Shortest win price
All Shot (2)
4.80
Balaklava serves up a 1200m restricted handicap on Good 4 going under overcast skies at 4:50 pm AEDT, and the win market sits with De Luca as the shortest quote, followed by All Shot, Copper Bullet, and Magic Princess. It's a modest field with genuine competitive merit across the midfield runners, and the narrative here revolves around freshness and map position — two runners arriving off layoffs, one with a strong recent trial, and several dealing with awkward barriers on a track that doesn't always reward from out wide.
De Luca holds favoured odds and brings form credentials: a brave third at Murray Bridge in Benchmark 64 company over 1100m on soft ground, then a solid outing in the F&M grades at Strathalbyn. The data suggests a fast finisher with an ideal map for this distance and going, which underpins the market view, though the record first-up and early preparation phases show modest returns. All Shot sits next and carries a rider change — Caitlyn Munro in the saddle — yet the stable is performing at 27 per cent return on turnover across the last hundred runners, a genuine edge. The comment notes two wins at this distance, and the recent fourth at Balaklava itself saw the runner give ground late on Good 3 going, suggesting scope for improvement with another outing under the belt. Copper Bullet, rated 92 by the independent assessment, is first-up after 17 weeks and brings a potent jockey-trainer combo firing at nearly double market expectation; that Morphettville trial looked sharp, and the form line shows a win first-up from three attempts in that phase.
Magic Princess is a danger fresh too, rated 82 and arriving off 16 weeks' spell with a solid trial and multiple wins in this grade last campaign. The Boltonova runner in barrier two sets the tempo as the only leader in the field, yet both the trainer and the jockey-trainer combination are running stone cold, which tempers enthusiasm. The take here centres on De Luca as the obvious choice given map and form alignment, but All Shot and Copper Bullet offer genuine roughie appeal with stable and combo data firing, while Magic Princess poses a fresh-up threat that merits consideration in exotic play.
Shortest win price
All Shot (2)
4.80
Most career wins
Outpost
8-5-8 from 69 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Zestiman · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
All Shot · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Hesket · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Copper Bullet · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
35: 4-4-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1109m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
10: 2-1-1
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
24: 3-3-3
Going Soft
10: 1-1-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Morphettville Parks. Drawn to effect. Form solid this distance. Will be out to make amends.
ILB
Started at $6.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Morphettville. May see an upturn in form. Winning potential.
RP
Could not manage better than seventh over 7f at Morphettville (handicap) three weeks ago; in with a big shout as has been on the scene in the recent past.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Morphettville. Looking past the last run. Should progress and will be close.
Career
17: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made some headway without troubling this venue first up. Better for the outing and takes a 2kg claim. Two of his wins were this distance. Worth a look.
ILB
Was $9.50 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last time at this track and will appreciate a good draw. Has a good chance.
RP
Not beaten that far here over 5f (handicap) 14 days ago; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Started 17/2 and picked up some ground to run 4th last start at this track and can save some energy from the stall. Gets a chance against these.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Never in the call at Mildura over this trip. Deep into his campaign, one for multiples.
ILB
On a short back up. Was $12.00 and sub-standard effort when 9th last time at Mildura.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Odds of 11/1 and performed below standard when 9th last time at Mildura.
Career
63: 6-8-8
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
8: 0-1-3
Second-up
7: 1-1-1
Third-up
6: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-1-1
Track Belmont
3: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
49: 6-7-5
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Steps out for third run new stable/region. No threat as a $91 chance in Hcp (64) at Murray Bridge Gh. Drops to shorter trip. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Started at $91.00 and didn't attack the line when 10th last start at Murray Bridge but lining up against easier rivals. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Can't entertain a bet.
RP
Tenth of 12 over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) 11 days ago; should go well as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Odds of 90/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last start at Murray Bridge but has been racing in stronger company. Will have to carry extra weight.
Career
10: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-0-1
Track Gawler
2: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (17-weeks). Effective fresh while brought back with a Morphettville Parks trial. Not out of this fresh in this company.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Was $8.00 and ran 6th last run at this track. Capable of bouncing back. Expected to be flashing home. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Finished sixth, beaten 7l, four months ago on debut for this trainer; poor effort last time out a possible blip but form has an up and down look to it; has had some time off; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 7/1 and finished 6th last run at this track. Capable of bouncing back. Will be motoring home late. Rates as one of the key chances.
Career
69: 8-5-8
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
11: 0-1-2
Second-up
10: 1-0-0
Third-up
9: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
7: 2-0-0
Track Morphettville
45: 6-2-5
Track Murray Bridge
8: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
9: 0-1-3
Distance 1100m
15: 1-2-3
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
38: 5-0-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
29: 2-5-4
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Caitlin Tootell 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Caitlin Tootell in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Seasoned performer. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Gawler. A few runs under his belt this campaign, among the dangers.
ILB
At $9.00 finished 7th last start at Gawler. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Not beaten that far (Gawler) last Monday; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and cannot be ignored.
RSIS
At 8/1 came in 7th last time at Gawler. Not at all out of this race.
Career
6: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
W F & Glen Francis & Kent striking at just 6%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Balaklava
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (14-weeks). Broke her maiden over 1200m at Balaklava last campaign. Has a tricky draw for return. May need this.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Started $31.00 and gave away some ground when 12th last run at Morphettville. Can show up in this at odds.
RP
Towards the rear of 13 (Morphettville) in July; likes this combination of C&D; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; running in a handicap for only the second time; interesting as a number of her rivals have questions to answer and she won a maiden two runs back.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started at 30/1 and weakened to finish 12th last run at Morphettville.
Career
43: 5-5-3
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
6: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-0-1
Track Bordertown
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 5-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $10 when battled home in Restricted 56 company at Strathalbyn. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and came in 4th last time at Strathalbyn. Needs a lot of luck in this race.
RP
Beaten fourth of eight when ahead of De Luca at Strathalbyn last month; a previous winner here; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Murray Bridge Gh in February; others are preferred.
RSIS
Odds of 9/1 and ran 4th last time at Strathalbyn.
Career
26: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Morphettville
10: 1-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-1
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1050m
6: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 0-1-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Modest performance at Jamestown over this journey. Best around this level. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
At $5.50 ran 4th last start at Jamestown but gets a favourable gate. Has shown early pace in races to date. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth of seven (Jamestown) 11 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and finished 4th last run at Jamestown but has a good draw. Won't be far away during the run.
Career
28: 1-5-4
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
2: 0-1-0
Track Echuca
2: 1-1-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-2
Distance 900m
5: 0-1-2
Distance 1000m
10: 1-2-1
Distance 1050m
6: 0-1-0
Going Good
12: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 1-3-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS
AAP
Brave in defeat F&M (Bm64) at Murray Bridge Gh. Well into preparation now and looks an each way chance.
ILB
Flashed home late into 3rd last time at Murray Bridge but rises in weight. Might have to make up considerable ground. Watch betting.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat 11 days ago, when third at Murray Bridge Gh over 5½f (handicap); achieved only a sole win.
RSIS
Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Murray Bridge but rising in weight. Likely to get back. Not without a chance.
Career
20: 1-4-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
6: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
14: 1-2-3
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 0-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Teagan Voorham current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
G, N & B Searle & Callanan striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Settled back and didn't come on at Murray Bridge Gh. Lone victory was over this trip. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.
ILB
First up from a break. Started at $8.00 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Murray Bridge. Do not dismiss.
RP
Beaten eighth of nine over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) two months ago; managed just one success in her career to date and form has an up and down look to it; record suggests she is usually one to take on for win purposes so can be taken on.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 7/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at Murray Bridge on a heavy rated track.
Career
29: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-4-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 54% Profit on Turnover
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Solid last campaign including multiple wins in similar grades. Looked in fair order at the trials. Danger fresh.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Ran well when 3rd last run at Port Augusta but coming back in distance. Needs to improve.
RP
Has won here previously; beaten 10l into third (7½f) at Port Augusta in June; record fresh suggests she might need this run; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Nice run when 3rd last start at Port Augusta but coming back in distance.
Career
31: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Tumut
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1498m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $151 when unable to threaten at Gawler over this trip. Has work to do on recent figures.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last run at Gawler. Likely to get back in the field. Large claim helps. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.
RP
Eighth beaten 7l (Gawler) last month; has winning C&D form to her name; struggled a bit since winning a maiden at Balaklava in June; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Was 150/1 and well beaten when 8th last start at Gawler. Might be ridden for luck. Large claim helps.