Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

6 Nov, 2:19 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctCasino (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Murwillumbah Racing Melb Cup Day (Bm66) 1200m · jumps Thu 29 Oct, 4:05 pm AEDT

Race notes

BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
SOFT6
Fine
6 runners

Shortest win price

The Torque Xpress (2)

2.60

Most career wins

Lady Alabama

4-4-1 from 24 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Vendemmia

Offmidfield

8Whiskey Miss

Midfield

5Master Artist

Offpace

2The Torque Xpress
4Lady Alabama

Leader

9Nomomeikushi

The Torque Xpress · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Lady Alabama · Negative
Jockey Booking
Jaden Lloyd current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Master Artist · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Vendemmia · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1TophetScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Unable to threaten at Ipswich off long spell. Fitter second-up. Breaks from a low barrier and big weights don't seem to worry him. Chance this level.

ILB

Jumped at $7.00 and lost ground in the run home when 9th last start at Ipswich and rising in weight.

RSIS

At 6/1 was well beaten when 9th last start at Ipswich and up in weight.

2The Torque XpressJ: Jett Newman·T: M J Dunn360kg8 9 1 11 312: 3-1-2$2.60$1.38

Career

12: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1115m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

3Ballina1300m4 Oct 2026 · BM74 · GOOD30.98L
11Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD34.08L
1Ipswich1350m27 Aug 2026 · C · SOFT5-1
9Ipswich1350m7 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y BM68 · GOOD45.27L
8Doomben1200m18 July 2026 · 3YC&G HCP · SOFT54L
9Grafton1115m5 July 2026 · CL3 HCP · SOFT51.9L
4Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)3.3L
6Doomben1000m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jett Newman winning at 16% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Pressed on early and stuck on well when supported at Ballina. Pace influence. Untested in wet. One for multiples.

ILB

Gave plenty of cheek when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Ballina but goes up in weight. Strong winning hope.

Career wins-runs record of 3-12; a close third at Ballina over 6½f (handicap) three weeks ago; should figure.

RSIS

Was strong on the pace before fading to finish 3rd last time at Ballina but has to carry more weight this time. Hard to catch.

3Discreet PointScratched6––––

Career

9: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1018m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
8: 1-2-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Eagle Farm1200m21 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT71.19L
2Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.98L
6Beaudesert1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.3L
7Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5L
2Ballarat1200m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD30.2L
3Pakenham1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · GOOD40.96L
4Cranbourne1000m20 Feb 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD31L
1Werribee1018m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Gave good account in choppy conditions (Bm68) at Eagle Farm second-up when fancied. Can test these.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started $3.70 and lost ground late when 4th last time at Eagle Farm.

Consistent lately; creditable fourth at Eagle Farm last Wednesday.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 11/4 and faded at the finish when 4th last time at Eagle Farm.

4Lady AlabamaJ: Jaden Lloyd·T: L J Clapham658kg8 2 5 8 824: 4-4-1$9.00$3.40

Career

24: 4-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
13: 3-2-1
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
12: 4-2-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1

Last starts

8Casino1400m8 Aug 2026 · BM87 HCP · GOOD42.5L
8Grafton1430m24 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD32.7L
5Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.4L
2Casino1300m25 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.5L
8Coffs Harbour1218m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY1052.4L
5Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD33.43L
1Grafton1608m7 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.29
4Ballina1590m23 Mar 2026 · BM82 (81) · HEAVY1012.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Jaden Lloyd current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 54%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (82-days). Handy but couldn't match them late this track. Trained on track but awkwardly drawn for return. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

First run back from break. Was $41.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at this track but competing at a lower class. Leaving right out.

Respectable effort to finish eighth, beaten 2½l over 7f here (handicap) three months ago; not been able to get her head in front lately so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. Odds of 40/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last time here but matched against a less competitive field.

5Master ArtistJ: Siabh Rigley·T: Stephen & Jordan Lee157.5kg8 3 1 3 1314: 2-3-2$7.00$2.90

Career

14: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-1-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1180m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Gold Coast1400m20 June 2026 · BM60 · SOFT56.2L
3Coffs Harbour1418m3 June 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY100.5L
1Coffs Harbour1400m24 Apr 2026 · CTRY CL2 · HEAVY8-2.4
3Ballina1010m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
8Grafton1420m30 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD43.4L
7Grafton1181m19 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.9L
7Murwillumbah1010m24 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial4L
4Grafton1410m22 Sept 2025 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT52.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Form mixed last prep but 1200m stats are okay and drawn inside. Watch betting.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Started at $17.00 and average performance when 13th last run at Gold Coast but drawn the rails. Siabh Rigley takes a large claim. Could feature prominently.

This is his grade; finished towards the rear of 16 at Gold Coast over 7f (handicap) four months ago; has had some time off.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 16/1 and disappointing run when 13th last start at Gold Coast but gets the perfect draw. Contender at a nice price.

6VendemmiaJ: Ben Looker·T: Ethan Ensby257.5kg3 1 10 3 521: 3-0-5$5.50$2.45

Career

21: 3-0-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
9: 1-0-3

Last starts

5Grafton1175m13 Oct 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY85.29L
3Grafton1410m29 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT63.03L
10Gold Coast1400m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD32.96L
1Grafton1200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.2
3Ballina1250m11 Aug 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY101.1L
6Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.8L
2Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)1.2L
5Lismore1110m19 Dec 2025 · CTRY CL3 · GOOD42.86L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Grafton. Up in class here but drawn well and Looker rides. Value hope back in firmer ground.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and made some ground when 5th last start at Grafton on a heavy rated track and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Has definite claims.

All his winning form has come at Grafton (three successes); fifth beaten just over 5l when dropped back to this distance (Grafton) two weeks ago; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 5/1 and made up ground when 5th last time at Grafton and drawn nicely. Ben Looker has multiple wins aboard and suited by the weight drop. One of the punters top hopes.

7Trinity StateScratched2––––

Career

2: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 1-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1190m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

2Port Macquarie1200m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD40.35L
1Grafton1190m21 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-2.31
3Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L
3Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong debut at Grafton 21 Sep. Game effort at Port Macquarie at second outing. Stripping fitter, commands attention here.

ILB

Narrowly denied victory last time at Port Macquarie and has a good draw. Has not missed the placings this campaign in 2 attempts.

Lightly raced with this just her third appearance; close up runner-up (Port Macquarie) 20 days ago; could be hard to beat.

RSIS

Just missed last run at Port Macquarie and can find a nice position from the draw. Has not missed the money of late in 2 attempts.

8Whiskey MissJ: Jasper Franklin·T: Ethan Ensby555kg3 1 2 4 713: 2-1-2$3.60$1.80

Career

13: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
2: 0-0-1
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1560m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-2

Last starts

7Lismore1410m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 · SOFT53.76L
4Lismore1526m10 Sept 2026 · BM66 HCP · SOFT51.1L
2Murwillumbah1550m21 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT51.4L
1Casino1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-2.8
3Grafton1215m5 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT51.4L
6Ballina1021m21 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)6.8L
9Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD434.7L
4Grafton1420m30 Nov 2025 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD31.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ethan Ensby striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Lismore. Prefer away from heavy. One for exotics.

ILB

Odds of $11.00 and ran 7th last run at Lismore. Expecting improvement. Possesses very good closing speed. Producing consistent results this preparation. Can figure in the finish.

Has scored over C&D; not disgraced when seventh of 11 over 7f at Lismore (handicap) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

At 10/1 came in 7th last run at Lismore. Looking past the last run. Very competitive recently. Will be trying to topple them late. Can win this.

9NomomeikushiJ: Benjamin Osmond·T: K A Lees455kg1 6 3 8 105: 1-0-0$9.00$3.50

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Port Macquarie1204m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.32L
8Newcastle1150m25 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT66.9L
3Newcastle1000m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
6Taree1400m12 Jan 2026 · CL1 · SOFT63.11L
1Coffs Harbour1200m27 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2.6
9Coffs Harbour1212m4 Dec 2025 · Maiden · GOOD39.7L
4Wyong1000m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial4.4L
4Hawkesbury800m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.2L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Port Macquarie second-up. Has early speed. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Jumped at $20.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Port Macquarie. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Others are better.

Finished tenth of 12 (Port Macquarie) last month; definitely of interest given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and has proved she knows how to win.

RSIS

Started 19/1 and faded away to finish 10th last time at Port Macquarie. Should jump out and bowl along.

Odds correct as at Thu 29 Oct, 4:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.