Casino (NSW) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:51 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Casino (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctCasino (NSW)Change

Race 3 — Murwillumbah Racing Big Dance Day Mdn Hcp 1200m · jumps Thu 29 Oct, 2:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN,MDN HCP,Maiden
SOFT6
Fine
6 runners

Shortest win price

Private Max (2)

2.30

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

1Limbazi
8Divine Code

Backmarker

6Belle Reine

Onpace

9Violaceous

Leader

4Raising Suspicion
2Private Max

Limbazi · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Private Max · Negative
Trainer Recent
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Raising Suspicion · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Belle Reine · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1LimbaziJ: Ben Looker·T: Ethan Ensby358kg3 4 3 1$3.60$1.65

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

1Grafton940m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-0.8
3Grafton946m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.5L
4Sunshine Coast Poly Track1000m24 June 2025 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC3.5L
3Sunshine Coast850m27 May 2025 · Barrier Trial6L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:1-0-2). $50k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare. It's all systems go now for this racemare after latest trial win on a hvy8 at Grafton. Nice gate. Watch betting.

ILB

4yo debutant by Hanseatic for Ethan Ensby. Success in a trial at Grafton on Oct 13th. Watch betting.

Related to Namabaale, winning form over 6½f-1m1½f; running in first race; warrants plenty of respect with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo runner on debut by Hanseatic for trainer Ethan Ensby. Won a trial at Grafton on Oct 13th.

2Private MaxJ: Andrew Mallyon·T: M J Dunn258kg3 7 6 5 23: 0-1-1$2.30$1.30

Career

3: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Lismore1220m18 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT71.07L
5Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.7L
6Beaudesert900m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
7Ipswich1100m21 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY95.9L
3Sunshine Coast1000m25 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY80.8L
4Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
4Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in limited runs. Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors in choppy conditions Country Boosted Mdn at Lismore first up. Strips in better shape. Key player.

ILB

Ran on when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Lismore and solid career start. Strong claims and hard to beat.

Beaten into second when 7-5 (Lismore) 11 days ago.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Lismore and good career start. Expect support.

3TramcaScratched2––––

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Gold Coast1000m3 Oct 2026 · CG&E MDN · GOOD31.67L
2Sunshine Coast1000m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT73L
5Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.6L
10Doomben1110m6 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD317.2L
6Sunshine Coast1000m22 Nov 2025 · 2Y HCP · GOOD46.7L
3Doomben850m6 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.7L

Insights

Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not far off them in the small field at Gold Coast. Stripping fitter, makes a strong case in this field.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Tidy run when 3rd last start at Eagle Farm and gets a favourable barrier. Has run into the money on multiple occasions this preparation.

Solid effort in defeat to finish third after going off 16-1 in a maiden at Eagle Farm yesterday; also engaged in race 1 at Gatton; held an entry at Eagle Farm Wednesday.

RSIS

On a short back up. Competitive effort when 3rd last start at Eagle Farm and drawn nicely. In good form since resuming from a break.

4Raising SuspicionJ: Jasper Franklin·T: Peter Robl157kg5 4 4 6 84: 0-0-1$3.50$1.65

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Gold Coast Poly1150m7 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.24L
6Beaudesert1050m25 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.5L
4Beaudesert900m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L
4Ipswich1350m9 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
5Ipswich1200m29 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT71.7L
3Gold Coast1000m10 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD45.01L
4Beaudesert900m19 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Gold Coast Poly off extended spell. Will be fitter second-up. Better suited back on turf. Can play a more positive role here.

ILB

Started at $5.50 and came in 8th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Likely to bounce back and drawn well. Displays good tactical speed. Expected to be competitive.

Four-race maiden but has managed to finish third; held in eighth in a maiden at Gold Coast three weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and finished 8th last start at Gold Coast Poly. Happy to forgive that run and has the ideal stall. Has plenty of early pace. Very capable of taking this out.

5NaystarScratched8––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ballina1000m4 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD34.43L
5Grafton940m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
6Grafton1000m19 Apr 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD36L
2Beaudesert1050m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.6L
5Gold Coast1000m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.6L
2Lismore1010m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial11.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 20%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jett Newman in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 32%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $21 when unable to threaten at Ballina at his second race start. Building experience. Can improve.

ILB

Faded away to finish 6th last start at Ballina.

Not beaten too far when sixth of nine over 5f at Ballina (handicap) 25 days ago; others more likely.

RSIS

Folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Ballina.

6Belle ReineJ: Violet Soulsby·T: Ethan Ensby656kg8 4 5 92: 0-0-0$61.00$13.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Lismore1220m18 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT77.71L
5Grafton1006m29 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.02L
4Lismore1010m10 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
8Grafton940m19 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 24% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 42% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide draw) in rain affected going at Lismore at second outing. at longer odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $26.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start at Lismore. Likely to settle back in the field. Needs significant improvement.

Finished last of nine 11 days ago (Lismore, behind Private Max) upped to this trip; running in a handicap for just the second time; cannot be ignored.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Lismore. Likely to get back in the run.

7Dancing ByScratched10––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.8L
5Gold Coast1400m13 June 2026 · 2Y MDN · HEAVY85.19L
9Doomben1110m3 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD411.4L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (19-weeks). Trial was pleasing. Others more persuasive.

ILB

First up after a break. Finished 5th last start at Gold Coast.

No impression when fifth of ten over 7f at Gold Coast (handicap) in June; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Came in 5th last start at Gold Coast.

8Divine CodeJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Chris & Corey Munce556kg4 5 4 6 5$14.00$3.90

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

5Doomben1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.6L
6Doomben840m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
4Doomben1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.2L
5Doomben840m21 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
4Doomben840m12 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.6L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-0-0). $21k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Pedestrian efforts in trials to date. Market may offer more insight.

ILB

Chris Munce & Corey Munce 3yo by Encryption having first race start. Finished 4th in a trial at Doomben on Jan 12th. Market as guide.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by Encryption for Chris Munce & Corey Munce. Has not placed in multiple trials.

9ViolaceousJ: Brandon Lerena·T: Ruby Chatterton456kg8 8 4 6 39: 0-0-1$9.00$3.40

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Gold Coast1000m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.6L
6Sunshine Coast1800m19 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD410.4L
4Gold Coast1700m10 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.1L
8Doomben1630m1 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT54.1L
8Doomben1200m18 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.7L
11Sunshine Coast1200m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.4L
5Sunshine Coast1000m16 Jan 2026 · MDN · SOFT510.8L
4Kilcoy800m2 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.5L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). Modest performer. Close in Maiden company at Kilcoy first-up last campaign. Place appeal fresh in this company.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 27 weeks. Started $8.00 and didn't attack the line when 6th last run at Sunshine Coast and coming back in trip. Watch the betting.

Held when sixth of seven over 1m1f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) in April; yet to open her account after nine starts; returns from a layoff; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

First run back from a 27 week break. Started 7/1 and tailed off to finish 6th last run at Sunshine Coast and will be down in distance. Respect the betting.

10WorththeadmissionScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent back to last and safely held in the small field at Gold Coast. Better for the outing. Back to a country maiden but must improve.

ILB

Was $17.00 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Gold Coast.

RSIS

Odds of 16/1 and showed some merit late when 5th last time at Gold Coast.

Odds correct as at Thu 29 Oct, 2:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.