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Gatton (QLD) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gatton (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 16 OctGatton (QLD)Change

Race 2 — McNeil Farms Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps

Race notes

  • MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT6
  • Raining
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Flying Vision (8)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 11Trusty Felina

Backmarker

  • 4Bellouise

Midfield

  • 2Rusty Bolt
  • 3Stolen Stock
  • 5Bright Outlook
  • 10Miss Chamonix
  • 13Elemiss

Offpace

  • 6Cool Thoughts
  • 7Ellofaby
  • 8Flying Vision

Onpace

  • 9Lake Of Fire

Leader

  • 14Two Time Girl
  • Rusty Bolt · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Kris Zahmel striking at just 4%

  • Stolen Stock · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Bellouise · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Bright Outlook · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1FilthyScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Micheal Hellyer current POT is 25% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Shown early ability. Knuckled down for third at Lismore for new trainer. Will take a power of beating.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was $2.90 and ran 4th last start at Ipswich but solid career start. Won't be far away during the run.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started at 15/8 and finished 4th last start at Ipswich but solid career start. Will be positive in the run early.

2Rusty BoltJ: Isabel Jessop·T: Kris Zahmel858.5kg5 8 3 8 93: 0-0-0$31.00$4.80

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gatton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Gatton1600m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.54L
  2. 8Warwick1200m10 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD310.1L
  3. 3Warwick800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2L
  4. 8Warwick800m23 Feb 2026 · MDN · SOFT56.6L
  5. 5Toowoomba650m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial7.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Kris Zahmel striking at just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten this track second-up. Drops to shorter trip. Needs to show more.

ILB

Started $26.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last run here. Has some claims.

RP

Ninth of 12 over 1m here (maiden) two weeks ago; this just his fourth race.

RSIS

At 25/1 folded up in the straight when 9th last time here. Betting is the best guide.

3Stolen StockJ: Aidan Keeley·T: P J Minter158.5kg10 9 3 8 713: 0-2-1$6.50$2.25

Career

13: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-2-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Terang2156m20 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.3L
  2. 8Ararat1600m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD49.5L
  3. 3Penola1600m16 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L
  4. 9Hanging Rock1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD416L
  5. 10Terang1400m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.3L
  6. 10Hamilton1600m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT611.4L
  7. 2St Arnaud1550m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.5L
  8. 6Manangatang1550m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD33L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Aidan Keeley 46% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 136%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Aidan Keeley winning at 37% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

Comments

AAP

Resuming (34-weeks). Ex Andrew Bobbin in Victoria. Trialled quietly at Dalby. Big watch under new trainer after long spell.

ILB

Resuming after a spell of 34 weeks. Started at $14.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last run at Terang but has drawn the rails. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Last of seven in February at Terang upped to 1m2½f; first run for trainer; returns from a layoff; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 34 weeks. Started 13/1 and didn't find the line when 7th last run at Terang but drawn the rails. Down in trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4BellouiseJ: Leslie Tilley·T: Corey & Kylie Geran1156.5kg1 11: 0-0-0$34.00$5.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Beaudesert

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD314.76L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 71%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Well down the track at Beaudesert on debut at wide odds. Big lift needed from there.

ILB

Started at $61.00 and disappointing run when 11th last run at Beaudesert but fitter for debut run. Likely to settle back in the field. Appears tested in this event.

RP

Held last of 11 but was making her first appearance over 5½f at Beaudesert at 66-1 last month; rates a likely contender; also engaged in race 5 at Gatton.

RSIS

Odds of 60/1 and clearly outclassed when 11th last time at Beaudesert but having second race start. Does take a while to get into stride.

5Bright OutlookJ: Mark Du Plessis·T: Ms O Cairns356.5kg11 2 4 10 54: 0-1-0$13.00$3.40

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gatton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 860m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Tabulam1400m3 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW7.53L
  2. 10Sunshine Coast1200m11 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT712.3L
  3. 4Beaudesert1050m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4L
  4. 2Beaudesert900m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.5L
  5. 11Ipswich1200m13 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN · GOOD417.8L
  6. 2Gatton860m28 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY80.9L
  7. 6Gold Coast1000m20 May 2025 · Barrier Trial8.3L
  8. 4Beaudesert900m8 May 2025 · Barrier Trial2.8L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Tabulam second-up. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Not in contention when 5th last run at Tabulam. Has a nice turn of foot. Respect the betting.

RP

Last of five at Tabulam two weeks ago; likely to be thereabouts given that not many of these impressed last time out and has shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Uncompetitive when 5th last start at Tabulam. Displays very good closing pace. Not at all out of this race.

6Cool ThoughtsJ: Danny Peisley·T: Sonya Dixon1056.5kg11 5 6 8 49: 0-0-0$23.00$4.20

Career

9: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Ballina1590m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD34.09L
  2. 8Gatton1600m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.17L
  3. 6Talwood1400m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+7.68L
  4. 5Warra1200m29 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW8L
  5. 11Sunshine Coast1300m16 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT59.7L
  6. 7Eagle Farm1000m29 July 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD49.5L
  7. 6Ipswich800m16 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.8L
  8. 8Hamilton1600m15 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT69.3L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Had Chances

    Negative

    Still in maiden grade after several runs

Comments

AAP

Failed to fire, despite many attempts. Unable to make an impression at Ballina. Tougher test from the draw. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Started $51.00 and finished 4th last run at Ballina. Likely to get back in the run. Has not placed in 6 attempts this campaign. Needs to improve.

RP

Not disgraced when fourth of seven (Ballina) two weeks ago in a handicap; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 50/1 and ran 4th last run at Ballina. Has struggled so far of late. Gets back and needs luck.

7EllofabyJ: Jason Taylor·T: Taryn Churchill256.5kg6 8 4 6 215: 0-1-1$3.30$1.40

Career

15: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warwick

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kilcoy1500m6 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.57L
  2. 6Warwick1350m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.54L
  3. 4Kilcoy1500m10 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT62.9L
  4. 8Gold Coast1700m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT510.2L
  5. 6Gatton1600m10 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
  6. 4Beaudesert1400m26 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT76.1L
  7. 6Beaudesert1400m12 June 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · HEAVY109.7L
  8. 4Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT56.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -56%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Picked up strongly from back half at Kilcoy when drifting in the betting. Super fit from racing, capable of making an impact.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd last run at Kilcoy and gets a favourable gate. Win will not surprise.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice; went close when runner-up at Kilcoy over 7½f (maiden) last Tuesday.

RSIS

Displayed good finishing pace when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Kilcoy and can find a nice position from the draw. Good chance in this.

8Flying VisionJ: Bobby El-Issa·T: Adam Campton656.5kg4 4 4 8 57: 0-0-0$3.00$1.38

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murwillumbah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Toowoomba1300m3 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.57L
  2. 8Beaudesert1100m17 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD33.52L
  3. 4Gold Coast1000m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L
  4. 4Gold Coast Poly1540m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.4L
  5. 4Murwillumbah1567m25 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW5.4L
  6. 5Ballina1310m11 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.5L
  7. 6Gold Coast1200m21 Mar 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.2L
  8. 2Beaudesert900m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.7L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 5% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unplaced but has shown glimpses of ability. Battled home okay at Toowoomba second-up. Sharper now, sound claims.

ILB

Was $5.50 and advanced late into 5th last start at Toowoomba. Great chance.

RP

Not beaten that far in fifth (3½l) over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) 13 days ago; attempting to open her account at the eighth time of asking; others more appealing.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and kept chasing when 5th last start at Toowoomba. Definite claims for punters.

9Lake Of FireJ: Wayne O'Connell·T: Wayne O'Connell1256.5kg6 5 11 3 619: 0-1-1$26.00$4.60

Career

19: 0-1-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilcoy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1505m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1540m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kilcoy1500m6 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.36L
  2. 3Nanango1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+3.1L
  3. 11Gold Coast Poly1540m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC12.2L
  4. 5Gatton1600m30 July 2026 · MDN SW · GOOD48.1L
  5. 6Esk1460m11 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW3.8L
  6. 2Kilcoy1500m20 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT55.08L
  7. 6Gatton860m3 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT52.9L
  8. 9Ipswich1200m13 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Kilcoy at $41. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was $41.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at Kilcoy. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice but form has been a bit up and down of late; close up behind Ellofaby when sixth over 7½f at Kilcoy (maiden) last week; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

At 40/1 didn't attack the line when 6th last time at Kilcoy.

10Miss ChamonixJ: Tiffani Brooker·T: K J Jones556.5kg5 3 4 6 811: 0-0-1$12.00$3.40

Career

11: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dalby

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1840m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Doomben1200m5 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD48.12L
  2. 6Toowoomba1890m14 Feb 2026 · MDN · HEAVY1018.7L
  3. 4Eagle Farm1840m28 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  4. 3Doomben2020m14 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
  5. 5Toowoomba2000m27 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD33.2L
  6. 6Toowoomba1890m20 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.59L
  7. 8Dalby1400m11 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD311.5L
  8. 5Toowoomba1200m22 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD48.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Doomben off extended spell. Better conditioned. Not out of it.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last run at Doomben. Might have to make up considerable ground. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Out of the frame when eighth over 6f at Doomben (maiden) last week; passed over.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and disappointing effort when 8th last time at Doomben. Might be ridden for luck.

11Trusty FelinaJ: Brandon Lerena·T: William Kropp756.5kg4 3 5$6.00$2.20

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Toowoomba925m5 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)15.9L
  2. 3Toowoomba925m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
  3. 4Gatton860m30 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial8.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    William Kropp in good form, out performing market 37%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-0-1). Follow betting leads.

ILB

First race appearance 4yo by Trusty Lad for William Kropp. Brandon Lerena is a key booking. Betting as a guide.

RP

Sole debutant in the line up; related to I Promise You, winning form over 5f-7f; arguably the one to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo by Trusty Lad having first start for trainer William Kropp. Jockey Brandon Lerena is a plus. Watch the betting.

12Born To RaceScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

A long way off them at Tara on debut. Will need to improve from there.

ILB

Started at $5.50 and moderate showing when 6th last start at Tara but was on debut last time. Facing an increased distance.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and lacklustre showing when 6th last time at Tara but was on debut last time. Facing an increased distance.

13ElemissJ: Anthony Allen·T: G M Hay956.5kg11 10 12 9 819: 0-0-0$126.00$16.00

Career

19: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Kilcoy1200m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN · GOOD48.7L
  2. 9Gympie1170m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+16.16L
  3. 12Gatton1400m21 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD38.3L
  4. 10Toowoomba1625m29 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD430.2L
  5. 11Sunshine Coast1600m14 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD412.2L
  6. 4Esk1460m8 Nov 2025 · 3yo+2.81L
  7. 6Gold Coast Poly1200m25 Oct 2025 · MDN · SYNTHETIC11L
  8. 7Sunshine Coast1000m3 Oct 2025 · F&M MDN · GOOD410.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Gordon Hay striking at just 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Limited

    Negative

    Yet to break through after 19 starts

Comments

AAP

Many starts with little to show. Failed to threaten at Kilcoy second-up at huge odds. Others more persuasive.

ILB

At $101.00 faded away to finish 8th last start at Kilcoy. Yet to fire a shot in 19 runs. Gets back and needs luck. Prefer others.

RP

Last of eight (Kilcoy) last Tuesday in a handicap.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and was well beaten when 8th last start at Kilcoy. Yet to make an impression in 19 starts. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

14Two Time GirlJ: Colleen Krahnen·T: Daryll Leggatt456.5kg9 10 7 9 522: 0-0-0$126.00$16.00

Career

22: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    11: 0-0-0

  • Track Gatton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 870m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Toowoomba925m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)11.5L
  2. 9Gold Coast Poly1900m28 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC54.7L
  3. 7Kilcoy1500m18 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT68.9L
  4. 10Toowoomba2000m27 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD324.6L
  5. 9Toowoomba1890m20 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD413.57L
  6. 7Toowoomba1890m22 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD415.39L
  7. 7Gold Coast Poly1540m4 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC12.1L
  8. 8Toowoomba1625m18 Oct 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 58%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (28-weeks). Shown little to date. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Back from a 28 week spell. Started at $101.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Gold Coast Poly and down in distance. Yet to place in 22 attempts. Simply cannot have.

RP

Finished tailed off at Gold Coast in March upped to 1m1½f; returns from a break here.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break of 28 weeks. Started 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last time at Gold Coast Poly and back to a shorter trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races