Caulfield (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Caulfield (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 17 OctCaulfield (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Quayclean Gothic Stakes 1400m · jumps Sat 17 Oct, 2:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Caulfield for the Quayclean Gothic Stakes over 1400m on a good4 track under fine skies. The win market is headed by I Am Aria, closely followed by Zambales, Star Of Macedon, and Aemond, setting up an intriguing Listed race for the three-year-olds where punters have plenty of interesting form lines to dissect.

I Am Aria sits right at the top of the market for M W Walker and jockey Michael Dee, coming off a narrow second over 1200m here at Caulfield where she raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush. She tackles 1400m for the first time in this run. Aemond represents the A & S Freedman stable with Mark Zahra in the saddle, coming off an outstanding debut win at Bendigo followed by a solid third in a 3yo quality handicap at this venue over 1100m, suggesting the step up in trip should suit. Star Of Macedon is another key contender trained by J G Symons & S Laxon, boasting a win last start at Kilmore over 1200m and a terrific second in the Taj Rossi Final at Flemington two starts back, with Blake Shinn retaining the mount.

Further down the race shape, the speed map indicates early pressure with leaders like Milsons Point, Boys Bounce, Aemond, and Kotahitanga expected to zip forward, while backmarkers like Obambulate will spot them a start. Zambales comes in from the A & S Freedman yard for Damian Lane, looking to bounce back after finishing down the track in a Group 2 3Y SWP at Flemington over 1100m following a Bendigo maiden win. It is shaping as a fascinating tactical yarn on the quick back-up for several runners as they battle for glory down the Caulfield straight.

Race notes

3yo,GOTHIC STAKES,LISTED 3Y SWP,Listed,Open
GOOD4
Fine
14 runners

Shortest win price

I Am Aria (13)

3.40

Most career wins

Obambulate

2-0-0 from 6 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6The Thorncaster

Midfield

10Yourworstnightmare
15Autumn Lover
3Zambales
4Star Of Macedon
5Shooting Brake
14Ektifire

Offpace

1Milsons Point
2Obambulate

Onpace

8Aemond
9Kotahitanga
11Zoehrer

Leader

7Boys Bounce
13I Am Aria

Milsons Point · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Obambulate · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Zambales · Positive
Trainer Form
In form stable, out performing market expectations 37%
Star Of Macedon · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Milsons PointJ: Ben Allen·T: C Maher857kg6 1 6 2 117: 1-2-0$51.00$8.00

Career

7: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD34.1L
2Sandown1400m22 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY80.8L
6Caulfield1100m25 July 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT64.2L
1Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2
6Caulfield1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD47.4L
14Caulfield1200m21 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD49.2L
2Caulfield1000m24 Jan 2026 · 2yo · GOOD30.4L
1Pakenham1000m13 Dec 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD4-1.3

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Set tempo, offered little resistance when challenged at Flemington over this journey. Place hopes look best.

ILB

Started at $19.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last start at Flemington. Likely to be well placed early. Will be tested.

Finished towards the rear of 14 at Flemington in a Listed race last month; patchy form recently; makes limited appeal with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Odds of 18/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last time at Flemington. Likely to be well placed early.

2ObambulateJ: John Allen·T: T Busuttin & N Young1057kg1 1 8 5 96: 2-0-0$91.00$14.00

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Caulfield1600m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD49.37L
5Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD31.6L
8Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT65.46L
1Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY8-2.3
1Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.1
6Caulfield Heath1000m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never in the call here last time out in Stutt Stakes. Drops to shorter trip. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start around here but matched against lesser competition. Likely to get back in the run. Keep safe.

Finished behind Boys Bounce when finishing last of nine last month in a Group 2; a previous winner here; drops in class; a major contender based on the pick of his form and had excuses last time (checked).

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last time around here but goes down in class. Does take a while to get into stride. Can't leave out of your calculations.

3ZambalesJ: Damian Lane·T: A & S Freedman756kg5 4 2 1 1010: 1-4-0$5.50$2.15

Career

10: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-2-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-3-0

Last starts

10Flemington1100m3 Oct 2026 · GROUP 2 3Y SWP · HEAVY85.71L
1Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.1
2Sandown1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · SOFT71L
4Randwick1600m18 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD42.1L
5Randwick1400m4 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT75.6L
9Rosehill1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · SOFT64.3L
2Flemington1400m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD30.1L
4Caulfield1200m21 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD41.2L

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 37%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Flemington. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Was ordinary when 10th last start at Flemington but matched against a less competitive field. Producing consistent results since returning from a spell and returning to a longer distance. Will go close.

Could not manage better than tenth in a Group 2 at Flemington two weeks ago; has found improvement of late; might find this company a little easier but unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Only fair when 10th last run at Flemington but going down in grade. Exhibiting good form lately and returns to a longer distance. Suited against these.

4Star Of MacedonJ: Blake Shinn·T: J G Symons & S Laxon556kg2 3 3 2 15: 1-2-2$4.80$1.95

Career

5: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-1
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-2-1

Last starts

1Kilmore1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.46
2Flemington1600m4 July 2026 · 2yo · SOFT70.5L
3Flemington1420m20 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT70.95L
3Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY82.6L
2Seymour1200m21 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT60.8L
3Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Terrific in the Taj Rossi Final Flemington two back. Raced off the speed and mustered well to get the money in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Kilmore at skinny odds. B Shinn on again. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last run at Kilmore and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Showing improvement in recent outings. Facing stiffer opposition. Has some claims.

Has kicked on in his last couple of races; gained a first success at the fifth time of asking when winning by half a length 19 days ago at Kilmore in a maiden; with more on his plate one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Rocketed home when winning last run at Kilmore and solid career start. Up against tougher opponents. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Could feature here.

5Shooting BrakeJ: Billy Egan·T: Dominic Sutton256kg2 3 5 3 45: 0-1-2$13.00$3.80

Career

5: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-2

Last starts

4Cranbourne1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.96L
3Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo · SOFT72.5L
5Sandown1000m22 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY81.8L
3Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT74.5L
2Caulfield Heath1000m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD41L
9Caulfield800m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial5.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Cranbourne. Placed only other run at Caulfield. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started $3.50 and made some ground when 4th last start at Cranbourne and has a good draw. Putting a tidy record together so far. Strong claims in this.

Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; found life tough when 6l back in fourth at Cranbourne three weeks ago in a maiden; this represents a step up in class so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Odds of 5/2 and pushed past some when 4th last time at Cranbourne and promising career start. Will try to take advantage of the draw. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Good chance in this.

6The ThorncasterJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher656kg6 6 1 1 95: 1-1-0$34.00$6.00

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
2: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Warwick Farm1200m23 Sept 2026 · 3Y BM68 · SOFT54.37L
1Wyong1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.1
1Warwick Farm817m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-0.3
6Warwick Farm789m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.4L
6Eagle Farm1300m6 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT52.8L
2Eagle Farm1400m18 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD40.2L
4Wyong1200m28 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT56.5L
2Rosehill900m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.2L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor at Warwick Farm second-up. All the better, distant place hope only.

ILB

Started $18.00 and faded away to finish 9th last time at Warwick Farm and competing in a higher grade. Prefer in an easier race.

Signs of improvement on last two runs; not beaten that far three weeks ago at Warwick Farm in a handicap; this represents a step up in class so he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and weakened to finish 9th last start at Warwick Farm and competing in a more challenging grade.

7Boys BounceJ: Jye Mcneil·T: T & C Mcevoy356kg3 1 63: 1-0-1$15.00$3.90

Career

3: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Caulfield1600m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.31L
1Sandown1500m2 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.5
3Sandown1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · SOFT71.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Sandown-Hillside 2 Sep. There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off this course latest outing. Draws to do no work. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and was well beaten when 6th last time at the track but stepping down to a lower level. Expecting to settle positively. Good career start. Watch betting.

Finished sixth last month albeit only beaten 2½l in a Group 2; dropping in class but others make more appeal.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last time here but taking on a lower class of opponents. Displays good tactical pace. Going well of late. Watch the betting.

8AemondJ: Mark Zahra·T: A & S Freedman1156kg1 32: 1-0-1$7.00$2.50

Career

2: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Caulfield1100m27 Sept 2026 · 3Y QLTY HCP · GOOD41.25L
1Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-4

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Mark Zahra 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
A & S Freedman in good form, out performing market 37%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Outstanding debut at Bendigo 6 Sep. Off pace, solid through line 3yo Hcp this venue at second outing. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Warrants attention.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at this venue. Been in the placegetters each attempt this preparation. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. This field likely to be too good.

Good effort when just over 1l third over 5½f here (handicap) three weeks ago; with more on his plate others make more appeal.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 3rd last time at the track. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts recently.

9KotahitangaJ: Craig Newitt·T: Richard Laming156kg2 12: 1-1-0$11.00$3.50

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Cranbourne1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-3
2Cranbourne1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.75L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Gave them a spanking at Cranbourne at second appearance. Drawn for softer run. Right in the mix again.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was dominant when winning by 3L last time at Cranbourne and has minimal work to do from the draw. Should be going forward early. Looks too tough.

Successful by 3l in a maiden at Cranbourne when registering his first success at the second time of asking eight days ago; more on his plate this time but cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Kicked clear when winning by 3L last run at Cranbourne and drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run.

10YourworstnightmareJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Jake Stephens1456kg2 12: 1-1-0$23.00$4.60

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Murray Bridge1200m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-0.73
2Gawler1100m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42L

Insights

Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Bided his time at the back and let down smartly at Murray Bridge Gh at second outing. Has an adverse draw. This looks stronger.

ILB

Charged home to win last run at Murray Bridge but competing at a higher grade. Placed at every start this campaign. Most likely not today.

Gained a first success at the second time of asking in a maiden at Murray Bridge Gh two weeks ago; more on his plate but likely to be involved.

RSIS

Charged home to win last time at Murray Bridge but facing a stronger grade. Has run into the placings at every start lately.

11ZoehrerJ: Craig Williams·T: T Busuttin & N Young1356kg4 12: 1-0-0$20.00$4.40

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Seymour1429m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-2.3
4Sandown1200m19 Aug 2026 · 3YC&G MDN-SW · SOFT71.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 12%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 37 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Broke clear to win impressively at Seymour at second start. Has a tricky draw. Sharper now, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Picked up nicely to win last time at Seymour but challenged by more formidable competitors. Hard to see it being competitive today.

Got the job done by just over 2l in a maiden (Seymour) when opening his account at the second time of asking last month upped to this distance; goes on the shortlist despite moving up in class.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last start at Seymour but facing formidable opponents.

12Calamari RingScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Won the Inglis Banner Flemington 8 Nov. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Rise to 1400m a new challenge. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

At $16.00 outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at this venue.

RSIS

At 15/1 improved when 4th last run at this venue.

13I Am AriaJ: Michael Dee·T: M W Walker454kg15 1 1 7 26: 1-2-1$3.40$1.60

Career

6: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

2Caulfield1200m27 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD40.2L
7Flemington1100m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD33.2L
1Bendigo1000m12 Aug 2026 · 3Y FILLIES MDN SW · HEAVY9-1.5
1Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-1.8
15Caulfield1200m21 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD411.2L
3Caulfield1100m7 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD41.1L
2Caulfield1000m24 Jan 2026 · 2yo · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush this course. Has early speed. Has her first look at 1400m here. Each way.

ILB

Missed by a narrow margin last time around here. Should muster plenty of early toe. Running with confidence since returning from a break. Should go very close.

Outran 28-1 odds when a close runner-up here over 6f (Group 3) last month; down in class this time but makes little appeal.

RSIS

Just missed last time at this venue. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Producing consistent results since resuming from a break. Will go close.

14EktifireJ: Rachel King·T: A & S Freedman954kg5 6 5 3 15: 1-0-1$23.00$4.60

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

1Pakenham Synthetic1200m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-4.25
3Bendigo1100m6 Sept 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT55L
5Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.6L
6Rosehill1200m14 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD46L
5Canterbury1100m27 Feb 2026 · 2Y MDN · SOFT62L
2Randwick740m19 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.2L
5Canterbury899m6 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial4.3L
6Randwick740m15 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 37%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won in a cakewalk at Pakenham Synthetic. Has her first look at 1400m here. Just out of her maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Won by a huge margin of 4 1/4L last run at Pakenham Synthetic but up against a more competitive field. Going well this campaign. Can't entertain a bet.

Best form so far in last two starts; won in good style at Pakenham 15 days ago when opening her account at the fifth time of asking in a maiden; passed over given likely tougher test.

RSIS

Was rock solid when winning by a margin of 4 1/4L last time at Pakenham Synthetic and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Showing good ability in recent runs.

15Autumn LoverJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman1254kg6 2 1 7 46: 1-0-1$34.00$6.50

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Flemington1400m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD31.2L
7Caulfield1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT64.71L
1Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4
2Caulfield Heath800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.8L
6Pakenham Synthetic750m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.9L
4Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT51.3L
3Sale1112m1 Mar 2026 · 2yo · SOFT62L
5Flemington1100m14 Feb 2026 · 2yo · GOOD45.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Nolen current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 60% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Flemington over this trip. Has an adverse draw. Others rate stronger.

ILB

At $61.00 chased well when 4th last start at Flemington. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Respectable display to finish fourth, beaten just over 1l in a Listed race when ahead of a couple of these at Flemington 35 days ago; a lot on her plate here and only limited appeal.

RSIS

Odds of 60/1 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Flemington.

Odds correct as at Sat 17 Oct, 2:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Sun 27 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races