Shortest win price
La Roja (5)
3.50
Eagle Farm's BM85 over 1200 metres shapes as a genuine puzzle on a Good 4 track under overcast skies at 5:42 pm. The market is led by a quartet that tells quite the story: La Roja, Grammar Lad, Gospel Girl, and Zoufani command the shortest odds. It's a race where form lines criss-cross and stable angles matter. Gospel Girl, trained by T J Gollan and ridden by Jett Newman, sits fourth in the market but arguably brings the most compelling recent form—a hard-fought win here at Eagle Farm over 1000 metres in Class 6 on a heavy track, with that same Gollan-Newman partnership firing at 29 per cent above market expectations over their last 100 rides.
La Roja leads the market despite two barrier trials, but the Jack Bruce yard is running hot at 30 per cent above market and the mare rates 86. Her comment notes she nearly landed a Benchmark 72 at Wyong first-up last campaign, and after 20 weeks between runs, two jump-outs should have her primed. Grammar Lad, the second favourite, trialled well at Deagon in heavy and soft ground after 24 weeks, and his last campaign saw a narrow win in Class 3 company at Doomben first-up—that resume reads sharp for a first-up showing. Zoufani, from the Gollan stable again, holds genuine track knowledge and a solid first-up record, though from barrier 10 he'll need some luck in running.
The speedMap throws up an angle: Gospel Girl sits onpace with Noble Decree, while Street Chase, Mishani Crown and Zoufani shape as leaders. Millane offers intrigue as a midfield runner with the fastest finishing splits last start and a quick-back jockey in Daniel Moor, now 24 per cent above his career average. The market's ordering suggests punters are weighing La Roja's stable form and fresh-up pattern over the more polished recent wins on the board. Gospel Girl remains the form horse in here on the back of that Eagle Farm victory, and from barrier 2 she'll sit perfectly placed to stalk the early pace and finish strong—if Newman's hand on the reins holds true to his recent trend.
Shortest win price
La Roja (5)
3.50
Most career wins
Skyforger
12-8-4 from 45 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Millane · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Gospel Girl · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Street Chase · Positive
Hot Trainer
Jack Bruce in good form, out performing market 30%
Skyforger · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Career
42: 5-5-6
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
8: 2-0-1
Second-up
7: 2-0-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-2-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
4: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
25: 0-4-3
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2
Going Soft
11: 4-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and hit line with a full head of steam this venue. Yet to win on a firm track. Place claims.
ILB
Made considerable ground when 3rd last time at this venue on a heavy track. Should get going late. Capable of winning this.
RP
Went close when third here over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; a winner over C&D.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at the track. Has a nice turn of foot. Definite claims.
Career
24: 6-5-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-2-2
Second-up
4: 2-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-1-0
Track Doomben
7: 1-2-2
Track Gold Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-2-0
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
19: 5-3-4
Going Good
9: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
13: 4-2-2
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jett Newman 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Racing in great heart. Posted a hard fought win in the F&M Hcp (C6) this course. Probably better on a wet track, but is in the mix.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last start at this venue on a heavy surface and will try to take advantage of the draw. Very competitive this preparation. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; landed a narrow success in a handicap 14 days ago; holds leading claims.
RSIS
Ran over the top of them when winning last run at the track and can find a nice position from the draw. Large claim helps. Can measure up against these.
Career
13: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
7: 2-1-2
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Jack Bruce in good form, out performing market 30%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh. On speed, had enough in the tank for the minors Plate (C3) at Doomben for new trainer. Can go forward, and likes this track.
ILB
Felt the pinch late when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Doomben. Should race on the speed. Ran 5th in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th. Slim hope.
RP
Has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; beaten narrowly in a conditions race at Doomben on debut for new trainer five weeks ago; hard to ignore.
RSIS
Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 3rd last time at Doomben. Should come to hand quickly. Ran 5th in a trial at Deagon on Oct 30th.
Career
45: 12-8-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-2-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-2-0
Track Moe
1: 0-1-0
Track Rockhampton
3: 1-1-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1615m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1640m
1: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
21: 6-4-1
Going Heavy
7: 2-2-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 336 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (48-weeks). Readied with two soft trials. Punching higher now. Would need a serious betting push off the long spell.
ILB
First up from a break of 48 weeks and made considerable ground when 2nd beaten by 2 1/2L first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Will be down in distance. Entitled to be a big price.
RP
Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 12-45); not beaten that far in fifth (4½l) over 1m at Doomben (handicap) last December; trainer is ticking along nicely; is of interest.
RSIS
Resuming and attacked the line when 2nd resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Ran 3rd in a trial at Dalby on Oct 7th but will be dropping in distance.
Career
16: 2-7-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-4-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 30%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (20-weeks). Ex Peter Snowden. Nearly got the chocolates in Bm72 company at Wyong first-up last time. Two trials. Respect the market.
ILB
First run back from a break. Narrowly denied victory last run at Ipswich and will appreciate the drop in grade. First race for a new trainer. Watch betting.
RP
Went close at 28-1 over 6½f at Ipswich (Listed handicap) five months ago; first start for current stable; dropping in class but hard to recommend.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Close to claiming the win last time at Ipswich and facing weaker opposition. First start for a new trainer. Could feature here.
Career
47: 7-3-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 2-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-1
Third-up
6: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-1-1
Track Eagle Farm
9: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
18: 4-0-1
Distance 1000m
17: 2-1-2
Distance 1050m
7: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-1
Going Good
26: 5-2-4
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 2-1-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 13% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Raced midfield, let down powerfully at Gold Coast. This looks a deeper race.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 3/4L last start at Gold Coast and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Hard to warm to.
RP
Returned to some form four weeks ago at Gold Coast over 5f (handicap) when not beaten far; others more likely as poor record running for the second time after an absence.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 3rd last run at Gold Coast and has a nice advantage with a good stall. Will be positive in the run early.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Eagle Farm winner two back. Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the (Bm78) at Doomben over this trip. Commands attention here.
ILB
Started $8.00 and came in 4th last start at Doomben and facing stiffer opposition. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
RSIS
Started 7/1 and ran 4th last time at Doomben and challenged by more formidable competitors. Will appreciate the drop in weight.
Career
28: 6-7-3
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 2-1-0
Track Gold Coast
4: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 1-2-1
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
13: 4-3-1
Distance 1350m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 2-3-1
Going Good
15: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Been racing well, and nearly landed a good betting move last start. Well drawn to be competitive again, and gets a good claim.
ILB
Faded in the late stages of the race when 2nd last run at this track on a heavy track. Has plenty of early speed. Olivia Kendal rates highly aboard. Should be in the finish.
RP
Resume shows that she is a proven winner (seeking a seventh career win); missed out by half a length here over 5f (handicap) behind Gospel Girl two weeks ago.
RSIS
Ran out of steam towards the end when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at this venue. Should muster plenty of early pace. Olivia Kendal is a key booking. Should be in the finish.
Career
14: 4-1-2
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
7: 2-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 2-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 4-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Eagle Farm
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). Close in C3 company at Doomben 1st-up last campaign. Trialled well. Forward showing expected.
ILB
Back from a break. Started at $2.90 and kept chasing when 5th last run at Gold Coast but up against a more competitive field. Will benefit with the weight drop. Has some claims.
RP
A winner over C&D; string of consistent efforts of late; favourite but out of the places when fifth at Gold Coast over 7f (handicap) in May; it wouldn't be a surprise to see him return to the winners' enclosure and definite chance.
RSIS
Fresh today. Was 15/8 and kept chasing when 5th last run at Gold Coast but competing at a higher grade. Should be swooping on the field late. Watch the betting.
Career
22: 3-6-4
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-2
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
2: 2-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-1-2
Going Good
13: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-4-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jade Hampson 78% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Jade Hampson winning at 59% POT in last 100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run
AAP
Won (Bm70) Gold Coast 19 Sep. Ran on late from the back at Doomben over this trip. Has form this track and distance, but needs luck.
ILB
At $15.00 edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Doomben but facing a stronger grade. Tracking very well this preparation. The large claim from Jade Hampson should help. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish fifth at Doomben last month; a lot on her plate here and hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
At 14/1 overtook some late when 5th last run at Doomben but racing against tougher rivals. The large claim from Jade Hampson should help. Not at all out of this race.
Career
13: 4-4-3
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
5: 1-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
12: 4-4-2
Going Good
6: 0-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 4-0-1
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Has a good first up record, and gets the home track advantage. Just going to need some luck from the gate.
ILB
First up from a spell. Was $8.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at this venue. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Watch the betting.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 four months ago; has scored over C&D; easy enough to take on with several rivals in good nick.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 7/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last run at the track. Finished 4th in a trial at Doomben on Oct 6th. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
13: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Doomben
4: 2-1-0
Track Ipswich
3: 1-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 0-4-2
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1350m
4: 2-2-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-2-0
Going Good
7: 2-3-2
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (36-weeks). Ex David Vandyke. In the minors first-up last campaign. Trialled well. Consistent horse should be respected.
ILB
Resumes after a 36 week spell. Close up last start at Ipswich. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Change in trainer. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Has been fairly consistent lately and record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-13); a narrow second at 5-4 at Ipswich in February when dropped to 6½f in a conditions race; first run for yard; others appeal more given the form of his last race isn't working out well.
RSIS
Back from a break of 36 weeks. Close to claiming the win last start at Ipswich. Blinkers go off for the first time. First appearance for a new trainer. Has some claims.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Won a 1200m Bm70 at Eagle Farm two back. Not disgraced on a bog track this course. Should press forward. Hard fit, can fill the minors here.
ILB
Odds of $6.50 and tailed off to finish 6th last time here on a heavy rated track.
RSIS
At 11/2 tailed off to finish 6th last run here on a heavy track.
Career
12: 4-3-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
6: 2-2-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 3-1-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 2-2-0
Going Soft
5: 2-1-0
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Let-up (83-days). Ex David Vandyke. Trained here now. Trialled well, and great fresh record, but does face a tough assignment here.
ILB
First up and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Doomben. Coming to a new trainer and proven performer at this trip. Gets a reduction in weight.
RP
Has won over C&D; beaten 6l (fourth) at Sunshine Coast in August; first run for stable; a few rivals look in good form so not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming and was eating up the ground late when winning resuming last preparation at Doomben. First race for a new trainer and strong performer at this trip.