Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:52 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctCasino (NSW)Change

Race 6 — X-Mas Cup Lismore Fri 18Th Dec Country Boosted (Bm58) 1000m · jumps Thu 29 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT

Race notes

Benchmark 58,CTRY BM58,CTRY BM58 HCP
SOFT6
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Copenhagen Cat (6)

2.90

Most career wins

Hot Wings

3-3-1 from 12 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Virginia Breezes

Offmidfield

7Icewater

Midfield

8Rainbow Lass
10Barron

Offpace

2Hot Wings
3Drahomira

Onpace

4Land Speed

Leader

6Copenhagen Cat

Hot Wings · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Drahomira · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Land Speed · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Copenhagen Cat · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Amaya's SecretScratched7––––

Career

12: 2-5-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-1-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
9: 2-4-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Grafton1000m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL3 · HEAVY80.36L
4Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.57L
3Grafton940m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
2Ballina1000m23 Mar 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY101.1L
2Grafton1015m5 Mar 2026 · CL2 HCP · GOOD40.6L
2Grafton1040m3 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD40.8L
7Ipswich800m3 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD43.6L
3Ballina1005m14 Nov 2025 · CTRY CL2 · HEAVY82.2L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 9kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Genuine campaigner. Found enough to place in small field at Grafton second-up. Down in class. Key player.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last start at Grafton and facing a weaker grade. Will have to carry extra weight.

Has been fairly consistent lately; went down by a neck at Grafton 16 days ago; recent display was promising so cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Just missed last start at Grafton and back in an easier grade. Going up in weight.

2Hot WingsJ: William Galloway·T: M J Dunn162kg1 2 8 11 912: 3-3-1$3.00$1.26

Career

12: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Murwillumbah
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

9Doomben1350m26 Aug 2026 · BM68 · GOOD43.8L
11Rosehill1200m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP HIGHWAY CL3 HCP · SOFT54.8L
8Doomben1110m11 July 2026 · 3UP CL3-SW · GOOD47.6L
2Gold Coast1000m27 June 2026 · CL4 · SOFT50.7L
1Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)-0.1
2Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.5L
6Doomben1350m14 Jan 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43L
1Murwillumbah1200m29 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.6

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (64-days). Not disgraced at Doomben over longer assignment at $19. At optimum level and rates highly fresh.

ILB

First up from a break of 9 weeks and improved to place when 2nd first up last preparation at Gold Coast. William Galloway provides some weight relief. Drawn the rails. Will attract plenty of interest.

Resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a fourth career win); not beaten that far at Doomben over 6½f (handicap) in August; could be interesting.

RSIS

Resuming and finished with intent when 2nd resuming last preparation at Gold Coast. Large claim helps and matched against a less competitive field. Expected to be competitive.

3DrahomiraJ: Ben Looker·T: Daniel Bowen658kg4 5 1 53: 1-0-0$5.50$1.65

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Grafton1181m29 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.7L
1Lismore1320m10 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT5-2.3
5Ballina1000m16 Jan 2026 · Maiden · GOOD33.6L
4Ballina1000m9 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (61-days). Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Grafton. Soft proven, heavy unknown. Worth a look fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a spell. Jumped at $6.00 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Grafton. Will relish the track conditions. Watch for a sign in the market.

Finished fifth in August albeit only beaten just under 2l over 6f (handicap) at Grafton; this just her fourth race; likely to be involved if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Back after a break. Started at 5/1 and pushed past some when 5th last start at Grafton. 1 win from 2 starts have come on soft ground. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Land SpeedJ: Zac Wadick·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee558kg1 5 8 6 28: 1-1-0$8.00$2.20

Career

8: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1010m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Lismore1120m18 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.84L
6Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT62.89L
8Grafton1000m7 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD46.5L
5Ballina1000m11 Aug 2026 · CL2 BM62 · HEAVY105.6L
1Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY10-2.4
4Hawkesbury1100m17 June 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT59.5L
5Warwick Farm815m26 May 2025 · Barrier Trial4.9L
7Warwick Farm783m13 May 2025 · Barrier Trial4.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in choppy conditions to just go under at Lismore. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Nice run when 2nd last time at Lismore but bit of extra work to do with more weight. Should muster plenty of early speed. Looks hopeful.

Has been fairly consistent lately; went close at 13-1 at Lismore over 5½f (handicap) 11 days ago.

RSIS

In the money when 2nd last run at Lismore but rises in weight. Has shown early pace in races to date.

5Brief AuthorityScratched10––––

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Grafton1015m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.63
2Grafton940m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.9L
4Grafton1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD34.4L
2Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
3Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened since return. Gave solid kick from handy position to triumph at Grafton at his second race start. A Mallyon on again. Warrants attention.

ILB

Dashed home to win last start at Grafton.

Off the mark at the second time of asking in a maiden when getting the job done by half a length at Grafton last month; difficult to oppose.

RSIS

Strong effort to the line to win last time at Grafton.

6Copenhagen CatJ: Siabh Rigley·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee256kg3 5 2 2 716: 1-3-2$2.90$1.24

Career

16: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
5: 0-2-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-3-1
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT64.79L
2Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD40.2L
2Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.8L
5Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.8L
3Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.5L
4Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.6L
1Lismore1110m10 Nov 2025 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-1.2
3Lismore1210m19 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Great run at Grafton 7 Sep. Went home tamely in soft going at Grafton at $2.90. Can show more here.

ILB

Started $2.90 and faded to finish 7th last start at Grafton. Overlooking the last run and drawn nicely. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Large claim helps. Stamps its reason for consideration.

Not disgraced in seventh over 6f at Grafton (handicap) four weeks ago; this is competitive and there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Odds of 15/8 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Grafton. Giving another go here and has a good draw. Displays good tactical pace. Will go close.

7IcewaterJ: Wayne Wheatley·T: Daniel Bowen456kg3 5 5 4 519: 2-0-2$9.00$2.30

Career

19: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD31.64L
4Lismore1310m25 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.74L
5Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT54.2L
5Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.1L
3Murwillumbah1100m21 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT51L
6Gold Coast1400m11 July 2026 · CL2 · GOOD413.3L
6Casino1300m25 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT77.6L
4Ballina1250m21 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY105L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 145%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Okay at latest when settled back. Seems to prefer it dry. Coming back in distance. One for exotics.

ILB

Started $13.00 and improved late to finish 5th last start at Ballina but will be dropping in distance. Expected to be flashing home. Represents significant value.

Finished fifth three weeks ago albeit only beaten 1½l at Ballina upped to 1m; been struggling to get his head in front recently so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Was 12/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last time at Ballina but will be down in distance. Will be trying to topple them late. Very tidy performer.

8Rainbow LassJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby755kg8 2 6 11 522: 2-4-1$10.00$2.50

Career

22: 2-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
10: 0-2-0
Track Lismore
4: 0-0-1
Track Casino
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1006m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-0
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1

Last starts

5Grafton1181m29 Sept 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61.71L
11Lismore1310m10 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT59.7L
6Grafton1410m29 Aug 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.5L
2Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42L
8Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.1L
2Casino1010m25 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.2L
6Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD45.1L
8Grafton1420m30 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD34.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Violet Soulsby current POT is 24% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -56%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Long time since last saluted. Not disgraced on a soft deck at Grafton. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Odds of $26.00 and didn't attack the line when 5th last start at Grafton. Facing a difficult task.

Beaten just under 2l last month when sent off 25-1 over 6f at Grafton (handicap) with two of these rivals behind; suited by this C&D; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 5th last run at Grafton.

9Virginia BreezesJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: L J Clapham855kg6 1 7 10 1013: 1-2-1$23.00$3.70

Career

13: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 1-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1

Last starts

10Casino1900m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.3L
10Grafton1630m24 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD38.7L
7Grafton1420m5 July 2026 · 3yo · SOFT55.4L
1Ballina1590m21 June 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY10-1.5
6Grafton1635m6 June 2026 · MDN HCP · SOFT64.3L
3Coffs Harbour1405m8 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY102.7L
5Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD32.6L
6Grafton1005m7 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot Trainer
Positive
Leo Clapham in good form, out performing market 54%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Went home tamely this venue over longer test at $15. Home track advantage but awkwardly drawn for return. Others rate stronger.

ILB

First up from a break of 11 weeks and showed a good turn of foot when 2nd first up last preparation at Ballina on a heavy rated track. Slim hope.

Finished tenth, beaten 5½l, in August upped to 1m1½f; passed over as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

Resuming and was strong late when 2nd resuming last preparation at Ballina on a heavy surface. Does take a while to get into stride. Down in trip.

10BarronJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Ms S Pepper355kg5 8 10 10 951: 1-7-12$81.00$7.00

Career

51: 1-7-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-2
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
16: 0-3-4
Track Murwillumbah
9: 0-4-2
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1210m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1320m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 0-2-5
Going Heavy
12: 1-4-1
Going Soft
18: 0-1-5

Last starts

9Lismore1320m18 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT710.86L
10Lismore1210m25 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT510L
10Murwillumbah1100m21 Aug 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT56.2L
8Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.4L
5Ballina1000m21 June 2026 · BM58 HCP · HEAVY109.3L
6Murwillumbah1010m8 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY102.3L
9Coffs Harbour1005m8 May 2026 · CTRY CL3 · HEAVY107.8L
3Ballina1015m14 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Courtney Bellamy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 11%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Last win was 18 Aug 2025. Failed to threaten in rain affected going at Lismore over longer assignment at huge odds. Coming back in distance. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

Was $101.00 and struggled with the pace when 9th last run at Lismore and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Has won previously at this course; ninth of ten beaten 11l over 6½f at Lismore (handicap) 11 days ago; record demonstrates how he often finds at least one too good so looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Lismore and back to a shorter distance.

Odds correct as at Thu 29 Oct, 4:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.