Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:45 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctCasino (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Casino Beef Week Cup Fri 28Th May 2027 (Bm58) 1900m · jumps Thu 29 Oct, 1:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP BM58 HCP,3yo+,BM58,Benchmark 58
SOFT7
Fine
6 runners

Shortest win price

Valouri (3)

1.85

Most career wins

Giddy Gan's Joy

6-5-7 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Caracoron

Midfield

5Giddy Gan's Joy
8Piplup

Onpace

2Righteous
3Valouri

Leader

4Mahuika Maroi

Caracoron · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Righteous · Negative
Trainer SR
Ethan Ensby striking at just 7%
Valouri · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Mahuika Maroi · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1CaracoronJ: Siabh Rigley·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee262kg11 3 4 7 529: 4-1-4$4.80$2.05

Career

29: 4-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
4: 2-0-1
Track Lismore
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1820m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
16: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 2-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-0-3

Last starts

5Gold Coast2235m17 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SOFT710.53L
7Gold Coast1724m10 Oct 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.85L
4Lismore2110m25 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.52L
3Lismore1526m10 Sept 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT50.7L
11Doomben1350m26 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD46.3L
3Ballina1010m11 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)2.3L
6Grafton940m19 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.9L
10Doomben2070m18 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD410.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression in rain affected going at Gold Coast over longer test. Can improve here.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and closed off nicely when 5th last time at Gold Coast and gets a favourable alley. Looks a nice proposition.

Beaten 11l when fifth of seven 12 days ago (Gold Coast) upped to 1m3f; strong contender as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

At 9/1 ran past a few when 5th last run at Gold Coast and will try to take advantage of the stall. Has a nice turn of foot. Will not be far away.

2RighteousJ: Ben Looker·T: Ethan Ensby661kg7 2 4 3 712: 1-1-3$6.50$2.50

Career

12: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2075m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2110m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1

Last starts

7Gold Coast2235m17 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SOFT713.05L
3Lismore2110m25 Sept 2026 · BM66 · SOFT53.16L
4Grafton2200m7 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.7L
2Grafton2220m29 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT51.2L
7Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.3L
10Grafton1400m16 July 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD38.7L
2Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.4L
8Sale1744m8 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ethan Ensby striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

6yo with spaced form. Ordinary in choppy conditions at Gold Coast over longer assignment. Form prior okay for this but on a long losing streak.

ILB

Started $18.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last run at Gold Coast. Should bounce back. Capable of winning this.

Form has been a bit mixed lately and been a while since he managed only win; finished last of seven at Gold Coast over 1m3f (handicap) when not far behind Caracoron 12 days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

At 17/1 lost ground in the run home when 7th last time at Gold Coast. Expecting improvement. One of the value chances in this race.

3ValouriJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn359.5kg5 9 6 2 210: 1-5-0$1.85$1.20

Career

10: 1-5-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-1-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1680m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-3-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Ipswich1680m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.47L
2Grafton1610m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT60.33L
6Gold Coast1400m5 Sept 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD44.6L
9Grafton1200m18 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT64L
5Deagon1050m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
8Grafton956m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)7.3L
8Eagle Farm1820m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT74.6L
6Eagle Farm1600m31 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Great run at Grafton 29 Sep. No match but still very brave in defeat in (Bm62) at Ipswich. Distance increase suits. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by nearly 2 1/2L last time at Ipswich but goes up in weight. Competitive type.

Has been fairly consistent lately; gave good account to finish runner-up over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by just short of 2 1/2L last start at Ipswich but will have to carry more weight. Respect the betting.

4Mahuika MaroiJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby559kg2 2 2 10 413: 1-6-0$10.00$3.30

Career

13: 1-6-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
7: 1-3-0
Track Lismore
2: 0-1-0
Distance 2110m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 2230m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-4-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Lismore2120m18 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT73.85L
10Grafton2230m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD434.74L
2Grafton2200m7 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD40.6L
2Gold Coast2200m28 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD41.7L
2Ballina1900m11 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY100.1L
8Grafton1600m15 July 2026 · 4UP CL2 HCP · GOOD44.3L
4Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)10.3L
2Lismore2110m19 Dec 2025 · CL1-SW · GOOD40.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Modest performance in rain affected going at Lismore. Drops to shorter trip. A few runs under her belt this campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Was $11.00 and not competitive when 4th last time at Lismore. Displays good tactical speed. Will go close.

Form has an up and down look to it and achieved only a sole win; not beaten too far when fourth of six 11 days ago (Lismore) in a conditions race; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Was 10/1 and had difficulty when 4th last run at Lismore. Should race on the pace. Strong prospects.

5Giddy Gan's JoyJ: Luke Rolls·T: S Foster457kg2 5 1 5 453: 6-5-7$6.00$2.40

Career

53: 6-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Gold Coast Poly
4: 0-1-1
Track Gold Coast
5: 1-0-1
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1670m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
17: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-1
Going Soft
28: 3-0-3

Last starts

4Gold Coast Poly2000m7 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SYNTHETIC8.04L
5Sunshine Coast1800m27 Sept 2026 · 0 - 60 · GOOD42.97L
1Ipswich2150m25 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT5-1.4
5Toowoomba2020m30 May 2026 · BM58 · SOFT74.2L
2Coffs Harbour2200m8 May 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY100.5L
6Ipswich2180m16 Apr 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43L
7Ipswich2170m6 Apr 2026 · BM65 · GOOD45.2L
9Beaudesert2450m12 Mar 2026 · BM60 · SOFT58.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke Rolls 59% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Gold Coast Poly second-up. Key player.

ILB

At $6.00 made some ground when 4th last start at Gold Coast Poly. Definite claims.

Finished fourth, beaten 8l, over 1m2f at Gold Coast (handicap) 22 days ago; this is her level; shown she can win fairly recently and has a competitive shout.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Can go close.

6Lord ProtectorScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Gold Coast over longer test. Coming back in distance. Hard fit, among the dangers back at country level.

ILB

Good run when finishing 2nd last run at Gold Coast and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

RSIS

Ran on when 2nd beaten by over 8L last run at Gold Coast and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

7So FortunateScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Grafton latest outing. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Should relish the rise in distance and well placed for a repeat.

ILB

Assumed control from the start when winning by a margin of 1L last run at Grafton and solid career start. In strong racing shape since returning from a spell.

RSIS

Showed a clean pair of heels when winning by 1L last run at Grafton and promising career start. Very competitive recently and form has been improving over recent runs.

8PiplupJ: Yvette Lewis·T: G N Nielsen155kg11 4 9 11 927: 2-0-1$31.00$6.00

Career

27: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
2: 1-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

9Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD33.25L
11Lismore1410m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 · SOFT58.55L
9Grafton1106m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT510.5L
4Hanging Rock2400m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
11Stony Creek2100m18 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT519.7L
7Cranbourne1600m3 Jan 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD39.1L
7Colac1600m20 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.3L
8Caulfield1000m20 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial9.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Nielsen striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 45%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

ILB

Was $101.00 and not in contention when 9th last time at Ballina but has a nice advantage with a good gate. Cannot recommend as a betting proposition.

Out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in ninth) over 1m at Ballina (handicap) three weeks ago; shown signs of promise here and there and in the mix.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and lacked competitiveness when 9th last time at Ballina but gets the perfect stall.

Odds correct as at Thu 29 Oct, 1:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.