to win by 1 1/4L last time at Goodwood and drawn beautifully. Up against tougher rivals. Has a good chance.
Career
14: 4-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 3-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last seasons ATC Derby winner at Randwick over the trip. Well back and made some minor headway in The Metropolitan at Randwick last start. Can run into the money.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last run at Randwick but up in grade. Hard to see it being competitive today.
RP
Behind Juja Kibo when fourth two weeks ago at Randwick upped to this trip; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 4-14 but largely disappointing since successful in a Group 1 at Randwick six months ago; Rachel King a noteworthy booking; easy to oppose with several rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Randwick but competing at a higher level of competition.
Career
20: 7-2-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1609m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2000m
3: 2-0-1
Going Good
10: 4-2-2
Going Heavy
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-2
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Racing in great heart. Pushed forward in the JRA Cup and found enough to score as a $4.80 chance last time out. Will go forward again and has a good record over the trip. Can figure.
ILB
Led all the way when winning by 3/4L last run at the track but up against a more competitive field. Suited by the weight drop. Rates as one of the key chances.
RP
Resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a eighth career win); narrow success in a Group 3 last month upped to 1m2f; he can be taken on despite the last time out success.
RSIS
Assumed control from the start when winning by a margin of 3/4L last start around here but facing formidable opponents. Dropping weight. Definite claims.
Career
10: 4-2-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 2-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Newmarket
2: 0-1-0
Track Wolverhampton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2670m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2011m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2413m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 4-2-0
Key Rider
Positive
Damian Lane 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Good Form
Positive
Very competitive in recent runs
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Last start UK winner of the G3 Geoffrey Freer over 2671m at Newbury. Has been well tried in the prepost markets. Damian Lane takes the ride. Watch closely.
ILB
Resuming. Went to the front and never looked back when winning by 1 1/2L last time at Newbury but rising in grade. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Four from ten overseas; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Made all when winning by 1 1/2L last start at Newbury but stepping up to a higher level. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Genuine claims.
Career
32: 8-1-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Pukekohe
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2070m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 2300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
21: 5-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Failed to threaten in rain affected ground at Flemington as an outsider. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Jumped at $71.00 and disappointing run when 13th last start at Flemington but suited at this distance in the past. This will be a test.
RP
Beaten a long way in the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington two weeks ago; admirable career strike-rate (eight from 32 to date); a lot on his plate here and can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 70/1 and clearly outclassed when 13th last start at Flemington but will be well suited at the trip.
Career
22: 6-4-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
8: 2-1-0
Track Caulfield
4: 1-1-0
Distance 2847m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-1-0
Going Good
15: 4-3-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 15% in Last 100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Caulfield Naturalism Stakes placegetter 19 Sep. Well back and never sighted at Flemington in the mud. Look for a much improved effort here.
ILB
Jumped at $13.00 and average performance when 10th last run at Flemington but will try to take advantage of the draw. Going well this campaign. Stands out as good value.
RP
Finished towards the rear in the Turnbull Stakes (Flemington) two weeks ago; has winning form at this track; Craig Williams booking heightens interest; this looks a fair heat so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Odds of 12/1 and disappointing effort when 10th last time at Flemington but will try to take advantage of the draw. Capable type.
Career
12: 4-1-1
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dundalk
1: 0-0-0
Track Galway
1: 0-1-0
Track Gowran Park
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1901m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 3-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Irish stayer who has won at The Curragh and last start was third in listed company at Roscommon. Outside place prospect in this tough affair.
ILB
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Competitive effort when 3rd last start at Roscommon but competing at a higher level of competition. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Scored four in 12 outings overseas; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Nice run when 3rd last start at Roscommon but competing at a higher grade. Could feature here.
Career
17: 7-4-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 3-1-0
Second-up
5: 2-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
4: 1-1-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 5-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 2-0-0
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Every chance when compounded in the testing conditions at Flemington when second-up. Winner at only other start here at Caulfield and suited at the weights. In the mix.
ILB
Was $21.00 and came in 7th last time at Flemington. Needs to improve.
RP
Well held in the Turnbull Stakes upped to 1m2f (Flemington) when seventh behind Cosmic Crusader 14 days ago; slumped a bit since winning a Group 2 at Caulfield last November and all her wins achieved at a lower level; facing a testing assignment and looks risky.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and came in 7th last run at Flemington.
Career
25: 5-5-6
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-1-1
Third-up
5: 2-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track Galway
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1680m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
16: 5-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-2-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tyler Schiller 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 5.5kg from LS run
AAP
Well back and never a factor on a soft deck in The G2 Metropolitan at Randwick over today's trip. Exotics hope preferred.
ILB
Odds of $7.50 and mediocre display when 7th last time at Randwick and matched against tougher rivals. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Best to watch and see.
RP
Finished seventh in the The Metropolitan upped to this distance (Randwick) when behind Juja Kibo 14 days ago; not the most consistent of horses lately; a lot on his plate here and easy to oppose.
RSIS
Started at 13/2 and was ordinary when 7th last run at Randwick and matched against a stronger field. Gets a reduction in weight.
Career
11: 4-2-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 2011m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2093m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 4-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Caulfield
AAP
Fantastiuc win of the Naturalism Stakes at Caulfield 19 Sep. No threat as a $12 chance in Turnbull Stakes at Flemington when never looked comfortable in the going. Look for a much better showing here.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Flemington on a heavy surface but suited by the weight drop. Should go close.
RP
Has won here previously; well beaten in the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington two weeks ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Flemington on a heavy surface but gets some weight relief. Can lift in this event.
Career
11: 4-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 3-1-0
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Last years ATC Oaks winner. Safely held but not totally disgraced in rain affected ground at Flemington at long odds. Suited over this trip. Worth an exotics play.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and finished 6th last start at Flemington but will benefit with the weight drop. Might have to make up considerable ground. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Well held in the Turnbull Stakes when sixth to the reopposing Cosmic Crusader at Flemington upped to 1m2f 14 days ago; career wins-runs record of 4-11; this looks a fair heat so others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
At 50/1 finished 6th last time at Flemington but will appreciate the drop in weight. Might have to make up considerable ground. Watch betting.
Career
28: 6-6-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-2
Second-up
5: 1-3-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-0
Track Caulfield
10: 1-1-1
Track Horsham
1: 1-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 2000m
9: 1-1-2
Distance 2400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
18: 5-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-2-1
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Finished out the back at Flemington at a mammoth price. Previous run here was full of merit behind Zahrann. Keep safe at odds.
ILB
Started at $151.00 and below expectations when 9th last start at Flemington but gets some weight relief. Best to watch only.
RP
Yet to win a race of this value and not really built on success in a Listed handicap six months ago at Mornington; well held in the Turnbull Stakes at Flemington when ninth to the reopposing Cosmic Crusader 14 days ago; meeting some horses in good form and others are preferred.
RSIS
Started at 150/1 and not up to scratch when 9th last run at Flemington but goes down in weight.
Career
14: 4-2-2
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
3: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Track Curragh
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1678m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6.5kg from LS run
AAP
Took out the Kingston Town Stakes at Randwick 19 Sep. Led, clearly outgunned late but stuck on for third in the The Metropolitan at Randwick. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd beaten by just over 3 1/2L last time at Randwick but racing against tougher rivals. Should come to hand quickly.
RP
Good effort in the The Metropolitan when 3½l third, finishing well behind reopposing Juja Kibo at Randwick upped to this trip 14 days ago; resume shows that he is a proven winner (seeking a fifth career win).
RSIS
Good result placing 3rd last time at Randwick but facing a stronger grade. Should jump out and bowl along. Has run into the money frequently of late.
Career
19: 5-3-6
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-2
Third-up
3: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-3
Going Good
11: 1-3-3
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Terrific in the Kingston Town Stakes Randwick two back. Won after handy to speed and getting the advantage late at Randwick over this trip. Sterner test here but can't rule out.
ILB
Ran home strongly to win last start at Randwick but testing ability against stronger contenders. Has run into the money 3 from 3 attempts this campaign.
RP
A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 5-19; won the The Metropolitan by just under 2l two weeks ago upped to this distance at Randwick; his victims included The Euphrates, Green Spaces and Soul Of Spain.
RSIS
Charged home to win last time at Randwick but up in grade. Been in the placings each start of late and showing improvement in recent outings. Goes down in weight.
Career
4: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Newmarket
1: 1-0-0
Track Yarmouth
1: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2011m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2032m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2615m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-1-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (14-weeks). Won the Bahrain Trophy at his last start at Newmarket UK. Is a very lightly raced 4yo. Could spring a surprise if gained a start.
ILB
First up. Finished hard to win last run at Newmarket and solid career start. Racing for a new trainer but competing at a higher grade. Gets a reduction in weight.
RP
Good strike-rate overseas, winning twice from four starts.
RSIS
Back after a break. Dashed home to win last run at Newmarket and good career start. First start for a new trainer but matched against tougher rivals.
Career
19: 6-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 3-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Goodwood
1: 0-0-0
Track Newmarket
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1408m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1810m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2001m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 2-1-0
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Really gutsy performance on the speed in the rain affected ground at Flemington winning the Bart Cummings. A repeat here would surprise.
ILB
Finished hard to win last start at Flemington on a heavy rated track but matched against a stronger field.
RP
Can boast winning form over this C&D; won a Group 3 by just over 1l (Flemington) upped to 1m4½f 14 days ago.
RSIS
Finished well when winning last time at Flemington but facing a stronger group of contenders.