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Collie (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Collie (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 24 OctCollie (WA)Change

Race 3 — Hon. Mick Murray AM, John Bird OAM, Wanda Bird OAM (Bm56+) 1200m · jumps

Race notes

  • 3UP RTG 56+ HCP,3yo+,BenchMark 56+,RTG 56+
  • GOOD
  • Fine
  • 6 runners

Shortest win price

Rodney Oh Rodney (4)

2.45

Most career wins

Mars Mission

6-3-7 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Mars Mission

Offmidfield

  • 5Storm Lord

Midfield

  • 6Wuigi

Offpace

  • 1Lost Gravity
  • 2Weapons Hot

Leader

  • 4Rodney Oh Rodney

  • Lost Gravity · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Weapons Hot · Positive

    Key Rider

    Tara Atherden 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Mars Mission · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Rodney Oh Rodney · Positive

    Early Splits

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Lost GravityJ: Jason Li·T: Ms K Farrell161.5kg6 11 2 10 339: 4-6-5$7.50$3.10

Career

39: 4-6-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 2-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Northam

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Pinjarra

    12: 1-4-1

  • Track Geraldton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    24: 2-4-3

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 2-2-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Moora1190m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD3.08L
  2. 10Broome1100m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD9L
  3. 2Derby1120m18 July 2026 · 3UP RTG 68+ · GOOD0.6L
  4. 11Broome1200m28 June 2026 · 2UP 58+ HCP · GOOD312.4L
  5. 6Broome1100m23 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 70+ HCP · GOOD420.5L
  6. 4Albany1100m21 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD42.5L
  7. 6Ascot1000m7 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD45.2L
  8. 4Bunbury1000m26 Jan 2026 · 2UP CLASS 5 HCP 60+ · GOOD44.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Jason Li 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 66%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 69% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 29%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

Comments

AAP

Made running, no answer when challenged but held on for third in the 3yo+ (Bm64+) at Moora. On pacer. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd beaten by just over 3L last run at Moora and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Competitive type.

RP

Sound effort when 20-1 third (Moora) three weeks ago; if he can build on his latest effort then warrants consideration.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd last start at Moora and drawn beautifully. Winning chance.

2Weapons HotJ: Tara Atherden·T: Cliff Howe461.5kg1 4 6 2 738: 5-4-3$5.50$2.45

Career

38: 5-4-3

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Moora

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Collie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1190m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    14: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1000m

    15: 3-1-1

  • Going Good

    34: 5-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Ascot1000m17 Oct 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD42.98L
  2. 2Moora1000m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD1.13L
  3. 6Carnarvon1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD9.2L
  4. 4Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD3.6L
  5. 1Carnarvon1000m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG68+ · GOOD4-0.3
  6. 4Carnarvon1000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ HCP · GOOD2.3L
  7. 6Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.4L
  8. 8Carnarvon1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ · GOOD8.5L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tara Atherden 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 310%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 21%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 52%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Moora 3yo+ (Bm56+) placegetter 3 Oct. Okay at latest when settled back. Right in this.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Looked flat when 7th last run at Ascot but matched against less formidable competition. The large claim from Tara Atherden helps. Likely to figure right in the finish.

RP

Normally pretty consistent; a previous winner here; close up behind Storm Lord when seventh over 5f at Ascot (handicap) seven days ago.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Looked flat when 7th last run at Ascot but drops back to a suitable class. Tara Atherden takes a large claim. Good winning chance.

3Mars MissionJ: Tiana Murray·T: Aaron Pateman360.5kg4 6 1 1 948: 6-3-7$4.40$2.10

Career

48: 6-3-7

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    8: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    8: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1190m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    36: 5-2-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 9Ascot1200m17 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD45.51L
  2. 1Moora1000m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-1.13
  3. 1Carnarvon1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-1.3
  4. 6Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD6.4L
  5. 4Carnarvon1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD43.9L
  6. 6Carnarvon1000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ HCP · GOOD3L
  7. 5Roebourne1205m25 July 2026 · 2UP 68+ · GOOD4.5L
  8. 2Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD0.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 29%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 6.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Finished well held at Ascot over this distance. Hard fit, can challenge.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Lost ground in the run home when 9th last time at Ascot. Has the potential to improve sharply and going down in class. Strong chance today.

RP

Finished ninth, beaten 6l, (Ascot) last Saturday; this is his grade; strong claims as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Didn't threaten when 9th last time at Ascot. Capable of a strong comeback and up against a less competitive field. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

4Rodney Oh RodneyJ: Giaan O'Donnell·T: J J Enright659.5kg7 9 8 1 526: 5-1-3$2.45$1.36

Career

26: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Narrogin

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Dongara

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    21: 4-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Belmont1000m1 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 HCP 60+ · HEAVY81.2L
  2. 1Bunbury1200m11 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT-0.5
  3. 8Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)10.1L
  4. 9York1100m14 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · SOFT58.1L
  5. 7Ascot1000m22 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD44.5L
  6. 1Narrogin1100m11 Apr 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD3-1.2
  7. 1Ascot1000m3 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD4-1.3
  8. 7Ascot1000m11 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

First-up (16-weeks). Raced well last time in. Placed at York first-up last campaign. Competing in stronger races last prep.

ILB

First up from a break of 16 weeks and finished well when 2nd beaten by 1/2L first up last preparation at York. Should muster plenty of early speed.

RP

Useful in this grade; respectable effort over 5f at Belmont Park (handicap) four months ago; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and ought to be competitive.

RSIS

Resuming and rattled home nicely into 2nd resuming last preparation at York. Displays good tactical pace. Giaan Odonnell has been successful aboard previously. The large claim from Giaan Odonnell helps.

5Storm LordJ: Jessica Valas·T: Tina Glasson258.5kg10 13 6 3 549: 5-3-4$5.50$2.50

Career

49: 5-3-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Northam

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    11: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1190m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    16: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    37: 5-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Ascot1000m17 Oct 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · GOOD42.15L
  2. 3Bunbury1100m7 Oct 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.42L
  3. 6Belmont1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD41.32L
  4. 13Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 57+ HCP · GOOD2.35L
  5. 10Belmont1000m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD44.1L
  6. 5York1200m15 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 52+ HCP · GOOD46.5L
  7. 6York1100m2 Mar 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · GOOD42.7L
  8. 9Belmont1000m11 Feb 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD37.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Jessica Valas current POT is 39% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 56%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Didn't quite finish it off the last bit in Rest 1 Metro Win company at Ascot. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Profiles well.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $91.00 and ran 5th last time at Ascot but will find this grade more suitable. Might be ridden for luck. Struggle to recommend.

RP

Respectable effort finishing fifth (beaten just over 2l) over 5f at Ascot (handicap) last week; not been able to get his head in front lately so looks opposable.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. At 90/1 ran 5th last start at Ascot but back in an easier grade. Might have to make up considerable ground. Has a positive draw.

6WuigiJ: Jessica Gray·T: Kirsten Melis555kg1 9 12 11 108: 1-0-0$12.00$3.80

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Belmont1400m26 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT611.1L
  2. 11Bunbury1200m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT514L
  3. 12Belmont1200m29 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD46.5L
  4. 9Belmont1200m8 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT59.6L
  5. 1York1200m2 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN 46+ HCP · GOOD4-0.6
  6. 8Pinjarra1300m11 Dec 2025 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD37L
  7. 7Lark Hill950m1 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial7L
  8. 10Belmont1200m6 Aug 2025 · 3UP SW MDN · SOFT56.3L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (59-days). Finished a long way from the action 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Belmont Park. Lone victory was over this trip. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Let up. At $201.00 looked outclassed when 10th last time at Belmont. Needs to improve.

RP

Beaten 11l in tenth at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) two months ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at York in March; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Freshened up. Started 200/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Belmont.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.