Shortest win price
Kharif (5)
3.80
Welcome to Gatton for the Book In Your Work Xmas Party – Friday 4Th Dec Race Day Hcp (55) over 1400m. The track is rated a soft 6 with rain falling for this restricted 55 handicap battle. Looking at how the win market has shaped up early, punters have lined up behind Kharif sitting right at the head of affairs. Following closely in the market order we find Flying Celica, Far Cry, and Oakfield Montana rounding out the top echelon of the betting. Conditions will certainly test them all as they sort out their positions in the going.
Diving into the form lines behind those shorter prices, Kharif comes off a midfield finish at Ipswich over 1666m where the runner finished off evenly through the line, preceded by a sixth at the Sunshine Coast over 1800m. The step back in distance here could suit the offpace runner. Flying Celica brings a fourth at the Sunshine Coast over 1600m and a sixth at Warwick over 1500m for a new trainer, showing enough grit to suggest a bold showing. Far Cry lines up after a couple of tough runs, including a sixth at Ipswich over 1666m and another sixth at Grafton over 1410m, so the stable will be hoping the drop in trip sparks improvement.
Further down the winMarketOrder, Oakfield Montana enters with a last-start win at Ipswich over 1350m after leading throughout, though this will be the first time the galloper tackles Gatton. Speed maps show Il Cubo taking up the running from barrier nine, while runners like Kharif, Far Cry and Flying Celica settle off the pace, and Change The Deel anchors the field from the back. It all sets up a fascinating yarn on a wet afternoon as the punters search for value in a tricky Gatton test.
Shortest win price
Kharif (5)
3.80
Most career wins
Change The Deel
4-4-5 from 38 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Change The Deel · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Il Cubo · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides
Kharif · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Mighty Judd · Negative
Trainer SR
Jason Livingstone striking at just 2%
Career
38: 4-4-5
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 2-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
4: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Stanthorpe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 3-1-1
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
18: 3-0-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Aidan Keeley 46% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 136%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 46%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Competitive in Restricted 58 27 Aug. Never sighted at Kilcoy. Has some claims.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 10th last start at Kilcoy. Has a great burst of speed late. Looks like solid value.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 6f at Kilcoy (handicap) last week; possesses winning form at this track; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; more than capable if on song so should give it a bold bid.
RSIS
At 12/1 just average when 10th last run at Kilcoy. Expected to be flashing home. Gets a chance against these.
Career
32: 3-7-4
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-2
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
9: 1-4-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-2-3
Going Soft
11: 1-3-0
Going Synthetic
4: 1-2-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
C & K Geran striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 71%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Freshened. Long time since last saluted. Was a long way from the action in 1640m (Bm70) at Toowoomba. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
Started at $15.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Toowoomba but up against a less competitive field. Should jump out and bowl along. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Last of eight last month at Toowoomba upped to 1m; holds major claims as shown promise on occasion.
RSIS
At 14/1 weakened to finish 8th last run at Toowoomba but has been racing in stronger company. Shows good early pace. Will have to carry more weight. Very capable of taking this out.
Rating · IRD
20
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
Went home tamely this track over longer test at $12. Switching to 1400m. Remote place hope at best.
ILB
At $12.00 tailed off to finish 9th last time at this track and down in trip.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at this track and coming back in trip.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -48%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Strong win from just off the leaders at Kilcoy. Placed only other time here. Super fit from racing, capable of figuring again.
ILB
Rocketed home when winning last time at Kilcoy and displaying improvement over the past few runs.
RSIS
Charged home to win last start at Kilcoy and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1666m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Midfield, finished off evenly through line at Ipswich. Coming back in distance. Major player here.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Jumped at $12.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Ipswich and will try to take advantage of the gate. Genuine claims.
RP
Finished fourth, beaten a fair way over 1m½f at Ipswich (handicap) eight days ago; this is competitive and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
On a short back up. At 11/1 showed some merit late when 4th last start at Ipswich and will try to take advantage of the stall. Solid chance.
Career
8: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 83%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
No match but kept working home to finish among the placings at Toowoomba. Drawn to receive every chance. Well into preparation now, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Finished strongly when 3rd beaten by 2L last start at Toowoomba. Large claim helps.
RP
Not beaten far when third at 14-1 over 6f at Toowoomba (handicap) 13 days ago; normally pretty consistent; the Renita Beaton operation is running hot currently; definite chance; also engaged in race 3 at Sunshine Coast.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Toowoomba. William Galloway provides some weight relief.
Career
36: 2-6-4
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 1-1-2
Second-up
7: 0-2-0
Third-up
7: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Doomben
5: 0-2-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Track Yeppoon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1690m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-0
Going Good
18: 2-1-1
Going Soft
16: 0-4-2
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Livingstone striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 77%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Winless since 4 Oct 2024. Just missed at Beaudesert 17 Sep. Made late rally from the back this course over this trip. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Jumped at $8.00 and crept into 5th last start at the track. Will be motoring home late. Definite contender.
RP
A long time since his last win; far from disgraced (beaten 2½l) 15 days ago; a lot on his plate here and makes little appeal.
RSIS
Started at 7/1 and picked up some late ground when 5th last run around here. Will be hitting the line strongly. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
10: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 1-0-0
Track Esk
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Capitulated to finish out of the money at Ipswich. Drops to shorter trip. Looks up against it.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Faded away to finish 6th last run at Ipswich but up against weaker rivals. Gets a favourable alley. Carrying more weight than last time. Strong claims.
RP
Finished last of six at Ipswich over 1m½f (handicap) a week ago; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Kilcoy last November; not hard to turn elsewhere in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Ipswich but matched against lesser competition. Has minimal work to do from the stall. Expect a forward showing.
Career
10: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Inverell
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1708m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Gatton
AAP
Failed to flatter this track first run back. Best viewed as a rough place hope.
ILB
Started $13.00 and finished 7th last time around here. Likely to get back in the run.
RP
Has winning track form; close up behind Mighty Judd when seventh 15 days ago; is passed over with several rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 7th last start at this venue. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
33: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
2: 0-0-1
Track Mildura
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
22: 2-3-2
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Sunshine Coast for new trainer. Coming back in distance. Fit from racing, can make her presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $8.00 and didn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last start at Sunshine Coast. Should be in the finish.
RP
Can be a player at this level; fair effort when beaten 1½l at Sunshine Coast over 1m (handicap) on first run for current trainer 14 days ago.
RSIS
Odds of 7/1 and couldn't find the line when 4th last start at Sunshine Coast. Good chance in this.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Tabulam over this trip. Can show more here.
ILB
Odds of $3.80 and clearly outclassed when 6th last run at Tabulam. Running with confidence this preparation.
RSIS
Started 11/4 and unimpressive effort when 6th last run at Tabulam. Performing impressively since resuming from a break.
Career
21: 2-6-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Thangool
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
7: 2-4-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
5: 2-2-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gave good sight filling the minors at Tara over this distance. Has an adverse draw. This looks stronger.
ILB
Tidy run when 2nd last start at Tara.
RP
Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish second at Tara behind Vizstar two weeks ago.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last run at Tara.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Unable to threaten in the small field at Taroom. One for exotics.
ILB
Jumped at $3.40 and came in 4th last run at Taroom but has drawn to do little work.
RSIS
At 12/5 came in 4th last run at Taroom but has the ideal draw.
Career
15: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Charleville
3: 1-1-0
Track Roma
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 141%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 49%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led and held sway to win at Ipswich. First time around Gatton. This will test.
ILB
On a short back up. Set the tempo to win by 1/2L last start at Ipswich. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Not fancied in the betting (14-1) when edging home by half a length at Ipswich last week.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Controlled the pace to win by a margin of 1/2L last run at Ipswich. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
41: 3-12-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Deepwater
1: 1-0-0
Track Wagga
8: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
21: 0-4-2
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 172%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Responded strongly to score in small field at Tara over this distance. This will test his mettle.
ILB
Landed the spoils when winning by 2L last run at Tara. Jockey Sophie Wilcock and trainer Jayden Sims should be taken seriously together. Could be in the mix.
RP
Won a handicap by 2l at Tara two weeks ago.
RSIS
Finished on top by 2L last start at Tara. Sophie Wilcock and Jayden Sims demand respect when they team up. Has some claims.
Career
23: 1-4-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1614m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 0-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Anthony Allen 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Long winless run. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Tabulam over today's trip. New to Gatton. Meets a stronger bunch.
ILB
Tidy run when 2nd last run at Tabulam. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat 13 days ago, when second at Tabulam (dropped back to this distance).
RSIS
Looked good when 2nd last run at Tabulam. Likely to get back. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 29 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fresh. Early pace was too much for her and weakened at Beaudesert over this trip. Awkwardly drawn but has enough speed. Can play a role if things pan out.
ILB
Jumped at $17.00 and ran 6th last start at Beaudesert.
RSIS
At 16/1 came in 6th last time at Beaudesert.