Canberra (ACT) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Canberra (ACT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovCanberra (ACT)Change

Race 2 — Seears Workwear Mdn Plate 1300m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Canberra for the Seears Workwear Mdn Plate over 1300m on a Soft5 track under overcast skies. Punters looking to dissect this maiden event will find Pariah Time heading the win market order, closely followed by Hellfire Henry, Top Pick, and Reschs Milk rounding out the top four in the betting ring.

Taking a closer look at the form line for the market leader, Pariah Time comes into this race for trainer Luke Pepper with Brodie Loy in the saddle from barrier 5, having recently finished a solid fourth at Canberra over 1200m and a third at Nowra. The stablemate Hellfire Henry draws barrier 6 for trainer J M Austin and rider Pierre Boudvillain, and while he threw the anchor out late after leading at Bathurst last time out, his prior effort here at Canberra over 1200m suggests this distance range could be within his reach.

For punters seeking a value yarn further down the order, Top Pick maps as a backmarker from barrier 2 for trainer L T Hodgson and jockey Rebecca Bronett Prag, bringing the fastest overall finishing sectionals from the previous start into a race where speed groups indicate Hellfire Henry and Pariah Time should try to control things early from the front.

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Pariah Time (2)

2.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Top Pick

Midfield

3Slater's Boy
7Bella Manda

Offpace

4Karlin

Onpace

2Pariah Time
5Reschs Milk

Leader

1Hellfire Henry

Hellfire Henry · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Pariah Time · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Slater's Boy · Negative
Jockey Booking
Shaun Guymer current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Karlin · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Hellfire HenryJ: Pierre Boudvillain·T: J M Austin659kg2 3 10 5 46: 0-1-1$2.90$1.55

Career

6: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
2: 0-1-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Bathurst1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.87L
5Canberra1200m26 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
10Hawkesbury1100m10 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD410.5L
3Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.4L
2Warwick Farm786m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.5L
2Bathurst1400m25 Apr 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD40.1L
3Goulburn1200m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.1L
6Orange1000m22 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Threw the anchor out late after leading at Bathurst. Leads, handy. This looks within his reach.

ILB

Was $2.90 and finished 4th last time at Bathurst. Can show a better performance this time. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will be in the finish.

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after six starts was a second but has not been firing consistently; not beaten too far when fourth at Bathurst over 7f (maiden) last month; he can be taken on.

RSIS

At 15/8 ran 4th last run at Bathurst. Happy to overlook that run. Should muster plenty of early pace. Should go well.

2Pariah TimeJ: Brodie Loy·T: Luke Pepper559kg2 6 6 3 47: 0-1-2$2.60$1.40

Career

7: 0-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Moruya
3: 0-1-1
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Canberra1200m23 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.02L
3Nowra1100m10 Aug 2026 · CG&E MDN · SOFT72.8L
6Illawarra Grange1150m30 July 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD41.9L
6Kembla Grange1200m16 July 2026 · 3yo · GOOD44.7L
2Moruya1200m19 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT50.3L
3Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.6L
3Moruya1200m23 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
4Moruya1200m5 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD40.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Midfield, picked up solidly this track for new trainer. Should relish the rise in distance. High on the shortlist.

ILB

Started at $2.90 and ran 4th last run at this track. Should improve from the last run. Won't be far away during the run. Will attract plenty of interest.

Somewhat disappointing when finishing fourth (15-8) on first run for current trainer last month in a handicap; seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; been struggling to get his head in front recently so makes little appeal.

RSIS

Started 15/8 and ran 4th last run around here. Giving another go here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Will attract plenty of interest.

3Slater's BoyJ: Shaun Guymer·T: Luke Pepper159kg3 12 8 4 67: 0-1-1$19.00$5.50

Career

7: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Albury1175m24 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.24L
4Canberra1300m9 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.16L
8Canberra1400m4 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT618.8L
12Moruya1200m16 Aug 2026 · MDN · HEAVY921.9L
3Goulburn1200m16 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
2Goulburn1100m7 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD31L
5Goulburn800m12 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial8.3L
9Moruya1200m6 Jan 2025 · Maiden · SOFT53.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Shaun Guymer current POT is 36% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $6 when safely held in Maiden company at Albury. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Started $6.00 and came in 6th last run at Albury but has drawn to do little work. Can run into the placings.

Finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) ten days ago (Albury) in a handicap; seven-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; others appeal more.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and came in 6th last time at Albury but drawn nicely.

4KarlinJ: Deanne Panya·T: J M Austin757kg6 5 10 3 71: 0-0-0$41.00$10.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Bathurst1100m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD410.01L
3Hawkesbury1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
10Warwick Farm789m3 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.8L
5Warwick Farm819m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)10.4L
6Warwick Farm789m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found the debut assignment beyond him at Bathurst as an outsider 16 Oct. Needs to find a few lengths.

ILB

Started $71.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Bathurst but having second race start. Need a lot of luck to be threatening these.

Was seventh of eight on her debut at Bathurst at 66-1 last month; major player.

RSIS

Started at 70/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last time at Bathurst but was on debut last time.

5Reschs MilkJ: Quayde Krogh·T: D J Rolfe357kg8 6 3 4 44: 0-0-1$12.00$4.00

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Canberra900m9 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.6L
4Gosford2100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
3Newcastle1850m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.2L
6Canterbury1550m17 June 2026 · 2&3Y MDN-SW · SOFT64.7L
8Newcastle1300m19 May 2026 · Maiden · SOFT75.9L
4Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
3Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
7Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 84%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 89% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (12-weeks). Ex K A Lees. Trained here now. Tuned up by recent trial. Respect at first country outing.

ILB

Resumes from a break. At $5.00 gave away some ground when 4th last start at Gosford and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Best to watch only.

Four-race maiden though does have a third place to her name; fair effort (beaten 1½l) over 1m2½f at Gosford (maiden) in August; first run for trainer.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. At 4/1 looked outclassed when 4th last time at Gosford and back to a shorter trip. Coming to a new trainer.

6Top PickJ: Rebecca Bronett Prag·T: L T Hodgson257kg5 2 33: 0-1-1$4.00$2.00

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

3Canberra1000m28 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD43.3L
2Queanbeyan1200m27 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN · SOFT51L
5Goulburn1100m7 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD36.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 113%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 310 day break (> 300 days)

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (44-weeks). Shown some promise across three appearances. Since trialled at Canberra. Warrants attention fresh in this affair.

ILB

Resuming after a 44 week spell. Good performance to run into 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at this track and has a good draw. Prefer to watch.

Ran well to finish third at 20-1 in a handicap last December; three-race maiden though does have a second place to her name; has had some time off; can be on the premises.

RSIS

Resumes from a break of 44 weeks. Ran on when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at this venue and can find a nice position from the draw.

7Bella MandaJ: Damon Budler·T: Annabel & Rob Archibald455.5kg6 8 6 81: 0-0-0$13.00$4.20

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.2L
6Goulburn1300m17 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT68.2L
8Warwick Farm821m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.7L
6Warwick Farm791m9 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Damon Budler 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (15-weeks). Failed to stamp herself on the race at Goulburn debut at double-figure odds 17 Jul. Learnt plenty there. Readied with two soft trials. Could improve substantially here.

ILB

Back after a break. Started $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Goulburn but was on debut last time. Not interested.

Beaten 8l to finish last on her debut (in blinkers) at Goulburn at 20-1 in July; should prove competitive.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 20/1 and didn't find the line when 6th last time at Goulburn but having second career run.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 2:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races